BTC何时破11万？

Lu Yao's Evening Analysis on June 25

Currently, the four-hour chart has had 9 consecutive bullish candles, and there's not much room for further increases. The upper side is showing some weakness, especially after 9 consecutive bullish candles.

Just now, Trump spoke again. Is this major bearish news a 'smoke screen' he's thrown out? Our strategy is to defend small positions while aiming for larger opportunities.

Bitcoin: Short near 108200, target 106000, if broken, look for 102000. Each should strictly maintain their defense at $BTC #BTC何时破11万？ .

Bitcoin's Support and Resistance Levels

The recent support level is $104,400 (S1) and $106,180 (50% Fibonacci level).

The recent resistance levels are at $107,546 (Fibonacci retracement 61.8%) and $107,900 (R2)

Above the main resistance levels: $109,500–$110,000

If the price breaks above ~107.5–108k, and closes strongly with high volume, it may start to rise to ~110k+.

If it drops below ~104.4–104k, the price may fall to about 102–103k. #BTC何时破11万？

$BTC

Don't casually talk about 110,000 big pancakes; 1080 is a direct short; short-term profits exceed 500 points

The wealth code for shorts has been given; short-term profits are freely taken at #BTC何时破11万？

Abandon the mindset that a significant rise must be followed by a significant fall; maintaining high-level fluctuations and adjustments in the short term is the rational way to view the market. In the short term, go long one lot at the current price, watching the 108000 line $BTC ! #BTC何时破11万？

The military is preparing to enter the venue! First look at 107000
#BTC何时破11万？

Today BTC will break 110,000! $BTC $ETH $SOL #BTC何时破11万？ #加密市场反弹

About Altcoin Season
Considering the global situation and economic conditions, and looking at the current trend of ETH, there are two predictions for the altcoin season:
1. It will start in July 2025 and continue until October 2025.
2. Or it will last from October 2025 until early 2026.
Altcoin season is certain to happen, and the delay has become a foregone conclusion. This past six months have seen continuous benefits for the industry, but the war has hindered progress. The current situation has lasted long enough; it just depends on when to reel it in!

The case is solved. The reason for the Bitcoin crash has been found. $BTC The U.S. bombed Iran's nuclear facilities, which were not nuclear weapons but nuclear power plants. Iran has been using nuclear power to mine Bitcoin. After the U.S. bombed three of Iran's nuclear facilities, the total Bitcoin network hash rate dropped from 1000 EH/s to 700 EH/s. The overall Bitcoin network hash rate decreased, while the unit block output remained unchanged, leading to a reduction in mining costs and consequently a decline in Bitcoin prices. $BTC

Talk about the current market outlook:

I believe Bitcoin is very likely to stay above 100,000, because if it really were to break down, it would have done so earlier. It wouldn't be the case that every time it approaches the 100,000 mark, it quickly rebounds. The conflict between Israel and Iran has come to a pause, but the crypto market has gradually diluted its negative impact. As long as there are no major negative developments ahead, the price is likely to fluctuate in the 100,000 - 110,000 range.

(If a major negative event occurs and it breaks below 100,000, there’s not much to be done)

Although Bitcoin has been above the 100,000 mark for over a month, it is very difficult to reach a new high recently because there are no actual positive factors to push the price to a new peak.

In terms of operations, I still recommend a few leading sectors: pepe, aave, sui, uni. Although the war factors have caused these leaders to drop significantly, they recover quite quickly. As long as BTC remains strong, they are worth watching, even though they are indeed not as stable as BTC and do not have institutional support. However, the facts also prove that they will not go to zero and will always rebound.

Regarding the significant market fluctuations, what everyone refers to as a bull market, I think there are signs of a local market rather than a full bloom. The earliest would be in September, because the market generally believes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September. This means that the market is likely to start in late August, so the market's decline during this period is actually a setup in preparation for the interest rate cut in September.

Ethereum Market Analysis
Ethereum has rebounded for 2 days, with the price approaching 2450. The one-hour Bollinger Bands have closed the upward channel, and the MA moving averages have completed their bullish momentum. If there is no support at the golden pocket, pay attention to the 2350 level. Daily pressure is focused on the 2500 level. The four-hour MACD golden cross continues to decrease in volume, and after the KDJ leaves the overbought zone, it will provide opportunities for bearish volume. Overall, Ethereum can be positioned for short trades at pressure points.
Trading Suggestions: Short in batches at 2490-2520
Target: Break below 2390-2350 to reach 2290
Risk Control: 2540

Wednesday Morning Thoughts for 6-25

From the four-hour chart, the price has been hovering near the upper Bollinger Band. The continuous bullish candlestick pattern shows that each bullish candle is accompanied by a long upper shadow, reflecting strong selling pressure above. After a significant rise in the previous period, a key resistance level has accumulated a large number of profit-taking positions, leading to a sharp increase in selling pressure, and the bullish momentum has noticeably slowed down. For morning operations, we will continue to maintain a short-term outlook for space consolidation, primarily focusing on low buys.

For Bitcoin trading, it is recommended to go long near 105300-104500, with a target towards the 107000-107500 area, with a stop loss set at a 600-point range. As for operations at 2410-2380, it is recommended to go long, aiming for the 2500-2550 area, with the stop loss according to personal position size; if it doesn’t break, then reverse and go short.

From the 4-hour trend, Bitcoin is now rising to around 106500, where the pressure is particularly high! It previously rebounded quickly to a high position, but if it can't break through this barrier, the market could turn downward at any time.
The current indicators are all 'alarmingly' signaling: the short-term moving averages have started to flatten, and the price has risen too sharply, becoming 'disconnected' from the indicators, which is a typical case of an overbought market. Although the MACD is still strengthening, the fast and slow lines have not truly formed an upward trend. Moreover, Bitcoin has tried several times but has not broken through the upper Bollinger Band resistance at 106800, indicating that this barrier is indeed very difficult to overcome.
Ethereum is similar, with significant pressure at the 2450 position. Today, it is advised to short when the price is high:
Short Bitcoin around 106500, targeting 105200 - 104300
Short Ethereum around 2450, targeting 2410 - 2370
Remember, as long as the upper resistance level is not broken, do not easily catch the falling knife!

$UNI I You must keep a close eye on this market trend! If not now, then when?

Core Viewpoint: The current price of $7.26 is the entry point for gold; I can confidently say that today we are very likely to touch the $8 mark! This rise is not just a small fluctuation; the technical indicators have clearly shown bullish signals, and market sentiment has completely turned bullish. Entering the market now is a money-making rhythm!

Specific Operation Suggestions:
First target: $7.5 (it will reach even with your eyes closed)
Second target: $7.8 (will break after a slight fluctuation)
Third target: $8 (main funds are frantically accumulating shares)
If we can stabilize above $8, get ready to count your money, brothers! I can guarantee that this market trend is sustainable; it is definitely not a short-term impulse!

Important Reminder:
Currently, the bulls completely dominate the market, and breaking through the previous high is just a matter of minutes. I have repeatedly confirmed that $7.26 is the main fund's cost area, and the space above $8 has already opened up. If you miss today, you will have to wait another six months!

To be honest, with this level of technical formation + capital signals, if I don't urge you to get on board, my conscience won't allow it! Quickly check your accounts, don’t wait until it rises to $8.5 to start regretting!

Don’t know how to operate in this market? Follow me, I’ll give you the strategy, execution is up to you!
#币安HODLer空投SAHARA #币安Alpha上新

Let's interpret Old Bao's speech today. In one sentence: If it weren't for Old Deng's tariffs, the Federal Reserve would have lowered rates long ago. The reason they are not lowering rates now is because of too much uncertainty. Cautious in July, open in September. In plain terms, I want to lower rates, but someone has to take the blame.

And what about the market? Everyone is playing dead. The situation with gold is even more absurd; gas canisters are flying up, yet prices aren't rising. 3500 directly acts as a ceiling, indicating that funds don't believe this wave of risk at all. They are afraid no one will take the bait because the money has already run to the stock market and crypto circle.

Back to the market, the price trend could have shown a decrease in current price premium, and I thought there could be a decent correction. Instead, it directly ground up to the middle track, and just as the shorts were about to act, the market slipped away.

Currently, it's the futures market pushing prices up, not the spot market selling off. The divergence in futures is not a peak but a trap set by the market makers. How many times have you seen false breakouts and real liquidations in the past two months? This is targeting the short liquidity at 108k and 110k.

If the price touches the middle track and doesn’t break, the next probable stop is 108k for liquidation, followed by a fake correction to attract new shorts before pushing up to clear the 110 shorts. The only purpose of this play is to wipe out the shorts, after which real fluctuations and downtrends may occur.

You can take a look at the liquidation map; the shorts below 108k are already piled up, yet the bears are still fantasizing about holding. Making an entry into the liquidation zone this morning without explosion is the bears trying to save themselves, but how many times can they save themselves?

To conclude, the summary thought process is simple: do not short, cautiously go long or think about shorting, but wait for the price to drop to the middle track and break 105k before taking action, otherwise, it's just throwing fuel.

Right now, the market is in a rhythm of breaking and flying up. If you touch the top on the left side, you are just providing fuel for others. Do you remember how the bulls died last week? Buying at 103k all the way to liquidation, and just as they finished losing, the price rebounded.

Resistance reference levels:

Second resistance level: 107500

First resistance level: 106800

Support reference levels:

Second support level: 105900

First support level: 105400