Avalanche (AVAX) has captured attention in recent weeks with an impressive 53% rally since March 11. After enduring a steep 72% decline since mid-December 2024, this surge marks a much-needed recovery for the cryptocurrency. However, caution flags are emerging as the rally begins to lose steam near the $22 resistance level.
TD Sequential Signals Potential Pullback
Top crypto analyst Ali Martinez has noted that the TD Sequential indicator, which previously signaled AVAX's bottom and subsequent rally, is now flashing a fresh sell signal. This technical indicator suggests a potential pullback or consolidation phase as the broader crypto market remains under macroeconomic pressure.
AVAX briefly reached $23.40 but has since pulled back to $21.80, reflecting waning bullish momentum. If AVAX fails to hold above the critical $20 support level, the asset risks retracing to $17 — a key support zone from prior consolidations.
Bulls Eye $30, But Macro Challenges Persist
While bulls are aiming for a breakout toward $30, a move that aligns with both the 200-day moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA), macroeconomic uncertainties continue to weigh heavily on risk assets. Trade war fears and volatile global markets have made investors cautious, leading to selling near current levels.
Analysts highlight the importance of holding above $20 as a signal of resilience. A sustained push toward $30 would not only confirm the current recovery but also signal the beginning of a more substantial uptrend for Avalanche.
AVAX at a Crossroads
The $22 resistance zone is proving to be a tough barrier for AVAX. A temporary consolidation at this level may provide bulls with the opportunity to regroup for a stronger push higher. Conversely, failure to defend $20 could trigger increased selling pressure, bringing bearish sentiment back into focus.
For now, all eyes remain on Avalanche's price action as it navigates this critical juncture. With momentum slowing, the coming sessions will be pivotal in determining whether AVAX can sustain its recovery or succumb to broader market pressures.
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