🚨 Will $BTC Crash or Rally? Here’s What You Need to Know Before Trading
The Federal Open Market Committee (#FOMC) concluded its July 30, 2025 meeting with no change in interest rates, holding steady at 4.25%–4.5% for the fifth consecutive time. Despite pressure from President Donald Trump urging rate cuts, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized a cautious stance amid rising tariff-related uncertainties and persistent inflation.
While no firm decision was announced for September, Powell left the door open for possible action later in 2025—leaving markets speculating on the potential impact for Bitcoin ($BTC) and other risk assets.
📊 BTC Daily Chart Overview
Bitcoin has been consolidating in a tight range between 116,000 and 120,000 for the past 13 days. Buyers and sellers are in a deadlock, with strong support near 115,800 holding firm.
⚠️ A potential double top is developing near 120,000—a sign of possible resistance. If BTC fails to break above this level, we may see a short-term pullback toward lower supports.
📈 BTC Weekly Chart Outlook
The bigger picture remains bullish, but the current weekly candle shows signs of selling pressure. Key support at 110,000 remains critical—if that level breaks, a deeper correction could follow. As long as BTC trades above this line, the broader uptrend remains valid.
🔍 Fundamentals at a Glance
🏛️ Genius Act passed: Boosts investor confidence with clearer U.S. crypto regulations.
💼 Institutional buying: Trump Media and traditional banks like JPMorgan entering crypto.
📈 Over $50B in ETF inflows: Accelerates long-term bullish momentum.
📰 FOMC Dissent: Two Fed members pushed for a rate cut—first dual dissent since 1993, indicating possible policy shifts in coming months.
🌍 U.S.–Europe trade deal + rate cut speculation = more optimism for Bitcoin.
While inflation remains at 2.7% (CPI, June 2025), Powell warned that Trump’s tariffs may raise short-term prices, though long-term effects are unclear. The Fed remains focused on achieving its 2% inflation target and full employment mandate.
🧭 What to Watch Next
A break below 115,800 could trigger short-term downside.
A drop under 110,000 may lead to a deeper correction.
Holding above support + positive macro sentiment could push BTC above 120,000, reigniting the rally.
🔮 Final Takeaway
The macro trend is still bullish, but the FOMC’s indecision adds short-term uncertainty. If rate cut expectations increase and BTC maintains support levels, a breakout could follow. But if supports break, prepare for a correction.
📆 Watch the September FOMC meeting and upcoming U.S. economic data for the next major move.
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