RbapCrypto

Key points to monitor in this interest rate announcement:
Current interest rate: 4.5%

Market expectation: Slight decrease below 4.5% after adjustment
What scenarios could occur at this FED meeting?
🔸 According to data from the FED WATCHTOOL, the probability of the FED keeping interest rates unchanged has reached 98.8%. This information is already known by most people, and it would be no surprise if the FED does not lower rates. However, the likelihood of 'borrowing news to drive prices' is very high.

A comparison image of ETH's price behavior before and after major upgrades. Overall, ETH's price tends to rise sharply before the upgrade.
The Merge (15/9/2022)
1–4 weeks after the upgrade: A light distribution pattern appears, trading volume decreases, price breaks down from the short-term support zone → a slight sell-off occurs (about -20%) but not a panic sell. The 'sell the news' effect, combined with short-term holders taking profits after the hype phase.

The event of unlocking 84 million tokens $LAYER - not a small number - is set to occur on May 11th. This could create a massive supply, generating significant selling pressure.
Within a few hours, $LAYER has plummeted from $3.4 to below $1.9 - a decline of ~ 44%. The current funding rate is -2% per hour, indicating a clear dominance of the short side and showing that the market is in serious imbalance.
So where will $LAYER go?