June 12 | LITE's biggest advantage is not its growth, but that no one can replace it.
Many AI companies show growth.
What’s truly scarce is:
Growth + Irreplaceability.
For GPUs, there’s AMD.
For HBM, there’s Samsung, Hynix, and Micron.
For ASICs, there’s AVGO and MRVL.
But in the high-end EML laser sector,
the players capable of stable mass production are very few.
This is also why I’m bullish on LITE long-term.
Its greatest value
has never been about the AI concept.
It’s about its position in the supply chain.
The biggest investment misconception
is constantly focusing on demand.
The real money-makers
are studying supply.
Demand can change.
Demand can fluctuate.
Demand can even disappear.
But supply determines profit.
Supply dictates pricing power.
The AI industry will surely see many winners in the future,
and many losers.
But those who control critical supply
often come out on top.
That’s why I focus more on:
Who has the technical barriers.
Who has the production capacity barriers.
Who has the customer barriers.
Rather than who tells the better story.
In the coming years,
the AI industry might see many competitors.
But in the high-end EML laser field,
the companies with true scalable production capabilities remain few and far between.
That’s the moat.
So when I look at LITE,
I see irreplaceability.
I see pricing power.
I see its industry position over the next 5 years.
Not just tomorrow's price fluctuations.
When you invest, do you focus more on the demand side
or the supply side?
—
Buy the moat, ride the bull — Buy the moat, hold for the long bull.
#LITE #AI #BTC #AI基础设施