Crypto_心诚

The BNB at #BNB创新高 $BTC $SOL has reached a new high, and SOL has rebounded nicely. There are two hidden positives coming up:
1. The BNB ETF may be approved between September and October.
2. The SOL ETF may be approved on October 16.
Once the ETFs are approved, more funds will flow in. Referring to the approval of ETH and BTC ETFs, generally, before approval, the positive expectations will still lead to a rise. After approval, the positive will materialize, causing a drop, but then it will start to rise in the long term again.

BTC
Bitcoin has bounced back exactly to 112300 as we expected, maintaining the overall strategy. As long as the 112300 position holds and the fast and slow lines do not break below the zero axis, it will oscillate within a wide range between 112300 and 116200. However, the market share at this position still remains around 56, which means that most of the share is still on Bitcoin. But for the total market value of the crypto market to increase, it relies not only on Bitcoin but also on other altcoins to drive the overall market cap up. This time, the rebound strength of Bitcoin is indeed relatively weak, and we need to pay attention to another test bottom near 112500, with support at 112500-110500 and resistance at 116200.

ETH
Ethereum's rebound yesterday was indeed very strong, but at this daily level, it has not fully repaired, and still needs a little time. Currently, it rebounded to the neckline position around 4378 yesterday but did not break through. For this wave to continue or undergo a micro reversal, it must stabilize above the position of 4378. If it cannot stabilize, it will oscillate around 4180 to 4378, with support at 4178-4080 and resistance at 4378-4470.

SOL
Buying in batches is possible below 180. Now the market is criticizing SOL, but this is actually the opportunity.

8.20

The panic index has fallen to 44, with an average of 73 last week, the lowest since June 22. This week, two major events will affect the market, and some funds may flee early. BTC's ETF has seen an outflow of 500 million in recent days. Early Thursday morning is the Federal Reserve meeting, which will decide whether to cut interest rates in September. On Friday, Powell will give a speech, which may be bearish regarding not cutting rates in the face of stubborn inflation.

BTC
As mentioned in yesterday's expectations, we should pay attention to a second bottom test or a spike. Currently, the market has experienced a second bottom test, but no spike has occurred. As long as the market does not spike for a day, it creates panic. Bitcoin is particularly critical right now; we initially mentioned the need to guard against daily divergence in Bitcoin. Just as expected, after forming a divergence, there has been a quick pullback. The pullback has now reached a very critical threshold, which is the daily level neckline, and also a dividing line for bulls and bears. Today, there will be some news, so we should focus on whether the critical level of 112,300 can hold. If it cannot hold, the price will move around 108,700 and 105,000. If this level does not stabilize, we will face an imminent weekly adjustment. Short-term resistance is around 114,600-115,900.

ETH
Ethereum is similar; it is still in the process of retracement. Overall, it has not finished its correction. Even if the correction ends, it will take time to recover. For those optimistic about Ethereum's upcoming market, this position can be used as a first entry for a rebound. In the short term, focus on the support levels of 4,020-3,878 and resistance levels of 4,175-4,240.

#加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH

8.19

BTC
Bitcoin bounced off the support of the trend line yesterday. We need to pay attention to the continuity of this rebound because the good point this week is that after Monday's weekly close, it went down for a retest. This provides some room for performance on Wednesday and Thursday of this week. However, for this position to strengthen, it must stabilize above 117,000. Otherwise, it might follow the previous trend line for a retest and then fix the divergence at the daily level before choosing a direction. In summary, if it cannot rise above the 117,000 mark during the day, it will fluctuate and correct around 117,000 to 114,800. Next, we need to pay attention to whether the news on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday will affect market trends. Support is at 114,800-112,500, and resistance is at 117,000-118,500.

ETH
Ethereum is currently experiencing a high-level divergence at this position on the daily chart. This position is very critical; if it cannot stabilize above it, a larger-scale correction will occur. During the day, pay close attention to whether the position at 4,380 can stabilize. If it cannot hold, we should be alert for another downward movement or even a spike. Support is at 4,225-4,122, and resistance is at 4,380-4,470.

#山寨季何时到来？ $BTC $ETH

According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate in September is 15.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 84.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate in October is 6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 42.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 51.5%.

What do you think?

#美联储取消创新活动监管计划 $BTC

8.18

On August 20 (Wednesday) at 23:00, Federal Reserve Governor Waller will speak at a blockchain seminar in Wyoming;
On August 21 (Thursday) at 2:00, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the monetary policy meeting;
On August 21 (Thursday) at 3:00, 2027 FOMC voter and Atlanta Fed President Bostic will speak on the economic outlook;
On August 22 (Friday) at 22:00, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting.

BTC
This week is particularly crucial for Bitcoin, as a gravestone doji has formed at the weekly close. According to the gravestone doji, a pullback is expected, so it will be important to monitor the following: The smaller oscillation range is between 115900 and 120000, while the larger oscillation range is between 112500 and 120300. This week, we will see if it can effectively hold above 120000; only if it holds above 120000 can the bullish trend continue. Currently, Bitcoin is gradually weakening, and the daily indicators have started to show a death cross. Therefore, the overall strategy remains the same: in the short term, it cannot break below 116600; if it does, it will likely oscillate around 112500. If it breaks below 112500, the time required for recovery will extend.

ETH
Ethereum is relatively strong, but there are also short-term adjustment risks. At the current position, the daily level saw a slight upward adjustment yesterday, but the momentum is limited. Currently, Ethereum is undergoing a corrective adjustment, with the hourly level being suppressed by the trendline. However, the overall direction is positive because there are several meetings in the latter half of this week regarding the potential interest rate cut in September. Therefore, if Ethereum does not hold above 4573 this week, we should prepare for a downward spike. However, the spike will quickly recover upwards, which could be an opportunity for us. Support levels are 4385-4320-4180, and resistance levels are 4535-4573-4640.

#主流币轮动上涨 $BTC $ETH

October-November 2025: If the overall crypto market enters a crazy bull phase

SOL will reach $560

11:10 AM - Technical analysis shows SOL forming a bullish cup and handle pattern, target price $302-$435-$560

4:32 PM - Heaven platform LIGHT token market cap surpasses $135 million, surging 62.29% in 24 hours

4:33 PM - Helius launches innovative features, allowing users to earn SOL rewards through trading

4:51 PM - Rumors of MoonPay collaborating with BAGS platform, potentially launching new features

These messages indicate that the Solana ecosystem is developing rapidly, particularly in the innovations of infrastructure and DeFi protocols, providing strong fundamental support for SOL's price. SOL indeed has strong potential for a rebound

#主流币轮动上涨 $SOL

Ondo Finance is a leading project in the real asset tokenization (RWA) space, focusing on tokenizing traditional financial assets through blockchain technology. The project has shown outstanding performance in the development of institutional-level DeFi products, providing investors with innovative ways to access traditional financial markets.

Core Business Model:

🏦 Institutional-level tokenization product development

💰 Real asset on-chain services

🔗 Bridge between traditional finance and DeFi

On the morning of August 3rd at 6:33 AM, DefiLlama data shows that the total locked value (TVL) in the RWA field has reached $12.361 billion, among which the TVL of BlackRock's BUIDL products has reached $2.398 billion, demonstrating the strong growth momentum of the entire RWA space.

📊 Technical Analysis

Moving Average System:

EMA5 (1.0206) > EMA10 (1.0176) > EMA20 (1.0117), short-term moving averages are in a bullish arrangement
Price is running above all key moving averages, technical outlook is strong

Momentum Indicators:

MACD: DIF (0.0074) > DEA (0.0065), HIST bars are positive, bullish momentum continues

RSI: RSI6 (65.75), RSI12 (65.62) are in a strong range but not overheated

KDJ: K (82.32), D (82.80) are at high levels, indicating short-term adjustment pressure

💡 Trading Opportunity Analysis

🎯 Long Opportunities

Based on the following factors, ONDO presents a clear long signal:

Strong fundamental support: Robinhood launch + White House report recognition is a double boon

Technical alignment: Breakthrough of the key psychological level at $1, moving averages in bullish arrangement

Positive funding environment: Contract long-short ratio exceeds 10:1, high market consensus

Market outlook: RWA market expected to reach $600 billion by 2030

📋 Specific Trading Strategy

Spot Recommendations:

Entry Range: 1.01-1.03 USDT

Target Price: 1.14 USDT (second resistance level)

Stop Loss: 0.996 USDT (below key support)

Contract Recommendations:

Suitable for: 3-5x leverage long

Entry: Pullback to 1.015-1.020 range

Take Profit: Gradually at 1.08, 1.14, 1.64 USDT

Risk Control: Strictly set stop loss at 0.996

🎯 Investment Recommendations
Given ONDO's leading position in the RWA space, recent significant positive news, and positive technical performance, it is recommended to actively monitor and moderately allocate. This project combines fundamental value and short-term catalysts, making it one of the few high-certainty opportunities in the current market.

It is advised to continue holding and to moderately increase positions during pullbacks. For new investors, it is recommended to gradually build positions during technical pullbacks.

$ONDO #RWA

Recently, the secondary market sectors have started to rotate. In this wave of market movements, few people are talking about the exchange's MEME coins. Speaking of secrets, we can pay attention to $PNUT .

This coin was once very popular, and now it is very sluggish. However, back then, Pepe was in a similar situation, and it eventually rose over 30 times from the bottom. We can use it as a comparison:
PEPE was washed for over 290 days before a violent surge.
PNUT has also been washed for over 280 days now, and its current pattern is very similar to Pepe's at that time. It is now also in a state of accumulating at a low level. However, under the current circumstances, it is unrealistic to use last year's narrative for speculation. It depends on whether the main players can push it up with other favorable news because the upper limit of Punt is no less than the popularity of Pepe back then. Therefore, we should focus on whether the operators have accumulated enough concentrated chips. As long as enough chips are accumulated, it is very hopeful to rise to $1.

If Sol follows up with a rebound, it will also drive its ecological tokens to stretch upwards.

In summary, this position can be used to enter a first position to exchange time for space. What if it rises by a dollar? That would be five times.

For reference only, wish everyone prosperity💰

#主流币轮动上涨 $PNUT

$SOL #加密市场回调 8.17
This week's PPI exceeded expectations, leading to a decline in interest rate cut expectations. Additionally, Trump has started imposing tariffs again, with a 300% tariff on chips. U.S. stocks fell back from historical highs on Friday, influenced by Trump's latest tariff threats, causing widespread declines in chip stocks, which continued to affect the cryptocurrency market. However, on-chain data shows that BTC and ETH are still flowing out of exchanges, with a high proportion of whales.

Next Thursday at 2 AM, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting. Following the unexpectedly weak employment report and encouraging CPI data in July, Powell may pave the way for an interest rate cut in September.
Let's take a look at the institutional entry prices:
BTC is $100,000 - $110,000
ETH is around $3,500
BNB is around $760

BTC
Currently, Bitcoin is maintaining a consolidation over the weekend. At this position, the daily level has formed a divergence, and similarly, the key level to pay attention to is 117,000. In simple terms, the current consolidation range is between 117,000 and 120,300. If it continues to hover around 117,000 without breaking below, it will consolidate within this range, while repairing before moving upwards. If it breaks below, it will move around 112,500, so today and tomorrow we need to pay attention to its directional choice.

ETH
Ethereum is also in consolidation. At this position, the daily level may attempt to retest the previous high, but the prerequisite is that the four-hour slow line cannot cross below the zero axis. For this market to strengthen, it needs to hold above 4488. Given that liquidity is relatively weak over the weekend, its small-scale rebound is also relatively weak, so further observation is needed. The current consolidation range is between 4380 and 4488, with support at 4380-4330-4270 and resistance at 4488-4540.

Altcoins to watch include DOGE, ONDO, and RAY.

8.16
BTC
Bitcoin is expected to show direction in the next day or two. Bitcoin is facing a directional choice, as the weekend should correct the market from the previous days before deciding on a direction. Overall, the key focus is whether a divergence can form on the daily chart. If it does, the adjustment period will be extended. On a smaller time frame, pay attention to whether the hourly level can exhibit a downward oscillation, with support at 116800-114000 and resistance at 118900-12000.

ETH
Ethereum also needs to pay attention to whether a divergence can form on the daily chart at this position. However, the prerequisite at this point is to ensure that the four-hour MACD does not break below the zero line. If it does break below the zero line, it will trigger a pullback and extend the cycle. As long as the highs and lows on the 15-minute chart are rising, a small rebound will occur, with support at 4330-4260 and resistance at 4488-4540$BTC #美国7月PPI年率高于预期

BTC
Tonight's PPI exceeded expectations, which is bearish for BTC, and it dropped from a high. During the weekly review, I reminded everyone that this position must be monitored for any divergence at the daily level. Currently, after last night's bearish news from the market, we need time to recover. Since today is Friday and the weekend is approaching, it's just right for a recovery and some consolidation. Fortunately, yesterday's pullback reached the trend line's position and rebounded. The overall strategy remains unchanged. Now we need to focus on whether the weekly level can hold above 120,500. If it cannot stabilize, we need to watch for a potential top formation at high levels. The current consolidation range is between 120,500 and 112,500. Where it goes, we will look for signs. Support is at 117,000-112,500, resistance at 120,300-122,500.

ETH
Ethereum mentioned yesterday that institutions and foundations are gradually offloading. After this pullback, Ethereum rebounded quite strongly, but this position also needs some time to recover. The current consolidation range is between 4,488 and 4,640, with support at 4,568-4,488 and resistance at 4,640-4,710.

#BTC再创新高

8.14
BTC
The big pancake has already broken the previous high. Overall, this position is still bullish. In fact, there isn't much to say about the current market; there is no formation of a top yet. So, it will either rise or consolidate—those are the only two scenarios. Even if there is a pullback, it won't be very deep; it needs to establish a structure, and currently, it hasn't formed the corresponding structure. Therefore, a significant drop is not visible, with support at 121800-120500

ETH
Ethereum is really very strong, showing no signs of a pullback. Even if there is a pullback, it will be a minor level correction. It seems that HashKey Capital's address has once again sold 7,300 ETH, having recently sold 31,300 ETH. In recent days, there are signs that the foundation and some institutions are offloading, so it’s essential to pay attention to market changes at this position. Therefore, one must be highly sensitive to the market currently. Ethereum is still climbing upward, and as per previous thoughts, as long as it can hold above 4800, it will move toward 5000. However, the higher it goes, the greater the risk at this position. While Ethereum is moving upward, we need to pay attention to the rotation of altcoins. Yesterday, it rotated to platform coins, with support at 4640-4580 and resistance at 4800-4900.

SOL
As we anticipated, it is continuing in a consolidating uptrend. The weekly level has not yet fully developed, so we can wait a bit longer, focusing on the upper range between 213 and 253.

#BTC再创新高 $BTC $ETH

SOL Price Target Analysis Report 🚀

Current Market Performance 📊

Current SOL Price: $194.4
24-Hour Trading Volume: $202 million

Market Sentiment: Strong Uptrend

Price Target Forecast 🎯

Short-Term Target (1-2 weeks)

Target Price: $196.95 ⬆️

This is the current technical resistance level

Breakout Probability: High

Based on current strong momentum and technical indicators support

Medium-Term Target (1-3 months)

Target Price: $210-220 🔥

Based on Fibonacci extension analysis

Institutional funds continue to flow in to support

Increased recognition in traditional finance

Long-Term Target (6-12 months)

Target Price: $250-300 🚀

Based on strong fundamental growth

Continuous expansion of the Solana ecosystem

Increased institutional adoption

Technical Support Analysis 📈

Current Technical Status

Trend: Strong Uptrend ✅

RSI6: 89.54 (Short-term overbought but no reversal signal)

EMA Arrangement: Perfect Bullish Arrangement

Support Level: $180.62

Resistance Level: $196.95

Key Breakout Level

$199.89: Upper Bollinger Band, once broken will initiate a new upward trend

$210: Psychological level, once broken the target is $220

Fundamental Driving Factors 💪

Major Positive News

🏦 Traditional Finance Entry: China Merchants Bank International issues a fund on Solana

🐋 Institutions Continue to Accumulate: DeFi Development Corp holds 1.3 million SOL

💰 Arthur Hayes Joins: Advisory Committee of Solana Financial Management Company

🔒 Technological Innovations: Breakthroughs in new technologies like privacy wallets

Specific Operational Strategy

Spot Investment:

It is recommended to allocate **5-8%** of total assets to SOL spot

Build Positions in Batches: $190-195 range

Long-Term Holding Target: $250

Contract Trading:

Moderately go long when it retraces to $190-192

Leverage control within 5-10 times

Stop Loss Setting: $180

Risk Warning ⚠️

Short-Term Risks

RSI overheating, a technical pullback may occur

Whale profit-taking pressure

Overall crypto market volatility

Response Strategy

Build positions in batches to avoid chasing highs

Strict stop-loss to control risks

Focus on the breakout situation at the $196.95 resistance level

Final Conclusion 🎯

SOL has a strong foundation for continued growth, short-term target $196.95, medium-term target $210-220, long-term outlook of $250-300. It is recommended to gradually build positions using opportunities from technical pullbacks to seize this fundamental-driven upward trend.

#ETH突破4400

8.13

Last night's CPI annual rate was 3.1%, slightly below expectations, favorable for interest rate cuts in September

BTC
As we expected, Bitcoin is still consolidating at a high level, as its market share is gradually decreasing, which is beneficial for altcoins led by Ethereum. As long as Bitcoin can remain at a high level without a significant pullback, the impact is minimal. The overall strategy remains the same as yesterday; last night it peaked at 120,000, and during the day, as long as this 120,000 level holds, it will oscillate around the range of 120,000 to 117,200. It must not break below 117,200; if it does, it will move around 112,500. Overall, the focus is on high-level consolidation, with support at 117,200-116,300 and resistance at 120,000 and 122,500.

ETH
Ethereum is truly stronger than expected. I previously mentioned this wave of market movement. Since the monthly chart has crossed bullish, it is highly likely to break the previous high, and currently, it is only about 200 dollars away from that high. During this period, buying pressure and trading volume for Ethereum are higher than for Bitcoin, indicating that many institutions are optimistic about it, as Ethereum is the technology that truly implements blockchain. Additionally, I mentioned Ethereum's exchange rate, which has been exceptionally strong after several years; this is a crucial reason for its rise. The key level to watch now is 4,640. Can it hold this position effectively? If it can hold, it will likely move around 5,000. A few days ago, we predicted this wave of Ethereum would oscillate between 5,000 and 6,000, and it is already close to that. In the weekly review on Monday, I mentioned that as long as Ethereum dares to pull back, it is an opportunity to enter. From the market's long-short ratio, there are still many people shorting Ethereum. In summary, the overall direction remains upward, but at this level, it is not advisable to chase with large positions, as the Ethereum Foundation has started to take profits. Support is at 4,488-4,330, and resistance is at 4,640-4,760-4,860.

sol
On Monday, I mentioned to be patient and wait for the supplementary rise. Today, after the market opened, we found that as we wished, we can now look at around 205. As long as it holds above 205, it will oscillate between 213 and 253.

#ETH突破4400 #机构疯抢以太坊

8.12
BTC
Yesterday, the position mentioned broke through the descending trend line, but pay attention to the retest of the descending trend line. In yesterday's market, there was a retest of the descending trend line, but it did not break the descending trend line. Currently, the position mentioned yesterday at the daily level, if there is no significant bullish candle sustaining the rise, one should pay attention to the risk of divergence at the daily level. Currently, the daily closing has remained below 120,000, so we need to observe whether this position can return to within the trend line again. The turning point of this wave of market will revolve around 117,300. If the position of 117,300 is breached, it may lead to wide fluctuations. The range of wide fluctuations is between 112,500 and 120,000. Therefore, in summary, the current large coin is likely to maintain oscillation. Now pay attention to the resistance above and support below, to see which direction it moves, which will determine its directional choice. Support levels are 118,000 - 117,200 - 115,000; resistance levels are 120,000 - 122,000.

ETH
Ethereum at the current position also needs to oscillate. Currently, the four-hour level needs to be repaired. Yesterday, it was mentioned that if the daily level does not stabilize above 4,300, one should be cautious of the risk of daily divergence. Therefore, Ethereum currently either needs to make a retest or continue to consolidate to repair the four-hour level and then choose a direction. To continue to rise, it must not fall below 4,125. Support levels are 4,130 - 4,000; resistance levels are 4,300 - 4,450.

#BTC重返12万 #ETH突破4300

Weekly Review for August 11

August 11
Binance Alpha will launch SatLayer (SLAY) on August 11;
Binance Alpha will launch Xeleb Protocol (XCX) on August 11;

August 12
The United States will release July CPI data on August 12 at 20:30;

August 14
The United States will release July PPI data on August 14 at 20:30;

August 15
SharpLink will hold a conference call to disclose its second-quarter financial report on August 15;

Others (specific time not determined)
Trump plans to meet face-to-face with Putin as early as next week;
Trump states that a new tariff policy on chips will be introduced next week.

BTC
As mentioned yesterday, we are about to see Bitcoin and Sol take turns performing. After yesterday's discussion, it broke the downward trend line and has now returned above 120,000. Currently, we need to pay close attention to Bitcoin at this position, particularly as the daily level is gradually starting to rise. However, this also poses a risk for the future, as if the daily level does not have consecutive bullish candles to drive it up, it may form a divergence at the daily level. Looking at the current market, the overall trend is bullish, so we need to watch if it can stabilize above 120,000, moving around 123,000. Personally, I believe there shouldn't be too many issues. It's early August now, and the market is betting on interest rate cuts in September. If the rate cut in September can bring a wave of liquidity to the market, it will support 120,300-118,300 and face resistance at 123,000-125,000.

ETH
Ethereum remains very strong, as it has now moved into the bullish zone at the weekly level, and the monthly level has also formed a golden cross. Most importantly, Ethereum's exchange rate is currently very strong, indicating that it has not finished rising. The overall direction remains upward, and as long as this position can stabilize above 4,300, it will move around the range of 4,800 to 5,000. However, there are also short-term risks at the daily level because if this position does not have continuous bullish candles to drive it up, it may easily form a divergence. Personally, I believe that a pullback in Ethereum is an opportunity; the deeper the pullback, the greater the opportunity, with support at 4,190-4,050 and resistance at 4,400-4,487-4,640.

SOL
Patiently wait for a rebound.

#BTC重返12万 #ETH突破4300

8.10

From the data, over $4.1 billion worth of ETH has been accumulated by various institutions within a month. The average price of these accumulated ETH is around $3,546. Currently, close to 30% of these addresses are in profit. Therefore, we judge that if ETH reaches around $6000-$7000 in the future, there will be significant risks, as these large capitals have already doubled their profits and may sell off to take profits at any time. Yesterday, the world discovered a situation: Harvard University's investment portfolio secretly bought $117 million worth of Bitcoin ETFs in the past few months. The world's strongest university has also entered the market; Harvard University is filled with genius elites, which will drive more institutions to purchase BTC.
Next week, BTC and SOL may take turns to perform!

BTC
At this position, Bitcoin is about to start a daily level rebound from the zero axis; it is currently poised near the trend line. As long as the daily level can stay above 118300, it will attempt to touch the previous high or even break it. There isn't much to discuss about the current market, but at this position, since both the short and long cycles are in the bullish territory, I personally suggest not to chase in the short term, but to hold in the long term. Today, being Sunday, we should pay attention to how the weekly opening today and tomorrow will determine the market trend for the middle of next week, with support at 117500-116500 and resistance at 120000-122500.

ETH
At this position, it is not recommended to chase Ethereum because 4300 is a relatively important level, and it has already risen significantly from this position, so it is likely to consolidate. If the profit base is relatively large, taking some profits is also acceptable. Next, Ethereum needs to see if it can consolidate at a high level; this consolidation process will present opportunities for altcoins, with support at 4125-3880 and resistance at 4300-4450.

$BTC #ETH走势分析

BTC
Currently, the market share of Bitcoin is gradually decreasing, which is a good thing for altcoins. However, Bitcoin is in a rather awkward position right now, experiencing fluctuations at a high level without breaking the downward trend line. At present, it is in a triangular consolidation phase. It is important to pay attention to whether it can stabilize at the daily level. If it cannot stabilize, it will still oscillate back and forth within the range, which may affect the overall market. Currently, at this position, the four-hour level should pull back to around 115300. As long as this level does not break, it will continue to accumulate strength to the upside, with support at 115300-114100 and resistance at 117400-118300~118700.

ETH
Ethereum has successfully risen above 4000 according to expectations over the past few days. With Bitcoin continuing to consolidate, the window for altcoins has opened. However, looking at Ethereum from this position, it is currently near a historical high. Since the beginning of 2024, it has touched the 4000 level three times. Therefore, the 4100 position has accumulated a large amount of trapped positions at a high level, which will certainly lead to relatively significant divergence. What I want to express is that for traders with average skills, the risks and opportunities at this position are equally significant. However, I still maintain my viewpoint that it is highly likely to continue upward from this position. The last monthly golden cross occurred in October 2023, and this time there has been another monthly golden cross, but it has been more than two years since then. Support levels are 4000 (aggressive) - 3878 - 3620.

SOL
As long as it stabilizes in the range of 183 to 189, it will move towards 200.

Pay attention to altcoins SOL, UNI, JTO, RAY, SUI.

#ETH突破4000

BTC
In the past few days, some policy benefits have driven the market upward, but we see that the secondary market is still suppressed below the descending trend line and has not broken upward. The current position is the same. We need to pay attention to whether the daily level can break through the descending trend line, and the MACD fast and slow lines on the daily must not break below the zero line for the bullish trend to continue. The current market has reached a high level, closing above 116400 today. The support below today is 116400 and 115300. As long as these two positions hold, it will oscillate around the triangle position. This position is very critical; the pressure on the upper trend line is at 118300. A breakthrough will continue to challenge 120000.

ETH
I have been emphasizing to everyone to pay attention to Ethereum during this period because its exchange rate is gradually strengthening, which is a good sign that it is about to break new highs. Ethereum has not stabilized above 4500 since 2021, so many institutions are focusing on Ethereum in this round of market. Therefore, there is an opportunity this year. However, we also need to pay attention to the daily level. If this position does not stabilize above 4000 continuously, we need to be aware that this position is a departure segment at the four-hour level, so we need to pay attention to the auxiliary indicators returning to the zero line again. Therefore, at this position, whether it is Bitcoin or Ethereum, we need to choose the larger direction. Support is at 3750-3675, resistance is at 4000.

SOL
We see that the big players in the market have already surged, but as a major public chain, Solana has not made much of an impact. However, based on its TVL and on-chain transaction volume, the current price does not meet market expectations. Therefore, I still hold the view that Solana should be watched for its catch-up. When the market is criticizing Solana for not rallying, it is actually the best time to layout. Support is at 171-160 for phased layouts, resistance is at 180-195-205

#比特币流动性危机 $BTC

The 401K issue is probably one of the top benefits for cryptocurrencies, no less than the approval of a spot ETF. Many friends may not yet understand what benefits there would be if investors could invest in cryptocurrencies through a 401K, so I will express it with a picture.

#特朗普允许401(k)投资加密货币