宏观分析
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The probability of a rate cut doubled overnight! Powell's 'staunch ally' reveals the details, is December secured?
Brothers, the macro wind direction has changed! 💨
Initially, the market was worried that a rate cut in December would be off the table, but last night, the Federal Reserve's 'number three' directly set the tone. The probability of a rate cut skyrocketed from less than 40% to over 70%!
This reversal is quite intense; let's unpack the logic behind it.
1️⃣ The big shot has spoken, and his words carry significant weight.
The one speaking out this time is New York Fed President Williams.
Within the Federal Reserve, he, along with Powell (the Chair) and Waller (a Governor), are known as the 'three giants.' His stance is essentially the same as Powell's.
He said: 'There is still room for further adjustments in interest rates in the short term.' Translated into plain language, it means: 'As long as there are no surprises, a rate cut in December is on the table!'
Initially, the market was worried that a rate cut in December would be off the table, but last night, the Federal Reserve's 'number three' directly set the tone. The probability of a rate cut skyrocketed from less than 40% to over 70%!
This reversal is quite intense; let's unpack the logic behind it.
1️⃣ The big shot has spoken, and his words carry significant weight.
The one speaking out this time is New York Fed President Williams.
Within the Federal Reserve, he, along with Powell (the Chair) and Waller (a Governor), are known as the 'three giants.' His stance is essentially the same as Powell's.
He said: 'There is still room for further adjustments in interest rates in the short term.' Translated into plain language, it means: 'As long as there are no surprises, a rate cut in December is on the table!'
Flora大王:
降息已经没有任何炒作价值，就业数据利好把降息从12月份推迟到1月份。
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⚠️Red Alert: Tonight at 21:30, a major showdown between bulls and bears! Non-combat personnel please evacuate!
Brothers, set your alarms!⏰
Only a few hours remain until the US stock market opens and crucial macroeconomic data is released tonight.
The current market situation is very strange:
1️⃣ Retail investors are waiting and liquidity is drying up.
2️⃣ The whales are sharpening their knives, preparing to "hunt up and down" based on news.
📉 Macroeconomic perspective: Tonight's data will directly affect the Federal Reserve's expectations for future interest rate cuts. If the US dollar index moves unexpectedly, BTC is bound to experience violent fluctuations!
📈 Technical perspective: Currently, BTC is stuck at the key support level of 90000. If it breaks below, it will enter a vacuum zone!
My advice:
Around 21:30, contract traders must reduce leverage and even sit on the sidelines! Don't fall before dawn!
💬 Tell me in the comments: Are you betting up or betting down tonight?👇
#BTC #宏观分析 #交易策略 #大决战
Brothers, set your alarms!⏰
Only a few hours remain until the US stock market opens and crucial macroeconomic data is released tonight.
The current market situation is very strange:
1️⃣ Retail investors are waiting and liquidity is drying up.
2️⃣ The whales are sharpening their knives, preparing to "hunt up and down" based on news.
📉 Macroeconomic perspective: Tonight's data will directly affect the Federal Reserve's expectations for future interest rate cuts. If the US dollar index moves unexpectedly, BTC is bound to experience violent fluctuations!
📈 Technical perspective: Currently, BTC is stuck at the key support level of 90000. If it breaks below, it will enter a vacuum zone!
My advice:
Around 21:30, contract traders must reduce leverage and even sit on the sidelines! Don't fall before dawn!
💬 Tell me in the comments: Are you betting up or betting down tonight?👇
#BTC #宏观分析 #交易策略 #大决战
🚨 Breaking Update: Deutsche Bank Signals Possible QE in 2026 — What It Could Mean for Crypto
A fresh round of macro speculation is circulating through global markets after analysts at Deutsche Bank suggested that the Federal Reserve may shift toward a more accommodative stance in early 2026.
While this is not a confirmed policy, the discussion alone has stirred strong reactions across stocks, bonds, and crypto.
1. Macro Outlook Rising Expectations for Easing
Recent U.S. labor data continues to show signs of softness:
October 2025 layoffs: Over 153,000 job cuts
Initial unemployment claims: Around 232,000, indicating cooling labor momentum
Weak employment often increases market expectations of future monetary easing, and analysts believe the Fed may consider tools such as balance-sheet adjustments if economic pressure persists.
This has raised speculation about a potential easing cycle in 2026 a scenario historically linked to increased liquidity.
2. Analyst Opinions Bullish Narratives Return
Market leaders continue to share long-term views about digital assets.
Examples include:
Cathie Wood (ARK Invest): Long-term, multi-year outlook on Bitcoin’s potential based on institutional demand and limited supply
Tom Lee (Fundstrat): Positive view on Ethereum supported by institutional flows and ecosystem activity
These are opinions, not guarantees, but such commentary often influences sentiment, especially during macro uncertainty.
3. Market Watchlist Assets Traders Are Monitoring
1. Ethereum ($ETH )
Why traders are paying attention:
Expectations that lower rates could support risk-asset appetite
Upcoming ecosystem upgrades aimed at increasing throughput and reducing fees
Rising institutional interest in ETH-related products
Many traders see the coming months as an important period for Ethereum’s fundamental development.
2. ASTR (Astar) — Ecosystem Growth Spotlight
Note: Adjusted for Binance Square safety — removed claims about “guaranteed surges,” “backing by individuals,” or “promised airdrops.”
Astar continues to attract attention due to:
Its expansion into the DeFi and L2 ecosystem
Multi-chain accessibility and rapid TVL growth
Strong developer activity and early-stage infrastructure expansion
Traders watching emerging ecosystems often track TVL, liquidity depth, and upcoming development milestones.
Strategy Note
Many investors choose long-term dollar-cost averaging (DCA) during macro uncertainty, but this depends entirely on personal risk tolerance and financial conditions.
Risk Warning
Crypto markets experience extreme volatility.
All information above reflects market commentary, not financial advice.
Always assess risk carefully and invest within your capacity.
#astar #宏观分析 #CryptoNews #市场情绪低迷 #BankingNews
While this is not a confirmed policy, the discussion alone has stirred strong reactions across stocks, bonds, and crypto.
1. Macro Outlook Rising Expectations for Easing
Recent U.S. labor data continues to show signs of softness:
October 2025 layoffs: Over 153,000 job cuts
Initial unemployment claims: Around 232,000, indicating cooling labor momentum
Weak employment often increases market expectations of future monetary easing, and analysts believe the Fed may consider tools such as balance-sheet adjustments if economic pressure persists.
This has raised speculation about a potential easing cycle in 2026 a scenario historically linked to increased liquidity.
2. Analyst Opinions Bullish Narratives Return
Market leaders continue to share long-term views about digital assets.
Examples include:
Cathie Wood (ARK Invest): Long-term, multi-year outlook on Bitcoin’s potential based on institutional demand and limited supply
Tom Lee (Fundstrat): Positive view on Ethereum supported by institutional flows and ecosystem activity
These are opinions, not guarantees, but such commentary often influences sentiment, especially during macro uncertainty.
3. Market Watchlist Assets Traders Are Monitoring
1. Ethereum ($ETH )
Why traders are paying attention:
Expectations that lower rates could support risk-asset appetite
Upcoming ecosystem upgrades aimed at increasing throughput and reducing fees
Rising institutional interest in ETH-related products
Many traders see the coming months as an important period for Ethereum’s fundamental development.
2. ASTR (Astar) — Ecosystem Growth Spotlight
Note: Adjusted for Binance Square safety — removed claims about “guaranteed surges,” “backing by individuals,” or “promised airdrops.”
Astar continues to attract attention due to:
Its expansion into the DeFi and L2 ecosystem
Multi-chain accessibility and rapid TVL growth
Strong developer activity and early-stage infrastructure expansion
Traders watching emerging ecosystems often track TVL, liquidity depth, and upcoming development milestones.
Strategy Note
Many investors choose long-term dollar-cost averaging (DCA) during macro uncertainty, but this depends entirely on personal risk tolerance and financial conditions.
Risk Warning
Crypto markets experience extreme volatility.
All information above reflects market commentary, not financial advice.
Always assess risk carefully and invest within your capacity.
#astar #宏观分析 #CryptoNews #市场情绪低迷 #BankingNews
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🚀 【Breaking Interpretation】Will the Federal Reserve Restart QE in 2026? The Engine for a New Crypto Bull Market Has Been Ignited!
💹 Macro Shift Outlook: The Liquidity Gate Will Open Again
Recent economic data suggests that the Federal Reserve's policy may soon shift, bringing new liquidity expectations to the market.
· The Job Market Significantly Cools: The latest data shows that U.S. companies announced layoffs of 153,000 in October, a month-on-month surge of 183%, marking the highest single-month record since 2003. Meanwhile, ADP's weekly employment trend estimate also reflects that hiring activities continue to slow down in the fall.
· Weak Economic Data Fuels Easing Expectations: These signs indicate that the momentum in the labor market is weakening, providing more policy space for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates in the coming months. The market maintains a probability of over 60% for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December.
Recent economic data suggests that the Federal Reserve's policy may soon shift, bringing new liquidity expectations to the market.
· The Job Market Significantly Cools: The latest data shows that U.S. companies announced layoffs of 153,000 in October, a month-on-month surge of 183%, marking the highest single-month record since 2003. Meanwhile, ADP's weekly employment trend estimate also reflects that hiring activities continue to slow down in the fall.
· Weak Economic Data Fuels Easing Expectations: These signs indicate that the momentum in the labor market is weakening, providing more policy space for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates in the coming months. The market maintains a probability of over 60% for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December.
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$BTC 💥🔥🔥🔥🔥【Explosive News】The Federal Reserve's Major Shift Confirmed! QE for 2026 Locked In Early, An Epic Flood of Money Is About to Drown the Market!💸🚀
Just now, Deutsche Bank dropped a depth bomb: The Federal Reserve will initiate QE in the first quarter of 2026! It's confirmed, the world's largest money printing machine is about to start up again!
🔥How severe is the current situation?🔥
· In October, 153,000 layoffs in the U.S., unemployment data is off the charts
· Economic weakness forces the Federal Reserve to step in to save the market
· Trillions in U.S. dollar liquidity are about to flood the market
💥How powerful is this wave of liquidity?
Saudi Arabia is simultaneously investing $1 trillion in the U.S. + the Federal Reserve's QE creating the strongest capital tide in history!🌊
🚀What does this mean for the crypto market?
· $BTC will be the biggest winner: Scarcity + digital gold properties perfectly hedging against inflation
· $ETH will benefit directly: Institutions have increased holdings by over $300 million, performance will double after the December upgrade
· Cathie Wood calls for BTC to reach $1.5 million by 2030, this is not a dream!
⚠️But be cautious of short-term volatility:
The Federal Reserve Chairman is about to change, policies may vary
Market makers are still creating a "画门" market for liquidations
The real bull wave needs to wait until 2026 for liquidity to be fully released
Brothers, with this epic liquidity from the Federal Reserve, how much do you think BTC will be pushed to directly? Are you ready to embrace this capital frenzy? Share your target price in the comments!👇$BNB
#FederalReserveQE #Bitcoin #LiquidityBullMarket #宏观分析 $ETH #美股2026预测
Just now, Deutsche Bank dropped a depth bomb: The Federal Reserve will initiate QE in the first quarter of 2026! It's confirmed, the world's largest money printing machine is about to start up again!
🔥How severe is the current situation?🔥
· In October, 153,000 layoffs in the U.S., unemployment data is off the charts
· Economic weakness forces the Federal Reserve to step in to save the market
· Trillions in U.S. dollar liquidity are about to flood the market
💥How powerful is this wave of liquidity?
Saudi Arabia is simultaneously investing $1 trillion in the U.S. + the Federal Reserve's QE creating the strongest capital tide in history!🌊
🚀What does this mean for the crypto market?
· $BTC will be the biggest winner: Scarcity + digital gold properties perfectly hedging against inflation
· $ETH will benefit directly: Institutions have increased holdings by over $300 million, performance will double after the December upgrade
· Cathie Wood calls for BTC to reach $1.5 million by 2030, this is not a dream!
⚠️But be cautious of short-term volatility:
The Federal Reserve Chairman is about to change, policies may vary
Market makers are still creating a "画门" market for liquidations
The real bull wave needs to wait until 2026 for liquidity to be fully released
Brothers, with this epic liquidity from the Federal Reserve, how much do you think BTC will be pushed to directly? Are you ready to embrace this capital frenzy? Share your target price in the comments!👇$BNB
#FederalReserveQE #Bitcoin #LiquidityBullMarket #宏观分析 $ETH #美股2026预测
PUPPlES爽:
期待降息
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📉$BTC $UNI $XRP 【Market Panic: In-Depth Analysis】Why Did the U.S. Government Shutdown Trigger "Black Thursday"?
Last night, global financial markets faced a collective sell-off, with U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies, and precious metals all experiencing a "mass slaughter". Two major bombshell signals ignited market panic!
🔥【Core Catalysts】
1️⃣ U.S. Government Shutdown Crisis Escalates
• White House economic advisors warn: weekly economic losses could reach $15 billion
• The private sector faces the risk of 60,000 job losses
• Policy uncertainty triggers urgent capital flight
2️⃣ Federal Reserve's Hawkish Surprise
• Several officials state: "It’s too early to discuss rate cuts"
• Expectations for tighter monetary policy continue to strengthen
• Market pricing shifts dramatically: December rate cut probability has dropped below 52%
💥【Market Bloodbath Overview】
▶️ U.S. Stocks Suffer Severe Hits
· Dow Jones plummets 1.65%, S&P 500 falls 1.66%
· Tech stocks face brutal sell-offs: Tesla crashes over 6%, Nvidia and Amazon plunge collectively
· Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index drops 1.59%
▶️ Cryptocurrency Bloodbath
· Bitcoin dramatically falls below the $98,000 key support
· Nearly 200,000 people across the network face liquidation in 24 hours
· Ethereum drops over 5% simultaneously
▶️ Precious Metals Unexpectedly Collapse
· Spot gold plummets over $100 in a single day
· Silver quickly loses key ground after initially rising
💡【Latest Expectation Adjustments】
The market is repricing the Federal Reserve's policy path:
• 2024 rate cut expectations reduced to once
• Next substantial rate cut may be delayed until December 2025
⚠️ Reminder: During this phase of severe policy expectation fluctuations, it is advisable to manage positions and implement risk management effectively!
#代币化热潮 #美联储政策转向 #加密货币波动 #宏观分析 #内容挖矿升级
Last night, global financial markets faced a collective sell-off, with U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies, and precious metals all experiencing a "mass slaughter". Two major bombshell signals ignited market panic!
🔥【Core Catalysts】
1️⃣ U.S. Government Shutdown Crisis Escalates
• White House economic advisors warn: weekly economic losses could reach $15 billion
• The private sector faces the risk of 60,000 job losses
• Policy uncertainty triggers urgent capital flight
2️⃣ Federal Reserve's Hawkish Surprise
• Several officials state: "It’s too early to discuss rate cuts"
• Expectations for tighter monetary policy continue to strengthen
• Market pricing shifts dramatically: December rate cut probability has dropped below 52%
💥【Market Bloodbath Overview】
▶️ U.S. Stocks Suffer Severe Hits
· Dow Jones plummets 1.65%, S&P 500 falls 1.66%
· Tech stocks face brutal sell-offs: Tesla crashes over 6%, Nvidia and Amazon plunge collectively
· Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index drops 1.59%
▶️ Cryptocurrency Bloodbath
· Bitcoin dramatically falls below the $98,000 key support
· Nearly 200,000 people across the network face liquidation in 24 hours
· Ethereum drops over 5% simultaneously
▶️ Precious Metals Unexpectedly Collapse
· Spot gold plummets over $100 in a single day
· Silver quickly loses key ground after initially rising
💡【Latest Expectation Adjustments】
The market is repricing the Federal Reserve's policy path:
• 2024 rate cut expectations reduced to once
• Next substantial rate cut may be delayed until December 2025
⚠️ Reminder: During this phase of severe policy expectation fluctuations, it is advisable to manage positions and implement risk management effectively!
#代币化热潮 #美联储政策转向 #加密货币波动 #宏观分析 #内容挖矿升级
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#美国结束政府停摆 The US government suddenly opens its doors! The "debt sluice" is opened again, is the super catalyst for BTC coming?
Breaking! The US political deadlock that lasted for weeks has finally been broken, the government has avoided a shutdown and reopened! This is not just political news, but a matter that concerns everyone’s wallets. 🚨
Why is this event a significant positive for the crypto market? The core idea is just one sentence: bigger liquidity is coming!
💰 Logic 1: The Treasury's "wallet" is running low, urgently needs to issue bonds
During the shutdown, the cash account (TGA) of the US Treasury has been depleted to a very low level. Now that the government has restarted, to maintain operations, the Treasury's top priority is—crazy issuance of bonds, to replenish cash. This means a massive amount of US Treasury bonds will flood the market.
🏦 Logic 2: The market is "draining blood," the Federal Reserve is in a dilemma
Such a large-scale issuance of Treasury bonds will siphon off huge dollar liquidity from the market, equivalent to a "quantitative tightening" (QT). This will directly push up interest rates, making the already fragile US economy hard to bear. What to do? The market consensus is: the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to be forced to end the balance sheet reduction early, or even restart quantitative easing (QE) to take over. In short, it means firing up the printing press again.
₿ Logic 3: Where will the flood eventually flow?
When the "flood of debt" meets the "water sluice of the central bank," more liquidity will be created. History has repeatedly proven: excessive liquidity will never flow evenly to all places. Under concerns of high inflation and devaluation of fiat currency, this "smart money" will eagerly seek high-quality asset safe havens. And as the "digital gold," Bitcoin is undoubtedly one of the most eye-catching targets.
💎 Summary and Outlook:
The end of the US government shutdown is likely to become the fuse that ignites the next round of market trends. The series of chain reactions it triggers (issuing bonds → market pressure → Fed's shift) ultimately points to one result: global capital liquidity will shift from tightening back to easing.
And this is the fundamental driving force behind BTC and the entire crypto market.
👉 What do you think?
How quickly do you think this wave of "liquidity expectation" can be reflected in prices? Will $BTC take this opportunity to soar? #宏观分析 #美联储 #比特币
Breaking! The US political deadlock that lasted for weeks has finally been broken, the government has avoided a shutdown and reopened! This is not just political news, but a matter that concerns everyone’s wallets. 🚨
Why is this event a significant positive for the crypto market? The core idea is just one sentence: bigger liquidity is coming!
💰 Logic 1: The Treasury's "wallet" is running low, urgently needs to issue bonds
During the shutdown, the cash account (TGA) of the US Treasury has been depleted to a very low level. Now that the government has restarted, to maintain operations, the Treasury's top priority is—crazy issuance of bonds, to replenish cash. This means a massive amount of US Treasury bonds will flood the market.
🏦 Logic 2: The market is "draining blood," the Federal Reserve is in a dilemma
Such a large-scale issuance of Treasury bonds will siphon off huge dollar liquidity from the market, equivalent to a "quantitative tightening" (QT). This will directly push up interest rates, making the already fragile US economy hard to bear. What to do? The market consensus is: the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to be forced to end the balance sheet reduction early, or even restart quantitative easing (QE) to take over. In short, it means firing up the printing press again.
₿ Logic 3: Where will the flood eventually flow?
When the "flood of debt" meets the "water sluice of the central bank," more liquidity will be created. History has repeatedly proven: excessive liquidity will never flow evenly to all places. Under concerns of high inflation and devaluation of fiat currency, this "smart money" will eagerly seek high-quality asset safe havens. And as the "digital gold," Bitcoin is undoubtedly one of the most eye-catching targets.
💎 Summary and Outlook:
The end of the US government shutdown is likely to become the fuse that ignites the next round of market trends. The series of chain reactions it triggers (issuing bonds → market pressure → Fed's shift) ultimately points to one result: global capital liquidity will shift from tightening back to easing.
And this is the fundamental driving force behind BTC and the entire crypto market.
👉 What do you think?
How quickly do you think this wave of "liquidity expectation" can be reflected in prices? Will $BTC take this opportunity to soar? #宏观分析 #美联储 #比特币
BTC
Holding
Cumulative PNL
+0.06%
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Several major pricing factors at this stage:
1. The risk of escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. Currently, six warships of the Dragon are advancing into the Mediterranean to evacuate Chinese citizens.
2. The risk of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations falling short of expectations, especially the US strengthening the reality of a soft landing, and the upward revision of the landing value and the previous value of economic data. In the context of domestic strikes in the US and the lack of optimization of data statistics, the data has always been revised downward. If the subsequent data continues to be beautify, the market will price that the Fed will not cut interest rates in December. Related to the US primary market liquidity, such as SOFR.
3. The landing of candidate pricing expectations, the election of the village chief on November 5th has been settled.
4. The "rumor" of the landing of the BRICS payment system, it is rumored that it will land on October 24, which will weaken the international payment currency attribute of the US dollar.
5. The strong diversion of crypto liquidity by the A-share market, the diversion of US bonds to US stocks and big cake ETFs.
The door to the Fed's interest rate cut has been opened, but it seems that the dawn meets the cloudy sky. Wait a little longer, and the sun will inevitably come out sooner or later!
#大A香还是大饼香 #宏观分析 #中东局势 #金砖支付系统 #美联储降息预期的不及预期
1. The risk of escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. Currently, six warships of the Dragon are advancing into the Mediterranean to evacuate Chinese citizens.
2. The risk of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations falling short of expectations, especially the US strengthening the reality of a soft landing, and the upward revision of the landing value and the previous value of economic data. In the context of domestic strikes in the US and the lack of optimization of data statistics, the data has always been revised downward. If the subsequent data continues to be beautify, the market will price that the Fed will not cut interest rates in December. Related to the US primary market liquidity, such as SOFR.
3. The landing of candidate pricing expectations, the election of the village chief on November 5th has been settled.
4. The "rumor" of the landing of the BRICS payment system, it is rumored that it will land on October 24, which will weaken the international payment currency attribute of the US dollar.
5. The strong diversion of crypto liquidity by the A-share market, the diversion of US bonds to US stocks and big cake ETFs.
The door to the Fed's interest rate cut has been opened, but it seems that the dawn meets the cloudy sky. Wait a little longer, and the sun will inevitably come out sooner or later!
#大A香还是大饼香 #宏观分析 #中东局势 #金砖支付系统 #美联储降息预期的不及预期
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#宏观分析
CPI data for July will be released this Wednesday, which is not expected to have much impact on the market. Expectations for a rate cut in September are still strong, but the current focus is on the magnitude of the cut. The current interest rate cut expectations are the same as the previous value, maintaining at 3%. In addition, Trump will hold talks with Musk today, and this meeting is likely to involve cooperation matters. It is expected that the meme sector may rise again.
FTX’s liquidation has also entered the next phase, with decisions on the compensation process set to be finalized this week. If these funds can be paid out normally, it will be good news for the cryptocurrency market. Because if the compensation is in cash, there is a high probability that retail investors will invest in the market again; and if the compensation is in the form of cryptocurrency, it may cause selling pressure on the market.
#合約
#加密市场反弹
#美联储何时降息？
#BTC☀
CPI data for July will be released this Wednesday, which is not expected to have much impact on the market. Expectations for a rate cut in September are still strong, but the current focus is on the magnitude of the cut. The current interest rate cut expectations are the same as the previous value, maintaining at 3%. In addition, Trump will hold talks with Musk today, and this meeting is likely to involve cooperation matters. It is expected that the meme sector may rise again.
FTX’s liquidation has also entered the next phase, with decisions on the compensation process set to be finalized this week. If these funds can be paid out normally, it will be good news for the cryptocurrency market. Because if the compensation is in cash, there is a high probability that retail investors will invest in the market again; and if the compensation is in the form of cryptocurrency, it may cause selling pressure on the market.
#合約
#加密市场反弹
#美联储何时降息？
#BTC☀
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The Federal Reserve has backed down! Williams admits the failure of interest rate hikes, the biggest opportunity for wealth in 2025 is coming
Friends, I am Blockchain Gold. In response to the global foreign exchange news released this morning, I will provide a quick correction and streamlined summary as a senior analyst. The original text is generally accurate, but some data needs to be updated to better reflect market reality:
Details are as follows
Federal Reserve's Williams states that policy remains tight, but 'inflation is gradually receding' should be adjusted to 'the pace of inflation decrease is volatile', which better aligns with his recent cautious statements.
Brazil's finance minister's statement is accurate, but can be simplified to: US dollar hegemony is difficult to shake in the short term, but weaponization will accelerate its decline.
Japan's tariff negotiation representative cancels visit to the US—this is true, but it should be supplemented: the Japanese side also hints at possible countermeasures.
Details are as follows
Federal Reserve's Williams states that policy remains tight, but 'inflation is gradually receding' should be adjusted to 'the pace of inflation decrease is volatile', which better aligns with his recent cautious statements.
Brazil's finance minister's statement is accurate, but can be simplified to: US dollar hegemony is difficult to shake in the short term, but weaponization will accelerate its decline.
Japan's tariff negotiation representative cancels visit to the US—this is true, but it should be supplemented: the Japanese side also hints at possible countermeasures.
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One Week Crypto Watch-2024W43
project:
Worldcoin rebrands to World Network and announces that World Chain has launched mainnet
ApeChain ecosystem’s one-click coin issuance platform Ape Express was released. ApeChain provides an automatic income model for stable coin holders on the chain.
Trump announces launch of World Liberty Finance, WLFI sales exceed $9 million; WLFI updates public sale terms
WLFI is only used for governance, not as an investment tool, and is locked for one year.
Suilend posted "October 22, Save The Date", which may imply that his agreement ghostwriting will be released soon
Binance launches BNSOL for fixed investment, staking and one-click purchase
Worldcoin rebrands to World Network and announces that World Chain has launched mainnet
ApeChain ecosystem’s one-click coin issuance platform Ape Express was released. ApeChain provides an automatic income model for stable coin holders on the chain.
Trump announces launch of World Liberty Finance, WLFI sales exceed $9 million; WLFI updates public sale terms
WLFI is only used for governance, not as an investment tool, and is locked for one year.
Suilend posted "October 22, Save The Date", which may imply that his agreement ghostwriting will be released soon
Binance launches BNSOL for fixed investment, staking and one-click purchase
See original
Gold races towards $4000! Non-farm data is about to ignite rate cut expectations, Bitcoin may enter a surge mode!
Significant signals have emerged! OANDA analyst Zain Wada's latest report points out: Driven by both geopolitical risks and expectations of Fed rate cuts, gold prices are expected to break $3900 in 2025, and may even challenge the historical threshold of $4000 in 2026!
And the key trigger for all of this is the non-farm payroll data to be released this Friday!
What does this mean for the crypto space?
A surge in gold ≠ Gold dancing alone! Historical patterns indicate that when gold rises due to macroeconomic uncertainty and expectations of monetary easing, Bitcoin often surges in sync! Because both benefit from expectations of dollar depreciation and global risk aversion demand!
And the key trigger for all of this is the non-farm payroll data to be released this Friday!
What does this mean for the crypto space?
A surge in gold ≠ Gold dancing alone! Historical patterns indicate that when gold rises due to macroeconomic uncertainty and expectations of monetary easing, Bitcoin often surges in sync! Because both benefit from expectations of dollar depreciation and global risk aversion demand!
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📉 The crypto market encounters "Black Thursday," with 260,000 people liquidated
📉 The crypto market encounters "Black Thursday," with 260,000 people liquidated, exceeding $1.2 billion!
🔥 Important data
Widespread plunge: $BTC Bitcoin falls below $110,000 (-3.8%), Ethereum drops below $3,800 (-7%), and mainstream coins like Solana and $AVAX fall over 8%.
Liquidation wave: Within 24 hours, 260,000 people across the network were liquidated, with a liquidation amount reaching $1.2 billion, and long positions accounting for 90% ($1.09 billion), with a major liquidation occurring in Hyperliquid-ETH.
Institutional exit: This week, nearly $300 million flowed out of the U.S. Ethereum ETF, with institutional buying interest sharply declining.
🔍 Three main reasons behind the plunge
Macro pressure: Powell's speech releases a "neutral to hawkish" signal, emphasizing inflation uncertainty and a weak labor market, cooling interest rate cut expectations, and a stronger dollar suppressing risk assets.
Technical breakdown: Ethereum has retraced over 20% from its historical peak in August, entering a technical bear market; Bitcoin's key support failure has triggered programmed selling.
Options expiry impact: September 26 will see the largest options expiry in history (notional value of $23 billion), with a large number of put options heavily pressuring the market.
⚠ Short-term risk warning
If Ethereum falls below $3,800, it may trigger larger-scale liquidations.
The fear index has dropped to 43 (fear zone), market sentiment is weak, and caution is needed to avoid a cascading sell-off.
💡 Cautious advice
Be observant, avoid counter-trend bottom fishing, and pay close attention to the effectiveness of support at $108,000 for Bitcoin and $3,800 for Ethereum.
Watch for policy signals: Tonight’s U.S. PCE data, if it exceeds expectations, may exacerbate volatility; SEC regulatory dynamics (such as the "innovation exemption" policy) could become catalysts for changes.
The market is reshuffling amidst panic, patience is more important than gambling. Maintain discipline and await clear right-side signals!
#币安HODLer空投XPL # #宏观分析 #比特币 #区块链
📉 The crypto market encounters "Black Thursday," with 260,000 people liquidated, exceeding $1.2 billion!
🔥 Important data
Widespread plunge: $BTC Bitcoin falls below $110,000 (-3.8%), Ethereum drops below $3,800 (-7%), and mainstream coins like Solana and $AVAX fall over 8%.
Liquidation wave: Within 24 hours, 260,000 people across the network were liquidated, with a liquidation amount reaching $1.2 billion, and long positions accounting for 90% ($1.09 billion), with a major liquidation occurring in Hyperliquid-ETH.
Institutional exit: This week, nearly $300 million flowed out of the U.S. Ethereum ETF, with institutional buying interest sharply declining.
🔍 Three main reasons behind the plunge
Macro pressure: Powell's speech releases a "neutral to hawkish" signal, emphasizing inflation uncertainty and a weak labor market, cooling interest rate cut expectations, and a stronger dollar suppressing risk assets.
Technical breakdown: Ethereum has retraced over 20% from its historical peak in August, entering a technical bear market; Bitcoin's key support failure has triggered programmed selling.
Options expiry impact: September 26 will see the largest options expiry in history (notional value of $23 billion), with a large number of put options heavily pressuring the market.
⚠ Short-term risk warning
If Ethereum falls below $3,800, it may trigger larger-scale liquidations.
The fear index has dropped to 43 (fear zone), market sentiment is weak, and caution is needed to avoid a cascading sell-off.
💡 Cautious advice
Be observant, avoid counter-trend bottom fishing, and pay close attention to the effectiveness of support at $108,000 for Bitcoin and $3,800 for Ethereum.
Watch for policy signals: Tonight’s U.S. PCE data, if it exceeds expectations, may exacerbate volatility; SEC regulatory dynamics (such as the "innovation exemption" policy) could become catalysts for changes.
The market is reshuffling amidst panic, patience is more important than gambling. Maintain discipline and await clear right-side signals!
#币安HODLer空投XPL # #宏观分析 #比特币 #区块链
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⚡ Behind this dive: The Federal Reserve's "dovishness was less than expected": Although interest rates were cut by 25 basis points, Powell emphasized "gradual meeting assessments", and the market's expectation for rapid easing was disappointed. Large whales took profits: Data shows that the $ETH whale cashed out tens of billions of dollars in a single day. Technical resistance: There is strong resistance around $BTC at 117,000. When good news is fully priced in, it becomes bad news; this is always the law of the market. #宏观分析 #链上数据
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"Three Arrows Fired! BTC Breaks Through $115,000, Is a New Round of Surge Beginning?"
Amidst a barrage of positive macroeconomic news, the crypto market is experiencing a highlight moment.
The crypto market saw a broad rally today, with Bitcoin (BTC) breaking through the $115,000 mark and Ethereum (ETH) surging over 6%, briefly breaking through the $4,200 mark.
The three core drivers of the market rally are in place:
First, the easing of Sino-US trade tensions. US Treasury Secretary Benson stated that the two countries have made "substantial" progress on the framework of a trade agreement, and the 100% tariffs originally scheduled for November 1 on China may not be implemented. This news significantly boosted global risk appetite.
Second, the expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut. The market is almost 100% pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve on October 30. A lower interest rate environment typically means more liquidity will flow into crypto assets.
Third, a significant inflow of funds. According to SoSoValue data, all sectors of the crypto market are experiencing a broad-based upward trend, with significant gains seen across DeFi and Meme sectors, indicating an accelerated influx of OTC funds.
Trading Strategy: After BTC decisively breaks through the $115,000 resistance level, the next target is the psychologically important $120,000 level. If ETH can hold above $4,200, it could test $4,500.
This bull market appears to have only just entered its mid-game. #BTC #ETH #宏观分析
Amidst a barrage of positive macroeconomic news, the crypto market is experiencing a highlight moment.
The crypto market saw a broad rally today, with Bitcoin (BTC) breaking through the $115,000 mark and Ethereum (ETH) surging over 6%, briefly breaking through the $4,200 mark.
The three core drivers of the market rally are in place:
First, the easing of Sino-US trade tensions. US Treasury Secretary Benson stated that the two countries have made "substantial" progress on the framework of a trade agreement, and the 100% tariffs originally scheduled for November 1 on China may not be implemented. This news significantly boosted global risk appetite.
Second, the expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut. The market is almost 100% pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve on October 30. A lower interest rate environment typically means more liquidity will flow into crypto assets.
Third, a significant inflow of funds. According to SoSoValue data, all sectors of the crypto market are experiencing a broad-based upward trend, with significant gains seen across DeFi and Meme sectors, indicating an accelerated influx of OTC funds.
Trading Strategy: After BTC decisively breaks through the $115,000 resistance level, the next target is the psychologically important $120,000 level. If ETH can hold above $4,200, it could test $4,500.
This bull market appears to have only just entered its mid-game. #BTC #ETH #宏观分析
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Bitcoin's 'silence' and Ethereum's 'awakening': The dual game of technical patterns and macro narratives
The current market is at a delicate balance point. Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a long 'high-level consolidation period' after reaching an all-time high, showing a converging triangle in terms of technical patterns, with market sentiment rapidly switching between greed and fear. Meanwhile, Ethereum (ETH), backed by the narrative of spot ETFs, is brewing a potential 'awakening' in its ETH/BTC exchange rate. This article will deeply analyze the current technical aspects of BTC and ETH and explore the next phase of the market's main line in conjunction with macro liquidity expectations. 📈📉
1. Bitcoin (BTC): The 'eye of the storm' of high-level consolidation
1. Bitcoin (BTC): The 'eye of the storm' of high-level consolidation
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【China reveals a thousand-ton gold mine! Is a Bitcoin-like halving of gold on the horizon?】
Brothers, breaking heavy news! The geological circle has just detonated a nuclear bomb — 300 tons of gold reserves discovered in Hunan, China, with a potential value of 80 billion USD for a super gold mine! This operation is comparable to the doubling of Bitcoin production, directly rewriting the global gold supply pattern!
Core data overview
Proven reserves: 300 tons of gold (and this is just an appetizer)
Estimated total reserves: may exceed 1000 tons (a true giant)
Ore quality: some rock samples contain 138 grams of gold per ton, purity surpassing most gold mines in the world
Mining depth: underground 3000 meters (a true 'deep mining')
Core data overview
Proven reserves: 300 tons of gold (and this is just an appetizer)
Estimated total reserves: may exceed 1000 tons (a true giant)
Ore quality: some rock samples contain 138 grams of gold per ton, purity surpassing most gold mines in the world
Mining depth: underground 3000 meters (a true 'deep mining')
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#宏观分析 #热门话题 #内容挖矿 #btc $BTC $ETH $BNB
Carving a Boat to Seek a Sword -- When Will BTC Enter the Middle Stage of the Bull Market
Currently, the U.S. stock market has officially entered the middle stage of the bull market, characterized by rising demand, leading stocks (such as AI and other tech stocks) leading the way, stock prices surpassing previous highs, high market optimism, and all three major indices reaching new highs, with new investors continuously entering the market, which can serve as a data reference for BTC's bull market.
Key Nodes for BTC to Enter the Middle Stage of the Bull Market
1. BTC historically experiences this within six months after a halving
2. The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates
3. Coin prices surpass previous highs
4. The cycle for new project financing and coin issuance shortens
5. Altcoins' price increases exceed that of BTC
6. An upward trend at the weekly level
7. Significant inflow of off-exchange funds
Carving a Boat to Seek a Sword -- When Will BTC Enter the Middle Stage of the Bull Market
Currently, the U.S. stock market has officially entered the middle stage of the bull market, characterized by rising demand, leading stocks (such as AI and other tech stocks) leading the way, stock prices surpassing previous highs, high market optimism, and all three major indices reaching new highs, with new investors continuously entering the market, which can serve as a data reference for BTC's bull market.
Key Nodes for BTC to Enter the Middle Stage of the Bull Market
1. BTC historically experiences this within six months after a halving
2. The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates
3. Coin prices surpass previous highs
4. The cycle for new project financing and coin issuance shortens
5. Altcoins' price increases exceed that of BTC
6. An upward trend at the weekly level
7. Significant inflow of off-exchange funds
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【Blood and Tears Review】Every time the Fed cuts interest rates, does BTC skyrocket? I opened the historical K-line, and the results were shocking…
Brothers, I've noticed everyone is fantasizing that after the Fed cuts interest rates, Bitcoin will soar. Today, let's not just guess, but directly analyze the data! Reviewing from 2020 until now, every time there's an official announcement of an interest rate cut, how does BTC actually perform one month later?
Conclusion first: You're overthinking it! The market is specially designed to challenge various disbeliefs!
March 2020
- Script: The Fed's emergency interest rate cut, global panic.
- BTC Performance: **Plummeting!** Directly crashing from over $8000 to $3800!
- Truth: Liquidity crisis, whether it's gold or Bitcoin, sell them all for USD!
2024
- Script: Interest rate cut cycle begins, the market has already celebrated in advance.
Conclusion first: You're overthinking it! The market is specially designed to challenge various disbeliefs!
March 2020
- Script: The Fed's emergency interest rate cut, global panic.
- BTC Performance: **Plummeting!** Directly crashing from over $8000 to $3800!
- Truth: Liquidity crisis, whether it's gold or Bitcoin, sell them all for USD!
2024
- Script: Interest rate cut cycle begins, the market has already celebrated in advance.
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The current macro pricing logic of the big pie
A wave of retracement, the big cake stepped back to the M200 of the daily K, and the copycats were bleeding.
Which macro-pricing factors will be bearish on the trend of Bitcoin in the future?
1. The earnings reports of the six US stock sisters are lower than expected or other equivalent negative events
On June 24, an equivalent negative event was priced in: OpenAI CTO GPT-5 is expected to be launched at the end of 2025 or early 2026; the delay of the version update accelerated the decline of Nvidia and TSMC, triggering a sharp drop in the Nasdaq. Related to the 7.7% drop in the Bitcoin ETF
2. The Fed’s expected rate cut is postponed again to the first quarter of next year. The market has already fully priced in a rate cut in December.
Which macro-pricing factors will be bearish on the trend of Bitcoin in the future?
1. The earnings reports of the six US stock sisters are lower than expected or other equivalent negative events
On June 24, an equivalent negative event was priced in: OpenAI CTO GPT-5 is expected to be launched at the end of 2025 or early 2026; the delay of the version update accelerated the decline of Nvidia and TSMC, triggering a sharp drop in the Nasdaq. Related to the 7.7% drop in the Bitcoin ETF
2. The Fed’s expected rate cut is postponed again to the first quarter of next year. The market has already fully priced in a rate cut in December.
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