投资策略

Market Insights: Bitcoin Pullback Possibility Analysis and Target Price

Bitcoin has recently rebounded rapidly from $49,000 to $62,800, and is currently trading sideways around $60,800, with market sentiment gradually turning cautious.

After a rapid rise, the pressure for a pullback has increased, mainly due to profit-taking and technical resistance.

Key retracement targets worth paying attention to:

- **$59,500**: 50% Fibonacci retracement level, which may become short-term support.

- **$56,000**: 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which may become an important support if market sentiment weakens.

Stay vigilant, respond flexibly to pullback risks, and operate rationally.

#比特币政策 #BTC #投资策略 #加密市场反弹

#比特币 #市场分析 #投资策略 #市场动态
Bitcoin Price Trend Analysis: Critical Support Level Faces Threat

The recent price action of Bitcoin has made investors nervous. Despite the recent gains in Bitcoin, the break below $65,000 still highlights a critical threshold. According to the weekly chart, Bitcoin is oscillating around $64,000, which is a potential risk area. As the price of Bitcoin hovers below the key level, a downward trend may occur.

Bitcoin loses support and faces potential downside. Bitcoin has lost the intermediate support level of $66,500, and the support level of $64,000 is under significant threat. If Bitcoin wants to regain its upward momentum, it is crucial to regain $66,500, and then it is crucial to target the top of the range at $73,000.
Currently, Bitcoin is showing indecision and may be in a downward trend, with $64,000 being a key support level. A break above this level could send Bitcoin towards the bottom of the $60,000 range.

The current Bitcoin market situation is complex, with key support level threats and historical market dynamics particularly prominent. While short-term trends appear uncertain, we should remain patient and focus on fundamentals rather than short-term price fluctuations.
Personal opinions, for reference only, follow Sanzang, and share real-time work. $BTC

📢Two major domestic securities firms have spoken out, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in September!

🚀 Galaxy Securities and Founder Securities, two major securities firms, have recently expressed their views on the Fed's interest rate cut trend. It indicates that the Fed's interest rate cut in September is almost a foregone conclusion!

📊 Galaxy Securities analysis pointed out that based on the current economic situation in the United States, it is expected that the Federal Reserve will implement 2 to 3 interest rate cuts in the second half of 2024, with each interest rate cut expected to be 25 basis points, and the cumulative interest rate cut will reach 50 to 75 basis points.

📈 However, Founder Securities believes that according to the guidance of the dot chart, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points this year, and there may be a cumulative interest rate cut of 125 to 150 basis points next year.

💼 Galaxy Securities pointed out that although US consumption is still strong at present, investment is affected by high interest rates, fiscal policy is still expanding, and unemployment is also rising. Therefore, the Fed's interest rate cut can not only ease investment pressure, but also support the economy. Moreover, the US economy is still resilient in the short term, so there is no need to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at one time.

📉 Founder Securities smelled the scent of interest rate cuts from Powell's speech at Jackson Hole. Powell said that the inflation target will be closer and he is confident in the upward inflation target. However, the labor market has cooled down and the downside risks have increased. The Fed does not want to see the labor market cool down further, so it is wise to cut interest rates.

👀 In short, both major brokerages believe that the Fed may cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting in September. Founder Securities also specifically mentioned that the non-agricultural data in August may make the market's expectations for the economy and interest rate cuts clearer.

📈 If these predictions come true, U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index may continue to decline, bringing new trading opportunities to the U.S. stock market and the crypto market.

🔍 So, as retail investors, how should we view these predictions? How will the Fed's interest rate cut decision affect our investment strategy? Leave your thoughts in the comments section and let’s discuss the potential impact of the Fed’s rate cut on the market!

#美联储降息预测 #银河证券 #方正证券 #市场影响 #投资策略

🌸 Why has the Japanese yen central bank's interest rate hike become the focus of global investment markets? 🌐

📈 Hello everyone, today we are going to talk about the deep impact of the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike! Recently, the Japanese parliament announced that it will hold a special meeting on August 23 to focus on the issues and strategies related to the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike. This is not only a major event in Japan, but also the focus of global financial markets.

🤔 Why is the yen's interest rate hike so important? First of all, Japan is the world's fourth largest economy (it has always been the third largest economy, but was recently overtaken by Germany), and any monetary policy changes in the yen will have a chain reaction on the global economy. An interest rate hike means an appreciation of the yen, which may attract capital inflows into Japan, thereby affecting global capital flows and investment patterns.

🌟 Secondly, an interest rate hike may also increase global borrowing costs, which is particularly challenging for emerging markets, as they often rely on low-cost external financing channels. In addition, as a traditional safe-haven currency, the yen's interest rate hike may attract more investors when market uncertainty increases, affecting the global preference for risky investments.

💼 From an investment perspective, the yen rate hike may lead to a repricing of global stock, bond and commodity markets. Investors need to reassess the risks and returns of various assets, especially those closely related to Japan's economy and monetary policy.

🔍 So, how do we interpret this policy change? What are its long-term impacts on the global economy? What does it mean for your portfolio? Will it affect investment sentiment in the crypto market?

💬 Come on, let's discuss it in depth! Share your views on the yen rate hike and its global impact in the comments section!

#日元加息 #全球经济 #投资策略 #市场动态

Today, let's continue to talk about TRU, the native token of the TrueFi project. Without further ado, let's get straight to the point, just like ordering the most expensive wine in a nightclub and enjoying the most enjoyable experience.

**Core of the project**:

1. **Unsecured lending**: TrueFi adopts an unsecured lending model, which is like borrowing money to pick up girls in a nightclub with your face. You don't need to mortgage your property or car, and only look at your character and credit. This not only lowers the threshold for borrowing, but also greatly improves the efficiency of capital utilization.

2. **Trust score system**: TrueFi's trust score system is like Tinder's super-precise matching. Through big data and algorithms, it evaluates the credit rating of borrowers and reduces the risk of bad debts. This system ensures the security and stability of the platform, just like nightclub security guards, preventing trouble.

3. **Liquidity mining**: Participating in liquidity mining on the TrueFi platform, you can not only get TRU rewards, but also enjoy the platform transaction fee share. It's like you are not only drinking in a nightclub, but also having girls to accompany you. Double enjoyment, why not?

**Investment strategy**:

1. **Long-term holding**: Be optimistic about the future development of TrueFi, just like being optimistic about the hottest girl in a nightclub, directly hold TRU for a long time and wait for it to become popular. This model will definitely attract more users and funds in the future.

2. **Liquidity mining**: Brothers with spare money can participate in liquidity mining and get TRU rewards. This process is like ordering wine in a nightclub. Not only do you feel good, but you can also earn points, and you can make money without losing money.

3. **Risk control**: No matter how good a project is, there are risks. Investment should be rational, and positions should be allocated reasonably. Don't be impulsive and put all your wealth into it, just like you can't drink to the point of blacking out in a nightclub, you have to stay sober.

**Future Outlook**:

As the core token of the TrueFi project, TRU not only has an important position in the DeFi field, but also represents the future unsecured lending model. The innovative model of unsecured lending, the security of the trust score system, and the high returns of liquidity mining have laid a solid foundation for the future development of TRU.

#投资策略 $TRU #RWA板块涨势强劲

📊 #BTC stood firm at 15-minute support twice yesterday, and today it went all the way to the 58,000-point pressure level! 🚀 It has stepped back to the 1-hour moving average, but has not yet fallen below it. Let's see how the support is in the future. If it continues to pull up to the 4-hour moving average, we will open a short order at the pressure level, and set the stop loss at around 59,000 points! ⚡️Be careful, don't "fly" too high! 😅

#行情分析 #技术支撑 #投资策略

🇩🇪German government clears out Bitcoin, market gets a little respite? 📊

Hey, cryptocurrency enthusiasts! Good news! The German government cleared out all their Bitcoins, yes, you heard it right, not a single one left! 😲 Does this mean that we can finally breathe a sigh of relief for a while, and no longer have to worry about the market selling pressure caused by the German government's selling?

But the point I want to express is, don't rush to relax, don't forget the Mt.Gox thing? That's 140,000 Bitcoins to be compensated! This number is extremely huge, the market is like a sword of Damocles, and risks may come at any time. 🗡️

So, friends, in the face of such market uncertainty, it is more reliable for us to hold some cash and use it to make a steady and steady strategy. In case Bitcoin plummets due to the compensation of Mt.Gox, we can still take the opportunity to buy at a low price and stock up more Bitcoin, don't you think! 💰

However, the German government's liquidation is a short-term negative for Bitcoin, and the market may be slightly more stable, because the market is still strong in the short term! 📉

But in any case, investors should remain vigilant, allocate assets reasonably, and be prepared to deal with any changes in the market. This is the quality of a mature investor, isn't it?

Finally, do you think the upcoming Mt.Gox repayment incident will affect the crypto market? Feel free to share your views in the comments section!

#德国政府 #比特币清仓 #MtGox赔偿 #加密货币市场 #投资策略

In this uncertain world of cryptocurrency, I often self-deprecate as a 'middle-aged loser', but that doesn't stop me from going all out in my investments. Today, as soon as MOVE opened, it reached a market value of 1.7 billion, which is so strong that it makes me want to curse! This reminds me of those crazy moments when I went 'all-in' in the market.

The latest price of MOVE is 0.7, and I have already bought in fully, with a target price aimed directly at 1.5. It's time to silence the doubters, after all, who doesn't want to make a fortune in this market?

#加密货币 #投资策略 $MOVE

Remember to like, follow, and share, let's witness the miracle together! #市场调整后的方向 #加密市场反弹 #美联储12月降息预期上升

In this ever-changing cryptocurrency market, opportunities are always reserved for those who dare to explore. Last night's market once again proved that as long as the strategy is appropriate and the risk control is in place, whether it is a high-level short order or a low-level long order, we can return with a full load. Bitcoin took long at 103600, with a target of 1075000, and finally broke through 107777, with a profit of 3900 points, which is really exciting! Ethereum took long from 3935 and 3890, with a target of 4100, and 170 points of profit were steadily obtained. Now, the latest price of BTC is 97271.6, I have bought all positions, and the target is higher! Are you ready to continue chasing highs, or wait for a callback before entering the market? #加密货币 #投资策略 $BTC $ETH

Do you like this tweet? Remember to like, follow and forward it! #比特币战略储备 #PCE通胀降温 #比特币市场波动观察

Hey, friends! The recent market is really confusing. The bull market has been going on for three months, and everyone is still talking about those old coins, such as XRP, ADA, and LTC. UNI, CRV, ENA, USUAL, and DYDX in the DEFI sector are also being discussed crazily. What about the AI ​​sector? Although most retail investors' money is here, few people mention WLD, IO, FET, and RENDER. L2, modular chains, and game tokens are even less popular.

So, what stage is the market in? From the logic of the big bull market, does the sector rotation come to DEFI? These coins are too old, and even newcomers don't look at them. To what extent does it have to rise to attract the attention of leeks and let them start to take over?

As a community, we have our own investment research team, strong on-chain data analysis capabilities, master the capital trends of large investors, track the position building trends of Wall Street institutions, and escort everyone's transactions. In this round of rise, we led fans to layout projects such as SAGA, ETHFI, SOL, BNB, TIA, BOME, and WLD, all of which have made profits.

Next Monday, we will lead fans to layout explosive potential coins, and it is not difficult to double. The same news, the same layout, the same opportunity, the team is prioritized.

I have bought $SOL , $BNB , and $WLD in full positions. It is not a dream to double the target price! #投资策略 #市场分析

Don't forget to like, follow, and forward, so that more people can join our team! #PENGU开盘 #美联储放鹰 #市场调整後的机会？

As I drive my truck across the vast highways, I often ponder how to accumulate wealth on this journey of digital currency. Just as driving a truck requires a steady sense of direction, investing also needs a clear strategy.

Today, the target I am focusing on is BB. The current price is 0.38, which is a great time to build a position. BB belongs to the staking and lending sector and has significant potential. The upper resistance is at 0.57, with an expected upside of 20%. As a pragmatic investor, I have fully invested and look forward to its performance.

If you are also looking for the next investment opportunity, consider keeping an eye on BB. #加密货币 #投资策略

$BB $BTC #加密市场回调 #XRP逆势反弹 #市场调整后的方向

Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis
- Resistance and Support: Intraday resistance level 88500-89000, support level 85500-85000.
- Trend Analysis: Daily candlestick pattern approaches the 90000 mark but encounters resistance, short-term upward momentum weakens, and the 4-hour chart shows a reduction in volume indicating a risk of correction, likely entering a range-bound consolidation phase.
- Strategy Suggestion: Conservative investors may wait and observe until the correction is complete, while aggressive investors can buy on dips within the support range; the long-term upward trend remains unchanged, and there is no need to waver in holding confidence.
Ethereum (ETH) Analysis
- Key Price Levels: Upper resistance 2100-2120, lower support 2010-1990.
- Market Prediction: ETH faces short-term pressure but the support level remains solid, with intraday fluctuations likely occurring within this range; pay attention to volume changes and breakout signals.
- Operational Advice: It is recommended to sell high and buy low, taking advantage of range-bound opportunities; the logic of long-term upward movement remains intact, so patience in holding is essential.
Summary: Major cryptocurrencies have entered a short-term adjustment period, and corrections do not indicate reversals; after the correction is completed, there is hope for a resumption of the upward trend. Investors can optimize their positions during the fluctuations, focus on long-term value, and patiently await a new round of market explosions!
😍 #Cryptocurrency #投资策略 Coalfield Friend Shen Dan, working together 🤝🤝
$BTC $ETH

In the classroom of the Finance Department at Tsinghua University, I can't help but think: how to achieve financial freedom in the cryptocurrency market? Learning is certainly important, but the real challenge lies in the ever-changing market dynamics.

Recently, $DOGE has shown remarkable resilience amidst market fluctuations. It has risen by 4.21% in the past 24 hours, and its increase over the past 7 days has reached 3.69%. With market sentiment heating up, this memecoin is expected to hit multi-year highs before the end of the year. Currently, the RSI indicator for DOGE is still in the overbought zone, and the daily trend is also showing an upward trajectory, suggesting that it may continue to rise this week.

Seeing this trend, I decisively bought DOGE with my entire position, looking forward to it becoming the next potential altcoin. Target price? I believe it can break through 0.50! What do you think? Feel free to leave a comment for discussion! #加密货币 #投资策略 $DOGE $BTC #加密沙皇 #以太坊领涨 #币安将上市ACX、ORCA

In the world of cryptocurrency, every day is a new adventure. Today, I found some interesting signals while studying the trend of ETH. The price of ETH fluctuated slightly between 3937 and 3939, and it fell by about 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Technical indicators show that the short-term trend is stable, but the long-term pressure is still there. RSI is below 50, MACD sends a sell signal, and the capital flow also shows that the selling pressure is large. For those who are considering shorting, now may be a good time.

However, I have bought ETH with a full position, and the current price is 3848.06, and the target price is expected to break through 4000. Investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market! If you want to know more about the currency circle, remember to follow me!

$ETH $BTC #加密货币分析 #投资策略 #PEPE市值新高 #币安HODLer空投MOVE #APT、ADA、ENA大额解锁

📈$ETH USDT 4H Market Analysis📉

Key Data Overview
Current Price: 1,552 USDT (+0.97% 24H)
Support Level: 1,516 USDT (Key Defense Zone)
Resistance Level: 1,603 USDT (Breakout Accelerates)
Trend: #震荡偏多 , Building Power for Breakout

📊 Technical Indicators Cautiously Bullish
Moving Averages: MA5 > MA10 > MA20, Short-term Bullish Arrangement, but MA120 (1,804) Still Pressuring Above
MACD: Histogram Rebounding but DIF/DEA Remain Negative, Bulls Need Further Confirmation
BOLL: Price Stabilized at Middle Band (%B=0.59), Upward Testing Upper Band 1,667
RSI/KDJ: RSI Neutral (56.35), KDJ Golden Cross (J=80.61), Short-term Momentum Slightly Strong

💰 Capital and Volume Observation
Funding Rate Neutral, No Extreme Sentiment;
Volume Up + Long-term Capital Inflow, but Short-term Capital Outflow Needs Caution

📔 Holmes's #投资策略
Cautious Bullish Signals:
✅ Dip Buyers: Enter in Batches Near 1,550 (Stop Loss Below 1,516);
✅ Breakout Buyers: Stabilize Above 1,603 to Chase Long (Target 1,640+)
Risk Control Priority: Strict Stop Loss (Within 3%), Avoid False Breakout Risks

⚠️ Reminder: ETH is Still in a Volatile Range, Need to Wait for Stronger Signals, DYOR.

【Like + Follow, Private Message to Join Community for Real-time Analysis.
In the zero-sum game of the cryptocurrency market, there exists a natural information and resource gap between professional institutions and retail investors. Without systematic understanding and trading strategies, ordinary investors are likely to become victims of market volatility. Welcome to join (Gong Zhonghao: Crypto Circle Yang Ge Says) Welcome like-minded friends in the cryptocurrency field to discuss together】

On a sunny morning, I sat in the driver's seat, gripping the steering wheel, with the low rumble of the engine in my ears. Although I was dressed in simple work clothes, the Rolex on my wrist sparkled in the sunlight. As a truck driver, my goal is to accumulate 100 Bitcoins, and on this road, my insights into the crypto market are my secret weapon.

Recently, Uni's performance has been truly impressive, towering above the rest! Last Friday, I set a trap at 12, and it just shot up to 14.6 against the trend. Unfortunately, it encountered a collective pullback in the crypto circle; otherwise, Uni would have definitely risen higher. Now, we patiently wait for the Bitcoin consolidation to end and, in the meantime, set a trap for some ETH, expecting new market trends in about a week.

I have fully invested in ETH and UNI; the current price of ETH is 3989.96, and UNI is 18.16. I predict ETH will break through 4500, and UNI will hit 20. Everyone, get ready to welcome new peaks! #加密货币 #投资策略

$ETH $UNI

If you also have high hopes for this market trend, remember to like, follow, and share!

In the world of cryptocurrency, every fluctuation is an opportunity. Remember when DOGE was at 0.4u and 0.45u, everyone was shouting "aiming for Mars," and now at 0.31u, many are hesitant. The underlying logic of DOGE has never changed, the community remains strong, and Musk is still present. Those who boasted during the ups are now silent during the downs. True investors know that the opportunity is right in front of them.

I have fully bought DOGE, current price 0.33u, target price at least 1u. I believe DOGE can bring you a 300% return. Don't be afraid of the downturn, manage your position well, victory is ahead.

#加密货币 #投资策略 $DOGE $BTC #比特币战略储备 #PCE通胀降温 #比特币市场波动观察

1. Order data distribution
$BTC
There are a lot of concentrated orders from 62488 to 64964 above. There are a lot of concentrated orders from 60221 to 59426 below. The maximum order level: 59788.
$ETH
There are a lot of concentrated orders from 2446 to 2569 above. There are a lot of concentrated orders from 2352 to 2326 below. The maximum order level: 2341.
Note: The huge orders prompted by BTC and ETH yesterday have been largely digested. The recent order data is extremely abnormal. Don't hold orders.

2. Volatility data
BTC:
Implied volatility (IV): slightly down, at a high level
Ps: High IV usually indicates that the market's expectations for future price fluctuations have increased.
Realized volatility (RV): slightly up, at an extremely low level
Ps: Extremely low RV may indicate a lack of market activity.
ETH:
Implied volatility (IV): slightly down. Actual volatility (RV): slightly down, at an extremely low level
Ps: The lower RV reflects the lack of market activity.
Volatility surface: abnormally high, with a large term difference.

3. Exercise analysis
The exercise on that day was mainly bullish, combined with the option block trading: BTC: There were a large number of bearish exercises at 64,000. ETH: There were a large number of bearish exercises at 2,500.
Note: The pattern of building steps, beware of the rapid single-root fluctuations after back and forth.

4. The latest block trading
Overall situation of options:
Putative end ratio: 54.4%
Ps: The put end is slightly higher than 50%, indicating that the market sentiment is cautious.
Positions and trader sentiment:
BTC & ETH: OI is severely differentiated: BTC-OI is at a low level. ETH-OI is at an extremely high level, biased towards large investors. OI difference is significantly differentiated, BTC-OI is at an extremely low level, and ETH-OI is at a high level.
Ps: ETH data is extremely abnormal, and you need to pay attention to mild extreme volatility and "stair climbing" phenomenon.

Yesterday's market: 59300 traded a large number of buy orders, with the same proportion as 65280 sell orders.

This market dynamic shows the potential risk of extreme volatility, especially when the market orders and volatility data are abnormal, investors need to remain vigilant, operate cautiously, and avoid blindly holding positions.

#比特币 #以太坊 #市场动态 #投资策略