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$ETH

🗓️Date -June 22,2025

🔄 Key Changes:

📉 Price collapsed to $2,285.62 (-5.65%) in a panic selloff

⚠️ New 24h Low: $2,216.00 – ETH now in freefall territory

📉 EMAs Breakdown:

EMA(7): $2,414.41 ⬇

EMA(25): $2,497.54 ⬇

EMA(99): $2,369.25 ⬇

😱 Extreme Oversold Conditions:

RSI(6): 17.17 – lowest ever recorded

StochRSI: 0.00 / 2.22 – max reversal signal

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🔍 Critical Levels

📉 Support Zones:

1. 🛡 $2,216.00 – 24h low (last defense)

2. 📍 $2,158.21 – 2023 low-equivalent

3. 💥 $2,000.00 – Psychological breakdown level

📈 Resistance Zones:

1. ⚔️ $2,309.05 – Immediate swing high

2. 📏 $2,414.41 – EMA(7)

3. 🧱 $2,448.80 – 24h high

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📈 Price Prediction

⏳ Short-Term (12–24H)

🔁 95% chance to retest $2,216.00

🔻 Break = crash to $2,158, then $2,000

🔼 Hold = rebound to $2,414 (EMA7)

🔊 Volume Signal:

Current: 178,735 ETH vs 5-day avg 412,945 ETH

🔋 Panic selling exhaustion = reversal fuel

📅 Medium-Term (3–7 Days)

🟢 Bullish Case (15%):

Hold $2,158 → Range: $2,200–$2,400

🔴 Bearish Case (85%):

Close below $2,158 → Target: $2,000

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🧠 Trade Plan

🔴 SHORT TRADE (Breakdown Momentum – 75% Prob.)

Entry:

💥 $2,280 (now)

📉 $2,300 (dead cat bounce)

Targets:

🎯 $2,216 (TP1 – 50%)

🎯 $2,158 (TP2 – full exit)

Stop Loss: ❌ $2,350

⚖️ Risk/Reward: 1:20

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🟢 LONG TRADE (Historic Reversal – 25% Prob.)

Entry:

🛒 $2,220 (above 24h low)

🎯 $2,165 (aggressive entry)

Targets:

🎯 $2,285 (breakeven)

🎯 $2,309 (50% exit)

🎯 $2,414 (EMA7 – full exit)

Stop Loss: ❌ $2,200

✅ Confirmation:

StochRSI > 5

🔊 Volume > 300k ETH

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🧩 Critical Summary

🔴 SHORT TRADE

Trigger: Price below $2,270

Targets: $2,216 → $2,158

Invalidation: 4h close > $2,350

🟢 LONG TRADE

Trigger: Bounce at $2,220 + StochRSI > 2

Targets: $2,309 → $2,414

Invalidation: 4h close < $2,200

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🛡 Risk Management Protocol

💼 Capital Allocation: Max 0.5% per trade

⚙️ Leverage: Max 2x

🔁 Emergency Adjustments:

🔻 Below $2,200 → Cancel longs → short to $2,000

🔼 Above $2,350 → Cancel shorts → long to $2,500

📆 Execution Rule: Confirm with 4h candle close

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⚠️ Final Warning

> 📉 RSI 17.17 + StochRSI 0.00 = most extreme oversold in ETH history

🧨 Capitulation risk remains, but high probability of historic rebound

🔍 Monitor gas fees + BTC ETF flows

⚡ Expect 15%+ volatility – trade with caution

💸 Only use risk capital – preserve portfolio health

Take Trade From here 👉 $ETH

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