陈摆烂不摆烂

Many people think that investing in cryptocurrency is simple:

You invest ten thousand dollars, don't worry about it, and sell it for one million after ten years.

However, the reality of cryptocurrency is like this——

You enter the market with ten thousand dollars, and the next day it turns into five thousand. That night, you toss and turn, unable to sleep. Every deep night that follows, you wake up to go to the bathroom, and you check the market on your app.

After enduring a year, the price fluctuates between 1000 and 6000, you're exhausted, and you resolve: if it can rise to 9000, you'll cut your losses and exit. However, when the bull market arrives, your coins rise to 8500. You remember a few past rises and falls, thinking it must retrace to 6000, so you sell at 8500, preparing to buy again after the retracement. You definitely made a profit, but this time, the market didn't return to 6000; instead,

you hesitate, fearing that if you don't get back in, you'll miss the opportunity, so you chase it from 8500 to 9000, your position returns, but your coins are fewer. Then, it retraces from 9000 to 7000, and you waver again. Watching it rise to 12000, you finally made a profit, but when you calculate the annualized profit, it's 20%, and you console yourself: this is also a good investment!

This is the true portrayal of a novice: all-in, full position, cutting losses, chasing highs and selling lows, repeatedly struggling.

If you are also confused, follow me, and let's communicate and learn together.

#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌？

On Thursday, the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq Composite Index closed slightly below their historical highs, continuing an astonishing rebound since the stock market crash in April.
The Nasdaq rose by 1%, reaching its highest closing level since December 16 of last year.
The Nasdaq index has increased for 12 consecutive weeks. Those who went short must be bewildered.
Regardless of the war, fluctuating tariffs, or trade confrontations, U.S. stocks keep climbing.
Currently facing pressure at 20,000 points. Based on cycles, Trump cannot possibly have the capability to help U.S. stocks reach a peak in one step.
The Federal Reserve has not cut interest rates yet, and Trump's rhetoric continues to criticize.
He is also boasting about the next Federal Reserve chair nominee, if you believe it, you've already lost. Trump's actions are unpredictable; they are all unexpected, otherwise how could B2 cross the Atlantic, flying for 37 hours to bomb Iranian nuclear facilities?
But seriously, U.S. stocks should also be due for a correction; Bitcoin, in fact, should have undergone a deep correction long ago. Now the big players are manipulating the market, pushing it up forcefully, but I am still bearish.
Don't blame me for being a relentless bear; both cycles and trends indicate that there is a demand for a correction.
Come on, let's short together.

Overview of Top Capital in the Crypto Circle:
Xianxin Capital, Patience Capital, Steady Capital, All-in Capital
Mountain Top Capital, Mid-Mountain Capital, Bridge Hole Capital, Trapped Capital
Illusion Capital, Blood Loss Capital, Cut Loss Capital, Zero Capital

Jiao Ge Capital, Sell First Capital, Break Even Capital, Escape Peak Capital

Reverse Index Capital, Betting Capital, Counter Profiteering Capital, Overhead Capital
Crash Capital, Liquidation Capital

Which capital are you from?

#香港加密概念股 #上市公司山寨币财库

In the past 48 hours, Bitcoin #bitcoin has continuously made slight higher lows and highs. Although it seems to be rising, it is just small steps, and the rhythm is extremely confusing.

Whenever a strong candlestick appears, it easily leads people to believe that a breakout will occur, but often the next candle weakens again.

In such a market, it is only suitable to continuously take profits according to plan, and there is no reason to blindly chase the rise, let alone to open high leverage to bet on a big market.

#香港加密概念股 #下一任美联储主席人选

The biggest benefit of strictly following a strategy is that it allows trading to become easier, without being swayed by emotions.

Taking #LQTY as an example, after choosing to take profit near large sell orders in the order book, even if the price retraces later, I can accept it calmly and even consider looking for opportunities to add to my position during the pullback.

Conversely, if I hadn't taken profit on this order, I would easily fall into various subjective judgments, worrying about whether there will be a significant drop or if it will reach new highs, making it easy for my mindset to be repeatedly affected by market fluctuations.

#香港加密概念股 #下一任美联储主席人选

Two key factors driving BTC increase:

1️⃣ Easing situation in the Middle East: Ceasefire agreement maintained, reduced risk of blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, market risk aversion sentiment recedes

2️⃣ Clarity in Federal Reserve policy: Powell's hearing confirms no interest rate cut in July, September may become a turning point in policy

Operational suggestions:

1️⃣ BTC pullback 102,000-101,000 to position long

2️⃣ ETH pullback 2300-2330 to position long

#币安Alpha上新 #币安HODLer空投SAHARA

If mainstream coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, #AAVE, and SOL haven't yielded results, then it's probably not worth paying attention to other altcoins.

The cryptocurrency market itself is still immature, and most of the time, the trends of coins still depend on Bitcoin. Occasionally, some altcoins may perform independently, but most of the time they are just selling off at high prices, and one may accidentally become a bag holder.

Rather than blindly casting a wide net, it is better to concentrate on strong mainstream coins, as the efficiency and risk-reward ratio will be much higher.

#加密市场反弹 #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词

The war has stopped, there are no negative factors left, crude oil has plummeted, leaning towards interest rate cuts, and from a technical perspective, it also tends to rise. Many cryptocurrencies have performed well; I personally feel that this wave is highly likely to move upwards.

#加密市场反弹 #币安HODLer空投NEWT

CZ finally offered a sincere insight, stating that in the future only a few cryptocurrencies will reach new highs, and there will be no more altcoin seasons! Therefore, I once again advise everyone that if you hold cryptocurrencies ranked outside the top 10 by market cap, quickly exchange them for those in the top 10!

#币安Alpha上新 #加密市场回调

Many projects have not yet had their TGE; some do not want to hold a funeral-like celebration, while others have turned a celebration into a funeral?

The former wants to make big profits; the latter thinks they are amazing, but in reality are worthless projects.

Many projects choose to have their TGE at this moment, some are directly holding a funeral-like celebration, and some are forcing a celebration?

Overall, this is currently the industry's season of funerals. It's hard to ignore the funeral theme.

#加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突

What the heck, is OKX going public???

#加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突

On-chain data analysis

Today, stablecoins have slightly flowed out of exchanges. Without a significant inflow of stablecoins, caution is still advised; do not buy too many altcoins. Due to the impact of the Iran incident, Bitcoin has experienced a slight pullback, but Bitcoin on exchanges is still in a net outflow state. If there is a large amount of Bitcoin entering the exchanges, we will notify you immediately. Currently, the risk is not high!

#美国国债 #加密市场回调

With the current liquidity, there's no need to analyze what can be played and what cannot be played anymore. Those with money can play anything, while those without money should not play anything at all.

It was hard to find a presale that I thought I could participate in, but it's all been taken over by scientists, and retail investors can only take the leftovers.

Previously, I could observe what others had insider information about, thinking I could hitch a ride, but now all the inside news is at its peak as soon as they tweet.

#加密市场回调 #特朗普施压鲍威尔

BTC
Originally, I was thinking about a pullback to the 12-hour tunnel, but now we can't even effectively break below the 6-hour tunnel. Only some mainstream coins are holding strong, while most altcoins are still weak. However, I still believe that Ethereum can pull the altcoins up.

The candlestick chart, like a knife, tears apart greed and fear, the blood-red screen reflects the悲歌 of countless retail investors.

#波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型

During the trading process, grasping the movements of major players, the 6 core patterns can effectively help us make judgments!

1. Top Divergence (Price reaches a new high but volume does not follow)

2. Bottom Divergence (Price reaches a new low but volume increases against the trend)

3. Trendline Breakthrough (Key point for direction selection)

4. Range Breakthrough (Precursor to a trend change)

5. Support and Resistance (The dividing line between bullish and bearish)

6. Accelerated Trend (Short-term explosion signal)

By identifying classic patterns, we can more accurately judge the conversion of bullish and bearish forces and grasp trend turning points or continuation opportunities. However, it should be noted that technical analysis is not infallible and should be combined with an overall assessment of the market environment and fundamentals!

#波段交易策略 #X超级应用转型

Today's cryptocurrency market trends are difficult to predict accurately, and short-term fluctuations are no longer important.

You have initiated a position holding strategy, patiently waiting for a rebound, demonstrating a profound understanding of the cycle. Indeed, the core advantage in the cryptocurrency market lies in time rather than cash flow.

Buying at historical lows has a high probability of rebounding within three years; both bull and bear markets require time to settle.

Your mindset—calm buying, patient holding, and elegant selling—aligns with the beauty of market cycles.

The timing of a rebound after a full position is unknown, but persistence in low-level layouts will pay off when winter gives way to spring.

Continue to observe and wait for the rain to pass and the sky to clear!

#鲍威尔发言 #加密概念美股

I have a feeling that Binance will restart the BUSD stablecoin, or change it to a different name.

The three most profitable businesses are exchanges, public chains, and stablecoins, and right now they are just missing a stablecoin.

The largest exchange, the largest stablecoin application scenario, with stablecoins generating hundreds of millions of dollars in profits each year.

Especially since the US stablecoin bill is about to be passed, there is no reason for Binance not to restart the stablecoin.

#鲍威尔发言 #加密概念美股

In the past
When US stocks rose, the crypto market also rose.
When US stocks in AI rose, the crypto market's shoddy AI also followed suit chaotically.

Now
When US stocks rise, the shoddy ones plummet;
When US stocks and crypto stocks rise, the related crypto market seems to be dead.

The essence is that institutional funds in the crypto market have exited, and the shoddy market has entered a "structural bear market," where taking medicine and getting injections no longer help.

#我的交易风格 #GENIUS稳定币法案