投资策略

📢Two major domestic securities firms have spoken out, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in September!

🚀 Galaxy Securities and Founder Securities, two major securities firms, have recently expressed their views on the Fed's interest rate cut trend. It indicates that the Fed's interest rate cut in September is almost a foregone conclusion!

📊 Galaxy Securities analysis pointed out that based on the current economic situation in the United States, it is expected that the Federal Reserve will implement 2 to 3 interest rate cuts in the second half of 2024, with each interest rate cut expected to be 25 basis points, and the cumulative interest rate cut will reach 50 to 75 basis points.

📈 However, Founder Securities believes that according to the guidance of the dot chart, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points this year, and there may be a cumulative interest rate cut of 125 to 150 basis points next year.

💼 Galaxy Securities pointed out that although US consumption is still strong at present, investment is affected by high interest rates, fiscal policy is still expanding, and unemployment is also rising. Therefore, the Fed's interest rate cut can not only ease investment pressure, but also support the economy. Moreover, the US economy is still resilient in the short term, so there is no need to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at one time.

📉 Founder Securities smelled the scent of interest rate cuts from Powell's speech at Jackson Hole. Powell said that the inflation target will be closer and he is confident in the upward inflation target. However, the labor market has cooled down and the downside risks have increased. The Fed does not want to see the labor market cool down further, so it is wise to cut interest rates.

👀 In short, both major brokerages believe that the Fed may cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting in September. Founder Securities also specifically mentioned that the non-agricultural data in August may make the market's expectations for the economy and interest rate cuts clearer.

📈 If these predictions come true, U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index may continue to decline, bringing new trading opportunities to the U.S. stock market and the crypto market.

🔍 So, as retail investors, how should we view these predictions? How will the Fed's interest rate cut decision affect our investment strategy? Leave your thoughts in the comments section and let’s discuss the potential impact of the Fed’s rate cut on the market!

#美联储降息预测 #银河证券 #方正证券 #市场影响 #投资策略

Market Insights: Bitcoin Pullback Possibility Analysis and Target Price

Bitcoin has recently rebounded rapidly from $49,000 to $62,800, and is currently trading sideways around $60,800, with market sentiment gradually turning cautious.

After a rapid rise, the pressure for a pullback has increased, mainly due to profit-taking and technical resistance.

Key retracement targets worth paying attention to:

- **$59,500**: 50% Fibonacci retracement level, which may become short-term support.

- **$56,000**: 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which may become an important support if market sentiment weakens.

Stay vigilant, respond flexibly to pullback risks, and operate rationally.

#比特币政策 #BTC #投资策略 #加密市场反弹

#比特币 #市场分析 #投资策略 #市场动态
Bitcoin Price Trend Analysis: Critical Support Level Faces Threat

The recent price action of Bitcoin has made investors nervous. Despite the recent gains in Bitcoin, the break below $65,000 still highlights a critical threshold. According to the weekly chart, Bitcoin is oscillating around $64,000, which is a potential risk area. As the price of Bitcoin hovers below the key level, a downward trend may occur.

Bitcoin loses support and faces potential downside. Bitcoin has lost the intermediate support level of $66,500, and the support level of $64,000 is under significant threat. If Bitcoin wants to regain its upward momentum, it is crucial to regain $66,500, and then it is crucial to target the top of the range at $73,000.
Currently, Bitcoin is showing indecision and may be in a downward trend, with $64,000 being a key support level. A break above this level could send Bitcoin towards the bottom of the $60,000 range.

The current Bitcoin market situation is complex, with key support level threats and historical market dynamics particularly prominent. While short-term trends appear uncertain, we should remain patient and focus on fundamentals rather than short-term price fluctuations.
Personal opinions, for reference only, follow Sanzang, and share real-time work. $BTC

In the world of cryptocurrency, every fluctuation can be a new opportunity. Last night I sensed that a big market move was about to happen, and sure enough, the price of $ETH has begun to show strong momentum. How many people followed my advice and entered short positions? They are now reaping significant rewards. Next, where will the price of ETH pull back to? Where is the best time to buy the dip? By following the right people and doing the right things, one can remain undefeated in the market.

I have fully invested in $ETH , the current price is 3381.4, and I expect the subsequent target price to break through 3500. Opportunities wait for no one, take action now! #加密货币 #投资策略

$ETHFI $BTC #比特币战略储备 #加密市场反弹 #USUAL走势分析

🌸 Why has the Japanese yen central bank's interest rate hike become the focus of global investment markets? 🌐

📈 Hello everyone, today we are going to talk about the deep impact of the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike! Recently, the Japanese parliament announced that it will hold a special meeting on August 23 to focus on the issues and strategies related to the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike. This is not only a major event in Japan, but also the focus of global financial markets.

🤔 Why is the yen's interest rate hike so important? First of all, Japan is the world's fourth largest economy (it has always been the third largest economy, but was recently overtaken by Germany), and any monetary policy changes in the yen will have a chain reaction on the global economy. An interest rate hike means an appreciation of the yen, which may attract capital inflows into Japan, thereby affecting global capital flows and investment patterns.

🌟 Secondly, an interest rate hike may also increase global borrowing costs, which is particularly challenging for emerging markets, as they often rely on low-cost external financing channels. In addition, as a traditional safe-haven currency, the yen's interest rate hike may attract more investors when market uncertainty increases, affecting the global preference for risky investments.

💼 From an investment perspective, the yen rate hike may lead to a repricing of global stock, bond and commodity markets. Investors need to reassess the risks and returns of various assets, especially those closely related to Japan's economy and monetary policy.

🔍 So, how do we interpret this policy change? What are its long-term impacts on the global economy? What does it mean for your portfolio? Will it affect investment sentiment in the crypto market?

💬 Come on, let's discuss it in depth! Share your views on the yen rate hike and its global impact in the comments section!

#日元加息 #全球经济 #投资策略 #市场动态

In this uncertain world of cryptocurrency, I often self-deprecate as a 'middle-aged loser', but that doesn't stop me from going all out in my investments. Today, as soon as MOVE opened, it reached a market value of 1.7 billion, which is so strong that it makes me want to curse! This reminds me of those crazy moments when I went 'all-in' in the market.

The latest price of MOVE is 0.7, and I have already bought in fully, with a target price aimed directly at 1.5. It's time to silence the doubters, after all, who doesn't want to make a fortune in this market?

#加密货币 #投资策略 $MOVE

Remember to like, follow, and share, let's witness the miracle together! #市场调整后的方向 #加密市场反弹 #美联储12月降息预期上升

Today, let's continue to talk about TRU, the native token of the TrueFi project. Without further ado, let's get straight to the point, just like ordering the most expensive wine in a nightclub and enjoying the most enjoyable experience.

**Core of the project**:

1. **Unsecured lending**: TrueFi adopts an unsecured lending model, which is like borrowing money to pick up girls in a nightclub with your face. You don't need to mortgage your property or car, and only look at your character and credit. This not only lowers the threshold for borrowing, but also greatly improves the efficiency of capital utilization.

2. **Trust score system**: TrueFi's trust score system is like Tinder's super-precise matching. Through big data and algorithms, it evaluates the credit rating of borrowers and reduces the risk of bad debts. This system ensures the security and stability of the platform, just like nightclub security guards, preventing trouble.

3. **Liquidity mining**: Participating in liquidity mining on the TrueFi platform, you can not only get TRU rewards, but also enjoy the platform transaction fee share. It's like you are not only drinking in a nightclub, but also having girls to accompany you. Double enjoyment, why not?

**Investment strategy**:

1. **Long-term holding**: Be optimistic about the future development of TrueFi, just like being optimistic about the hottest girl in a nightclub, directly hold TRU for a long time and wait for it to become popular. This model will definitely attract more users and funds in the future.

2. **Liquidity mining**: Brothers with spare money can participate in liquidity mining and get TRU rewards. This process is like ordering wine in a nightclub. Not only do you feel good, but you can also earn points, and you can make money without losing money.

3. **Risk control**: No matter how good a project is, there are risks. Investment should be rational, and positions should be allocated reasonably. Don't be impulsive and put all your wealth into it, just like you can't drink to the point of blacking out in a nightclub, you have to stay sober.

**Future Outlook**:

As the core token of the TrueFi project, TRU not only has an important position in the DeFi field, but also represents the future unsecured lending model. The innovative model of unsecured lending, the security of the trust score system, and the high returns of liquidity mining have laid a solid foundation for the future development of TRU.

#投资策略 $TRU #RWA板块涨势强劲

📊 #BTC stood firm at 15-minute support twice yesterday, and today it went all the way to the 58,000-point pressure level! 🚀 It has stepped back to the 1-hour moving average, but has not yet fallen below it. Let's see how the support is in the future. If it continues to pull up to the 4-hour moving average, we will open a short order at the pressure level, and set the stop loss at around 59,000 points! ⚡️Be careful, don't "fly" too high! 😅

#行情分析 #技术支撑 #投资策略

$PEOPLE
♠️ Brothers! A10JQK is here to reveal the news again! There are so many big events in the cryptocurrency circle tonight!

♣️ Puffer Finance has completed the snapshot. Did everyone participate?

♦️ Trump is going to return to the "crime scene"? What kind of storm is this going to stir up!

🃏 The US government is going to take back 200,000 USDT? Is this to fight crime or to control cryptocurrencies?

♥️ EigenLayer suffered a $5.7 million hacker attack, but it was called an "isolated" incident. Do you believe it?

♠️ Mark Cuban said that if the SEC chairman was not Gary Gensler, the collapse of FTX could have been avoided. What is this implying?

♣️ The founder of CryptoQuant said that social media has an increasing impact on the financial market, and BTC is a typical example. Do you think social media cryptocurrency speculation is reliable?

♦️ QCP Capital warns that geopolitical risks before the US election are the biggest hidden danger. Brothers, how should we deal with it?

Let's talk about your opinions! Which piece of news makes you most excited? What are your unique insights?
$SOL
$BTC
#币圈大事件 #加密货币分析 #投资策略

🇩🇪German government clears out Bitcoin, market gets a little respite? 📊

Hey, cryptocurrency enthusiasts! Good news! The German government cleared out all their Bitcoins, yes, you heard it right, not a single one left! 😲 Does this mean that we can finally breathe a sigh of relief for a while, and no longer have to worry about the market selling pressure caused by the German government's selling?

But the point I want to express is, don't rush to relax, don't forget the Mt.Gox thing? That's 140,000 Bitcoins to be compensated! This number is extremely huge, the market is like a sword of Damocles, and risks may come at any time. 🗡️

So, friends, in the face of such market uncertainty, it is more reliable for us to hold some cash and use it to make a steady and steady strategy. In case Bitcoin plummets due to the compensation of Mt.Gox, we can still take the opportunity to buy at a low price and stock up more Bitcoin, don't you think! 💰

However, the German government's liquidation is a short-term negative for Bitcoin, and the market may be slightly more stable, because the market is still strong in the short term! 📉

But in any case, investors should remain vigilant, allocate assets reasonably, and be prepared to deal with any changes in the market. This is the quality of a mature investor, isn't it?

Finally, do you think the upcoming Mt.Gox repayment incident will affect the crypto market? Feel free to share your views in the comments section!

#德国政府 #比特币清仓 #MtGox赔偿 #加密货币市场 #投资策略

1. Order data distribution
$BTC
There are a lot of concentrated orders from 62488 to 64964 above. There are a lot of concentrated orders from 60221 to 59426 below. The maximum order level: 59788.
$ETH
There are a lot of concentrated orders from 2446 to 2569 above. There are a lot of concentrated orders from 2352 to 2326 below. The maximum order level: 2341.
Note: The huge orders prompted by BTC and ETH yesterday have been largely digested. The recent order data is extremely abnormal. Don't hold orders.

2. Volatility data
BTC:
Implied volatility (IV): slightly down, at a high level
Ps: High IV usually indicates that the market's expectations for future price fluctuations have increased.
Realized volatility (RV): slightly up, at an extremely low level
Ps: Extremely low RV may indicate a lack of market activity.
ETH:
Implied volatility (IV): slightly down. Actual volatility (RV): slightly down, at an extremely low level
Ps: The lower RV reflects the lack of market activity.
Volatility surface: abnormally high, with a large term difference.

3. Exercise analysis
The exercise on that day was mainly bullish, combined with the option block trading: BTC: There were a large number of bearish exercises at 64,000. ETH: There were a large number of bearish exercises at 2,500.
Note: The pattern of building steps, beware of the rapid single-root fluctuations after back and forth.

4. The latest block trading
Overall situation of options:
Putative end ratio: 54.4%
Ps: The put end is slightly higher than 50%, indicating that the market sentiment is cautious.
Positions and trader sentiment:
BTC & ETH: OI is severely differentiated: BTC-OI is at a low level. ETH-OI is at an extremely high level, biased towards large investors. OI difference is significantly differentiated, BTC-OI is at an extremely low level, and ETH-OI is at a high level.
Ps: ETH data is extremely abnormal, and you need to pay attention to mild extreme volatility and "stair climbing" phenomenon.

Yesterday's market: 59300 traded a large number of buy orders, with the same proportion as 65280 sell orders.

This market dynamic shows the potential risk of extreme volatility, especially when the market orders and volatility data are abnormal, investors need to remain vigilant, operate cautiously, and avoid blindly holding positions.

#比特币 #以太坊 #市场动态 #投资策略

Hey, friends! The recent market is really confusing. The bull market has been going on for three months, and everyone is still talking about those old coins, such as XRP, ADA, and LTC. UNI, CRV, ENA, USUAL, and DYDX in the DEFI sector are also being discussed crazily. What about the AI ​​sector? Although most retail investors' money is here, few people mention WLD, IO, FET, and RENDER. L2, modular chains, and game tokens are even less popular.

So, what stage is the market in? From the logic of the big bull market, does the sector rotation come to DEFI? These coins are too old, and even newcomers don't look at them. To what extent does it have to rise to attract the attention of leeks and let them start to take over?

As a community, we have our own investment research team, strong on-chain data analysis capabilities, master the capital trends of large investors, track the position building trends of Wall Street institutions, and escort everyone's transactions. In this round of rise, we led fans to layout projects such as SAGA, ETHFI, SOL, BNB, TIA, BOME, and WLD, all of which have made profits.

Next Monday, we will lead fans to layout explosive potential coins, and it is not difficult to double. The same news, the same layout, the same opportunity, the team is prioritized.

I have bought $SOL , $BNB , and $WLD in full positions. It is not a dream to double the target price! #投资策略 #市场分析

Don't forget to like, follow, and forward, so that more people can join our team! #PENGU开盘 #美联储放鹰 #市场调整後的机会？

Hello everyone, I'm A10JQK! Today we're going to talk about Matrixport, the trump card, which has caused a stir on the Bitcoin table! ♠️♥️♣️♦️

♠️ Matrixport is really good at playing the opposite tune! Everyone is concerned about who will enter the White House, but they say: "Hey, no matter who is president, Bitcoin will still be great!" This is to turn the political cards over!

♥️ What do they think the new president will do to Bitcoin? Haha, it's just a supporting role. The real protagonist is the regulation of the Bitcoin ecosystem. This is implying that no matter who is in charge, Bitcoin has its own set of rules!

♣️ Look at history. Whether it is the Republicans or the Democrats in power, cryptocurrencies have been advancing all the way. This tells us that Bitcoin is not the main one that relies on any political party for a living!

♦️ Matrixport's conclusion is: no matter how the media hypes the election, Bitcoin will remain positive. This is to let Bitcoin play its own cards in the political game!

Dear card players, what do you think of Matrixport's card? Is it a bit too optimistic? Or do they see through the impact of politics on cryptocurrencies? Feel free to share your views in the comments! ♠️♥️♣️♦️
#美国大选如何影响加密产业？
#比特币前景 #加密货币政策 #投资策略

$BTC $BNB $SOL

🚀 $1.24 billion USDC inflow, is the Bitcoin crazy bull market just the beginning? 📈

Analyst Maartunn revealed yesterday through a post on X that $1.24 billion USDC surged into spot exchanges on Friday, marking the largest single transaction we've seen in over six months! Does this mean a new round of Bitcoin's rise is about to come?

Looking back at Tuesday's market, Bitcoin had set a new historical high and then experienced a significant pullback of about 15%, a rollercoaster ride that kept people on edge. However, at 6 PM on Friday, this large inflow of USDC may indicate that smart money is preparing for the next wave of rebound!

Bitcoin's current price is around $96,888, showing a strong rebound from a low of $92,000. If the daily chart can hold the key level of $98,520, the upward momentum may continue. But if it cannot break through the $100,000 barrier in the coming days, caution is advised, as the market might see this as a signal of weakening upward momentum.

Currently, the activities of Bitcoin whales are becoming more frequent, which is usually a precursor to changes in market sentiment. If these large inflows can translate into purchasing power, a perfect storm of rising demand and prices may be on the horizon. Conversely, there is a potential downside risk.

Additionally, chart analysis shows that the supply of Bitcoin short-term holders (STH) has reached a new high of 5,439,700 coins in 40 months. This increase typically aligns with historical trends of rising STH supply during bull markets, possibly marking the end of the long-term declining trend in STH supply.

🕒 The next few days are crucial for Bitcoin. Will it continue to rise or face a correction? We'll wait and see, but remember, contract leverage carries risks, so be mindful of position control!

#比特币 #USDC流入 #加密货币市场 #投资策略

In this ever-changing cryptocurrency market, opportunities are always reserved for those who dare to explore. Last night's market once again proved that as long as the strategy is appropriate and the risk control is in place, whether it is a high-level short order or a low-level long order, we can return with a full load. Bitcoin took long at 103600, with a target of 1075000, and finally broke through 107777, with a profit of 3900 points, which is really exciting! Ethereum took long from 3935 and 3890, with a target of 4100, and 170 points of profit were steadily obtained. Now, the latest price of BTC is 97271.6, I have bought all positions, and the target is higher! Are you ready to continue chasing highs, or wait for a callback before entering the market? #加密货币 #投资策略 $BTC $ETH

Do you like this tweet? Remember to like, follow and forward it! #比特币战略储备 #PCE通胀降温 #比特币市场波动观察

In the cryptocurrency market, opportunities always favor those who dare to explore. Yesterday, I decisively adjusted my portfolio, liquidating OP, WLD, and DOGE, and increasing my positions in SOL, RAY, and ENA. As the market rebounds, it is an excellent time to position yourself in strong coins.

Current prices show that ENA is at 0.94 and SOL is at 188.86. Based on market trends and project potential, I fully invested in these assets, expecting SOL to break through 200 and ENA to aim for 1.2.

If you are also looking for the next investment opportunity, don't miss this market wave! #加密市场 #投资策略

$SOL $ENA #灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #币安Alpha第7批项目公布 #2025有哪些关键叙事？

🌐 Has China's monetary policy changed? The market speculates that the QE era is coming!

After the release of the US CPI inflation report last week, the price of Bitcoin quickly soared by more than 9% from a low of less than $59,000, breaking through the $64,500 mark at one point. Market analysts began to speculate that China may be about to launch a new round of quantitative easing (QE) policies, that is, stimulating the economy by increasing the money supply.

Then let's take a look at the fiscal strategy announced by the Ministry of Finance of China earlier today, which shows that China may be about to enter a QE cycle, which is still the first among the major economies in the world.

At the same time, as the world's second largest economy, China's monetary policy changes will undoubtedly have a profound impact on global financial markets. In particular, if the Chinese government begins to implement QE policies, this may be seen as good news because it may dilute the value of the RMB and cause it to depreciate.

We know that in the historical development cycle, any country will cause the value of its currency to decline when it prints a large amount of money and dilutes its own currency. This is also one of the main reasons for the continuous depreciation of currency value and inflation in the past few decades.

However, as the Chinese government may begin to implement quantitative easing (QE) policies, the market also predicts that the US government may follow suit in the first or second quarter of 2025 and enter a QE cycle. If the two major economies of China and the United States relax monetary policy at the same time, it may cause asset prices to continue to rise and inflation problems may persist.

In this case, converting cash into assets such as gold, silver, stocks, bonds, or cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin may be an effective way to protect your wealth from inflation.

If individual investors fail to grasp this trend in time and continue to hold a large amount of cash, they may face the risk of a significant depreciation of their assets. Therefore, it is important for investors to pay close attention to changes in global monetary policy and adopt appropriate investment strategies to protect and increase their wealth.

#中国量化宽松 #货币政策 #金融市场影响 #比特币与金融市场 #投资策略

In this ever-changing world of cryptocurrency, every market fluctuation may be a new opportunity. Today, El Salvador once again increased his holdings by 11 bitcoins, bringing his total holdings to 5,993.77, worth more than $580 million. Some people once ridiculed El Salvador's strategy, but from the bear market to the bull market, their fixed investment strategy showed extraordinary perseverance. Slow is fast, and fixed investment for a few years may outperform 90% of people.

I have bought all positions and look forward to Bitcoin prices breaking new highs. Are you also ready for this wave of market?

#加密货币 #投资策略 $BTC $ETH

If you like this tweet, remember to like, follow and forward it! #灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #币安Alpha第7批项目公布 #2025有哪些关键叙事？