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⚠️ ETH/USDT Technical Analysis (CRITICAL UPDATE), Price Prediction and Trade Plan
$ETH
🗓️ Date - June 21,2025
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🔍 Key Changes
💥 Price crashed to $2,423.16 (-3.76%) — broke below all key supports and EMA99
🟥 New 24h Low: $2,367.36 → market is now severely bearish
📉 EMA Breakdown:
EMA(7): $2,489.20 ⬇️
EMA(25): $2,525.00 ⬇️
EMA(99): $2,373.51 ⬇️
🔻 Oversold Indicators:
RSI(6): 29.87 — lowest in months
StochRSI: 2.99 / 5.39 😱 → Maximum reversal probability
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🧱 Key Levels to Watch
🔻 Support
1. $2,367.36 – Must hold (24h low)
2. $2,282.72 – Structural support
3. $2,126.64 – Equivalent to 2024 low
🔺 Resistance
1. $2,438.79 – Immediate swing resistance
2. $2,489.20 – EMA(7)
3. $2,569.00 – 24h high
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📈 Price Predictions
⏳ Short-Term (12–24h)
🟥 70% chance ETH retests $2,367
Break below → move to $2,282
Bounce above → recover to $2,438
⚠️ RSI 29.87 + StochRSI 2.99 = strongest reversal alert
📊 Needs >100k ETH volume confirmation
📆 Medium-Term (3–7 Days)
🟩 Bullish (30%): Hold $2,367 → range between $2,350–$2,500
🟥 Bearish (70%): Close below $2,367 → target $2,126
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🎯 TRADE PLAN
🔴 SHORT Setup (Breakdown Momentum – 60% Probability)
Entry Zones:
$2,420 (active zone)
$2,435 (dead cat bounce)
Targets:
$2,367 → Partial TP
$2,282 → Final TP
Stop Loss: 🔺 $2,495
RR: 🧮 1:15
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🟢 LONG Setup (Extreme Oversold Play – 40% Probability)
Entry Zones:
$2,370 (bounce at low)
$2,285 (next major support)
Targets:
$2,423 → Breakeven area
$2,438 → Partial TP
$2,489 → Final TP
Stop Loss: 🔻 $2,360
Confirmation:
StochRSI cross >10 + 🔊 Volume >80k ETH
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⚖️ Trade Triggers & Invalidation
🔻 SHORT
Trigger: Price < $2,420
Targets: $2,367 → $2,282
Invalidation: 4h Close > $2,495
🔼 LONG
Trigger: Bounce at $2,370 + volume spike
Targets: $2,438 → $2,489
Invalidation: 4h Close < $2,360
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🛡️ Risk Management
1. 💰 Capital: Max 0.8% per trade
2. ⚖️ Leverage: Max 3x
3. 🔄 Adjustments:
Break < $2,360 → Cancel longs, go short to $2,282
Break > $2,495 → Cancel shorts, long to $2,569
4. ⌛ Execution: Confirm with 4h candle close
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🚨 Final Warning
ETH is at maximum oversold since 2022.
📉 Strong reversal potential — but fragile due to low volume.
📊 Watch BTC correlation + ETH gas fees for institutional signs.
💣 Expect explosive volatility in either direction.
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📌 Trade with discipline. Let price and volume confirm direction.
Take Trade From here 👉 $ETH
ETHUSDT
Perp
2,423.42
-4.5%
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