叶Sir

View on Ethereum contracts for the day #ETH , looking for a pullback around 3260-3280, allocate positions based on your own capital! Looking up at 3380-3400 for short-term today!

Today's Share

Analyst Peter Brandt previously predicted that the price of Bitcoin would rise to $125,000 to $150,000 in August or September, noting that it would present a parabolic upward trend over the years. As of July, his predictions have been accurately fulfilled. Analysis indicates that Bitcoin has entered a breakout phase that appears to resemble a 'bullish flag' pattern, with a strong upward trend (flagpole) confirming the parallel trend lines formed thereafter. Currently, BTC is expected to rise to $130,000 in August, which is the measured upward target of the flag after adding the height of the flagpole to the breakout point. However, Peter Brandt warns that after Bitcoin reaches the range of $125,000 to $150,000, a 50% correction may occur. Nevertheless, some analysts believe that after breaking through the $150,000 target, the upward momentum will continue. #BTC突破12万大关 #BTC再创新高 #美国加密周 #ETH突破3000

In the past 3 days, this whale/institution has transferred 26,000 ETH to CEX, worth approximately 74.11 million dollars at current prices. Previously, this address redeemed a total of 155,000 ETH from staking through 3 wallets, and since June 11, it has transferred a total of 146,000 ETH to CEX, with a cumulative value of approximately 371 million dollars. Currently, this address has only 8,919 ETH left (approximately 26.21 million dollars), and it is expected that after one or two more transfers, the liquidation will be basically completed.
#ETH突破3000
#BTC再创新高

Yesterday, the market continued to gain momentum, with BTC almost breaking the $120,000 mark. The brothers in the car must be laughing with joy. However, on the other hand, 200,000 people were liquidated in just one day. One can only say that the cruelty of the crypto market is never absent; to re-enter the market, one must gather a wave of 'fuel'.

Interestingly, regarding policy direction, it was previously said that cryptocurrencies are 'bad things', leading to the shutdown of exchanges and a ban on mining; now they suddenly mention the 'blockchain revolution'. Yesterday, the Shanghai Municipal State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission even held a special study meeting on cryptocurrency trends. It seems that as major countries around the world gradually release encouraging signals, we can’t sit still either—boldly predicting that in the next five years, there might be state-led exchanges emerging domestically.

Now, talking about BTC itself, the logic behind the current rise is truly different from before. Previously, retail investors clustered together; it was not uncommon for prices to drop 50% during a bear market. Now, institutional funds have become the main force, with stable demand, increasingly resembling gold—having the characteristics of a safe-haven asset while also being able to surge with market risk appetite; this buff stacks up nicely.

The external environment is also supportive. Trump's tariff threats? The market directly chooses to selectively ignore [smirk]. Risk appetite is warming up, Nvidia's market value has exceeded $4 trillion, driving the three major U.S. stock indices higher collectively, with the S&P and Nasdaq hitting new highs, and the Dow Jones is just a breath away from its historical peak.

In the short term, BTC may consolidate for a few days, but a breakout is likely just a matter of time. In the end, it's still that old saying: hold onto your coins, don’t mess around with contracts and fumble about; patience is the way to go.
#BTC
#ETH
#美国加征关税

🔍 Trump's Tariff Policy on the Global Cryptocurrency Market Impact

⚡ 1. Short-term Market Volatility Intensifies
Bitcoin's Safe-Haven Attribute Challenged: On July 7, Trump announced a 25% tariff on allies like Japan and South Korea, and a 30%-50% tariff on countries like South Africa and Brazil. As a result, Bitcoin fell below $108,000 in a single day, alongside a drop in US stocks, indicating it is behaving more like a risk asset than “digital gold” in the short term.

Policy Reversal Triggers Fluctuations: The tariff deadline was pushed from July 9 to August 1, but market concerns remained. Coupled with news of a 50% tariff on Brazil, Bitcoin briefly reached a new high of $112,000 before retreating to $111,000, with significantly increased volatility.

💸 2. Divergence in Capital Flow and Safe-Haven Demand
Emerging Market Capital Shifts to Cryptocurrency: After Brazil faced a 50% tariff, the real plummeted, and some investors sold their local currency to buy Bitcoin, driving prices higher in the short term.
Stablecoins and Decentralized Platforms Favored: Amid trade uncertainty, stablecoin trading accounted for over 70%, and the decentralized exchange XBIT saw a 300% surge in trading volume, becoming a new channel for capital safety.

🚀 3. Long-term Structural Impact
Accelerating Blockchain Cross-Border Payment Applications: Companies are exploring using blockchain to optimize customs clearance processes, and the compliance process for stablecoins (like Ripple RLUSD) in trade settlements is speeding up.
Regulation and Market Resilience Coexist: The US will review the “CLARITY Act” and two other major cryptocurrency bills next week; if a clear regulatory framework is established, it may alleviate the impact of policy uncertainty on the market.

💎 Summary: Trump's tariff policy intensifies volatility in the cryptocurrency market in the short term, undermines Bitcoin's safe-haven attribute, but drives capital towards stablecoins and decentralized platforms; in the long term, it may promote the integration and application of blockchain technology in global trade, forming a pattern of “evolution amid volatility.”
#特朗普
#关税大战
#BTC
#btc再创新高
#ETH

🌍 **Key Trends in the Global Economy**
1. **Divergent Growth**: Expansion in Asian manufacturing (led by China and India), while service industries in Europe and the U.S. are weak; U.S. unemployment rate falls to 4.1%, but new jobs are mainly government-driven (accounting for 49.7%).
2. **Risk of Trade Wars**: Trump imposes tariffs of 25%-40% on 14 countries (effective August 1), impacting global supply chains.
3. **Oil Price Plunge**: WTI crude oil falls to $65.84 per barrel, potentially dropping to $60 in the fourth quarter.

### 💵 **Stablecoin Market**
- **Market Cap Surpasses $255.3 Billion**, with USDT ($159.5 billion) and USDC ($61.8 billion) accounting for 90% share; decentralized stablecoin USDe's market cap skyrockets to $6.2 billion (40-fold year-on-year increase).
- **Regulatory Framework Taking Shape**: The U.S. **GENIUS Act** requires 100% reserves + bans algorithmic stablecoins; Hong Kong's **Stablecoin Regulation** effective in August supports multi-currency peg.

₿ **Cryptocurrency Market**
- **Bitcoin Surpasses $109,000**, with Standard Chartered predicting it could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025; institutions increased their holdings by 245,000 bitcoins in the first half of the year (up 375% year-on-year).
- **Ethereum Leads Public Chains**: Technical upgrades (Pectra hard fork) and favorable regulations (ETH classified as “digital commodity”) drive institutional entry; Solana driven by meme coins, with a target price of $331 in 2025 (+70%).

🔮 **Future Trends**
- **Stablecoins**: Market size could reach $2 trillion by 2028 (annual growth rate of 60%).
- **RWA (Real World Asset Tokenization)**: Market size could reach $16 trillion by 2030, with stablecoins accounting for 30%-50% share.

**Risk Warning**: Escalation of trade wars, insufficient transparency of stablecoin reserves, volatility in U.S. Treasury yields.

> 💎 **Summary**: In the short term, policy compliance (Hong Kong licenses + U.S. legislation) could trigger market surges; in the long term, Bitcoin becomes “digital gold,” and stablecoins reshape the global payment system.

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#经济不确定性
#BTC☀
#etf以太坊
#solana