MacroCycle
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Bitcoin Macro Cycle: Is 2025 the Final Year of This Bull Market Pattern? š š
$BTC
Bitcoin ($BTC ) has shown a clear long-term pattern since 2015 ā a 3-year bull market followed by a 1-year bear market. With this rhythm in mind, 2025 could be the final year of the current bull run before a potential correction phase begins.
Letās zoom out and explore the big picture using Fibonacci ratios and cycle history.
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Bitcoinās Historical Pattern: 3 Years Up, 1 Year Down š
2015ā2017: Bull market, up +12,124%
2018: Bear market
2019ā2021: Bull market, up +1,971%
2022: Bear market
Now:
2023ā2025: Bull market in progress
If the cycle repeats, 2025 could be the peak year
This consistent macro behavior makes 2025 a crucial year to watch.
---
Key Fibonacci Levels to Watch š¢
Based on the 12M BTCUSDT chart and Fibonacci extensions, these are the key upside targets and potential resistance zones:
1.902 ā 2.0 range: $101,875 to $106,275
2.168 (Checkpoint 1): $134,018
3.0 ā 3.14 range: $151,167 to $157,452
Maximum Fibonacci extension: 3.618 ā $178,910
These zones are likely to act as high-volume areas, meaning price could consolidate, react, or reverse there. A sustained move above 2.618 ($134,018) could push BTC into the final leg of this cycle.
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Downside Projections (Post-2025 Bear Market?) š
If the bull run ends in 2025, historical data suggests a possible decline of 60%ā70%, based on previous bear markets.
Potential correction zone: Fibonacci 0.618 ā $44,234
It is unlikely that BTC will ever revisit sub-$42K levels, marking a firm long-term floor.
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Conclusion: Final Phase of the Bull Cycle? ā³
Bitcoin is following a clear long-term rhythm that has repeated twice already. If the current cycle continues:
2025 may represent the cycle peak
$134K to $157K could be the critical range to watch
After that, a healthy correction could bring prices down to mid-$40K, setting the stage for the next macro cycle
This analysis is based on the TradingView BTC INDEX and BTCUSDT charts using Fibonacci ratio mapping.
---
Trade smart. Follow the cycle. Stay ahead with Binance Square.
Remember: Long-term views require long-term discipline.
---
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #MacroCycle #Fibonacci #CryptoAnalysis #LongTermView #BinanceSquare
Bitcoin ($BTC ) has shown a clear long-term pattern since 2015 ā a 3-year bull market followed by a 1-year bear market. With this rhythm in mind, 2025 could be the final year of the current bull run before a potential correction phase begins.
Letās zoom out and explore the big picture using Fibonacci ratios and cycle history.
---
Bitcoinās Historical Pattern: 3 Years Up, 1 Year Down š
2015ā2017: Bull market, up +12,124%
2018: Bear market
2019ā2021: Bull market, up +1,971%
2022: Bear market
Now:
2023ā2025: Bull market in progress
If the cycle repeats, 2025 could be the peak year
This consistent macro behavior makes 2025 a crucial year to watch.
---
Key Fibonacci Levels to Watch š¢
Based on the 12M BTCUSDT chart and Fibonacci extensions, these are the key upside targets and potential resistance zones:
1.902 ā 2.0 range: $101,875 to $106,275
2.168 (Checkpoint 1): $134,018
3.0 ā 3.14 range: $151,167 to $157,452
Maximum Fibonacci extension: 3.618 ā $178,910
These zones are likely to act as high-volume areas, meaning price could consolidate, react, or reverse there. A sustained move above 2.618 ($134,018) could push BTC into the final leg of this cycle.
---
Downside Projections (Post-2025 Bear Market?) š
If the bull run ends in 2025, historical data suggests a possible decline of 60%ā70%, based on previous bear markets.
Potential correction zone: Fibonacci 0.618 ā $44,234
It is unlikely that BTC will ever revisit sub-$42K levels, marking a firm long-term floor.
---
Conclusion: Final Phase of the Bull Cycle? ā³
Bitcoin is following a clear long-term rhythm that has repeated twice already. If the current cycle continues:
2025 may represent the cycle peak
$134K to $157K could be the critical range to watch
After that, a healthy correction could bring prices down to mid-$40K, setting the stage for the next macro cycle
This analysis is based on the TradingView BTC INDEX and BTCUSDT charts using Fibonacci ratio mapping.
---
Trade smart. Follow the cycle. Stay ahead with Binance Square.
Remember: Long-term views require long-term discipline.
---
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #MacroCycle #Fibonacci #CryptoAnalysis #LongTermView #BinanceSquare
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