BTC
After a "flash dump" to $89,000, $BTC has recovered on the 3D timeframe (see chart 👇) with significant trading volume. However, this is still considered a technical rebound, and BTC remains within the accumulation zone of $91,000 - $104,000 (see chart 👇).
$BTC will only enter a genuine upward trend towards a new price range if it successfully breaks out of the accumulation zone of $91,000 - $104,000.
In case of failure, there is a high probability (~80%) that BTC will revisit the lower boundary of $91,000. Worst-case scenario: Although the likelihood is low, BTC could potentially even drop to $87,000 (critical support level aligned with the Fibo 0.382).
ALTCOIN
Altcoins have been negatively affected by BTC's movement. Most Altcoins have returned to attractive price levels for accumulation. However, Altcoins can only enter a true bullish wave when and only when BTC breaks its previous high and establishes a new price range.
WHAT TO DO
To minimize risk and maximize opportunity, the most prudent approach is to:
Allocate 50% of your capital at the current price range.
Reserve the remaining 50% for deployment under one of the following scenarios:
Scenario 1: BTC Breaks Out with Confirmation at $104,000 - $108,000
If BTC successfully breaks out and provides clear confirmation (excluding false breakouts), it signals the start of a new bullish trend.
During this phase, BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is expected to rise, delaying Altcoin growth. This provides ample time to accumulate Altcoins later.
Scenario 2: BTC Fails and Revisits Lower Levels
If BTC fails to break the $104,000 - $108,000 range, there is a high probability (~80%) that it will revisit the lower boundary at $91,000 (or $87,000 in the worst-case scenario). At this point, the price level would present an excellent opportunity to deploy the remaining 50% of your capital.
