降息倒计时
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Some members of the Federal Reserve at $RAY 2 believe that interest rates should be cut next month, which could drive BTC to new highs! With the arrival of the ATH altcoin season, this DEX/AMM leader at $RAY will see increased trading volume, leading to more coins being burned 🔥 and thus raising the coin price! 🚀
#BinanceTurns8 #美联邦利率决议; #降息倒计时 #降息预期
#BinanceTurns8 #美联邦利率决议; #降息倒计时 #降息预期
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Trump Wields the Knife to Cut Powell! Federal Reserve Chairman Involved in 'Mansion Scandal' Faces Political Pressure, Is It the Eve of a Crypto Storm? Oracle: Interest Rate Cuts Must Accelerate, Buy the Gold Pit!
When the renovation of the Federal Reserve chairman's office is more luxurious than Bitcoin's candlestick chart, the reasons for a market crash increase by one more—this time, it’s a knife personally handed over by Trump!
Event explanation:
Trump's camp fires back: Trump's 'insider,' Mark Pulte, head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, jumps out and accuses Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to his face, saying he 'lied' and 'deceived' during the congressional hearing about the exorbitant renovation of the Fed headquarters (which supposedly looks like a five-star hotel)!
Direct appeal: Pulte not only scolds but also directly calls out to Congress: hurry up and investigate Powell! Investigate his 'political bias,' investigate his 'deceptive testimony'! This posture clearly indicates a desire to find a 'legitimate reason' to kick Powell off the throne of the Federal Reserve!
Event explanation:
Trump's camp fires back: Trump's 'insider,' Mark Pulte, head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, jumps out and accuses Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to his face, saying he 'lied' and 'deceived' during the congressional hearing about the exorbitant renovation of the Fed headquarters (which supposedly looks like a five-star hotel)!
Direct appeal: Pulte not only scolds but also directly calls out to Congress: hurry up and investigate Powell! Investigate his 'political bias,' investigate his 'deceptive testimony'! This posture clearly indicates a desire to find a 'legitimate reason' to kick Powell off the throne of the Federal Reserve!
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For the first time in 30 years, two Federal Reserve governors voted against
#降息倒计时
Governor Waller:
1. Interest Rate Levels: Interest rates should be lowered by the end of this month; if a rate cut occurs in July, further cuts may follow, as the Federal Reserve no longer needs to maintain a restrictive monetary policy stance; taking action in September or later may risk falling behind the situation.
2. Economic Levels: The risks facing the economy are increasingly rising; inflation driven by tariffs is unlikely to create sustained price pressures; data shows the job market is in a 'marginal state'.
3. Tariff Impact: Tariffs only temporarily raise price levels and do not lead to sustained inflation; if a 10% tariff persists, it will only increase inflation by 0.75% to 1%; the costs from import taxes will be shared among three parties: consumers will bear one-third, while the remainder will be split between foreign goods producers and importers.
4. Central Bank Independence: He stated, 'I have never seen a central bank official in my lifetime who does not value this principle.'
5. Trump-related Statements: Waller expressed willingness to serve as Federal Reserve Chair, but has not yet engaged with Trump administration officials regarding the position; the interest rate stance is 'not politically motivated'.
Governor Bowman:
1. Interest Rate Levels: The timing for a rate cut seems to be approaching; it is time to consider adjusting the policy rate.
2. Inflation Levels: Inflation appears to be steadily returning to the 2% target level; the underlying trend of core PCE inflation is closer to the 2% target than current data suggests.
3. Job Market: Current performance remains robust, but there are growing concerns about future trends; considering some signs of weakness in the labor market, the downside risks to fulfilling employment mandates may soon become more pronounced.
4. Tariff Impact: The impact of trade policy on inflation is expected to be 'minimal'; the upward pressure on goods prices from higher tariffs is being offset by other factors.
5. Central Bank Independence: The ability of the central bank to formulate monetary policy free from political interference is 'crucial'.
6. Trump-related Statements: Trump's policy mix may have a positive impact on economic prospects; deregulation, reduced corporate tax burdens, and a more business-friendly environment could enhance supply, essentially offsetting negative effects on economic activity and prices.
#降息倒计时
Governor Waller:
1. Interest Rate Levels: Interest rates should be lowered by the end of this month; if a rate cut occurs in July, further cuts may follow, as the Federal Reserve no longer needs to maintain a restrictive monetary policy stance; taking action in September or later may risk falling behind the situation.
2. Economic Levels: The risks facing the economy are increasingly rising; inflation driven by tariffs is unlikely to create sustained price pressures; data shows the job market is in a 'marginal state'.
3. Tariff Impact: Tariffs only temporarily raise price levels and do not lead to sustained inflation; if a 10% tariff persists, it will only increase inflation by 0.75% to 1%; the costs from import taxes will be shared among three parties: consumers will bear one-third, while the remainder will be split between foreign goods producers and importers.
4. Central Bank Independence: He stated, 'I have never seen a central bank official in my lifetime who does not value this principle.'
5. Trump-related Statements: Waller expressed willingness to serve as Federal Reserve Chair, but has not yet engaged with Trump administration officials regarding the position; the interest rate stance is 'not politically motivated'.
Governor Bowman:
1. Interest Rate Levels: The timing for a rate cut seems to be approaching; it is time to consider adjusting the policy rate.
2. Inflation Levels: Inflation appears to be steadily returning to the 2% target level; the underlying trend of core PCE inflation is closer to the 2% target than current data suggests.
3. Job Market: Current performance remains robust, but there are growing concerns about future trends; considering some signs of weakness in the labor market, the downside risks to fulfilling employment mandates may soon become more pronounced.
4. Tariff Impact: The impact of trade policy on inflation is expected to be 'minimal'; the upward pressure on goods prices from higher tariffs is being offset by other factors.
5. Central Bank Independence: The ability of the central bank to formulate monetary policy free from political interference is 'crucial'.
6. Trump-related Statements: Trump's policy mix may have a positive impact on economic prospects; deregulation, reduced corporate tax burdens, and a more business-friendly environment could enhance supply, essentially offsetting negative effects on economic activity and prices.
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Bowman Ignites the Crypto Nuke: September Rate Cuts are a Certainty, Three Consecutive Cuts Will Push BTC to $150,000!
Bowman's 'Triple Rate Cut' Declaration: The Federal Reserve's surrender signal has been revealed!
Federal Reserve Governor Bowman made a strong statement on August 10: Supporting three consecutive interest rate cuts in September, October, and December! She stated that the labor market is 'clearly weak' far exceeding inflation risks, revealing a key truth — July's actual non-farm payroll increase was only 73,000, while previous data was 'greatly overestimated by nearly 10 times', and the unemployment rate has risen to a dangerous edge of 4.2% (close to 4.3%).
This statement is interpreted by the market as the Federal Reserve's policy shift 'surrender document'. Bowman is no ordinary official — she and Governor Waller were the only two who voted against maintaining interest rates at the July FOMC meeting as 'the vanguards of rate cuts', and now she is echoed by several high-ranking officials including San Francisco Fed President Daly, indicating the hawkish camp is collapsing. Goldman Sachs and UBS quickly followed up, confirming that the probability of a rate cut in September has soared to 92.2% (up from 41% at the end of July), with the terminal rate target pointing directly to 3.00%-3.25%!
Federal Reserve Governor Bowman made a strong statement on August 10: Supporting three consecutive interest rate cuts in September, October, and December! She stated that the labor market is 'clearly weak' far exceeding inflation risks, revealing a key truth — July's actual non-farm payroll increase was only 73,000, while previous data was 'greatly overestimated by nearly 10 times', and the unemployment rate has risen to a dangerous edge of 4.2% (close to 4.3%).
This statement is interpreted by the market as the Federal Reserve's policy shift 'surrender document'. Bowman is no ordinary official — she and Governor Waller were the only two who voted against maintaining interest rates at the July FOMC meeting as 'the vanguards of rate cuts', and now she is echoed by several high-ranking officials including San Francisco Fed President Daly, indicating the hawkish camp is collapsing. Goldman Sachs and UBS quickly followed up, confirming that the probability of a rate cut in September has soared to 92.2% (up from 41% at the end of July), with the terminal rate target pointing directly to 3.00%-3.25%!
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#降息倒计时 $BTC Federal Reserve September Rate Cut: The 'Ultimate Judgment' of Financial Markets
#山寨币季节 Counterfeit may welcome a new round of increases $BONK $PENGU
Currently, the global financial markets are holding their breath, as the Federal Reserve's September rate cut is about to face the 'ultimate judgment,' whose decisions have far-reaching implications.
From the economic data perspective, U.S. inflation is gradually declining and is close to the Federal Reserve's target of 2%; although the job market is generally strong, it has also begun to show some signs of fatigue, with poor performance in new employment data. In a high-interest-rate environment, corporate financing costs are high, investment activities are limited, and there is a trend of slowing economic growth. These factors all provide support for a rate cut. Currently, market expectations for a rate cut are increasingly strong, with CME's 'FedWatch' showing that investors' bets on a September rate cut are continuously rising.
Once the rate cut is announced, the financial markets will stir. The U.S. dollar may depreciate, capital flows may change, inflows into emerging markets may increase, stimulating local stock markets and asset prices; gold prices may rise due to inflation expectations and monetary easing. However, if interest rates remain unchanged, the market may experience severe volatility, and investor confidence may be undermined. Regardless of the outcome, the Federal Reserve's decision in September will profoundly affect the global economy and financial landscape.
#山寨币季节 Counterfeit may welcome a new round of increases $BONK $PENGU
Currently, the global financial markets are holding their breath, as the Federal Reserve's September rate cut is about to face the 'ultimate judgment,' whose decisions have far-reaching implications.
From the economic data perspective, U.S. inflation is gradually declining and is close to the Federal Reserve's target of 2%; although the job market is generally strong, it has also begun to show some signs of fatigue, with poor performance in new employment data. In a high-interest-rate environment, corporate financing costs are high, investment activities are limited, and there is a trend of slowing economic growth. These factors all provide support for a rate cut. Currently, market expectations for a rate cut are increasingly strong, with CME's 'FedWatch' showing that investors' bets on a September rate cut are continuously rising.
Once the rate cut is announced, the financial markets will stir. The U.S. dollar may depreciate, capital flows may change, inflows into emerging markets may increase, stimulating local stock markets and asset prices; gold prices may rise due to inflation expectations and monetary easing. However, if interest rates remain unchanged, the market may experience severe volatility, and investor confidence may be undermined. Regardless of the outcome, the Federal Reserve's decision in September will profoundly affect the global economy and financial landscape.
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