经济不确定性

🌍 **Key Trends in the Global Economy**
1. **Divergent Growth**: Expansion in Asian manufacturing (led by China and India), while service industries in Europe and the U.S. are weak; U.S. unemployment rate falls to 4.1%, but new jobs are mainly government-driven (accounting for 49.7%).
2. **Risk of Trade Wars**: Trump imposes tariffs of 25%-40% on 14 countries (effective August 1), impacting global supply chains.
3. **Oil Price Plunge**: WTI crude oil falls to $65.84 per barrel, potentially dropping to $60 in the fourth quarter.

### 💵 **Stablecoin Market**
- **Market Cap Surpasses $255.3 Billion**, with USDT ($159.5 billion) and USDC ($61.8 billion) accounting for 90% share; decentralized stablecoin USDe's market cap skyrockets to $6.2 billion (40-fold year-on-year increase).
- **Regulatory Framework Taking Shape**: The U.S. **GENIUS Act** requires 100% reserves + bans algorithmic stablecoins; Hong Kong's **Stablecoin Regulation** effective in August supports multi-currency peg.

₿ **Cryptocurrency Market**
- **Bitcoin Surpasses $109,000**, with Standard Chartered predicting it could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025; institutions increased their holdings by 245,000 bitcoins in the first half of the year (up 375% year-on-year).
- **Ethereum Leads Public Chains**: Technical upgrades (Pectra hard fork) and favorable regulations (ETH classified as “digital commodity”) drive institutional entry; Solana driven by meme coins, with a target price of $331 in 2025 (+70%).

🔮 **Future Trends**
- **Stablecoins**: Market size could reach $2 trillion by 2028 (annual growth rate of 60%).
- **RWA (Real World Asset Tokenization)**: Market size could reach $16 trillion by 2030, with stablecoins accounting for 30%-50% share.

**Risk Warning**: Escalation of trade wars, insufficient transparency of stablecoin reserves, volatility in U.S. Treasury yields.

> 💎 **Summary**: In the short term, policy compliance (Hong Kong licenses + U.S. legislation) could trigger market surges; in the long term, Bitcoin becomes “digital gold,” and stablecoins reshape the global payment system.

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#经济不确定性
#BTC☀
#etf以太坊
#solana

The renewed surge in gold prices reflects a complex and multi-dimensional financial landscape.

On the one hand, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and large-scale gold purchases by global central banks have pushed up gold prices. This is not only a response to future economic uncertainty, but also reflects the desire for safe-haven assets​​​ ​.

On the other hand, this rise has also exposed some deep-seated problems in the current financial system, including concerns about continued inflation and reflections of geopolitical tensions.
For the Bitcoin market, the rise in gold prices is both a challenge and an opportunity. Some may view the rise in gold prices as a sign of the increasing appeal of safe-haven assets and turn to traditional safe-haven assets. However, for investors looking to hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies may be more attractive because of their potential store of value capabilities.

In this era of uncertainty, the rise in gold prices is not only a reflection of market dynamics, but also a testimony to the deep intertwining of the global economic and political situation. In this case, viewing gold and Bitcoin as complementary rather than antagonistic assets could be a strategy to hedge against future uncertainty.
#金价 #比特币预测 #避险资产 #经济不确定性 #投资策略 $BTC

I recently went to the hospital for three days and I want to complain about the current situation in a prefecture-level city in the central region:



Seeing a doctor: I can get reimbursement in the first week, but in the second week, our hospital held a meeting and I can’t get reimbursement. No matter what medicine I buy, as long as the diagnosis results are relevant or not, I can’t get reimbursed. Regarding registration, I paid the registration fee on the weekend and I was clearly told to come tomorrow, but today I was told to hurry up and take an X-ray and then I can’t get reimbursed. Two weeks ago, I had a headache and the registration fee was 10 yuan, but the same doctor was 20 yuan today, three weeks later.



Housing: Call a certain bureau in a prefecture-level city in the central region, whether it is under your jurisdiction or not, you wait and see, we have already made arrangements. It’s useless to contact me. It’s like a lackey, smiling but not doing anything.



Going to school: Reviewing the school district location, we didn’t promise to be assigned to the nearest school, right? (mmp, when promoting, the mouth must be long below)



In a word, it’s a mouth-selling, a lackey. You must stay away from this kind of thing if you can’t afford to offend it, and even if you are innocent, it’s as disgusting as dog skin. Of course, you can't blame the environment for your failure. If you can't afford it, don't put it up? If you can't afford to buy a pre-sale house, why don't you buy a ready-made house? Who asked you to come together to defend your rights? How can the lower class contact the upper class?

#Telegram创始人被捕 #区块链合规 #经济不确定性

25 years in the cryptocurrency world is a stage for three people: Trump, Musk, Powell. We are just ticket-buying spectators.
Candlestick charts and various aggregate indicators are merely tools for presenting liquidity under political and economic events.
#经济不确定性