3.19 Accurate Market Analysis
Good morning, brothers. Last night, the US stock market dropped again.
The Dow fell 0.6%, the S&P 500 fell 1.07%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.7%.
BTC initially followed the decline, but started an unusual rebound at 2:00 AM.
Currently, there are dual forces contending against each other in the broader context.
(1) Bearish Forces:
Trump's radical trade policies have cast the global market into the abyss.
US stocks lead the global capital markets down.
This affects risk assets like BTC.
(2) Bullish Forces:
BTC is included in the US strategic reserves, and various states are starting to promote reserves.
Less than 5% of the world's population owns BTC.
The global adoption rate is gradually increasing, with more capital starting to allocate BTC as digital gold.
This month, bearish forces hold the advantage.
For the bullish forces to overtake and drive BTC back to 100,000,
external factors need to break the balance of power.
What forces might break the balance?
(1) Next, we need to see if economic policies indicate a decrease in inflation or an economic recession.
We will observe how the Federal Reserve responds.
Will they cut rates to prevent recession, or maintain rates to prevent inflation?
(2) Will whales push to bribe Trump after accumulating?
To continue stimulating bullish policies for BTC strategic reserves.
Utilizing some small funds to buy BTC.
(3) Will Russia-Ukraine negotiations be successful?
After Trump's phone call with Putin yesterday, Putin expressed unwillingness to ceasefire
but is open to discussing again in the Middle East.
It feels quite difficult.
Overall, the trend is upward,
in the accumulation phase of whales and small players,
the market is in a fluctuation period, and a major reversal is not expected to come quickly.
When more people lose confidence, a strong bullish candle will change beliefs.
Speed: cheche
Win rate: around 80%
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