风险回报比

Introducing the third theme of our in-depth discussion on risk management—#风险回报比
The risk-reward ratio is a key metric in trading, helping you assess the potential return on investment relative to the risk taken. Mastering and applying this ratio appropriately can help optimize trading strategies and enhance overall profitability.

👉 Your post may include:
· How do you calculate and apply the risk-reward ratio?
· What tools or indicators are most helpful in determining this ratio?
· Share examples of how the risk-reward ratio has influenced your trading results.
For example: “I stick to a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:3 in my trades and use Fibonacci retracement levels to set stop-losses and target prices. This strategy has helped me focus on high-quality trades and significantly improve profitability. #风险回报比 ”

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The 50x leverage giant whale is back, but this time it's a bit conservative with 20x...
The $47.62 million ETH long position seems impressive, but the liquidation price is only $1399. It might be better to rename it 'Charitable Gambling King,' as there aren't many big players left sending fees to exchanges these days.
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#加密市场回调 #风险回报比 #巨鲸动向 $ETH

#风险回报比
CZ is worth learning from, it's never too late
CZ: I think it's never too late to enter the market, but it depends on how you enter. The most important thing is to have a basic understanding of the project and not to fantasize about getting rich overnight. Those who are new to the market should still focus on the fundamentals; things that claim to make ten or a hundred times in one night can also lose money very quickly. Newcomers to the cryptocurrency scene should not invest too much money at first; starting with a small amount of funds will make the outcome easier to accept. Consider investing in batches or using DCA (dollar-cost averaging) with some mainstream cryptocurrencies, and avoid putting all your money in at once. Additionally, maintain a calm mindset; once you enter the market, you must accept its volatility and not be swayed by short-term fluctuations. The industry is still in its early stages and needs time to build; if you see long-term value, you can hold on. In the long run, the future development of the industry is not in question, but in the short term, the volatility will be very strong, so everyone must pay attention to the risks.

#风险回报比 My current general trading status is as follows:
First, I observe the overall trend. When I feel there is a possibility of a market fluctuation of over 30%, I patiently wait and enter at any point where a reversal might occur.
If the market behaves as expected, I hold on and look for suitable opportunities to increase my position (I want to reiterate that finding market reversal points involves an element of luck, whereas increasing positions is purely a technical skill. Knowing when to increase and by how much requires great caution; I would rather not increase if I'm unsure. This is because making a wrong move can easily affect my mindset.)
If the market does not move as expected, I will either stop-loss, hedge, or take profits to exit, and wait for the next opportunity. This approach has a downside; it often results in me exiting trades that could have made five or even ten points at break-even. Sometimes, I end up spending a month riding a roller coaster, continuously stopping losses.

Vice President of the European Commission Šefčovič stated that the EU will start imposing the first batch of tariffs on American imports from April 15 and the second batch from May 15. The EU is imposing tariffs on the U.S. in response to the Trump administration's decision to impose tariffs on steel, aluminum, and automobiles, as well as a 20% uniform tariff on other goods. Additionally, the EU will establish an import monitoring task force to oversee the potential transfer of goods due to U.S. tariffs. European Commission President von der Leyen said, "This is a significant turning point for the United States." "Nevertheless, we are always ready to negotiate with the United States."

#风险回报比 introduces the third theme of our in-depth discussion on risk management—#风险回报比
The risk-reward ratio is a key indicator in trading, helping you measure the potential return on investment relative to the risk taken. Mastering and applying this ratio appropriately can help optimize trading strategies and enhance overall profitability.
👉 Your post may include:
  · How do you calculate and apply the risk-reward ratio?
  · What tools or indicators are most helpful in determining this ratio?
  · Share examples of how the risk-reward ratio has impacted your trading results.
For example: "I adhere to a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:3 in my trades and use Fibonacci retracement levels to set stop-loss and target prices. This strategy has helped me focus on high-quality trades and significantly improved my results."

#风险回报比

This week (April 7 to April 11), the global market will face several key events, especially the minutes from the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting, U.S. inflation data, and speeches from several FOMC voting members, which may lead to significant volatility in Bitcoin (BTC, current price $78,393) and the Nasdaq index (Nasdaq, current price $17,397.70). Recent data shows that the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have dropped 5.97% and 5.82% respectively (as of market close on April 3), while Bitcoin has decreased by about 5.58% in the past 24 hours, reflecting the general pressure on risk assets. Investors need to closely monitor the further impact of this week's events on market sentiment.

An evening news item regarding the White House stating that the 90-day tariff suspension is fake news has caused a stir in the crypto market, leading to widespread lamentation.

Early morning Bitcoin trading advice

Short at the rebound near 78500-79000, targeting down to around 76000; if broken, look for around 74000.

#风险回报比

1. Initial Position Opening
Position Ratio: The initial position should not exceed 10% of the total capital.
- Leverage Selection: It is recommended to use 2-3 times leverage to avoid high leverage risks.
- Stop Loss Setting: Strictly set a stop loss of 2%-3%, ensuring that a single loss does not exceed 2% of the total capital.
2. Gradual Position Increase After Profit
- Position Increase Conditions: Price increases by 5%-10%, and the trend is not broken.
- Position Increase Ratio: Each position increase amount is 30%-50% of the current total profit.
- Dynamic Stop Loss: After each position increase, move the overall stop loss to the breakeven point.

Today, many people probably woke up to find their accounts liquidated, yet they still hesitate to set stop losses?

This morning, I fear many people's hearts sank halfway. Those who faced liquidation did, and those who lost money lost it. If you get the direction wrong and stubbornly hold on, unwilling to set small stop losses, and even less willing to set larger ones, then what happens? A big market move comes along and leaves you in tears.
#加密市场回调
You ask whether the K-line for the next minute will rise or fall, who can predict that? The only ones who can tell you are either the market makers or scammers. While we cannot control the market's rise and fall, we can manage our own positions properly, setting take profit and stop loss levels!
#风险回报比
This week has been a tough one, but if you can get through it, you will find that the path ahead is actually much easier. If the monthly line closes below 765, then the bull market may truly turn into a bear market. Everyone should be aware, so that when the time comes, you won't be caught off guard and will have no time to cry! 币安王牌KOL交流群，点击加入

Arbitrage #美国加征关税 #风险回报比 #BTC

#风险回报比 Currently, the altcoin market has completely collapsed. The highly anticipated crazy bull market in the first quarter has also completely fizzled out. The long cycle has been broken, and the cryptocurrency market, with no cyclical patterns, is worse than the major A-shares. There are too many air projects, and Bitcoin will eventually be harvested. In a cryptocurrency market without faith, it has completely turned into a hell for retail investors, a meat grinder. I hope everyone sees the situation clearly; if there's a rebound, run quickly. No matter how much you're stuck, take whatever you can. Taking such a huge risk to get in, it's not convenient for funds to flow in and out. Why make things difficult for yourself? It's sinful…

#风险回报比 1. Chip distribution analysis (daily level): In such an extreme market, we need to look at the daily level chip structure. Going down, 77300 is a minor support, while the real major support is at 70000. Then, moving upwards, 84000 becomes resistance.
2. Nasdaq: From February to March 2020, it dropped from a peak of 9838 to a low of 6631, a decline of 32.6%. The recent peak for the Nasdaq is 20204.58. If we calculate based on 32.6%, it could potentially drop to 13618. As of Friday, it was at 15587, indicating a remaining decline space of 12.6%. Considering that this morning, Nasdaq futures have already dropped by 4%, bringing BTC down to around 77300, this can be seen as an advance on the decline. Therefore, the Nasdaq may still have around 8% of downward space, which corresponds to BTC potentially dropping by about 10%, which brings it close to around 70000. Here, we have a strong support from the daily structural chip analysis.

#风险回报比 Trump is really anxious this time!
The United States owes 34 trillion dollars in foreign debt, and just the interest alone needs to be paid back 1 trillion every year, which is equivalent to throwing away the cost of 3 aircraft carriers every day. Seeing that the Federal Reserve absolutely refuses to lower interest rates, Trump directly flipped the table—threatening to impose a 60% tariff on Chinese goods, and even threatening to withdraw from the WTO and sanction European car manufacturers!
This move is simply playing with fire! On the surface, it seems tough on the outside, but in reality, it is self-harm. As soon as the news broke, the United States suffered first: the stock market plummeted, companies laid off employees, and the unemployment rate soared, with an economic crisis on the brink. What is Trump trying to calculate? He wants to force the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, save 200 billion in interest payments, and conveniently boost housing and stock prices to please his financial backers.
But anyone with clear eyes can see this move is full of holes! 70% of the U.S. stock market is comprised of domestic investors, and crashing the market is equivalent to cutting off one’s own financial path. Even more frightening is that if China and Japan stop buying U.S. debt, the U.S. government will immediately run out of funds. How could Powell, an old hand in finance, possibly be scared by such threats? Monetary policy is not child’s play.
Ultimately, Trump is just bluffing. With the 2024 election approaching, does he dare to truly collapse the economy? This gamble, in any case, looks like a sure losing game!

#风险回报比 Let me tell you, I found a super simple way to trade cryptocurrencies. If you follow this method, you can basically make a profit without any losses! Today, I'll share this method with you. Although it seems a bit 'simple,' the actual results are outstanding.
I have a senior friend who used to run an online store. Later, he got into the cryptocurrency world and started to seriously think about trading. Unexpectedly, he achieved a remarkable turnaround in his life through this method, and now his assets are in the 8-digit range!
His method is particularly simple, involving just four steps: choosing coins, buying, position management, and selling. Each step is crystal clear. Let me explain to you in detail how he does it.
First, let's talk about the first step, choosing coins. Open the daily chart and focus on the coins that show a MACD golden cross at the daily level. It's best to choose coins that have the golden cross above the zero line; these coins have a higher likelihood of rising and better performance.
The second step is to look at the daily moving average. Switch to the daily level and observe one moving average, which is the daily moving average. Remember this principle: if the coin price is above the daily moving average, hold onto it; if it falls below the daily moving average, sell immediately without hesitation.
The third step is to buy. Once you've chosen your coins, wait for the coin price to break through the daily moving average while the volume is also above the daily moving average, and then buy in fully. At this point, it's highly likely to rise, so seize the opportunity.
The fourth step is to sell. There are three small details here. When the coin price's wave increase exceeds 40%, sell one-third of your position to secure some profits. When the wave increase exceeds 80%, sell another one-third of your position to further reduce risk. If the coin price falls below the daily moving average, don't hesitate; sell everything at once.

#风险回报比 does not have an independent narrative, Bitcoin is similar to the technology sector of the US stock market. Whether it can rise in the short term depends on the peaceful resolution of tariff issues, and in the medium term, it relies on the Federal Reserve continuing to lower interest rates. Overall, it follows the US stock market, and last week's trend was slightly stronger than the US stock market, indicating demand. Combined with the situation of Bitcoin itself, if the US stock market slightly rebounds, Bitcoin may quickly rebound above 80,000.
In terms of specific operations, after breaking below 81,000, the structure has deteriorated. Currently, any bottom-fishing is counter-trend, and the temptation to bottom-fish comes from high odds, but it corresponds to a low win rate. It is difficult to capture the bottom in one go, so it is necessary to use some methods to increase certainty.

The more extreme the market conditions, the more important it is to strictly follow trading habits!
In the morning, I wanted to use the previous low of 77100 as a stop loss, go long at 77400, and take partial profits at 78000-78600. After hitting 77400, it quickly rebounded to around 78000. Then it quickly dropped again. If I didn't protect my profits and take partial profits with a floating profit of 500-600 points, the floating profit would have turned into holding a large position.

On April 7, 2025, it is destined to be etched in the history of the cryptocurrency world. Bitcoin's $80,000 support was breached, and Ethereum performed a high dive, with the $1,500 level crumbling like paper, evaporating one-fifth of its market value in 24 hours. This scenario is comparable to the epic crash three years ago; I was staring at the red numbers in my account, my back teeth almost ground to dust.
I must admit, even the seasoned investors stumbled. Sticking stubbornly to ETH in the first half of the year, they are now being pressed against the 120-day moving average. Buying the dip? After two months of averaging down, I’ve exhausted my bullets, and now my hands shake when looking at the candlestick charts. But to be honest, if I had to choose a resilient asset, it would still be Bitcoin. Those who shouted 'altcoin season' are now completely silent; if big money really wants to enter the market, they will absolutely grab BTC first.
The global financial market is now scarier than ghost stories. Trump’s tariffs are hitting hard, and the Dow Jones index is plummeting like free fall. Strangely, even gold is no longer seen as a safe haven; capital is flailing around like a headless chicken. Asian stock markets collectively crashed, with the Nikkei index losing nearly 10,000 points in a single day, a scene more brutal than the 2020 stock market crash. In the face of a liquidity crisis, any technical analysis is nonsense; who dares to claim they can predict Ethereum's bottom?
But if you ask me if there’s still hope for a bull market, I dare say absolutely! The four-year cycle is not mysticism; it’s the iron law of capital rotation. Trump is not a madman; a trade war that leads to a stock market crash is not beneficial for him. This sharp decline is likely institutions washing out the weak hands on bad news. Remember, when others are fearful, we need to keep our ammunition ready. When the market reaches total despair, it will be time for us to pick up the bloodied chips in batches. Good position management is key; don’t fall before the dawn; this is the true skill to navigate through bull and bear markets.
If you feel helpless, confused, or want to learn more about the crypto world and firsthand cutting-edge information, click on my profile and follow me. Let’s not get lost in this bull market!

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The market reacted strongly to President Trump's new tariffs. The U.S. stock market evaporated over $2.85 trillion, marking the worst day in four years. Meanwhile, Bitcoin plummeted from an intraday high of $88,500 to $81,200, reflecting heightened uncertainty among investors in both traditional and crypto markets.
How do you respond to this volatility? Is this a short-term reaction or the beginning of a broader market shift? Share your thoughts!

$BTC Give the brothers a breather during the day, and continue to charge hard at night 😇😇😇 #风险回报比 #加密市场回调