交易训练
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优化自己交易的一些经验
一、核心理念优化
市场本质：概率游戏
正确思路：交易是“正期望值”的重复博弈，需通过技术分析、资金管理、情绪控制将胜率与盈亏比结合为长期正收益。修正误区：避免“技术万能论”（如迷信单一指标）或“消息决定论”（如盲目跟风新闻）。
耐心等待：只交易高确定性机会
正确思路：
空仓是主动策略，只在技术形态（如EMA突破、FVG回补）、流动性共振（如机构止损区）时开仓。
放弃模棱两可的“中间价位”，专注关键位置（支撑/阻力、趋势线）。
修正误区：频繁交易（尤其是震荡行情中“刷单”）是亏损主因。
二、交易系统优化
技术分析：简化工具，聚焦核心逻辑
正确工具组合：
趋势判定：EMA（150/200周期）+ 维加斯通道（多周期均线组合）。
关键位置：FVG（价格失衡区）、OB（机构订单块）、前高/低点。
信号验证：K线形态（吞没、锤子线、Pin Bar）+ 成交量配合。
修正误区：避免叠加过多指标（如同时用MACD、RSI、布林带），导致信号冲突。
风险管理：科学化资金分配
单笔风险：≤2%总资金，以ATR（平均真实波幅）动态调整止损。
盈亏比：至少1:2，盈利后移动止损至成本线，保护本金。
分散风险：避免重仓单一标的，跨资产（如BTC、ETH、美股）对冲。
修正误区：扛单、浮亏加仓、盈利过早平仓（“截断利润”）。
趋势交易：顺势而非预测
多头趋势：只做多或观望，回调至支撑位（如EMA、FVG）进场。
空头趋势：只做空或观望，反弹至阻力位（如流动性区、前高）进场。
修正误区：逆势抄底摸顶、迷信“价格已跌/涨太多”。
三、心理与行为优化
情绪管理：理性决策的三大原则
原则1：亏损单不补仓，盈利单不加仓（避免“赢家诅咒”）。
原则2：交易前写计划（入场点、止损、目标），盘中禁止修改。
原则3：每日复盘时，用“旁观者视角”分析交易记录，剥离情绪影响。
认知提升：从“预测”到“应对”
市场不可预测，但可通过规则应对（如“突破跟进，假突破止损”）。
接受亏损是交易成本，追求长期概率优势。
修正误区：追求“100%胜率”或“完美交易”，导致过度优化系统。
四、机构行为与流动性逻辑深化
流动性陷阱：识别与利用机构手法：
假突破：短暂突破前高/低，触发散户止损后反向运行。
流动性猎取：在密集止损区（如期权行权价、历史高点）制造波动。
应对策略：在流动性区域反向开仓（如多单止损区开空）。
避免在“明显陷阱位”（如亚盘急涨急跌）追单。
数据辅助：利用清算信息正确应用：
关注交易所公布的密集清算位（多空爆仓点），作为反转信号参考。
结合技术形态（如背离、吞没）验证清算位的有效性。
五、复盘：从失败中提取规律
记录要素：日期、品种、方向、仓位、开仓理由、止损/止盈、结果、情绪状态。分析重点：
盈利单：是否按计划执行？能否复制？
亏损单：是否违反规则？如何避免？
总结：交易的本质是“规则战胜人性”
正确方向：简单系统（1-2个核心指标）+ 严格纪律（止损/止盈）+ 持续学习。终极目标：通过长期一致性，将交易转化为“机械化的概率优势游戏”，而非依赖运气或直觉。
#交易认知 #交易哲学 #交易训练
市场本质：概率游戏
正确思路：交易是“正期望值”的重复博弈，需通过技术分析、资金管理、情绪控制将胜率与盈亏比结合为长期正收益。修正误区：避免“技术万能论”（如迷信单一指标）或“消息决定论”（如盲目跟风新闻）。
耐心等待：只交易高确定性机会
正确思路：
空仓是主动策略，只在技术形态（如EMA突破、FVG回补）、流动性共振（如机构止损区）时开仓。
放弃模棱两可的“中间价位”，专注关键位置（支撑/阻力、趋势线）。
修正误区：频繁交易（尤其是震荡行情中“刷单”）是亏损主因。
二、交易系统优化
技术分析：简化工具，聚焦核心逻辑
正确工具组合：
趋势判定：EMA（150/200周期）+ 维加斯通道（多周期均线组合）。
关键位置：FVG（价格失衡区）、OB（机构订单块）、前高/低点。
信号验证：K线形态（吞没、锤子线、Pin Bar）+ 成交量配合。
修正误区：避免叠加过多指标（如同时用MACD、RSI、布林带），导致信号冲突。
风险管理：科学化资金分配
单笔风险：≤2%总资金，以ATR（平均真实波幅）动态调整止损。
盈亏比：至少1:2，盈利后移动止损至成本线，保护本金。
分散风险：避免重仓单一标的，跨资产（如BTC、ETH、美股）对冲。
修正误区：扛单、浮亏加仓、盈利过早平仓（“截断利润”）。
趋势交易：顺势而非预测
多头趋势：只做多或观望，回调至支撑位（如EMA、FVG）进场。
空头趋势：只做空或观望，反弹至阻力位（如流动性区、前高）进场。
修正误区：逆势抄底摸顶、迷信“价格已跌/涨太多”。
三、心理与行为优化
情绪管理：理性决策的三大原则
原则1：亏损单不补仓，盈利单不加仓（避免“赢家诅咒”）。
原则2：交易前写计划（入场点、止损、目标），盘中禁止修改。
原则3：每日复盘时，用“旁观者视角”分析交易记录，剥离情绪影响。
认知提升：从“预测”到“应对”
市场不可预测，但可通过规则应对（如“突破跟进，假突破止损”）。
接受亏损是交易成本，追求长期概率优势。
修正误区：追求“100%胜率”或“完美交易”，导致过度优化系统。
四、机构行为与流动性逻辑深化
流动性陷阱：识别与利用机构手法：
假突破：短暂突破前高/低，触发散户止损后反向运行。
流动性猎取：在密集止损区（如期权行权价、历史高点）制造波动。
应对策略：在流动性区域反向开仓（如多单止损区开空）。
避免在“明显陷阱位”（如亚盘急涨急跌）追单。
数据辅助：利用清算信息正确应用：
关注交易所公布的密集清算位（多空爆仓点），作为反转信号参考。
结合技术形态（如背离、吞没）验证清算位的有效性。
五、复盘：从失败中提取规律
记录要素：日期、品种、方向、仓位、开仓理由、止损/止盈、结果、情绪状态。分析重点：
盈利单：是否按计划执行？能否复制？
亏损单：是否违反规则？如何避免？
总结：交易的本质是“规则战胜人性”
正确方向：简单系统（1-2个核心指标）+ 严格纪律（止损/止盈）+ 持续学习。终极目标：通过长期一致性，将交易转化为“机械化的概率优势游戏”，而非依赖运气或直觉。
#交易认知 #交易哲学 #交易训练
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#交易训练
#AI $AI
Cause: Environmental cycle breaks through previous support area
Process: Trading cycle breaks through support area and initiates short arrangement right side entry
Result: Stop-loss retraction passive TP
#以色列伊朗冲突 #Solana现货ETF竞赛
#AI $AI
Cause: Environmental cycle breaks through previous support area
Process: Trading cycle breaks through support area and initiates short arrangement right side entry
Result: Stop-loss retraction passive TP
#以色列伊朗冲突 #Solana现货ETF竞赛
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To all the friends watching the live stream, today’s live stream 1049, although it hit the stop loss at 800 points, I emphasized repeatedly in the video and live stream, I strongly do not recommend trading at this position as mentioned in the video. However, the live stream must have a program to be effective, so I advise everyone to only use a small amount, small amount, small amount to test the waters! With a small amount at 800 points, how much can we really lose, brothers? It’s about aligning knowledge and action. I even opened a position that is not even half of what I have left in my short position. Moreover, the resistance level of BTC M that I mentioned repeatedly, surprisingly, there are still people saying I never talked about it. Anyway, I don’t care, I made a nice profit tonight, as steady as an old dog! However, the fact remains that currently, the live stream has faced five humiliating moments. That’s the truth. Let’s take the weekend to settle down, spend the daytime reading 'Dog Master’s Trading Method' at the library, and in the evening, go to the Pulao Temple to pray for blessings, studying both physical and magical skills. Starting next week, I’ll be waiting for ten glorious live streams to end for A Leng, let’s wait and see! #交易训练
Kloudy1:
助理老反指了😂😂
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#交易训练
#WIF $WIF
Cause: Environmental cycle moving average test has not reached a key position
Process: Trading cycle low points raised to progressively test moving average resistance + entry cycle converging right-side entry
Result: Moving average moves up smoothly to raise stop loss + manually take profit in the previous high resistance area
#鲍威尔发言 #以色列伊朗冲突
#WIF $WIF
Cause: Environmental cycle moving average test has not reached a key position
Process: Trading cycle low points raised to progressively test moving average resistance + entry cycle converging right-side entry
Result: Moving average moves up smoothly to raise stop loss + manually take profit in the previous high resistance area
#鲍威尔发言 #以色列伊朗冲突
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Little Chicken's Share Today 😊
After the large fluctuations over the weekend, AVAX has seen some panic selling over three consecutive trading days this week, followed by a period of consolidation. The entire market seems quite complex, especially after yesterday's U.S. market, where it has likely entered a range of consolidation or a wide downward channel 🤔
Whether looking at the 15-minute chart or the 1-hour chart, the breakthroughs of previous lows are not decisive, so it can be expected that this will develop into a relatively large range of consolidation. However, the bears remain strong, with no significant high points breached, so the probability is actually leaning towards the bears ⚠️
Originally, it should have been a better chance to look for short opportunities, but there are some reasons to believe that shorting may not be a good choice. Firstly, if the wide channel is valid, it is currently at the bottom of this channel, near previous lows, with these two visible supports. The possibility of a reversal reaching the other side of the channel is higher than the possibility of a downward breakout. Secondly, there is too much hesitation in breaking previous highs. In this case, the potential upward movement of previous limit orders for bulls is about 3%, which could allow some bulls to make a lot of money. This also means that the likelihood of this position becoming a range of consolidation is gradually increasing 📈
The probability advantage of bears may not lead to a favorable risk-reward ratio, so in this case, directly shorting is not the best choice 🙅
In summary, if one must short at this point, scalping can be chosen, and then wait for strong bullish signals to go long, with the expectation of reaching near the upper edge of the channel. One can also place limit orders at the lower edge of the channel, with a small position added on dips, watching for consolidation, and hoping that the bears fail to break down. Personally, I prefer to wait for bullish signals, as this will increase the probability of a successful long position 💰
Finally, I wish everyone prosperity 🤑
$AVAX
#我的交易风格
#K线学习
#交易训练
After the large fluctuations over the weekend, AVAX has seen some panic selling over three consecutive trading days this week, followed by a period of consolidation. The entire market seems quite complex, especially after yesterday's U.S. market, where it has likely entered a range of consolidation or a wide downward channel 🤔
Whether looking at the 15-minute chart or the 1-hour chart, the breakthroughs of previous lows are not decisive, so it can be expected that this will develop into a relatively large range of consolidation. However, the bears remain strong, with no significant high points breached, so the probability is actually leaning towards the bears ⚠️
Originally, it should have been a better chance to look for short opportunities, but there are some reasons to believe that shorting may not be a good choice. Firstly, if the wide channel is valid, it is currently at the bottom of this channel, near previous lows, with these two visible supports. The possibility of a reversal reaching the other side of the channel is higher than the possibility of a downward breakout. Secondly, there is too much hesitation in breaking previous highs. In this case, the potential upward movement of previous limit orders for bulls is about 3%, which could allow some bulls to make a lot of money. This also means that the likelihood of this position becoming a range of consolidation is gradually increasing 📈
The probability advantage of bears may not lead to a favorable risk-reward ratio, so in this case, directly shorting is not the best choice 🙅
In summary, if one must short at this point, scalping can be chosen, and then wait for strong bullish signals to go long, with the expectation of reaching near the upper edge of the channel. One can also place limit orders at the lower edge of the channel, with a small position added on dips, watching for consolidation, and hoping that the bears fail to break down. Personally, I prefer to wait for bullish signals, as this will increase the probability of a successful long position 💰
Finally, I wish everyone prosperity 🤑
$AVAX
#我的交易风格
#K线学习
#交易训练
See original
#交易训练 has been busy for half a month. During this half month, there were significant fluctuations; either I was trapped in positions or on the way to resolving them. Fortunately, I neither lost nor gained. Reflecting on it, I have issues with position control when trading contracts, and in the future, I need to reduce my trading frequency and lower my leverage. I need to learn slowly first. Overall, the robot is profitable, but sometimes my erratic operations lead to mistakes. The robot can patiently trade for a longer period, following the long-term trend. Contentment leads to profit 🤭$BTC
$ETH
$ETH
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Is this shape double low? Last night, there was a fierce battle between bulls and bears; does that mean the bulls won? It seems that the short positions need to be closed at the right time. Not losing is gaining🫠
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God gave me a vacation with heavy rain, I use institutional trading models to recharge myself, the rain is more exciting than my profit and loss curve, learn to benchmark and help others avoid the rain while I avoid the pitfalls, long-term holding of dark horses and short-term trading are essential skills, remember to think big and act small, holding models to navigate the world, with a sickle in hand, I can eat anything #加密市场反弹 #交易训练
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#交易训练
#IMX $IMX
Cause: Trading cycle low points raised
Process: After convergence of the entry cycle, breakout and retest for entry
Result: Manual TP in the previous high area of the trading cycle
#币安Alpha理财中心 #美国加征关税
#IMX $IMX
Cause: Trading cycle low points raised
Process: After convergence of the entry cycle, breakout and retest for entry
Result: Manual TP in the previous high area of the trading cycle
#币安Alpha理财中心 #美国加征关税
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#交易训练 reviewed the trades from a few days ago. The main reason for the continuous losses was "overconfidence + heavy positions"; once a direction was anchored, I kept pushing hard, which led to a failure in the second round of challenges. The second round showed significant improvement compared to the first round, with a capital performance of an initial deposit of 2780u, peaking over 18000u.
Where there are gains, there will be losses. The key is to control oneself during losses, avoid overconfidence, and prevent irreparable losses.
1900u marks the start of the third round of challenges.
Where there are gains, there will be losses. The key is to control oneself during losses, avoid overconfidence, and prevent irreparable losses.
1900u marks the start of the third round of challenges.
柳橙汁啊:
加油
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Trading Veteran Reveals with Tears: Step on These Three Pits and You'll Lose Everything!
#交易训练
As someone who has been there, I must splash cold water on new traders—stepping on any one of these three landmines is enough to ruin you!
Chasing Highs and Selling Lows Like a Leek
The dumbest move is to wait until the price skyrockets before rushing in to buy.
By the time you enter, the big players have already made off with the money, and you're just the “last runner” carrying their sedan chair.
Remember: Fear of Missing Out is a disease that needs curing! No matter how tempting skyrocketing coins are, don’t be the one left holding the bag.
Blind Trading Leads to Heavy Losses
I used to stare at the charts every day, yet knew nothing about international news or economic policies. What happened? Major events like the Fed's interest rate hikes and wars led to painful losses.
Now I understand: Technical analysis is the gun, fundamentals are the bullets; you need both!
Fidgeting and Turning into a Gambler
The worst thing is treating trading like gambling—feeling uneasy if you don’t make a move every day.
Forcefully trading when the market is quiet and rushing to recover losses leads you to become the very gambler you despise.
Remember: Holding cash doesn’t lose money; controlling your hands is real skill!
Core Truth: Trading is not about how many times you trade, it's about patience. If you can't understand the market, take a break; don’t treat your hard-earned money like game currency!
The market is constantly changing; we closely monitor it. Follow + comment to catch new entry opportunities with me.
#交易训练
As someone who has been there, I must splash cold water on new traders—stepping on any one of these three landmines is enough to ruin you!
Chasing Highs and Selling Lows Like a Leek
The dumbest move is to wait until the price skyrockets before rushing in to buy.
By the time you enter, the big players have already made off with the money, and you're just the “last runner” carrying their sedan chair.
Remember: Fear of Missing Out is a disease that needs curing! No matter how tempting skyrocketing coins are, don’t be the one left holding the bag.
Blind Trading Leads to Heavy Losses
I used to stare at the charts every day, yet knew nothing about international news or economic policies. What happened? Major events like the Fed's interest rate hikes and wars led to painful losses.
Now I understand: Technical analysis is the gun, fundamentals are the bullets; you need both!
Fidgeting and Turning into a Gambler
The worst thing is treating trading like gambling—feeling uneasy if you don’t make a move every day.
Forcefully trading when the market is quiet and rushing to recover losses leads you to become the very gambler you despise.
Remember: Holding cash doesn’t lose money; controlling your hands is real skill!
Core Truth: Trading is not about how many times you trade, it's about patience. If you can't understand the market, take a break; don’t treat your hard-earned money like game currency!
The market is constantly changing; we closely monitor it. Follow + comment to catch new entry opportunities with me.
See original
Path
Underlying logic, objective laws; road, direction. Understanding the path: finding a trading path that aligns with objective laws. The market follows the natural law of the jungle; enhance cognition, strengthen oneself, strive to be one of the few predators, backed by time, compounding in the long term.
Law
Fundamental principles, rules. Risk first, profit second; cut losses when wrong, take profits when right; prioritize survival, then development. If execution is lacking, legislate for oneself, establish rules, and impose penalties if not adhered to.
Technique
Fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment
Fundamentals refer to the impact of capital, policies, etc., on the financial environment, and the supply-demand logic of the asset itself. Fundamentals are qualitative analysis, focusing on long-term positive and negative influences, while short-term news impact is limited.
Technicals have many schools. Indicator and moving average school focuses on moving average arrangement, divergence, and entanglement; Dow theory discusses long-term, mid-term, and short-term trends; Elliott Wave refers to impulse and corrective waves; Gann theory looks at segments and key levels; price action refers to swings and trading ranges. The core is the alternating operation of trends and adjustments, plus the nesting of large and small cycles. In specific operations, it involves direction, position, and timing.
Sentiment refers to greed and fear. Retail investors often feel greed at high levels and panic at low levels, while major players often manipulate retail sentiment using news at high and low levels. The operational principle is encapsulated in Buffett's classic saying.
Tools
Instruments. Leverage is a double-edged sword. If position is insufficient, leverage comes into play; leverage is a double-edged sword—when used well, it is a tool for wealth; when used poorly, it can lead to liquidation.
Two steps: one, a positive expected trading strategy; two, long-term repeated execution.
#交易训练
Underlying logic, objective laws; road, direction. Understanding the path: finding a trading path that aligns with objective laws. The market follows the natural law of the jungle; enhance cognition, strengthen oneself, strive to be one of the few predators, backed by time, compounding in the long term.
Law
Fundamental principles, rules. Risk first, profit second; cut losses when wrong, take profits when right; prioritize survival, then development. If execution is lacking, legislate for oneself, establish rules, and impose penalties if not adhered to.
Technique
Fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment
Fundamentals refer to the impact of capital, policies, etc., on the financial environment, and the supply-demand logic of the asset itself. Fundamentals are qualitative analysis, focusing on long-term positive and negative influences, while short-term news impact is limited.
Technicals have many schools. Indicator and moving average school focuses on moving average arrangement, divergence, and entanglement; Dow theory discusses long-term, mid-term, and short-term trends; Elliott Wave refers to impulse and corrective waves; Gann theory looks at segments and key levels; price action refers to swings and trading ranges. The core is the alternating operation of trends and adjustments, plus the nesting of large and small cycles. In specific operations, it involves direction, position, and timing.
Sentiment refers to greed and fear. Retail investors often feel greed at high levels and panic at low levels, while major players often manipulate retail sentiment using news at high and low levels. The operational principle is encapsulated in Buffett's classic saying.
Tools
Instruments. Leverage is a double-edged sword. If position is insufficient, leverage comes into play; leverage is a double-edged sword—when used well, it is a tool for wealth; when used poorly, it can lead to liquidation.
Two steps: one, a positive expected trading strategy; two, long-term repeated execution.
#交易训练
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