adp小非农数据

US ADP employment numbers have dropped sharply! #ADP小非农数据

After the white rock fluctuations, the evening market volatility opens with news. Youmi enters short positions at high levels looking at 104500/2580. After the evening's second futures short position breaks 2600, there is a risk of a rebound in the market. Youmi withdraws short positions and collects honey at 21.
Quickly seizing what is in your hands is the most real. Many people understand this principle but always hope that the market will move according to their expectations, ultimately missing out on opportunities and suffering losses. Youmi helps partners avoid risks in advance to reach their goals.
#美国加征关税 #Strategy增持比特币 #ADP小非农数据

At 21:15 Beijing time tonight, the US ADP employment data for December will be released. It is expected that the number of new jobs will decline steadily, falling back to 140,000. In addition, the US initial jobless claims data for the week will be released in advance at 21:30 tonight. Last night's job vacancies and PMI data made traders no longer fully price in the Fed's interest rate cut before July. #ADP小非农数据

Tonight, ADP becomes the only "lifeline"! U.S. economic data has been missing for over 60 days, and the Federal Reserve has to gamble on policy in the "dark"?

Tonight at 21:15, the October ADP employment numbers will be released as scheduled — this might be the only macroeconomic data anchor the Federal Reserve can grasp in the next two months.

Previous value -32,000, expected 28,000, the fluctuations in this data will directly influence the market's speculation on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike pace. But more critically: the U.S. Department of Labor has made it clear that during the government shutdown, core data such as monthly non-farm payrolls, CPI, and PPI have all been missing for over 60 days.

This means the Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions on interest rate cuts or hikes will have to navigate in a "data vacuum" — tonight's ADP is not only a catalyst for short-term market movements but also a "blind box switch" for policy expectations.

Whether it's U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies, or foreign exchange, tonight's volatility must closely watch this set of numbers! Do you think ADP will exceed expectations, or continue to weaken? Let's talk in the comments~
#ADP小非农数据

My skin has worsened and my health has deteriorated, all because of the cryptocurrency market.

Really ● Holding the money to sell cabbage, but with the heart of selling drugs.

#ADP小非农数据
#ADP

This week's key focus on news!

On Wednesday night at 21:15, the U.S. October ADP employment figures (in ten thousand) will be released.
ADP data is known as the "little non-farm" and is an important leading indicator of the official non-farm employment data.

On Thursday night at 21:30, the U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending November 1 (in ten thousand) will be released.
This is a weekly data point that can reflect short-term changes in the labor market very promptly.

Pay attention to Mig, Mig will update the fastest analysis and the latest entry layout immediately after the news is released!!! #ADP小非农数据 #失业金

$SIGN The new fans have already started enjoying the benefits

On the last day of the month, the PCE ADP data is about to be released

Will the market rise or fall tonight?

Good news means Bitcoin breaks through key resistance

At that time, the trapped positions above can be released

Those currently in cash can keep an eye on

Will provide direction for the evening, continuously positioning
$SOL $ETH
#Strategy增持比特币 #ADP小非农数据 #PCE数据

Tonight's ADP employment data fell far short of expectations, indicating that the labor market is clearly cooling down. Weak employment reflects the pressures of an economic slowdown on one hand, and on the other hand, it may provide another reason for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in mid-September. In other words, this data does not directly benefit market sentiment, but it does increase the 'probability of rate cuts'. Once the rate cuts are implemented and liquidity is released, it may genuinely drive up risk assets.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#ADP小非农数据 #美联储降息预期

Hello everyone, this is Ah Yu's daily market forecast. Friends in need, please pay more attention!!! #ETH走势分析

First, let's review yesterday's market movement. Yesterday morning, Ah Yu reminded everyone to place a long position in the range of 4120–4140. Those who followed Ah Yu's operations have also made profits, right? After this wave of increase, the overall market has formed a volatile situation of a long-short game. Therefore, friends who actively contacted Ah Yu in the evening and at the top of the homepage successfully entered again with a long position at the bottom of the volatile range at 4280, targeting around 4350!!!

Last night, the ADP employment data was negative, which strengthened the Federal Reserve's desire for rate cuts. Last night was a volatile market. Currently, our overall thinking remains consistent with last night's view, adopting a low-long strategy #ADP小非农数据

$ETH
Today in the morning, reference around the position of 4270. If it stabilizes above this level on an hourly basis, we look towards around 4350. If it breaks through 4350, we will continue to look towards around 4400; if it breaks below 4270, the long position will weaken, and the pullback target looks towards around 4200.

Operation Suggestions
Long position near 4280, target around 4350, stop loss at 4250.

(If you are too confused and agree with Ah Yu's thoughts, follow the top of the homepage directly. I will guide you step by step in layout, and let's catch the next 10-fold opportunity together!)

【U.S. ADP Employment Numbers Significantly Below Expectations】
In May, the U.S. ADP private employment report showed an increase of only 37,000 jobs, far below the expected 114,000.

After the release of the non-farm data, Trump again urged Powell that "rates must be cut," noting that Europe has already cut rates nine times. The U.S. dollar index fell in response, and Bitcoin dropped below the key level of 105,000.

In the short term, the trend is clearly downward. Yumi's evening rebound is confirming the downward trend, and attention should be paid to changes in the opening of U.S. stocks and support strength. If the downward trend continues, watch the position at 103,000/2550, manage your positions, and operate cautiously
#美国加征关税 #ADP小非农数据

6.4 Early Morning Bitcoin Market Analysis
After the US stock market opened, the three major indices rose together, and the hourly chart of BTC showed overall fluctuating movement.

The RSI indicator on the hourly chart is around 30-50, indicating that there is insufficient upward momentum in the short term. Short-term operations should continue to focus on evening rebound strategies, as there has been a recent breakthrough of previous highs, maintaining a bullish outlook in the medium to long term. The price may continue to fluctuate in the short term.

The trading volume on the 1-hour candlestick chart is frequently fluctuating, with no obvious trend of shrinkage or expansion, reflecting intense competition between bulls and bears, leading to complex market sentiment.
Although there are occasional spikes in volume and trading appears active, it is difficult to sustain, complicating trend judgments. Trading volume is related to price, but a single indicator is insufficient to predict price; it needs to be combined with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis for comprehensive assessment.

In the absence of significant positive news or data support, Yomi firmly looks at a short position at 104000/2550 in the early morning.

#美国加征关税 #ADP小非农数据

#ADP小非农数据
Is excessive focus on ADP data a bad thing?

Regarding the ADP release, Ah Yu believes it is highly likely to end with a 'Heaven and Earth Needle' tonight!!!

Due to the lack of official data, private sector survey data may be overstated, potentially leading to abnormal volatility.

UBS Chief Economist Paul Donovan pointed out that while private survey data can be somewhat helpful in times of information vacuum, it should not be given too much weight. The credibility of these data is overstated due to the lack of official economic data, and the decline in survey response rates and political polarization have reduced the reliability of evidence based on surveys.

This Wednesday’s ADP private employment report may attract unusually high attention, especially after Federal Reserve Chair Powell's hawkish remarks last week. In the data vacuum, Powell stated at last week's press conference that a rate cut in December is not a done deal, and caution is needed in the 'fog'.

#ADP小非农数据 I am following you

#ADP小非农数据
There are 15 minutes left, we can set up the high position, the troops gather and go down👿👿👿

"Non-Farm Payroll" numbers exceed expectations ⚠️⚠️⚠️
In July, the US ADP employment increased by 104,000, the largest increase since March, with market expectations of an increase of 75,000. The June ADP new employment number was revised from -33,000 to -23,000.
​#美联储利率决议 #ADP小非农数据

October 1st BTC Detailed Breakdown
Golden September, Silver October! Happy National Day to everyone! October is when the big cake is at its strongest!
The afternoon surge was due to the 'Little Non-Farm' report showing employment numbers lower than expected, with a decrease of 32,000 jobs in September's ADP, marking the largest drop since March 2023, which was below the market expectation of 50,000. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell more than 3 basis points after the ADP data was released, to 4.117%. After the ADP report was released, traders increased their bets on two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year!
Bitcoin has successfully stabilized at a key position on the daily level, with the upward momentum faster than expected. The current price has broken through $114,000, marking the confirmation of the end of the previous phase of adjustment.
Cycle Breakdown
Weekly Level:
The overall trend structure remains robust, requiring continuous attention to fundamental developments. It is expected to continue probing upwards during the day, and after the current adjustment phase ends, a new upward cycle is expected to begin.
Daily Level:
Both bulls and bears are engaged in fierce competition, with prices stabilizing and rebounding after hitting a low of 112600, ultimately closing above the 114000 mark, indicating that there is certain buying support in this area. Technical indicators show positive changes: the daily MACD bearish momentum continues to shrink, suggesting that the downward pressure is gradually weakening, and there is still some rebound space above.
4-Hour Level:
The four-hour MACD bullish momentum has also contracted, indicating a lack of short-term upward momentum. The market is currently in a consolidation phase before a directional choice, and it is recommended to primarily focus on short positions after a rebound at high levels during the day.
Key Positions
Upper Pressure: 116100– 116700
Lower Support: 112500 – 111500
#加密市场回调 #BTC走势分析 #ADP小非农数据

From $600 to $50,000, 39 days of trading insights: I ultimately blacklisted the person I brought out!

She originally had only $600 left in her account, equivalent to less than 4,500 RMB. Previously, she had continuous losses and almost lost all confidence. The last time she contacted me, she said: If I lose again, I will quit completely.

I didn't let her go all in, but instead repeatedly emphasized: first try with 10%. She complained it was slow, saying that this little capital wouldn't earn much even if it doubled. I told her: What we are doing is not gambling; it’s about standing up again through discipline.

In the first three days, the return rate was 36%. I didn't let her reinvest; instead, I told her to withdraw the profits first.
We agreed: only use the principal for rolling, and if we made money, we would take the profit without attachment.
For more than a month, we would review and analyze trades together almost every day, setting stop-loss and take-profit in advance for each trade.
Sometimes when she was impatient and acted on her own, I would stay up late with her to summarize, ensuring she understood where she went wrong.

The account gradually grew step by step:
600 → 1500 → 4100 → 9700
Until it broke through $50,000, almost 360,000 RMB.
But on the 31st day, she suddenly asked me: "Do you think I can now help others make money?"

I didn’t answer, but I already sensed she was getting carried away.
Sure enough, on the 36th day, without telling me in advance, she went all in on a meme coin and lost 43% overnight. I asked her why, and she said: "Nothing much, just wanted to try it myself."

Three days later, I deleted all her contact information.
Not because she lost money, but because she returned to her original self: impulsive, greedy, ignoring discipline, and gambling on luck.

This incident made me more certain: the ones who can truly survive in this market rely not on a miracle operation or luck, but on continuous, calm, and disciplined accumulation.
Even if the profits are meager, as long as you control the risks, time will reward you.

Many people always complain that the principal is too small and that they don't earn fast enough, but what truly limits you is never the scale of funds, but whether you can control yourself.
Others can give you strategies, help you review trades, and accompany you in adjusting your mindset, but the final step, self-discipline, can only be completed by yourself.

Tap the profile picture and follow Jin Te Zhu to not miss any updates on first-hand information! Let's feast together! #非农就业数据 #ADP小非农数据

$BTC $ETH
#ADP小非农数据
Interpretation of tonight's ADP data release regarding the small non-farm payroll, how will the market develop 🔥🔥🔥🔥


• If the published value > expected (28,000): Indicates a recovery in the job market, the Federal Reserve may slow down the pace of interest rate cuts, and market liquidity expectations will tighten
• If the published value < expected (or even negative again): Reinforces market expectations of economic weakness and further interest rate cuts

$ETH
The concubine has also experienced a significant rebound after last night's needle insertion, around two hundred and fifty points of fluctuation, but Ah Yu still hasn't chosen to take a position. The current market is really too risky for bottom fishing before any positive news comes out, so everyone should be cautious ⚠️⚠️⚠️

Ah Yu also called for friends to place an order around 3300 in the morning, aiming for a take profit at 3200, which was successfully reached. This is about capturing effective waves in such a market, successfully securing a wave space of 100 points 🔥🔥🔥

Currently, the market has been fluctuating repeatedly between 3350 and 3280. Tonight's ADP non-farm payroll will change this situation, but we still cannot predict. What everyone needs to pay attention to is that the U.S. government shutdown has made it impossible for the non-farm payroll to be released as scheduled. Tonight's ADP 'small non-farm' data will once again become a scarce reference indicator, but do not assign it too much weight. Please continue to follow Ah Yu's real-time analysis tonight!!!
#ADP小非农数据

The ADP 'little non-farm' data for October in the United States exceeded expectations! ADP employment surged by 42,000, significantly surpassing the market expectation of 25,000 and marking the largest increase in over a year. This data is well above the employment balance threshold set by the Federal Reserve, highlighting the strong resilience of the U.S. labor market, which directly led to a significant cooling of market expectations for a Fed rate cut—the possibility of a rate cut in December is increasingly unlikely. As a result, the U.S. dollar strengthened, while U.S. stocks faced some pressure.
#ADP小非农数据