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$ETH ๐๏ธDate -June 22,2025
๐ Key Changes:
๐ Price collapsed to $2,285.62 (-5.65%) in a panic selloff
โ ๏ธ New 24h Low: $2,216.00 โ ETH now in freefall territory
๐ EMAs Breakdown:
EMA(7): $2,414.41 โฌ
EMA(25): $2,497.54 โฌ
EMA(99): $2,369.25 โฌ
๐ฑ Extreme Oversold Conditions:
RSI(6): 17.17 โ lowest ever recorded
StochRSI: 0.00 / 2.22 โ max reversal signal
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๐ Critical Levels
๐ Support Zones:
1. ๐ก $2,216.00 โ 24h low (last defense)
2. ๐ $2,158.21 โ 2023 low-equivalent
3. ๐ฅ $2,000.00 โ Psychological breakdown level
๐ Resistance Zones:
1. โ๏ธ $2,309.05 โ Immediate swing high
2. ๐ $2,414.41 โ EMA(7)
3. ๐งฑ $2,448.80 โ 24h high
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๐ Price Prediction
โณ Short-Term (12โ24H)
๐ 95% chance to retest $2,216.00
๐ป Break = crash to $2,158, then $2,000
๐ผ Hold = rebound to $2,414 (EMA7)
๐ Volume Signal:
Current: 178,735 ETH vs 5-day avg 412,945 ETH
๐ Panic selling exhaustion = reversal fuel
๐
Medium-Term (3โ7 Days)
๐ข Bullish Case (15%):
Hold $2,158 โ Range: $2,200โ$2,400
๐ด Bearish Case (85%):
Close below $2,158 โ Target: $2,000
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๐ง Trade Plan
๐ด SHORT TRADE (Breakdown Momentum โ 75% Prob.)
Entry:
๐ฅ $2,280 (now)
๐ $2,300 (dead cat bounce)
Targets:
๐ฏ $2,216 (TP1 โ 50%)
๐ฏ $2,158 (TP2 โ full exit)
Stop Loss: โ $2,350
โ๏ธ Risk/Reward: 1:20
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๐ข LONG TRADE (Historic Reversal โ 25% Prob.)
Entry:
๐ $2,220 (above 24h low)
๐ฏ $2,165 (aggressive entry)
Targets:
๐ฏ $2,285 (breakeven)
๐ฏ $2,309 (50% exit)
๐ฏ $2,414 (EMA7 โ full exit)
Stop Loss: โ $2,200
โ
Confirmation:
StochRSI > 5
๐ Volume > 300k ETH
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๐งฉ Critical Summary
๐ด SHORT TRADE
Trigger: Price below $2,270
Targets: $2,216 โ $2,158
Invalidation: 4h close > $2,350
๐ข LONG TRADE
Trigger: Bounce at $2,220 + StochRSI > 2
Targets: $2,309 โ $2,414
Invalidation: 4h close < $2,200
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๐ก Risk Management Protocol
๐ผ Capital Allocation: Max 0.5% per trade
โ๏ธ Leverage: Max 2x
๐ Emergency Adjustments:
๐ป Below $2,200 โ Cancel longs โ short to $2,000
๐ผ Above $2,350 โ Cancel shorts โ long to $2,500
๐ Execution Rule: Confirm with 4h candle close
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โ ๏ธ Final Warning
> ๐ RSI 17.17 + StochRSI 0.00 = most extreme oversold in ETH history
๐งจ Capitulation risk remains, but high probability of historic rebound
๐ Monitor gas fees + BTC ETF flows
โก Expect 15%+ volatility โ trade with caution
๐ธ Only use risk capital โ preserve portfolio health
Take Trade From here ๐
$ETH ---
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