Coinglass's '30 Indicator Peak Escape List' currently shows 100% hold, with no signs of peaking!! The top signal indicator is created by Bitcoin whale AHR999, known as Jiushen, who was incredibly strong back then 🧐🥸 He predicts that in 20 years, the price of Bitcoin will rise to 160 million RMB per coin, about 22 million USD. He says this is the qualifying line for financial freedom in first-tier cities ~ He explained his two calculation growth models in detail. When I first saw this, I thought it was nonsense, but I found that the first stage goal has actually been reached, making me feel that a small goal of one and a half building forests doesn't seem so distant!!
He divided 20 years into five stages, starting from 4,000 RMB in 2018 to 2022. After experiencing the first halving phase in 2020, the price of Bitcoin indeed reached expectations, exceeding the 470,000 RMB per coin he mentioned!! One model is linear growth, assuming that the growth factor is the same for each cycle, then each stage only needs to increase to 5.25 times, and in 4 years, the Bitcoin price can reach 210,000, in 8 years, the price is 1.1 million, in 12 years, it is 5.79 million, and in 20 years, the price of Bitcoin will be 160 million ~ If each cycle is 5.5 times, Bitcoin only needs to grow by 50% compared to the previous year, reaching 160 million in 20 years. Many people may think this is radical, but a 50% growth each year does not feel too much pressure for Bitcoin, this is compound interest / of course, the linear growth model is not reasonable, the development of things always starts fast and slows down later, eventually stabilizing!
Another way is exponential decay, believing that the growth multiples are high at the beginning and lower later!! This model predicts that Bitcoin will rise about 12 times by 2022, considering that the previous cycle increased by dozens of times, this growth rate seems more reasonable, meaning that owning 1 Bitcoin might very well lead you to financial freedom in the future ~ But the question is, how many people are willing to wait 20 years? The vast majority of people will never achieve financial freedom in their lifetime, 160 million is a number that is hard to even think about / Now someone tells you that if you hold one Bitcoin for 20 years, you will become rich, this is the shortcut in life, do you disdain it, or do you not believe it, or do you ask how to hold it!?
The method of Jiushen is to crazily enhance the ability to earn money outside the circle, earn more fiat currency and hoard more coins, which can shorten the time to achieve financial freedom!! Earning money outside the circle to buy coins is much simpler than earning coins inside the circle. Bitcoin has only 21 million pieces, especially after the ETF and strategic reserves pass, retail investors flood in, the competition is too fierce ~ I forgot which great god said, if you really want to make money in the circle, for example, if you want to play altcoins, then you should create coins instead of picking up coins issued by others; if you want to play leveraged futures, you should open an exchange, cut leeks in your own exchange, instead of going to someone else's exchange and getting cut and then being scolded as a fool / If you want to mine, you should build mining machines or set up mining pools, or have power plants, instead of buying mining machines or cloud mining, you can still make some hard-earned money when the market is good, when the market is bad, you have to bear all the risks yourself! In short, you need to find ways to get other people's coins into your own pocket, if you don't have this ability, it's best to earn money outside the circle and hoard coins inside, then patiently wait for Bitcoin's gifts ~
Jiushen's AHR999 indicator itself is a reference indicator for hoarding coins. In the upper part of these two images, the red line is the coin price, the blue dashed line is the index fitting line of the coin price, and the green line is the 200-day regular investment cost line!! When the red line is below the blue line and the green line, it is a very good hoarding signal. The two values in the lower image represent the Bitcoin price compared to the 200-day regular investment cost and the Bitcoin price compared to the index growth valuation / When both of these ratios are less than one, it indicates that the price of Bitcoin is undervalued, and buying Bitcoin directly is more cost-effective than long-term regular investment!
The AHR999 index equals the Bitcoin price compared to the 200-day regular investment cost multiplied by the Bitcoin price compared to the index growth valuation, which means we can simply look at this one indicator!! To explain the historical distribution of the AHR999 index, it states that from February 1, 2011, to now, there have been 2042 days when the index was greater than 1.2, making it unsuitable for purchasing / There have been 2547 days when it was between 0.45 and 1.2, which was suitable for regular investment; there have been 566 days when it was less than 0.45, which was suitable for bottom-fishing!
