货币政策

【Pan Gongsheng: Establishing Risk Sharing Tools for Technology Innovation Bonds】Jin Ten Data, May 7 - On May 7, Pan Gongsheng, the Governor of the People's Bank of China, announced at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office the establishment of risk sharing tools for technology innovation bonds. The central bank will provide low-cost relending funds to purchase technology innovation bonds and cooperate with local governments and market-oriented credit enhancement institutions, among others, to share part of the default loss risk of the bonds through diversified credit enhancement measures such as joint guarantees, thus supporting technology innovation enterprises and equity investment institutions in issuing low-cost, long-term technology innovation bonds for financing. (Xinhua News Agency)
#币圈 #货币政策 #金融稳定 #区块链

🌐 Has China's monetary policy changed? The market speculates that the QE era is coming!

After the release of the US CPI inflation report last week, the price of Bitcoin quickly soared by more than 9% from a low of less than $59,000, breaking through the $64,500 mark at one point. Market analysts began to speculate that China may be about to launch a new round of quantitative easing (QE) policies, that is, stimulating the economy by increasing the money supply.

Then let's take a look at the fiscal strategy announced by the Ministry of Finance of China earlier today, which shows that China may be about to enter a QE cycle, which is still the first among the major economies in the world.

At the same time, as the world's second largest economy, China's monetary policy changes will undoubtedly have a profound impact on global financial markets. In particular, if the Chinese government begins to implement QE policies, this may be seen as good news because it may dilute the value of the RMB and cause it to depreciate.

We know that in the historical development cycle, any country will cause the value of its currency to decline when it prints a large amount of money and dilutes its own currency. This is also one of the main reasons for the continuous depreciation of currency value and inflation in the past few decades.

However, as the Chinese government may begin to implement quantitative easing (QE) policies, the market also predicts that the US government may follow suit in the first or second quarter of 2025 and enter a QE cycle. If the two major economies of China and the United States relax monetary policy at the same time, it may cause asset prices to continue to rise and inflation problems may persist.

In this case, converting cash into assets such as gold, silver, stocks, bonds, or cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin may be an effective way to protect your wealth from inflation.

If individual investors fail to grasp this trend in time and continue to hold a large amount of cash, they may face the risk of a significant depreciation of their assets. Therefore, it is important for investors to pay close attention to changes in global monetary policy and adopt appropriate investment strategies to protect and increase their wealth.

#中国量化宽松 #货币政策 #金融市场影响 #比特币与金融市场 #投资策略

🕵️‍♂️ The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is imminent: A rate cut in November has become a foregone conclusion, and expectations for a rate cut in December are rising!

According to the latest data from CME's 'FedWatch', the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in November is as high as 98.1%, while the likelihood of no rate cut is only 1.9%. It seems almost certain that there will be a rate cut in November.

Now let's take a look at December, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 29.5%, while the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is even higher at 69.9%; the probability of no rate cut is only 0.5%, indicating that the possibility of no rate cut is extremely low. Therefore, it can be inferred that the Federal Reserve may implement two rate cuts before the end of the year.

🗣 Conclusion:

In summary, the rate cut in November seems to be a foregone conclusion, and the cumulative probability of rate cuts in December also indicates the Federal Reserve's determination to cut rates at least twice before the end of the year.

At the same time, adjustments in the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy are expected to have a significant impact on global financial markets, including the stock market, bond market, and cryptocurrency market.

In this broader context, investors need to closely monitor policy trends to make more informed investment decisions.

💬 What are your views on the Federal Reserve's potential rate cut measures? Will your investment strategy change in response to the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments?

#美联储降息 #货币政策 #CME美联储观察 #投资策略

【Trump's nominated Federal Reserve governor downplays the impact of tariffs on inflation】

According to a report on February 18, Federal Reserve governor Waller stated that his fundamental view is that the new tariffs from the Trump administration will only have a mild impact on prices, and the central bank should try to ignore this when formulating monetary policy.

Although tariff policies may bring some price pressure, the Federal Reserve will consider a variety of factors in assessing the inflation situation and formulating monetary policy, maintaining a relatively calm and objective attitude.

This attitude helps avoid monetary policy being overly influenced by short-term political factors, thereby maintaining the stability of financial markets and the continuous growth of the economy. At the same time, it reminds us to pay attention to the long-term impacts that tariff policies may have on the economy, and the importance of international cooperation and coordination in maintaining economic stability in the context of globalization. #货币政策 #美联储 #特朗普

🌏【Financial News】Former Director of the Bank of Japan said: This year, the loose monetary policy may remain unchanged!
📉 Against the backdrop of global economic recovery, the Bank of Japan does not seem to be in a hurry to follow the pace of other countries to raise interest rates. The former central bank director pointed out that the current challenges facing the Japanese economy are different from those of other countries, and maintaining an accommodative policy is more in line with national conditions.
💼 According to the latest analysis, the Bank of Japan may continue to implement a low interest rate policy to support domestic economic recovery and cope with deflationary pressure. This decision may have an impact on the yen exchange rate and global financial markets.
🔍 Although other central banks have begun to tighten monetary policy, policymakers at the Bank of Japan seem to be more cautious, believing that now is not the best time to raise interest rates.
📈 Investors and market analysts need to pay close attention to the dynamics of the Bank of Japan to better understand its policy direction and potential impact on the global economy.
👉 Follow me for more financial information and in-depth analysis! #日本央行加息 #货币政策 #经济复苏

🌐 The Bank of Japan has stopped raising interest rates, and there is no chain reaction to the global economy for the time being?

📉 Listen! Makoto Sakurai, a former member of the Bank of Japan, said that there will be no more rate hikes this year. On August 12, he issued a report saying, "At least for the rest of the year, they will not raise interest rates again." Remember when the Bank of Japan suddenly lowered interest rates to 0.25% in early August? That really caused a big drop in the stock market and cryptocurrency market.

💸 So why did the rate hike have such a big impact? Mainly because it disrupted the yen carry trade, which is that investors borrow yen at ultra-low interest rates and then buy foreign assets. But what really turned the market upside down was the yen's surge in the foreign exchange market, from 153 yen to the dollar to 145 yen. This made the cost of borrowing in yen soar overnight.

📈 Although this rate hike has caused a bit of panic in global markets, Sakurai feels that this is a necessary step for Japan. After all, Japan's interest rates have been between 0 and -0.1% for 17 years. "It's a good thing to go from almost zero interest rates to a normal 0.25%," he said. He also thinks it's wise for the central bank to "wait and see" what to do next.

💸The view is that the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike may make the yen more valuable, which is a challenge for Japanese exports because goods become more expensive and sales cannot be increased, which may lead to commodity stagflation. At the same time, the interest rate hike may make global investors invest their money in Japan because the returns there are higher, which will also affect the balance of financial markets in other countries.

🌟In addition, the interest rate hike may also be a signal for central banks in other countries to consider adjusting their own interest rates. And for countries and companies that have borrowed a lot of yen debt, the interest rate hike means that they have to pay more money back, which may bring them some economic pressure.

🤔 Although the Bank of Japan said it did this to make its economy healthier, its impact on the global economy still needs our continued attention.

💬 So, what do you think? Is the impact of the yen interest rate hike on the market good or bad? Is the Bank of Japan's wait-and-see strategy a wise move? Has the cryptocurrency market stabilized and is no longer afraid of panic selling and falling prices? Leave your thoughts in the comments section!

#日本央行 #加息 #市场动荡 #货币政策

🏛️ Faced with market instability, the Bank of Japan calmly chose not to raise interest rates! 📢
 
🌐 The deputy governor of the Bank of Japan, Shinichi Uchida, spoke today. Faced with the turmoil in the financial market, he made a clear statement: the central bank will temporarily suspend interest rate hikes to stabilize market sentiment.

💼 After the Japanese stock market experienced a historic plunge, Shinichi Uchida pointed out in a public speech that in view of the current high market volatility, the Bank of Japan decided to maintain an easy monetary policy in order to stabilize the economy and the market.
 
📉 As soon as these words came out, the yen fell 2%, but the stock market rebounded, with the Nikkei 225 Index and the Topix Index both rising by more than 3%. It seems that the central bank's decision has a significant impact on market sentiment!
 
🤔 However, this decision of the Bank of Japan is wise in the eyes of most people. When the market is unstable, maintaining the continuity and stability of policies will help avoid the spread of panic and bring more investment confidence to the market.
🗣️But at the same time, some people are worried that long-term loose policies may bring side effects, such as asset bubbles and other problems, which is also a major problem that local governments and central banks and other institutions need to balance and solve!

💭 What do you think? Is this decision of the Bank of Japan a wise move to stabilize the market, or an overly conservative strategy? Let's talk about your views!

#日本央行 #金融市场 #货币政策 #日元 #股市反弹

#日本加息 will become the biggest bearish factor in the crypto market this week.

The market expects that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates in this week's meeting, with overnight index swaps indicating a 92% chance of a rate hike by the end of the policy meeting on January 23-24.
If Japan confirms a rate hike, it will bring stronger impacts and volatility to the cryptocurrency market, increasing selling pressure on BTC.
The main players in the current market are the Bank of Japan, the financial market, and global central banks, and the interplay among them points towards a bearish trend for BTC under pressure.
1. The interplay between the Bank of Japan and the market
If the signals from the central bank regarding rate hikes are fully interpreted by the market as credible, the market will digest the impact of the rate hike in advance, thereby weakening the immediate effect of the central bank's policy. Meanwhile, #BTC will also rebound and is expected to test the 90000 range.
2. The interplay between yen speculators and the Japanese government
Speculators use central bank policy signals and market sentiment to shift funds to places with lower interest rates to profit from the spread. Such speculative behavior may amplify the volatility of major financial assets.
3. The interplay between the cryptocurrency market and traditional financial markets
A rate hike by the Bank of Japan may enhance the attractiveness of traditional financial assets (such as yen bonds), thereby causing a capital outflow from the cryptocurrency market.
#货币政策 #投资机会 #市场分析 #宏观
$BTC $SOL $XRP

📢 Central Bank Observation: Pay close attention to the monetary policy trends of major overseas central banks!

👀 Latest news! The People's Bank of China mentioned in the Monetary Policy Implementation Report for the Second Quarter of 2024 that inflation in the United States seems to have subsided, and the economy and job market are also changing. This means that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy may have to make a big move, and the market is increasingly speculating on interest rate cuts!

📉 The U.S. CPI rose 3% year-on-year in June, the lowest level in the past 12 months. Non-farm payrolls increased by 114,000 in July, but this number did not meet everyone's expectations, and the unemployment rate also rose. These situations provide conditions for the Fed to cut interest rates.

🔍 At the same time, it is only a month away from the September FOMC meeting, and the outside world has predicted that the Fed's interest rate cut is a foregone conclusion. As for whether the Fed will not be able to withstand the pressure and usher in a wave of small interest rate cuts ahead of time, we will wait and see!

🌐 However, this is not just a matter for the United States, and economies around the world will be affected. In particular, the monetary policy shift of major developed economies also has an impact on our emerging market economies, which may benefit from the improvement of global liquidity and ease some external pressure.

🇨🇳 Despite this, China will continue to adhere to its own monetary policy, mainly based on its own strategy, and will also pay close attention to the policy trends of major developed economies to ensure the stability of our financial markets to support the high-quality development of the economy.

🤔In the global economic landscape, adjustments to US monetary policy often have a wide range of impacts. How do you think the Fed will adjust its monetary policy this time? What impact will this have on our investment and economy?

💼At the same time, with this in mind, will the People's Bank of China reassess and adjust its regulatory policy on cryptocurrencies in response to changes in US policies?

💬 Come on, friends, see you in the comment section! Share your thoughts and let's discuss the trends in global monetary policy and its impact on our lives!

#美联储 #货币政策 #经济观察 #央行观察

Having the whole world must feel something like this
To post this, I spent several years collecting currencies from different places and eras, and now it's finally complete! Of course, there are still many places that need to be added, but for now, I have gathered all the currencies circulating in all countries and regions around the world, and I will continue to collect more!
#货币政策