⚠️ ETH/USDT Technical Analysis (CRITICAL UPDATE), Price Prediction and Trade Plan 😯😯😱

⚠️ ETH/USDT Technical Analysis (CRITICAL UPDATE), Price Prediction and Trade Plan

$ETH

🗓️ Date - June 21,2025

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🔍 Key Changes

💥 Price crashed to $2,423.16 (-3.76%) — broke below all key supports and EMA99

🟥 New 24h Low: $2,367.36 → market is now severely bearish

📉 EMA Breakdown:

EMA(7): $2,489.20 ⬇️

EMA(25): $2,525.00 ⬇️

EMA(99): $2,373.51 ⬇️

🔻 Oversold Indicators:

RSI(6): 29.87 — lowest in months

StochRSI: 2.99 / 5.39 😱 → Maximum reversal probability

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🧱 Key Levels to Watch

🔻 Support

1. $2,367.36 – Must hold (24h low)

2. $2,282.72 – Structural support

3. $2,126.64 – Equivalent to 2024 low

🔺 Resistance

1. $2,438.79 – Immediate swing resistance

2. $2,489.20 – EMA(7)

3. $2,569.00 – 24h high

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📈 Price Predictions

⏳ Short-Term (12–24h)

🟥 70% chance ETH retests $2,367

Break below → move to $2,282

Bounce above → recover to $2,438

⚠️ RSI 29.87 + StochRSI 2.99 = strongest reversal alert

📊 Needs >100k ETH volume confirmation

📆 Medium-Term (3–7 Days)

🟩 Bullish (30%): Hold $2,367 → range between $2,350–$2,500

🟥 Bearish (70%): Close below $2,367 → target $2,126

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🎯 TRADE PLAN

🔴 SHORT Setup (Breakdown Momentum – 60% Probability)

Entry Zones:

$2,420 (active zone)

$2,435 (dead cat bounce)

Targets:

$2,367 → Partial TP

$2,282 → Final TP

Stop Loss: 🔺 $2,495

RR: 🧮 1:15

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🟢 LONG Setup (Extreme Oversold Play – 40% Probability)

Entry Zones:

$2,370 (bounce at low)

$2,285 (next major support)

Targets:

$2,423 → Breakeven area

$2,438 → Partial TP

$2,489 → Final TP

Stop Loss: 🔻 $2,360

Confirmation:

StochRSI cross >10 + 🔊 Volume >80k ETH

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⚖️ Trade Triggers & Invalidation

🔻 SHORT

Trigger: Price < $2,420

Targets: $2,367 → $2,282

Invalidation: 4h Close > $2,495

🔼 LONG

Trigger: Bounce at $2,370 + volume spike

Targets: $2,438 → $2,489

Invalidation: 4h Close < $2,360

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🛡️ Risk Management

1. 💰 Capital: Max 0.8% per trade

2. ⚖️ Leverage: Max 3x

3. 🔄 Adjustments:

Break < $2,360 → Cancel longs, go short to $2,282

Break > $2,495 → Cancel shorts, long to $2,569

4. ⌛ Execution: Confirm with 4h candle close

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🚨 Final Warning

ETH is at maximum oversold since 2022.

📉 Strong reversal potential — but fragile due to low volume.

📊 Watch BTC correlation + ETH gas fees for institutional signs.

💣 Expect explosive volatility in either direction.

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📌 Trade with discipline. Let price and volume confirm direction.

Take Trade From here 👉 $ETH

ETHUSDT

Perp

2,423.42

-4.5%

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