长线
24,009 views
9 Discussing
Hot
Latest
See original
In recent days, with the explosive rise and crash of auctions, the square has been lively with a bunch of KOLs alternating between bearish and bullish sentiments. But aside from those who claim to always profit, how many retail investors have actually made money on this coin?
When I first entered the circle, I often saw a saying: "Time is the only chip for retail investors." I don't know why I hardly see anyone mention this saying anymore. However, I have always firmly believed that observing more and acting less is the way to make money; the more active you are in the crypto space, the faster you lose.
Exchanges and those KOLs who profit from commissions wish that you were operating every minute, continuously generating wealth for them. For us retail investors to make money, we not only need to give up contracts but also approach spot trading with a long-term perspective, focusing only on large cycles.
I firmly believe in the arrival of a frenzied bull market this year, so every time there is a sharp decline, it is a great opportunity for me to buy the dip. As long as the underlying logic of a coin has not deteriorated, we should be brave enough to buy the dip during a crash; similarly, during subsequent surges, we must have the courage to block out all FOMO emotions and decisively sell. The easiest way for us retail investors to achieve success is to ignore the noise from those who always profit and trade strictly according to the larger cyclical patterns.
Simplicity is key, slow is fast, give up contracts, reduce the frequency of spot trading, and do not waste this increasingly rare opportunity of a unique bull market in the crypto space anymore. 🍖
54818176355
#合约别碰
#长线
When I first entered the circle, I often saw a saying: "Time is the only chip for retail investors." I don't know why I hardly see anyone mention this saying anymore. However, I have always firmly believed that observing more and acting less is the way to make money; the more active you are in the crypto space, the faster you lose.
Exchanges and those KOLs who profit from commissions wish that you were operating every minute, continuously generating wealth for them. For us retail investors to make money, we not only need to give up contracts but also approach spot trading with a long-term perspective, focusing only on large cycles.
I firmly believe in the arrival of a frenzied bull market this year, so every time there is a sharp decline, it is a great opportunity for me to buy the dip. As long as the underlying logic of a coin has not deteriorated, we should be brave enough to buy the dip during a crash; similarly, during subsequent surges, we must have the courage to block out all FOMO emotions and decisively sell. The easiest way for us retail investors to achieve success is to ignore the noise from those who always profit and trade strictly according to the larger cyclical patterns.
Simplicity is key, slow is fast, give up contracts, reduce the frequency of spot trading, and do not waste this increasingly rare opportunity of a unique bull market in the crypto space anymore. 🍖
54818176355
#合约别碰
#长线
In the last round in 2020, on the 312th and 313th days, I exhausted all my USDT by bottom fishing, and it was based on that bottom fishing that I reaped huge profits in 2021. Every previous decline before this round had been mild and gradual, and there were always people around still shouting that the bull market was ongoing and not to panic. The panic seen in the last round never appeared. Although I successfully made a few major waves, the income multiples were far below those of the same period in the last round. I even had a moment of hesitation wondering if this round was really just BTC dancing alone, without any altcoin season?
Until yesterday, that round of plummeting finally brought about panic, opportunities, and profit space. Especially around 10 AM, that familiar feeling reappeared. Personally, I feel that 95% of the drop at 10 AM yesterday was the last drop before this major bull market (I also mentioned this view multiple times in the replies under yesterday's post).
Although the process of this round has been a bit bumpy, it has generally followed the predicted trajectory as shown in figures 1 and 2 from two months ago. I hope the subsequent trends will also go as I wish. ☺️
In the last round, after BTC dropped to $3780 around 10 AM on the 313th day of 2020, it started to rise sharply, marking the official start of a vigorous bull market. This time around, it is almost certain that this scene will repeat. After February 3rd, this round of frenzied bull market will officially commence. In the four years, perhaps only after this year will altcoins be able to outperform BTC; I have already bottom-fished a large amount of altcoins around 10 AM yesterday as shown in figures 3 and 4 (coincidentally, the last round's 313th also saw me exhaust all my USDT around 10 AM). I hope to achieve the same results as last round.
In this round, I hope that both you and I can step up to another level. Brothers and sisters, let’s encourage each other 👑
#加密市场回调
#狂暴大牛市
#山寨季将至
#山寨季要来了
#暴富之路
Until yesterday, that round of plummeting finally brought about panic, opportunities, and profit space. Especially around 10 AM, that familiar feeling reappeared. Personally, I feel that 95% of the drop at 10 AM yesterday was the last drop before this major bull market (I also mentioned this view multiple times in the replies under yesterday's post).
Although the process of this round has been a bit bumpy, it has generally followed the predicted trajectory as shown in figures 1 and 2 from two months ago. I hope the subsequent trends will also go as I wish. ☺️
In the last round, after BTC dropped to $3780 around 10 AM on the 313th day of 2020, it started to rise sharply, marking the official start of a vigorous bull market. This time around, it is almost certain that this scene will repeat. After February 3rd, this round of frenzied bull market will officially commence. In the four years, perhaps only after this year will altcoins be able to outperform BTC; I have already bottom-fished a large amount of altcoins around 10 AM yesterday as shown in figures 3 and 4 (coincidentally, the last round's 313th also saw me exhaust all my USDT around 10 AM). I hope to achieve the same results as last round.
In this round, I hope that both you and I can step up to another level. Brothers and sisters, let’s encourage each other 👑
#加密市场回调
#狂暴大牛市
#山寨季将至
#山寨季要来了
#暴富之路
See original
Congratulations to those who bought at 3250, you got 40 points, Bitcoin didn't move, 3050 is expected to rise to 3300, and it will basically reach 3320-3350 tonight
Personal opinion, don't criticize if you don't like it!
#长线
Personal opinion, don't criticize if you don't like it!
#长线
See original
If you hold a large position in a coin and want to hold it for the long term, you have held it for several months, and the return is very low, and then it suddenly rises by 30% today.
Will you continue to hold it or sell some?
If it falls again tomorrow, will you feel bad?
The most difficult thing about long-term is: you have formulated a strategy in advance, and countless interferences make you give up or adjust the strategy in the middle. Can you firmly implement the original strategy?
Just like you said to your ex-girlfriend that we must be together for a lifetime, and many of them became ex-girlfriends later, and you can't stick to the original promise and strategy. #长线
I am Caishen, a veteran in the coin circle, and I only tell the truth. Want to get started in the coin circle quickly? Follow me, contact me on the homepage, and provide you with real advice to help you move forward steadily and create brilliance together!
Will you continue to hold it or sell some?
If it falls again tomorrow, will you feel bad?
The most difficult thing about long-term is: you have formulated a strategy in advance, and countless interferences make you give up or adjust the strategy in the middle. Can you firmly implement the original strategy?
Just like you said to your ex-girlfriend that we must be together for a lifetime, and many of them became ex-girlfriends later, and you can't stick to the original promise and strategy. #长线
I am Caishen, a veteran in the coin circle, and I only tell the truth. Want to get started in the coin circle quickly? Follow me, contact me on the homepage, and provide you with real advice to help you move forward steadily and create brilliance together!
See original
When it comes to long-term value investing, there are several important points in practice:
Investment target, entry timing, position building plan, exit timing
Naturally, you must choose a stable investment target so that you can hold it for a long time. BTC and ETH are definitely the first choices. Needless to say, there is no problem in holding these two for more than 10 years.
In addition to BTC and ETH, if you want to allocate other digital assets, you must choose blue-chip coins, that is, those project tokens that are leading in the segmented track, whose ecosystem has been developed, and is still developing further. The expected increase in these blue-chip coins in the next bull market is likely to be greater than that of BTC and ETH, and they are also relatively stable and safe, with no risk of returning to zero.
Personally, I am more optimistic about two infrastructure tracks: Layer 2 and storage. I think the next bull market will usher in a big explosion in the application layer, and a large number of applications will need to rely on Layer 2 and storage infrastructure. However, there are not many projects in these two tracks, but I will only pick a few blue chips. Layer2 projects are currently mainly represented by Arbitrum and Optimism. On the storage track, Filecoin and Arweave have attracted more attention.
When choosing multiple investment targets, you must make a good asset allocation. You should focus on BTC and ETH and not on other currencies. In addition, it is recommended to diversify your investments. LUNA and FTX, which were once considered blue-chip coins by many, will also collapse, and many investors who have heavy positions in LUNA or FTX will suffer heavy losses. Therefore, when allocating these currencies, you must not place heavy positions to prevent thunderstorms.
The timing of entry will directly affect your currency holding costs. The best time to enter is naturally at the bottom of every bear market. But in fact, most people can't do it. People who want to buy the bottom are more likely to do it halfway up the mountain.
Once you have determined the time to enter, you need to consider the plan for building a position. There are many plans for building a position to choose from.
The simplest and crudest solution is that as long as the ahr999 indicator drops below 0.45, use all the funds you want to invest to open a position at once, then deposit it directly into your wallet and forget about it. The advantage is that it is simple and crude, requires the least investment of time and energy, and is very suitable for lazy people to operate.The disadvantage is that the price may fall further and you will not be able to get a better buying price.
If you want to get a lower buying price, you can optimize it a little and wait for the indicator to fall below 0.40 before opening a position. Historical data shows that at the bottom of every bear market, the indicator will appear below 0.40 or even below 0.30. However, the lower the indicator, the lower the probability of occurrence. If you do not watch the market often, you may not be able to seize the ultra-low price. Indicator opportunities.
You can also try another optimization plan, dividing the funds to build a position in several times. For example, it can be divided into three funds. The first one is opened when the ahr999 indicator drops to 0.40, the second one is entered when the indicator drops to 0.35, and the third one is entered. Wait until the indicator drops to 0.30 to enter. If you cannot wait for the opportunity of 0.30, you can execute a position when the indicator returns to 0.35. In the same way, if you do not wait for the opportunity of 0.35, you can also open a position when it returns to 0.40.
In addition to ladder-based position building based on indicators, ladder-based warehouse building can also be carried out based on price. For example, when the indicator drops to 0.40 and the Bitcoin price is 25,000, you can open a position for the first time at 25,000, and then place orders in steps of 1,000, at 24,000, 23,000, 22,000, 21,000, and 20,000. Place orders at several positions respectively. If you can get all of them, that's the best. If you can't get the ones below, then you can open a position when the price rises to the previous level.
In addition, for many working people, the funds used to build a position are not a one-time investment. As the monthly income accumulates, they can continue to invest in building a position. For this type of people, I think the better plan is to start a long-term fixed investment plan after the opportunity to buy the bottom line appears. Even if the index rises above the bottom line, it can continue to execute as long as it is still below the fixed investment line. For fixed investment, it is recommended to make fixed investment on a daily basis. If conditions permit, it can even be done on an hourly basis. I have a friend who wrote a special investment program that automatically determines investment by the hour.
The last thing to consider is the timing of exit. The ideal time to exit is at the peak of a bull market, but successfully escaping from the top is more difficult than buying the bottom in a bear market, and most people cannot do it.
The long-term investment plan is actually to make money during the market cycle. It is also the most stable way to make money. The longer you hold it, the more you will make.
#长线 #GAL #WLD #SSV #TWT
Investment target, entry timing, position building plan, exit timing
Naturally, you must choose a stable investment target so that you can hold it for a long time. BTC and ETH are definitely the first choices. Needless to say, there is no problem in holding these two for more than 10 years.
In addition to BTC and ETH, if you want to allocate other digital assets, you must choose blue-chip coins, that is, those project tokens that are leading in the segmented track, whose ecosystem has been developed, and is still developing further. The expected increase in these blue-chip coins in the next bull market is likely to be greater than that of BTC and ETH, and they are also relatively stable and safe, with no risk of returning to zero.
Personally, I am more optimistic about two infrastructure tracks: Layer 2 and storage. I think the next bull market will usher in a big explosion in the application layer, and a large number of applications will need to rely on Layer 2 and storage infrastructure. However, there are not many projects in these two tracks, but I will only pick a few blue chips. Layer2 projects are currently mainly represented by Arbitrum and Optimism. On the storage track, Filecoin and Arweave have attracted more attention.
When choosing multiple investment targets, you must make a good asset allocation. You should focus on BTC and ETH and not on other currencies. In addition, it is recommended to diversify your investments. LUNA and FTX, which were once considered blue-chip coins by many, will also collapse, and many investors who have heavy positions in LUNA or FTX will suffer heavy losses. Therefore, when allocating these currencies, you must not place heavy positions to prevent thunderstorms.
The timing of entry will directly affect your currency holding costs. The best time to enter is naturally at the bottom of every bear market. But in fact, most people can't do it. People who want to buy the bottom are more likely to do it halfway up the mountain.
Once you have determined the time to enter, you need to consider the plan for building a position. There are many plans for building a position to choose from.
The simplest and crudest solution is that as long as the ahr999 indicator drops below 0.45, use all the funds you want to invest to open a position at once, then deposit it directly into your wallet and forget about it. The advantage is that it is simple and crude, requires the least investment of time and energy, and is very suitable for lazy people to operate.The disadvantage is that the price may fall further and you will not be able to get a better buying price.
If you want to get a lower buying price, you can optimize it a little and wait for the indicator to fall below 0.40 before opening a position. Historical data shows that at the bottom of every bear market, the indicator will appear below 0.40 or even below 0.30. However, the lower the indicator, the lower the probability of occurrence. If you do not watch the market often, you may not be able to seize the ultra-low price. Indicator opportunities.
You can also try another optimization plan, dividing the funds to build a position in several times. For example, it can be divided into three funds. The first one is opened when the ahr999 indicator drops to 0.40, the second one is entered when the indicator drops to 0.35, and the third one is entered. Wait until the indicator drops to 0.30 to enter. If you cannot wait for the opportunity of 0.30, you can execute a position when the indicator returns to 0.35. In the same way, if you do not wait for the opportunity of 0.35, you can also open a position when it returns to 0.40.
In addition to ladder-based position building based on indicators, ladder-based warehouse building can also be carried out based on price. For example, when the indicator drops to 0.40 and the Bitcoin price is 25,000, you can open a position for the first time at 25,000, and then place orders in steps of 1,000, at 24,000, 23,000, 22,000, 21,000, and 20,000. Place orders at several positions respectively. If you can get all of them, that's the best. If you can't get the ones below, then you can open a position when the price rises to the previous level.
In addition, for many working people, the funds used to build a position are not a one-time investment. As the monthly income accumulates, they can continue to invest in building a position. For this type of people, I think the better plan is to start a long-term fixed investment plan after the opportunity to buy the bottom line appears. Even if the index rises above the bottom line, it can continue to execute as long as it is still below the fixed investment line. For fixed investment, it is recommended to make fixed investment on a daily basis. If conditions permit, it can even be done on an hourly basis. I have a friend who wrote a special investment program that automatically determines investment by the hour.
The last thing to consider is the timing of exit. The ideal time to exit is at the peak of a bull market, but successfully escaping from the top is more difficult than buying the bottom in a bear market, and most people cannot do it.
The long-term investment plan is actually to make money during the market cycle. It is also the most stable way to make money. The longer you hold it, the more you will make.
#长线 #GAL #WLD #SSV #TWT
See original
#Hot Topic # Spot # Long-term Making money in the long-term with spot is not as simple as imagined. When we take the long-term position, everyone's mentality changes from expectation and hesitation, to regret, patting the legs, to finally awakening and joy. This is all caused by long-term price shocks. Many people always think: If I had bought it, it would have been better. But how many people at the bottom really dare to buy? After buying it, how many people can really hold it?
And when you are planning for the long term, looking at the rising coins, you will panic: If I hadn't stayed in the long term, I would have had wealth and freedom long ago! Do you want to change positions?
You are also struggling with changing positions. If you don't change, you can't stand it. If you change, you will lose.
If you fail to pass the level during this tormenting and training process, then the final victory will have nothing to do with you.
Wealth only exists in the hands of well-organized people.
And when you are planning for the long term, looking at the rising coins, you will panic: If I hadn't stayed in the long term, I would have had wealth and freedom long ago! Do you want to change positions?
You are also struggling with changing positions. If you don't change, you can't stand it. If you change, you will lose.
If you fail to pass the level during this tormenting and training process, then the final victory will have nothing to do with you.
Wealth only exists in the hands of well-organized people.
See original
Let's talk about this topic again.
Prerequisites:
1. You hold a large position in a coin
2. Take the long-term
3. You have held it for several months, and it has been pulled back and forth
4. Your long-term strategy is to double the capital
5. It has risen several times before and then fell back, and now it has risen by 30% again
Under these premises, what is your strategy at this time?
1. Stick to the long-term strategy, double the capital and then take it out? Then can you hold it if it continues to fall back later?
2. Now you have a profit of 30% and you have taken out the principal? Then you did not stick to your initial long-term strategy and played it short-term?
If you play like this, maybe your total position in this bull market will not be able to eat a few 30%? Or you will find that you are still losing money in the end?
3. Take profits in batches, how to take profits in batches?
Long-term is really not that simple. It is not that you just buy a few coins and hold them. Some coins will be very lame throughout the bull market.
Many people bought awesome coins, but didn't hold on to them and sold them for many times the price. Some sold them before they took off. The dealer has countless ways to wash you out.
Have you thought about these questions carefully before you prepare to take the long-term? If you don't think clearly, you will overturn your previous strategy countless times in the middle, and finally find that you didn't make much money.
So what strategy is best for long-term play? How to stick to this strategy without changing it? Welcome to leave a message in the comment area to discuss~~~~#长线 #牛市布局
I am Caishen, a veteran in the currency circle, and I only tell the truth. Want to get started in the currency circle quickly? Follow me, contact me on the homepage, and provide you with real advice for free to help you move forward steadily and create brilliance together!
Prerequisites:
1. You hold a large position in a coin
2. Take the long-term
3. You have held it for several months, and it has been pulled back and forth
4. Your long-term strategy is to double the capital
5. It has risen several times before and then fell back, and now it has risen by 30% again
Under these premises, what is your strategy at this time?
1. Stick to the long-term strategy, double the capital and then take it out? Then can you hold it if it continues to fall back later?
2. Now you have a profit of 30% and you have taken out the principal? Then you did not stick to your initial long-term strategy and played it short-term?
If you play like this, maybe your total position in this bull market will not be able to eat a few 30%? Or you will find that you are still losing money in the end?
3. Take profits in batches, how to take profits in batches?
Long-term is really not that simple. It is not that you just buy a few coins and hold them. Some coins will be very lame throughout the bull market.
Many people bought awesome coins, but didn't hold on to them and sold them for many times the price. Some sold them before they took off. The dealer has countless ways to wash you out.
Have you thought about these questions carefully before you prepare to take the long-term? If you don't think clearly, you will overturn your previous strategy countless times in the middle, and finally find that you didn't make much money.
So what strategy is best for long-term play? How to stick to this strategy without changing it? Welcome to leave a message in the comment area to discuss~~~~#长线 #牛市布局
I am Caishen, a veteran in the currency circle, and I only tell the truth. Want to get started in the currency circle quickly? Follow me, contact me on the homepage, and provide you with real advice for free to help you move forward steadily and create brilliance together!
See original
The market has been difficult these days. It is hard to predict whether you will make a profit or not. You can now arrange long-term long orders. It is recommended to start at 3090, and then cover the position at 3060. The average price is between 75-80, stop loss at 3050, and get off at about 3250 on Monday or Tuesday!
This is my personal opinion. If you don’t like it, please don’t criticize me!
#长线 #ETH🔥🔥🔥
This is my personal opinion. If you don’t like it, please don’t criticize me!
#长线 #ETH🔥🔥🔥
See original
$TRUMP Cost 22, currently a book loss, but still decided to hold long-term
I feel there will definitely be market movements during Trump's 4-year term
The meme coin market is highly volatile, but as long as the trend is there, there is still a chance to turn things around
Originally, I had arranged to discuss with a Japanese teacher, but now I can only draw from my savings
Dogecoin and TRUMP flying high
#长线 #Trump2024
I feel there will definitely be market movements during Trump's 4-year term
The meme coin market is highly volatile, but as long as the trend is there, there is still a chance to turn things around
Originally, I had arranged to discuss with a Japanese teacher, but now I can only draw from my savings
Dogecoin and TRUMP flying high
#长线 #Trump2024
Login to explore more contents