美联储降息倒计时
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#加密市场反弹 #美联储降息倒计时 $BTC $ETH
The market's expectation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 84.9%, boosting the appetite for risk assets.
The US dollar index has weakened slightly, and market liquidity is relatively thin due to the Thanksgiving holiday, allowing smaller capital flows to push the market.
Funds are warming up
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF and other products have recently ended a wave of redemptions, recording an inflow of $130 million.
The Ethereum ETF has also seen significant inflows, with nearly $97 million flowing in on a single day, November 24.
Market sentiment shifts
In the Bitcoin options market, call options with a strike price of $100,000 have replaced put options, becoming the product with the largest open interest, sending optimistic signals.
The funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual futures has turned positive, indicating that bullish leveraged bets are regaining dominance in the market.
Other noteworthy developments
In addition to the core driving factors mentioned above, there are some positive signals in the market and outstanding performances by individual cryptocurrencies.
· Improvement in technical indicators: Taking Ethereum as an example, some of its technical indicators show bullish momentum. The MACD indicator has entered positive territory, while its price is near the lower Bollinger Band, which is typically seen as a signal for a short-term rebound.
· Rotation of market hotspots: Privacy coin Zcash (ZEC) saw an astonishing increase in November, exceeding 1000% at one point, and becoming the most searched asset on the Coinbase platform. This reflects that in the context of an overall market rebound, funds are also seeking specific narratives and hotspots for speculation, leading to sector rotation.
The market's expectation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 84.9%, boosting the appetite for risk assets.
The US dollar index has weakened slightly, and market liquidity is relatively thin due to the Thanksgiving holiday, allowing smaller capital flows to push the market.
Funds are warming up
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF and other products have recently ended a wave of redemptions, recording an inflow of $130 million.
The Ethereum ETF has also seen significant inflows, with nearly $97 million flowing in on a single day, November 24.
Market sentiment shifts
In the Bitcoin options market, call options with a strike price of $100,000 have replaced put options, becoming the product with the largest open interest, sending optimistic signals.
The funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual futures has turned positive, indicating that bullish leveraged bets are regaining dominance in the market.
Other noteworthy developments
In addition to the core driving factors mentioned above, there are some positive signals in the market and outstanding performances by individual cryptocurrencies.
· Improvement in technical indicators: Taking Ethereum as an example, some of its technical indicators show bullish momentum. The MACD indicator has entered positive territory, while its price is near the lower Bollinger Band, which is typically seen as a signal for a short-term rebound.
· Rotation of market hotspots: Privacy coin Zcash (ZEC) saw an astonishing increase in November, exceeding 1000% at one point, and becoming the most searched asset on the Coinbase platform. This reflects that in the context of an overall market rebound, funds are also seeking specific narratives and hotspots for speculation, leading to sector rotation.
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December Fed rate cut, NVIDIA earnings report is the key directional indicator. Fast look:
📈 The most significant directional indicator in December has arrived! This time it’s not the Fed, but him—NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang.
On Wednesday, Huang will personally release the earnings report, and this moment will nearly decide the fate of the entire AI market. Why? Because whether the Fed cuts rates directly determines if AI companies can continue to "burn money" and expand. High interest rates are like a rope, getting tighter and tighter.
"Growth investments are too sensitive to interest rates," Direxion analyst Ryan Lee reveals the truth, "cloud giants can’t borrow money, so AI stocks naturally fall." The recent wave of corrections was ignited by the Fed's "hawkish statements"—where's the promised rate cut? Why hasn’t it arrived yet?
On the other hand, the market is already betting: interest rates will drop to around 3% next year. But the question is—how fast is the Fed willing to cut? Allianz's Charlie Ripley warns: "Once the market shifts from ‘definitely cutting rates in December’ to ‘maybe cutting rates,’ the stock market will immediately shake three times!"
Now, all the pressure is on Huang. Can he stabilize this giant AI ship with a stellar earnings report and a phrase like “we will continue to push forward”?
The good news is that some institutions believe this wave of AI is “healthy and hasn’t burst yet.” Although valuations are high, the leading stocks are still considered “cheap” compared to their growth rates, and sentiment is far from frenzied.
In short, this earnings report is the “last detonator” before the Fed's meeting on December 10, and it will also be the “only directional indicator” for the market's direction from Thanksgiving to early December.
🎯 What do you think? Will the Fed actually cut rates in December? Can AI stocks continue to surge? Share your insights in the comments #美股2026预测 #美联储降息倒计时
📈 The most significant directional indicator in December has arrived! This time it’s not the Fed, but him—NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang.
On Wednesday, Huang will personally release the earnings report, and this moment will nearly decide the fate of the entire AI market. Why? Because whether the Fed cuts rates directly determines if AI companies can continue to "burn money" and expand. High interest rates are like a rope, getting tighter and tighter.
"Growth investments are too sensitive to interest rates," Direxion analyst Ryan Lee reveals the truth, "cloud giants can’t borrow money, so AI stocks naturally fall." The recent wave of corrections was ignited by the Fed's "hawkish statements"—where's the promised rate cut? Why hasn’t it arrived yet?
On the other hand, the market is already betting: interest rates will drop to around 3% next year. But the question is—how fast is the Fed willing to cut? Allianz's Charlie Ripley warns: "Once the market shifts from ‘definitely cutting rates in December’ to ‘maybe cutting rates,’ the stock market will immediately shake three times!"
Now, all the pressure is on Huang. Can he stabilize this giant AI ship with a stellar earnings report and a phrase like “we will continue to push forward”?
The good news is that some institutions believe this wave of AI is “healthy and hasn’t burst yet.” Although valuations are high, the leading stocks are still considered “cheap” compared to their growth rates, and sentiment is far from frenzied.
In short, this earnings report is the “last detonator” before the Fed's meeting on December 10, and it will also be the “only directional indicator” for the market's direction from Thanksgiving to early December.
🎯 What do you think? Will the Fed actually cut rates in December? Can AI stocks continue to surge? Share your insights in the comments #美股2026预测 #美联储降息倒计时
puppies清扬:
还得是美联储
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Will the Federal Reserve cut rates in December? Nvidia's earnings report is the real key! Even beginners can understand:
📈 The focus in December shouldn't be on the Federal Reserve, but on Nvidia's 'Old Huang'—Jensen Huang!
This Wednesday, Old Huang is going to personally present the earnings report, and this event could directly determine the life and death of the AI market. Why is it so crucial? Because whether the Federal Reserve cuts rates directly affects if AI companies can continue to burn cash and expand. When interest rates rise, it's like a noose tightening around your neck—who can withstand that?
Direxion analyst Ryan Lee already made it clear: 'Buying growth stocks is too sensitive to interest rates! The cloud giants can't even borrow money; how can AI stocks not fall?' Recently, the drop in AI stocks was caused by the Federal Reserve issuing 'hawkish' statements—previously, they said they would cut rates, so why is there still no action?
On the other hand, the market is guessing wildly: interest rates might drop to 3% next year. But the question is—how quickly does the Federal Reserve plan to cut? Allianz's Charlie Ripley has already warned: 'If the market shifts from 'a rate cut in December is certain' to 'it's a 50/50 chance', the stock market will shake immediately!'
Now, all the pressure is on Old Huang's shoulders. Can he present an explosive earnings report and shout 'Let's keep pushing', stabilizing the big ship of AI?
The good news is that some institutions say this wave of AI enthusiasm is 'quite healthy, nowhere near bursting'. Although AI stock valuations are not low, leading stocks are still relatively 'not expensive' compared to their growth rates, and the sentiment for buying stocks is far from being crazy.
Ultimately, this earnings report is the 'last chance to shake the market' before the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 10, and it's the 'only barometer' for market direction from Thanksgiving to early December.
🎯 What do you think? Will the Federal Reserve cut rates in December? Can AI stocks keep pushing? Share your thoughts in the comments #美股2026预测 #美联储降息倒计时
📈 The focus in December shouldn't be on the Federal Reserve, but on Nvidia's 'Old Huang'—Jensen Huang!
This Wednesday, Old Huang is going to personally present the earnings report, and this event could directly determine the life and death of the AI market. Why is it so crucial? Because whether the Federal Reserve cuts rates directly affects if AI companies can continue to burn cash and expand. When interest rates rise, it's like a noose tightening around your neck—who can withstand that?
Direxion analyst Ryan Lee already made it clear: 'Buying growth stocks is too sensitive to interest rates! The cloud giants can't even borrow money; how can AI stocks not fall?' Recently, the drop in AI stocks was caused by the Federal Reserve issuing 'hawkish' statements—previously, they said they would cut rates, so why is there still no action?
On the other hand, the market is guessing wildly: interest rates might drop to 3% next year. But the question is—how quickly does the Federal Reserve plan to cut? Allianz's Charlie Ripley has already warned: 'If the market shifts from 'a rate cut in December is certain' to 'it's a 50/50 chance', the stock market will shake immediately!'
Now, all the pressure is on Old Huang's shoulders. Can he present an explosive earnings report and shout 'Let's keep pushing', stabilizing the big ship of AI?
The good news is that some institutions say this wave of AI enthusiasm is 'quite healthy, nowhere near bursting'. Although AI stock valuations are not low, leading stocks are still relatively 'not expensive' compared to their growth rates, and the sentiment for buying stocks is far from being crazy.
Ultimately, this earnings report is the 'last chance to shake the market' before the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 10, and it's the 'only barometer' for market direction from Thanksgiving to early December.
🎯 What do you think? Will the Federal Reserve cut rates in December? Can AI stocks keep pushing? Share your thoughts in the comments #美股2026预测 #美联储降息倒计时
The market is always cyclical, and emotions have entered a state of 'extreme fear.' Extreme moments of fear are not uncommon in history, and they often hide opportunities. The saying 'be greedy when others are fearful' has been validated many times in the crypto market.
When the 'Fear and Greed Index' falls to extremely low levels (for example, 0-19), it usually means that the market is oversold, which may actually represent a potential buying opportunity. It is worth mentioning that during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the market also fell into extreme fear, but subsequently, the price of Bitcoin rebounded by over 1500% within a year.
Similarly, in the 2018 bear market bottom, those who dared to invest during extreme fear also reaped significant rewards. Currently, market concerns mainly stem from two aspects. One is the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, where previous optimistic expectations for rate cuts are cooling. The second is the discussion around the AI tech stock bubble, which serves as a barometer for market risk appetite. The performance of tech giants like Nvidia is closely watched, as any minor fluctuations can impact the cryptocurrency market.
#比特币恐慌 #美联储降息 #美联储降息倒计时 #BTC90kBreakingPoint #StrategyBTCPurchase $BTC $ETH
When the 'Fear and Greed Index' falls to extremely low levels (for example, 0-19), it usually means that the market is oversold, which may actually represent a potential buying opportunity. It is worth mentioning that during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the market also fell into extreme fear, but subsequently, the price of Bitcoin rebounded by over 1500% within a year.
Similarly, in the 2018 bear market bottom, those who dared to invest during extreme fear also reaped significant rewards. Currently, market concerns mainly stem from two aspects. One is the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, where previous optimistic expectations for rate cuts are cooling. The second is the discussion around the AI tech stock bubble, which serves as a barometer for market risk appetite. The performance of tech giants like Nvidia is closely watched, as any minor fluctuations can impact the cryptocurrency market.
#比特币恐慌 #美联储降息 #美联储降息倒计时 #BTC90kBreakingPoint #StrategyBTCPurchase $BTC $ETH
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Explosive Insights | The Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Path Takes a Sudden Turn, Retail Investors' Wealth Window May Open!
Latest Interpretation from CICC: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts may follow a "speeding up - buffering - speeding up" three-step pattern! If the prediction comes true, by the end of 2025, the market will welcome a liquidity flood, with dollars pouring into the cryptocurrency space, and Bitcoin is expected to begin a major surge.
Looking ahead to 2026, a mid-year interest rate cut may be temporarily paused, leading to a consolidation, but further easing in the second half of the year is expected to drive a second round of increases. For retail investors, closely following policy trends is the key to grasping the wealth code; do not miss the critical points!
Want to position accurately? Feel free to follow Xuan Ni, who brings you market interpretations first thing every day in the village! If you want to synchronize operations in real-time, we can build positions together; my profits will be shared with you! #加密市场动态 #美联储降息倒计时
Latest Interpretation from CICC: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts may follow a "speeding up - buffering - speeding up" three-step pattern! If the prediction comes true, by the end of 2025, the market will welcome a liquidity flood, with dollars pouring into the cryptocurrency space, and Bitcoin is expected to begin a major surge.
Looking ahead to 2026, a mid-year interest rate cut may be temporarily paused, leading to a consolidation, but further easing in the second half of the year is expected to drive a second round of increases. For retail investors, closely following policy trends is the key to grasping the wealth code; do not miss the critical points!
Want to position accurately? Feel free to follow Xuan Ni, who brings you market interpretations first thing every day in the village! If you want to synchronize operations in real-time, we can build positions together; my profits will be shared with you! #加密市场动态 #美联储降息倒计时
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#美联储降息预期
Survey: Latest news indicates that the Federal Reserve has a 99.5% chance of lowering interest rates by 25% in October.
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering rates by 25 basis points in October is 99.5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 0.5%. The cumulative probability of the Federal Reserve lowering rates by 50 basis points in December is 91.6%. #美联储降息倒计时
Survey: Latest news indicates that the Federal Reserve has a 99.5% chance of lowering interest rates by 25% in October.
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering rates by 25 basis points in October is 99.5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 0.5%. The cumulative probability of the Federal Reserve lowering rates by 50 basis points in December is 91.6%. #美联储降息倒计时
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Just in! The Fed's rate cut timetable has been revealed, and the probability of action in December exceeds 70%!
Guys, a major signal has arrived! According to the latest report from Jinshi Data, CME's "Fed Watch" shows:
The probability of a rate cut of 25 basis points in December is as high as 74.7%
The probability of maintaining the interest rate is only 25.3%
More critically, by January next year:
The cumulative probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 57.7%
The cumulative probability of a 50 basis points rate cut is 25.6%
The probability of maintaining the current rate is only 16.6%
This set of data conveys a clear signal: the Fed's rate cut train has already started, and it is very likely to fire the first shot in December! Market expectations are undergoing a fundamental shift, and the era of liquidity easing is about to return.
What does this mean for crypto enthusiasts?
The probability of a rate cut of 25 basis points in December is as high as 74.7%
The probability of maintaining the interest rate is only 25.3%
More critically, by January next year:
The cumulative probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 57.7%
The cumulative probability of a 50 basis points rate cut is 25.6%
The probability of maintaining the current rate is only 16.6%
This set of data conveys a clear signal: the Fed's rate cut train has already started, and it is very likely to fire the first shot in December! Market expectations are undergoing a fundamental shift, and the era of liquidity easing is about to return.
What does this mean for crypto enthusiasts?
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Interest rate cuts are set, but the dot plot is the real bomb! Xuanmi urgently voices: If you can survive the weekend, you are in the first-class cabin for the next wave of the bull market! It's still not too late to ambush these coins!
Brothers, the colloquial time has come: the current market is like a pot of boiling water, with the fire already bubbling up vigorously. If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates next week, this water might boil over directly! But the key question is: will it burst out immediately, or will it hold back a bit before fully erupting? This is the real turning point drama!
Looking back at last night's bloody scene: the cryptocurrency market once again staged a massacre with high leverage, with over 150,000 people liquidated in 24 hours across the network, blood flowing like a river. Coinglass data shows that the liquidation amount reached $411 million, with shorts suffering a crushing defeat. The largest single liquidation occurred in BTCUSDT, worth over $5 million—behind this is the market's frenzied reaction to interest rate cut expectations.
Looking back at last night's bloody scene: the cryptocurrency market once again staged a massacre with high leverage, with over 150,000 people liquidated in 24 hours across the network, blood flowing like a river. Coinglass data shows that the liquidation amount reached $411 million, with shorts suffering a crushing defeat. The largest single liquidation occurred in BTCUSDT, worth over $5 million—behind this is the market's frenzied reaction to interest rate cut expectations.
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The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, Trump calls for a significant cut, brothers need to be prepared! #美联储降息倒计时
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Will the Federal Reserve significantly cut interest rates tonight? The last train before the cryptocurrency boom!
Brothers, tonight's market is a 'high-voltage switch'; as soon as the Federal Reserve makes a slight adjustment, the entire cryptocurrency world could be ignited or instantly powered down! According to the latest calendar news, the interest rate decision will be announced by the United States at 2 AM on September 17th, with the previous value at 4.50%, and the market generally expects it to drop to 4.25%.
This is not a set of cold data; it is the steering wheel that directly determines the direction of capital flow in the cryptocurrency world! A rate cut means the release of dollar liquidity, and market funds are more motivated to rush into high-risk assets, with the cryptocurrency sector naturally being the first to reap the benefits. Imagine that the big players are holding a powder keg, just waiting for the moment to ignite.
This is not a set of cold data; it is the steering wheel that directly determines the direction of capital flow in the cryptocurrency world! A rate cut means the release of dollar liquidity, and market funds are more motivated to rush into high-risk assets, with the cryptocurrency sector naturally being the first to reap the benefits. Imagine that the big players are holding a powder keg, just waiting for the moment to ignite.
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