5月市场关键事件

As luck would have it, we took it again!
Although the short-term space was not ideal this time,
it was about 20 points away from the brakes, and finally came back to life!
I would like to ask you if this brake was moved very cleverly!
Although we did not take too much in the short term,
we took it very comfortably in the band,
the rhythm was very good, without the back and forth wash last week,
it was basically carried out around the repair,
if this rhythm is still not good,
let's go hand in hand! #BTC走势分析 #TRB暴涨 #美联储何时降息？ #5月市场关键事件 #比特币现货ETF持续淨流出 $BTC $ETH

Thoughts in the early morning

Considering that there will be news at midnight, we will first look at the hourly level. After overlapping the lower track, the market has now returned to the middle and lower tracks. The KDJ three-string crossover is currently in a healthy state. The distance between DIF and DEA is getting closer. We will first look at the rebound at this position, and we will do it at midnight.

Big cake: 56700-57200, look at 58500
Auntie: 2875-2895, look at 2980#5月市场关键事件 #BTC下跌分析 #以太坊ETF批准预期 #

Thursday night Bitcoin insights:

It is still a bit difficult for Bitcoin to reverse directly. It is not enough for Bitcoin to reverse directly again. I personally think that the strong rebound is in place. For those who have not entered the market, Bitcoin is currently priced at around 58,600. We are still holding the intraday 58,400 short position. Don't panic, don't panic at all!

From the 4-hour chart, the moving average is still dead cross downward, and the 4-hour double top structure still exists. The moving average resistance is still under pressure, and there is still resistance above. The pull-up is just accumulating power, and the rebound is only a short-term thing, not long-term. Just go short!

Rebound does not mean reversal. Don't be confused by the superficial strength. Whether Bitcoin really turns to long or not is still uncertain. It is not uncommon for news market to be accompanied by a high and fall, so continue to go short! #美联储何时降息？ #5月市场关键事件 #比特币现货ETF持续淨流出 #BTC下跌分析 #4月非农数据即将公布 $BTC $ETH $BNB

#凌鸣思考In the floating profit, the concubine can stop profit and exit, and continue to hold the big cake! #5月市场关键事件 #BTC下跌分析 #BTC下跌分析

Beware of the risk of stablecoins falling. Grayscale finally reversed and wiped out the air force?

In less than 4 months after the ETF was passed, Grayscale basically outflowed BTC every day except for weekends. In the past 110 days or so, Grayscale's holdings have shrunk from more than 600,000 to about 291,200 today.

Finally, things have reversed.

Grayscale began to flow in?

Yesterday's data showed that Grayscale GBTC had a net inflow of funds for the first time, with an amount of US$63 million.

Although not much. But at least it is a turning point.

In addition, BlackRock, Fidelity, and Hong Kong ETFs have all had a large inflow in the past two days.

According to the latest research report from JPMorgan Chase, retail investors have played a greater role in the recent sell-off.

Another data shows that ordinary investors withdrew US$600 million in a week.

There are also data that in the past 6 months, about 74% of Bitcoin has not been transferred.

From every little detail, who is selling? Who is buying?

The simplest and most primitive routine is to make retail investors surrender their chips and smash the market through a series of negative news and true and false news media. This is a trick that the dog dealers play to perfection.
So I say that before entering this circle, everyone should be prepared, prepare positions, be prepared to embrace the plunge, and be prepared to adjust their mentality.............
This continuous rebound may catch many contract short-order users off guard, and these people are obviously not prepared because they believe in the market sentiment and have formed inertial thinking.

Although there will definitely be fluctuations in the subsequent market, there is also a great possibility that it will go one-sided for a period of time. This should be noted.

Let's talk about a piece of news I saw today.

On May 3, the offshore RMB rose above 7.19 against the US dollar, reaching the strongest level since March. The RMB has risen against the US dollar for three consecutive days.

One of the reasons for this situation is that after the Fed meeting, the macro market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut have increased.

In fact, even if there was no meeting this time, the US dollar would fall, especially against the RMB.
Jiaoliuqun+V: 1816425885 The rise of the US dollar originated from the Fed's interest rate hike. After the exchange rate broke 7, the interest rate hike gradually ended, and it was natural to reach the peak.

If the interest rate is cut, the US dollar is likely to fall. If the US dollar exchange rate starts to fall, what chain reactions will there be?

Stablecoins will also fall. Large funds need to consider risks, but small funds don't care.

The decline of the US dollar (increased over-the-counter liquidity) and the decline of stablecoins (increased on-site liquidity) will cause some funds to hedge risks, or flee the US dollar market, or buy BTC, etc., which may inject a lot of liquidity into the market.

The interest rate cut will cause the US dollar to fall, and the release of water will also increase liquidity in the market.

Therefore, I personally think that the expected speculation before the interest rate cut has begun to warm up, and the spot can be flat, and the contract leverage should be wary of the unilateral rise.

On April 30, the V-shaped trend of the market was predicted in advance, and it has been achieved in the short term. #BTC走势分析 #5月市场关键事件 #BTC

Many failures are not due to limited talent, but due to not persisting to the end. Since the market has gone out of the trend, it is undoubtedly necessary to follow the trend. The main theme of the day is to make a kong. I arranged two duos and two kongs. Da Bing and Yi Tai both made kongs after giving Yi Dan Shao Sun. In the end, they won a total of 3737+152 points. As the saying goes, in the competition, the process is not so important. Whoever laughs last is the boss. $BTC #5月市场关键事件 #BTC下跌分析 #Megadrop $ETH $BNB

In view of the news that will be given at midnight, we will first look at the hourly level. After overlapping the lower track, the market has now returned to the middle and lower tracks. The KDJ three-string crossover is currently in a healthy state. The distance between DIF and DEA is getting closer. At this position, we will first look at the rebound, and we will first come to a hand at midnight.

Big cake: 56400-56900, looking at 58000

Aunt: 2865-2880, looking at 2960

#美联储何时降息？ #5月市场关键事件 #比特币现货ETF持续淨流出 #Megadrop
Don’t worry, take a good rest in the volatile garbage market, take a week off and fight again

In spot trading, should you aim at one coin and take all or most of your positions (method 1), or should you evenly distribute your positions among several coins (method 2)? Which is better?

Most people will certainly think that evenly distributing positions is equivalent to diversifying risks, and method 2 is better than method 1.

In fact, the technical risk coefficients of these two operations are the same. How to understand?

1. If method 1 loses money, it is a 100% loss.

However, the profit coefficient cannot be guaranteed to be 100%. No matter how well you aim, there will be Waterloo. However, it is certain that the profit coefficient is larger and can be regarded as 80%.

2. If method 2 is profitable, if the profit coefficient is 60%, then the loss is 40%.

The technical risk coefficient is the absolute value of the profit coefficient minus the loss coefficient. After calculation, the technical risk coefficients of method 1 and method 2 are both 20%, and the answer is the same.

So what are the essential differences between methods 1 and 2?

Apart from time cost and technical aspects, mentality is the only key point that dominates the operation.

Evenly distributing positions always gives people a sense of leaving a way out, and if the east is not bright, the west will be bright. However, using most or all of the positions to go all in on one position requires a strong heart.

And mentality is often the key to controlling profits and losses.

Those with unstable and calm mentality are afraid to stop loss when the price drops a little, so the original 80% profit opportunity will instantly turn into a 100% loss. This type of retail investor is more suitable for evenly distributing positions.
And those with a stable mentality can always smile at the wind and clouds no matter how the positions are distributed.

If you feel helpless, confused, and want to learn more about the relevant knowledge and first-hand cutting-edge information of the currency circle, click on the avatar introduction to find me. Welcome to like, collect, forward, comment, and leave a message
#美联储何时降息？ #5月市场关键事件 #比特币现货ETF持续淨流出 #Megadrop #BTC下跌分析

I have learned a few lessons from the recent losses in buying Tugou:

1. Don’t go all-in: If you have 10,000U, only buy 500U, no matter how active the community is or how strong the endorsement is!

2. Buy on average: Only buy 500U for each dog. You can’t buy a few thousand just because you made money in the previous plate!

3. Don’t cut losses: From the moment you buy, treat the money as zero. No matter how it falls, never cut losses!

4. Don’t buy at the bottom: Buy 500U and it’s 500U. No matter how it falls, never buy at the bottom!

5. Don’t chase high: After buying, no matter how hot it is or how the price rises, don’t add to your position!

6. Don’t be greedy: No matter how optimistic you are, no matter how others brainwash you, sell half of your chips every time it doubles!

If I do the above 6 points, I haven’t lost money in buying Tugou since last year, and I can still make a lot. I bought several local dogs that had their prices increased by dozens or hundreds of times, but I made money on this dog, and I invested heavily in the next dog, and ended up losing a lot of money.

If you feel helpless and confused in trading at the moment, and want to know more about the relevant knowledge and first-hand cutting-edge information of the currency circle, click on the avatar introduction to find me. Welcome to like, collect, forward, comment, and leave a message

#美联储何时降息？ #5月市场关键事件 #比特币现货ETF持续淨流出 #Megadrop #BTC下跌分析 $BTC

The currency circle must remember these points:

1. Don't change coins frequently, the feng shui will turn, and sooner or later it will be your turn!

2. When all kinds of people discuss a certain currency, it is best not to touch it, which means that the currency is about to reach the top! In the bull market, it is likely to rise back, and 90% of the coins in the bear market may never rise back in a lifetime!

3. Don't believe anyone who says that a certain coin is a hundred times or a thousand times coin. Such people are either fools or money scammers! You ask him how many times he can get this hundred times or thousand times coin, unless this coin really exists in your hands, but the premise is that you must forget it, but can you do it? It is estimated that it will run away if it rises 20% a day.

4. When others are fomo, you must stay sober and consider the profit and loss ratio yourself. If the risk is greater than the benefit, you must not start, and it is possible to overtake by keeping the principal!

5. Don't touch contracts in a bull market. Pins are inserted back and forth, which will make your mentality collapse. There are also those so-called winning rate indicators, which are just deliberately made by the dealer for you to see. Once the dealer stops playing, you are not far from the liquidation!

6. Firmly believe that the coins you buy will rise in the bull market as long as they survive the bear market. What is a bull market? Ten thousand coins will fly together!

7. If the funds exceed 100,000, don't touch the contract. Steadily hoard the mainstream coins and leading coins. Ten times is no problem! If the funds are less than 100,000, do cottage. The cottage bull market and the end of the bull market will rise by one or two times a day!

8. Go with the trend and have firm faith. The currency market is like this. Your coin may fall by 50% in one or two months, but it only takes one day to make it back. The currency market is falling and fluctuating 90% of the time, and it is only rising 10% of the time!

9. Making money in a bull market is not called making money. Only when you can successfully escape the top at the end of the bull market, it will be yours in the end. Once the bull market ends, your assets may shrink by half in one day. In a bear market, your assets may shrink by 90% or even zero in one year. This is the most terrifying! Why only 10% of people make money in the end of the bull market is caused by greed, and they are still fantasizing about the bull market going on!

If you feel helpless and confused in trading at the moment, and want to learn more about the relevant knowledge of the currency circle and first-hand cutting-edge information, click on the avatar introduction to find me. Welcome to like, collect, forward, comment, and leave a message

#美联储何时降息？ #5月市场关键事件 #比特币现货ETF持续淨流出 #Megadrop #BTC下跌分析

The season of altcoin explosion is coming

The decline of Bitcoin has been decoupled from other altcoins
Everything will turn to its opposite, and the altcoin has bottomed out after falling for more than a month. It is time to rebound

Market makers also need to make money
In 𝟓, some market makers will choose to start pulling the market after the mood stabilizes. Wumen cuts into 1816425885.

But the altcoin will not rise generally. In terms of sector selection, meme is definitely the first choice

The second is some altcoin sectors with strong backgrounds and better operations: 𝙨𝙤𝙡chain 𝙖𝙞sector

When everyone panics, it is the time for us to enter the market. Any adjustment of more than 20% in the bull market is an opportunity to give money. Looking back at the position of the altcoin on April 14, there is basically no black swan. The bottom is basically reached. As long as Bitcoin stabilizes at present, the possibility of a 20-30 point rebound of the altcoin is very high #灰度GBTC资金流出趋势结束了吗？ #BTC走势分析 #5月市场关键事件

After a new round of decline, the market fluctuated within the consolidation and recovery range for the past two days. It hit 60,000 in the morning and failed to break through, and then slowly fell back. However, in the short term, although there is demand for a rebound, the trend is still There are signs of a decline.

Pay attention to the resistance above 60200-60500. The current currency price is exactly the central level of 59600 to 67000 in the previous period.

At this position, you can directly test the position first. I won’t explain anything else. If you don’t understand, you can read previous Silu analysis. In May, we will focus on the announcement of non-agricultural employment and the news of Ether ETF. #BTC走势分析 #5月市场关键事件

Share ideas

1. From October last year to March this year, Bitcoin has been advancing all the way. First, ETFs were speculated, and then production cuts were speculated. ETFs passed, Bitcoin reached a stage high, Bitcoin production cuts, and Bitcoin reached a stage high. Basically, good news is bad news. What will Bitcoin speculate next time it starts?

2. Bitcoin fell 20 points from its highest point, and the cottage basically started at 50 points, which is still strong. Some are more than 70 points. Why are people desperate? Because they have cottages in their hands, which is basically the cottage 519. Especially those who did not sell in the early stage of the rise and cut their losses when they fell are more uncomfortable.

3. The idea of ​​cottages: Which cottages will be the strongest when the market starts next time? The strong cottages in January this year are Ai and meme. This wave of market decline is compared with the waterfall on April 13. Bitcoin broke a new low, but these cottages did not break a new low. For example, op, Arkm, wif, etc. These will be good indicators. Check whether the cottages in your hands have fallen below the 4.13 position.

4. This round of bull market from last year to this year, the idea of ​​strong copycat speculation. In our previous bull market, Bitcoin pulled up and went sideways. The mainstream followed the rise, especially the Ethereum public chain, and then the copycat performance. This round is basically strong copycats such as Ai, meme, which basically rose more fiercely than Bitcoin. In the end, every time Ethereum pulled up, the second-layer Ethereum rebound market ended. And the strong copycats began to decline, which means the end of a period of market. It feels like the copycat is a weather vane.

5. Is the bull market still there? Many friends like to say "hurry up and have a waterfall so that I can get on the car" when the market rises. Once it falls, they panic, especially when there are all kinds of bad news outside. Then they dare not buy it when it falls, and ask if the bull is still there? Friends with this kind of thinking are normal. It is recommended that you don't do long-term investment. You must make some short-term profits when there is a market. If you can't help but want to do long-term investment, it is often when the market falls. You don't have to do long-term investment in the bull market, right? If the volatility is large, short-term investment can also make money.

6. Finally, ask yourself, is the bull still there? If the bull is not there, any rebound is an opportunity to run away. If the bull is there, it doesn’t matter if you are currently trapped, you will be released.

If you feel helpless and confused in trading at the moment, and want to know more about the relevant knowledge of the cryptocurrency circle and first-hand cutting-edge information, click on the avatar to find me.Welcome to like, collect, forward, comment and leave a message

#美联储何时降息？ #5月市场关键事件 #比特币现货ETF持续淨流出 #Megadrop #BTC下跌分析

Today is Friday, which is also a holiday. Hangqing's volatility is relatively small, basically maintaining above 59,000. There was a wave of upward breakthroughs at noon, and the high reached 59,976, which was only a few dozen points away from the 60,000 mark. But after this wave of pull-ups, Ethereum broke through our target position of 3030, and also won more than 70 points, and the big cake won more than 1,500 points. Recently, I have been reminding everyone to participate in low-multiples. As long as you keep up with Mingjie's rhythm, you can get meat more or less.
From the current trend, the market still needs to continue to rebound upward. It has been running slowly upward for two consecutive days. This slow rhythm is the bottom absorption, and then stretching, so just keep low-multiple participation. From the current hourly level, the K line basically stands above the 30 and 60 moving averages, and there is still a lot of room for bottom rebound. We can continue to participate at a low level in the afternoon.
#BTC走势分析 #5月市场关键事件 #比特币现货ETF持续淨流出 #以太坊ETF批准预期 #ETH $BTC $ETH
Bitcoin idea: more around 58800, target around 60000
Ether idea: more around 2950, ​​target around 3020

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If you are doing secondary market in this circle, there are two ideas, long-term holding and short-term speculation. Before buying, I think you should think clearly whether it is long-term holding or speculation, and the corresponding considerations are the holding time, maximum position and exit conditions.

The most important thing for long-term holding should be to select coins. It is estimated that it will be stronger than the big cake in a future time period and outperform more than 80% of the cottage. It is believed that the certainty of this coin is good. You can adopt a fixed investment strategy, etc. Even if you buy it at a high price, you are not very worried, because my idea is to spread the average price idea, give a maximum position or pause and exit conditions according to personal risk preference, and then leave it to time for the market to test your judgment.

The most important thing for short-term speculation should be exit, because the exit difficulty is higher. The exit of long-term holding targets is easier than that of speculative targets, because there is more financial support, and the certainty of speculative targets is poor. 🦶Sulphur qun娓:1742540051 is affected by many aspects of the market and changes quickly. Once a trend reversal occurs, the exit requirements for people are higher.

Of course, long-term holdings and speculative targets depend entirely on each person's market perception. Everyone has different views, but when buying a coin, you must be clear whether it is a long-term or short-term investment.

Several investment truths about the cryptocurrency circle
1. Only when the price is raised can it be shipped
2. High concentration of chips is a good thing, and parties with common interests have the motivation to pull the price
3. Technology is not the most important, what can drive the price up is consensus
4. Air is more likely to rise because there is no valuation logic and reference target
5. Staking is to lock floating chips
6. Most people's returns in the bull market are lower than the big cake
7. New coins can only be pulled high if there is no locked plate above
8. Most teams of old coins start new projects in the bull market instead of sticking to old projects. They have no intention to pull, and the locked chips above cannot pull
9. The investment in the cryptocurrency circle is full of "stories". No matter how good the narrative is in a cycle, it will be a mess, so there can be no faith
If you want to know more about the relevant knowledge of the cryptocurrency circle and first-hand cutting-edge information, click on the avatar to follow Tianmeng. Junyangli publishes market analysis every day and recommends high-quality potential currencies.
#灰度GBTC资金流出趋势结束了吗？ #5月市场关键事件 #Megadrop #以太坊ETF批准预期 #ETH

Yesterday, Bitcoin BTC suggested that we should enter the market near 60800 for long-term layout, but the result was not satisfactory. At the same time, the dog dealers continued to liquidate long orders without spitting out bones. We were forced to hedge against short positions, but in the end, the shorts won and many students also turned over their positions. So we should continue to arrange long-term positions.

The long positions below 57000 are 400 million, while the short positions above are 12 billion. Everyone should know which is more important. I suggest buying low points as follows:

The first position is to buy at the current price of 57500
The second position is to entrust the filling of the cang at 56813
The third position is to entrust the filling of the cang at 56017#5月市场关键事件 #BTC下跌分析 #Megadrop $BTC $ETH

After we sold the rebound we saw in the morning, we also went short in the morning. We went short near 60525. In the afternoon, the market fell below 56500 and we also went short near 56614. Bread got 👇3911 points of space, and Ethereum got 👇136 points of space. We need to make flexible arrangements according to the subtle changes in the market every day. Although the profit margin of each order is not as good as last week, the overall return is still considerable.

Bread has two consecutive big negative lines and the rebound momentum has gradually weakened. The daily level shows an obvious bearish engulfing pattern. The big negative line entity fully covers the positive line, and the moving average system also shows a downward divergence trend. The bullish forces are firmly suppressed by the bears. It is expected that the market will still maintain a high altitude in the afternoon.

Big cake suggests empty target around 57500-57800 55500

Yi Tai suggests empty target around 2880-2900 2800#5月市场关键事件 #香港加密货币ETF #Megadrop