Bitcon

Short-Term Effects
Market Volatility: Tariff announcements, like those in early 2025 under the Trump administration (e.g., 25% on Canada/Mexico, 10% on China), often trigger immediate sell-offs in crypto markets due to heightened economic uncertainty. For instance, Bitcoin dropped from $88,000 to $82,000 after the April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs were announced, and the total crypto market cap lost $300 billion overnight in February 2025.
Risk Asset Perception: Cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, are often treated as high-risk assets, similar to tech stocks. When tariffs increase fears of inflation or recession, investors tend to shift toward safer assets like gold or bonds, leading to crypto price declines. Bitcoin fell 5.4% on April 3, 2025, as markets digested new tariff policies.
Correlation with Traditional Markets: Crypto’s increasing integration with traditional finance means it often moves in sync with equities. During tariff-induced market turbulence, such as the 2018–2019 US-China trade war, Bitcoin and stocks both saw sharp declines.
Mining Costs: Tariffs on tech imports, particularly from China (e.g., 10% in 2025), raise costs for mining hardware like ASICs, impacting profitability for US Bitcoin miners reliant on Chinese suppliers like Bitmain. This led to an 8%+ drop in mining company stocks like MARA and Riot Platforms in February 2025.
Long-Term Effects
Inflation Hedge Potential: Tariffs can fuel inflation by raising import costs, potentially eroding trust in fiat currencies. In such scenarios, Bitcoin may gain traction as a "digital gold" hedge, especially if central banks fail to curb inflation. Countries like Argentina and Turkey saw crypto adoption surge during currency devaluation, a trend that could repeat if tariffs destabilize economies.
De-Dollarization Trends: Tariffs may weaken the US dollar’s global dominance by straining trade relations, encouraging alternatives like Bitcoin or stablecoins for cross-border payments. Analysts suggest this could boost Bitcoin’s long-term value as a global monetary asset, despite short-term dips.
Regulatory Shifts: Tariff-induced economic instability might prompt stricter crypto regulations as governments seek revenue, potentially introducing digital asset tariffs or tracking mechanisms like the US’s 1099-DA tax form. This could increase transaction costs but also legitimize crypto’s role in finance.
Adoption in Affected Economies: In countries hit by US tariffs, like Mexico or China, crypto adoption could rise as citizens seek to preserve wealth amid currency weakening or trade disruptions. Stablecoins like USDT and USDC are already used in cross-border commerce in regions like Latin America.
Key Considerations
Economic Context Matters: The crypto market’s reaction depends on broader factors like Federal Reserve interest rate policies, geopolitical tensions, and investor sentiment. For example, tariff-driven inflation might deter rate cuts, pressuring crypto prices further.
Policy Uncertainty: Unclear or rapidly changing tariff policies amplify volatility. A 90-day tariff pause in April 2025 led to a crypto price rebound, with Bitcoin climbing from $74,500 to $88,600.
Bitcoin’s Resilience: While Bitcoin often weathers tariff shocks better than altcoins (e.g., Ethereum or meme coins dropped more in February 2025), it’s not immune to macroeconomic pressures and remains volatile.
Conclusion
Tariffs indirectly impact crypto through economic uncertainty, inflation, and investor sentiment. Short-term price drops are common as markets react to risk aversion, but long-term prospects could improve if tariffs drive inflation or de-dollarization, boosting Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge. Investors should monitor macroeconomic indicators like inflation rates, dollar strength, and mining costs, while staying cautious of crypto’s correlation with traditional markets.

What is bitcoin? # Part_ One (1)
$BTC

On September 15; In 2007, the famous Investment Bank Leman Brothers announced the biggest loss in US history. Leman Brothers, founded in 1850; The failure was followed by an over-the-counter lending. The company was in serious danger of borrowing interest, including loans that have not been able to repay the total price. When homeowners stop repaying their loans; The company was unable to repay the debt and could not recover. Suddenly, the banks lost their faith in Leman Brothers and their faith. During this time, it was difficult for various businesses to repay their loans. Companies in many industries did not seem to be able to continue their work without any money to store products, buy new equipment, or pay workers' salaries. They were bound to fall into the abyss. The US Treasury and the Federal Reserve have taken immediate action to keep the financial system in full swing by lending banks to prevent economic downturn. September 23; 2001 The U.S. Council of Nations has been able to rescue many banks in trouble in the 2001 Economic Stabilization Regulation. The government has spent hundreds of billions of dollars on financial sector.

it continues ...

In a dramatic escalation, Donald Trump has shortened his self-imposed deadline to end the Russia–Ukraine conflict — from 50 days to just 10–12. His message is crystal clear: if peace isn't achieved, the world could face “unthinkable consequences.”

But the geopolitical tremors don’t end there. Trump also warned Iran of “direct consequences” if tensions in the Middle East cross certain thresholds.

🧭 Why This Matters for Crypto and Global Markets

1. Geopolitics Are Back — and Bitcoin Feels It

When global tensions rise, markets recoil.

Traditionally, money floods into safe havens like gold. But in today's financial world, Bitcoin is now a contender in that conversation — both as a speculative asset and a hedge.

2. Wartime Bitcoin Behavior: Volatility, Then Strength?

Expect short-term turbulence: risk-off sentiment can trigger a temporary sell-off.

In previous crises, Bitcoin dipped initially, then rebounded as investors sought alternatives to fiat and long-term inflationary risks.

3. Bitcoin’s Near-Term Outlook

🔺 Short-Term:

High volatility

Whales may reduce positions

Fear could dominate technicals

🔻 Long-Term:

If global confidence in traditional currencies and institutions falters, Bitcoin’s core value proposition may shine — decentralized, borderless, and supply-capped.

📅 Critical Window: August 1–10

With Trump’s new deadline looming, the first 10 days of August could be pivotal. A diplomatic breakthrough could stabilize markets — but if tensions escalate, expect crypto, equities, and commoditiesviolently.

💬 Final Thoughts

Trump's aggressive foreign policy shift could ripple across global finance — and Bitcoin may be at the center of the storm.

Whether it proves to be a safe haven or gets dragged into volatility depends on how diplomacy, markets, and sentiment evolve in the coming days.

📉 Want a custom $BTC

BTC chart or macro forecast based on these developments? Let me know.

#Bitcon #Geopolitics #Trump #RussiaUkraine

Have you heard of Daniel Fraga? If not, prepare to learn about the story of one of the most enigmatic and controversial figures of the Brazilian internet.

Fraga was one of the first radical libertarians to raise his voice against the state in Brazil. At a time when few knew what Bitcoin was, he was already advocating for decentralization, individual freedom, and the end of government control over people's lives.
But what really shocked the system was his unrestrained rebellion.

🔴 Disobeyed court orders.