$BTC BTC/USDT Multi-Stage Analysis (Daily & 2-Day Charts Combined)
Validated Projection: BTC Rallied from 82K to $109K
Our previous analysis (dated March 14) accurately:
Identified the falling wedge breakout
Projected a rally to $109K
Used Fibonacci zones and measured move targets
Showed a clean 38.2% retracement bounce from $75.2K before the impulsive rise
This historical precision validates our current bullish outlook, strengthening confidence in the extended projection toward $132K–$150K.
Latest 2-Day Chart Setup: Potential Paths From $109K
Scenario A: Bullish Continuation to $150K
Structure: Currently consolidating beneath $109K resistance
Symmetry Setup: Mirrors the prior 100% rally over ~97 days
Projected Move: $109K ➝ $150K (~71% gain) over ~108 days
Bullish Confirmation:
Momentum continuation post-breakout
Strong demand zones holding
Long-term trendline still respected
Scenario B: Bearish Retest to $75K Before Resumption
Potential pullback zone: $75K–$78K
Fibonacci support: 38.2% at ~$77K, 50% at ~67K
Would mimic the prior correction phase from March–May 2024
Offers a solid reaccumulation zone before another leg up
Bearish Risks Include:
Overheated sentiment
Regulatory headwinds
Global macroeconomic shifts
🎯 Long-Term Target Projection: $150,000+
Wave structure and historical patterns support continuation to $132K–$150K
Fibonacci extensions align with:
100% measured move = $132K
1.618 extension = ~$150K+
Backed by our previously accurate wedge breakout projection, this target range becomes highly plausible.
Consolidated Technical Summary
Type Level/Target Notes
Support 1 $89,924 (23.6%) Minor retracement
Support 2 $77,422 (38.2%) Strong historical bounce zone
Support 3 $67,475 (50%) Deeper correction, still bullish
Resistance 1 $109,588 Key breakout level
Target 1 $132,590 100% move projection
Target 2 $150,000+ 1.618 Fibonacci extension
🧠 Analyst Note (Strategy Recommendation):
Already Long from 82K? A trailing stop near 98K–$101K may help lock in profits.
Looking to Enter Fresh?
A break and close above $110K confirms bullish continuation.
A pullback to $75K–$77K offers a high-probability reentry zone.
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