分析师T神
✨公众号:自由T神✨全职交易员，专业操做日内短线合约波段，坚持技术研究投研中长线现货项目，埋伏潜力山寨。市场永远不缺机会，缺的是投资者的耐心
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Cryptocurrency Position Management Plan (Customized Version by T) Suggest thinking about your past liquidation experiences while watching.
1. Core Principles 🤖
"Split positions + staggered entries + stop loss", breaking down risks, not putting all eggs in one basket, and not going all in at once.
2. Overall Position Allocation (taking 100,000 U as an example, can be scaled proportionally) 💰
Divide the funds into "base position (30%) + flexible position (50%) + emergency position (20%)", each serving different functions:
Base position (30,000 U): Anchor to long-term trends, hold core assets (such as BTC, ETH), do not sell unless there is a major trend reversal.
Flexible position (50,000 U): Engage in swing trading, seize short-term opportunities, enter and exit flexibly.
"Split positions + staggered entries + stop loss", breaking down risks, not putting all eggs in one basket, and not going all in at once.
2. Overall Position Allocation (taking 100,000 U as an example, can be scaled proportionally) 💰
Divide the funds into "base position (30%) + flexible position (50%) + emergency position (20%)", each serving different functions:
Base position (30,000 U): Anchor to long-term trends, hold core assets (such as BTC, ETH), do not sell unless there is a major trend reversal.
Flexible position (50,000 U): Engage in swing trading, seize short-term opportunities, enter and exit flexibly.
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Doll Sister Reveals the Truth, This Round Loss of 8 Million Dollars!!!
As a seasoned trader who has crossed three rounds of bull and bear markets, after carefully studying Doll Sister's confession, it must be pointed out: This is the most valuable risk education case of the year!
🌟 Deep-rooted reasons behind the loss:
• Lack of position management: excessive risk exposure in a one-sided market
• Mismatch of emotional cycles: a vicious cycle of FOMO emotions and panic selling
• Cognitive bias: misjudging the popularity as project value
💡 T God's Professional Trading Framework:
1️⃣ Risk Budget Management System
Single currency risk exposure not exceeding 5% of total assets
Adopt tiered stop-loss strategy: -10% reduce position, -15% liquidate
Daily maximum drawdown controlled within 3%
2️⃣ Emotional Quantification Monitoring Indicators
Establish a trading log to record the emotional state of each trade
Set mandatory cooling-off period: pause trading for 24 hours after significant losses
Introduce third-party supervision mechanisms
3️⃣ Firewall for Traffic and Trading
Strictly distinguish between content creation and actual trading
Establish an independent investment decision-making process
Avoid fan emotions affecting trading decisions
📊 Empirical Data Insights:
Based on historical trading data analysis:
→ Traders who strictly implement risk control have a 3-year survival rate of 87%
→ Accounts engaged in emotional trading have an average survival time of only 11 months
→ Investors with sound position management saw bull market gains increase by 210%
🎯 Current Market Strategy Recommendations:
In an environment of tightening regulation and increased volatility:
• Focus on allocating underlying infrastructure projects
• Pay attention to protocols with actual revenue capabilities
• Adopt dollar-cost averaging strategy to accumulate core assets
• Maintain cash position of over 30%
💎 T God's Conclusion:
True trading experts do not avoid losses, but ensure that every loss creates value
Establishing a systematic trading framework is the ultimate weapon for traversing bull and bear markets #鲍威尔发言
【Follow T God for more institutional-level trading systems】@分析师T神
As a seasoned trader who has crossed three rounds of bull and bear markets, after carefully studying Doll Sister's confession, it must be pointed out: This is the most valuable risk education case of the year!
🌟 Deep-rooted reasons behind the loss:
• Lack of position management: excessive risk exposure in a one-sided market
• Mismatch of emotional cycles: a vicious cycle of FOMO emotions and panic selling
• Cognitive bias: misjudging the popularity as project value
💡 T God's Professional Trading Framework:
1️⃣ Risk Budget Management System
Single currency risk exposure not exceeding 5% of total assets
Adopt tiered stop-loss strategy: -10% reduce position, -15% liquidate
Daily maximum drawdown controlled within 3%
2️⃣ Emotional Quantification Monitoring Indicators
Establish a trading log to record the emotional state of each trade
Set mandatory cooling-off period: pause trading for 24 hours after significant losses
Introduce third-party supervision mechanisms
3️⃣ Firewall for Traffic and Trading
Strictly distinguish between content creation and actual trading
Establish an independent investment decision-making process
Avoid fan emotions affecting trading decisions
📊 Empirical Data Insights:
Based on historical trading data analysis:
→ Traders who strictly implement risk control have a 3-year survival rate of 87%
→ Accounts engaged in emotional trading have an average survival time of only 11 months
→ Investors with sound position management saw bull market gains increase by 210%
🎯 Current Market Strategy Recommendations:
In an environment of tightening regulation and increased volatility:
• Focus on allocating underlying infrastructure projects
• Pay attention to protocols with actual revenue capabilities
• Adopt dollar-cost averaging strategy to accumulate core assets
• Maintain cash position of over 30%
💎 T God's Conclusion:
True trading experts do not avoid losses, but ensure that every loss creates value
Establishing a systematic trading framework is the ultimate weapon for traversing bull and bear markets #鲍威尔发言
【Follow T God for more institutional-level trading systems】@分析师T神
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Record of ups and downs in the crypto world: 8 bloody lessons to help you break through in the current market.
From chasing high positions during the 2017 bull market to facing the risk of zero during the LUNA crash in 2022, and now being able to seize opportunities in chaotic markets, these 6 years of ups and downs in the crypto world, the pitfalls I’ve encountered and the money I've lost have all become the 'bloody lessons' I want to share with friends who are just entering the market today. Especially now, with the market direction unclear and intense long-short battles, these experiences forged from bull and bear cycles may help you avoid 3 years of detours.
1. Trends are like the wind; don't think about 'sticking to the end.'
In 2021, during the FIL fire, I rushed in with a full warehouse, watching the price rise from 200U to 400U, always feeling that it could go higher, thinking 'to eat from the beginning to the end.' As a result, after just a few days, the hype faded, and the price fell all the way to 80U, and all the profits I had made were given back, even incurring a loss. Later, the LUNA crash made me understand even more: the mission of altcoins is to help you earn short-term profits, not to let you 'stay together for a long time.' Any project cannot escape the cycle, no matter how much it rises. As long as the profits reach expectations (for example, the 30% take-profit line I set later), gradually change positions to lock in profits; don’t wait until the tide goes out to panic.
1. Trends are like the wind; don't think about 'sticking to the end.'
In 2021, during the FIL fire, I rushed in with a full warehouse, watching the price rise from 200U to 400U, always feeling that it could go higher, thinking 'to eat from the beginning to the end.' As a result, after just a few days, the hype faded, and the price fell all the way to 80U, and all the profits I had made were given back, even incurring a loss. Later, the LUNA crash made me understand even more: the mission of altcoins is to help you earn short-term profits, not to let you 'stay together for a long time.' Any project cannot escape the cycle, no matter how much it rises. As long as the profits reach expectations (for example, the 30% take-profit line I set later), gradually change positions to lock in profits; don’t wait until the tide goes out to panic.
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What stage is the market currently in? Let T God briefly share his views 🎯
✅ Last week, a tweet from Trump brought the trade war back into our view, as the three-month tariff suspension is about to expire. China and the U.S. need to reach a new trade agreement by November 10, so the recent moves from both countries are mainly to increase their negotiation leverage. Interestingly, this time the proactive side has changed to China, which is restricting U.S. ships from docking and controlling rare earths. Trump saw this and was very angry, so he announced a 100% increase in tariffs on China. However, later he also showed that he is a very capricious person, suddenly changing his mind over the weekend and saying everything is fine, and the cryptocurrency market began to slowly rebound again.
✅ T God thinks this incident is simply raising high and then gently putting it down, ultimately ending up like the previous conflict between Trump and Musk, just fading away. The ones who always get hurt are retail investors. However, we cannot change the market; we can only continuously change our strategies and thinking.
✅ After the crash on Saturday, market sentiment fell into extreme panic, with funding rates being negative. If we consider the situation from last year or the beginning of this year, I might have taken the opportunity to buy on dips. However, since this rate cut, the market has not felt as ideal to me; many times, the rises are merely technical rebounds, and prices are precarious. Therefore, with Trump's announcement of increased tariffs, the market could collapse instantly.
✅ I had previously mentioned on October 2 that my absolute view was bearish on the daily and weekly charts. Sure enough, within 10 days, we saw the largest liquidation in history on October 11, reaching 19.1 billion. Many in the cryptocurrency market were liquidated, but those who believed in me not only did not lose money but also made significant gains. Moving forward, I believe that after the crash, we can take some short-term longs for a rebound; however, the overall direction remains bearish. Regarding the market, it is very likely that we are at the end of a bull market now; in spot trading, it is best to sell on highs, as most coins are near high positions. Low-multiple long-term shorts can be considered for positioning gradually #美国加征关税
✅ Last week, a tweet from Trump brought the trade war back into our view, as the three-month tariff suspension is about to expire. China and the U.S. need to reach a new trade agreement by November 10, so the recent moves from both countries are mainly to increase their negotiation leverage. Interestingly, this time the proactive side has changed to China, which is restricting U.S. ships from docking and controlling rare earths. Trump saw this and was very angry, so he announced a 100% increase in tariffs on China. However, later he also showed that he is a very capricious person, suddenly changing his mind over the weekend and saying everything is fine, and the cryptocurrency market began to slowly rebound again.
✅ T God thinks this incident is simply raising high and then gently putting it down, ultimately ending up like the previous conflict between Trump and Musk, just fading away. The ones who always get hurt are retail investors. However, we cannot change the market; we can only continuously change our strategies and thinking.
✅ After the crash on Saturday, market sentiment fell into extreme panic, with funding rates being negative. If we consider the situation from last year or the beginning of this year, I might have taken the opportunity to buy on dips. However, since this rate cut, the market has not felt as ideal to me; many times, the rises are merely technical rebounds, and prices are precarious. Therefore, with Trump's announcement of increased tariffs, the market could collapse instantly.
✅ I had previously mentioned on October 2 that my absolute view was bearish on the daily and weekly charts. Sure enough, within 10 days, we saw the largest liquidation in history on October 11, reaching 19.1 billion. Many in the cryptocurrency market were liquidated, but those who believed in me not only did not lose money but also made significant gains. Moving forward, I believe that after the crash, we can take some short-term longs for a rebound; however, the overall direction remains bearish. Regarding the market, it is very likely that we are at the end of a bull market now; in spot trading, it is best to sell on highs, as most coins are near high positions. Low-multiple long-term shorts can be considered for positioning gradually #美国加征关税
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10 Years of Trading Cryptocurrency: These 8 Rules Helped Me Avoid Every Major Downturn, I Recommend Reviewing Them Daily
In the cryptocurrency market, I have struggled for 10 years, from liquidations to consistent profits, from chasing highs and cutting losses to precise timing. It's not about luck, but rather the 8 'life-saving rules' that I must review before the market opens every day. While others panic during major downturns, I can retreat unscathed, all thanks to these rules etched in my mind. Today, I'm sharing my hard-earned experience with those destined to find it, helping them avoid 3 years of detours.
1. Don't just focus on a single candlestick when entering! Always check the 30-minute chart for short-term trades, and only act when the market resonates.
Many people see a long upper shadow on the daily chart and think there’s no opportunity, only to find that the next day it skyrockets with a big bullish candle — it's not the candlestick that deceives you, but the missed 'mystery' in the 30-minute chart: for instance, after a long upper shadow, if the 30-minute chart stabilizes at a key support level and a MACD golden cross appears simultaneously, that's a 'short-term entry signal'. Remember: looking at a single candlestick is gambling; combining small timeframes + market stabilization (for example, BTC not breaking the intraday support) is the way to be safe.
1. Don't just focus on a single candlestick when entering! Always check the 30-minute chart for short-term trades, and only act when the market resonates.
Many people see a long upper shadow on the daily chart and think there’s no opportunity, only to find that the next day it skyrockets with a big bullish candle — it's not the candlestick that deceives you, but the missed 'mystery' in the 30-minute chart: for instance, after a long upper shadow, if the 30-minute chart stabilizes at a key support level and a MACD golden cross appears simultaneously, that's a 'short-term entry signal'. Remember: looking at a single candlestick is gambling; combining small timeframes + market stabilization (for example, BTC not breaking the intraday support) is the way to be safe.
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The washout is over! The crypto market officially enters the 'repricing' cycle 🚨
The 'destructive power' of this round of deep washout has become clear —— BTC's daily level has completed the 'pin testing support' (the key moving average below has not been effectively broken), and the altcoin sector shows a 'batch correction' trend, with most assets lacking narrative support dropping more than 15%. This not only clears a large number of high-leverage positions but also leads to a concentrated release of short-term panic selling.
But it must be clear: the essence of the washout is a necessary stage for 'the market to eliminate bubbles and return to value logic', rather than a signal of trend reversal.
From the current market data, two key signals have emerged:
First, the 24-hour trading volume of mainstream coins (BTC/ETH) is gradually returning to normal, and selling pressure momentum has significantly weakened;
Second, the net outflow rate of exchange spot funds is slowing down, indicating that short-term fleeing funds are beginning to stabilize.
This means that the market will next enter the core stage of 'capital redistribution + value reassessment' ——
Either, mainstream coins represented by BTC will first stabilize at key resistance levels (such as the daily 50-day moving average), driving the market's risk appetite to recover, and quality altcoins (assets with practical scenarios and high funding attention) will initiate 'catch-up recovery';
Or, the new narrative tracks (such as the recently active XX sector) will break through first, attracting incremental funds to enter and promoting the assets within the sector to complete 'valuation reshaping'.
Essentially, this is the market's process of 'after washing away emotional interference, re-establishing a price anchor for assets'.
At the current stage, two major operations should be avoided:
First, blindly bottom-fishing for 'oversold but illogical' assets,
Second, chasing short-term emotional rebounds.
It is recommended to closely track two signals: ⭐
Whether mainstream coins form a combination of 'support level stabilization + volume recovery', and whether incremental funds concentrate on specific sectors. #加密市场反弹
Which sector do you think will become the 'leader' in this round of repricing? Will mainstream coins stabilize first, or will new narrative tracks break through? Share your judgment in the comments section ～
The 'destructive power' of this round of deep washout has become clear —— BTC's daily level has completed the 'pin testing support' (the key moving average below has not been effectively broken), and the altcoin sector shows a 'batch correction' trend, with most assets lacking narrative support dropping more than 15%. This not only clears a large number of high-leverage positions but also leads to a concentrated release of short-term panic selling.
But it must be clear: the essence of the washout is a necessary stage for 'the market to eliminate bubbles and return to value logic', rather than a signal of trend reversal.
From the current market data, two key signals have emerged:
First, the 24-hour trading volume of mainstream coins (BTC/ETH) is gradually returning to normal, and selling pressure momentum has significantly weakened;
Second, the net outflow rate of exchange spot funds is slowing down, indicating that short-term fleeing funds are beginning to stabilize.
This means that the market will next enter the core stage of 'capital redistribution + value reassessment' ——
Either, mainstream coins represented by BTC will first stabilize at key resistance levels (such as the daily 50-day moving average), driving the market's risk appetite to recover, and quality altcoins (assets with practical scenarios and high funding attention) will initiate 'catch-up recovery';
Or, the new narrative tracks (such as the recently active XX sector) will break through first, attracting incremental funds to enter and promoting the assets within the sector to complete 'valuation reshaping'.
Essentially, this is the market's process of 'after washing away emotional interference, re-establishing a price anchor for assets'.
At the current stage, two major operations should be avoided:
First, blindly bottom-fishing for 'oversold but illogical' assets,
Second, chasing short-term emotional rebounds.
It is recommended to closely track two signals: ⭐
Whether mainstream coins form a combination of 'support level stabilization + volume recovery', and whether incremental funds concentrate on specific sectors. #加密市场反弹
Which sector do you think will become the 'leader' in this round of repricing? Will mainstream coins stabilize first, or will new narrative tracks break through? Share your judgment in the comments section ～
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1011 Global Liquidation 1.62 million people, 21 billion USD!
Trump: "Now you know who the stock god is, old man Ba, you go sit at the children's table!"💥
🍉💸
Today, the cryptocurrency market's spike and plunge directly went crazy — BTC plummeted 7.55%, with over 2.18 billion liquidated in 24 hours, and the fear index hitting 27 (definitely in the panic zone). USDT is still flowing into exchanges in small amounts, this "killing the long" situation is too harsh!
Currently, the market shows a funding rate of -0.023% (the rate is normal but leaning towards the short side), with real positions showing "Long 38%: Short 62%", clearly big funds are dumping and shorting, while small retail investors are still holding long positions; brothers trying to catch the bottom might be buried.🤣
(But jokes aside, trading contracts is high risk, don’t mess around with leverage and naked contracts! If you want to follow T God in real-time to monitor support and resistance levels, and avoid liquidation, hurry up and hit follow, I’ll shout you when the market moves next time~) #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调
Trump: "Now you know who the stock god is, old man Ba, you go sit at the children's table!"💥
🍉💸
Today, the cryptocurrency market's spike and plunge directly went crazy — BTC plummeted 7.55%, with over 2.18 billion liquidated in 24 hours, and the fear index hitting 27 (definitely in the panic zone). USDT is still flowing into exchanges in small amounts, this "killing the long" situation is too harsh!
Currently, the market shows a funding rate of -0.023% (the rate is normal but leaning towards the short side), with real positions showing "Long 38%: Short 62%", clearly big funds are dumping and shorting, while small retail investors are still holding long positions; brothers trying to catch the bottom might be buried.🤣
(But jokes aside, trading contracts is high risk, don’t mess around with leverage and naked contracts! If you want to follow T God in real-time to monitor support and resistance levels, and avoid liquidation, hurry up and hit follow, I’ll shout you when the market moves next time~) #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调
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An excellent trader must learn to withstand systemic financial risks; friends who enter at the points can incur a loss on cost.
COAIUSDT
Perp
20X
Opening Short
Unrealized PNL
-932.00%
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Always keep bullets to pick up people x steamed bun 🥲
B
CATIUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+1450.40%
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All short positions have been closed for profit, the target is still too conservative, missed out on a hundred million👻
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Binance Trader enjoys the Binance life
In the next order, I hope everyone can be on the same bus 🚗
In the next order, I hope everyone can be on the same bus 🚗
B
AKEUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
-278.11%
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Not bad 😊
B
ASTERUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+38.57%
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The profit target I expect is to observe two positions below, watch for a rebound strength when the 120000 integer level is broken. After breaking, all short positions in the 118200-117800 range will be closed and reversed to go long #BTC
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Is a bear market coming? Focus on the correlation between the US Dollar Index and BTC
—— Wyckoff + Chande Theory Double Kill💥💰
Focus on the US Dollar Index (DXY) and BTC through Wyckoff and Chande Theory to see if there will be significant movements in the market
Trend Analysis
US Dollar Index (DXY)
Chande Theory Dimension: On the daily chart, DXY is in a large oscillation range. From the trend structure, after a previous decline, it has entered a central oscillation phase, and there are currently signs of forming a new downward wave. If it subsequently breaks key support levels, it is highly likely to initiate a decent downward trend, which is often a positive signal for cryptocurrencies like BTC (a weaker dollar means more funds are likely to flow into the crypto market).
Focus on the US Dollar Index (DXY) and BTC through Wyckoff and Chande Theory to see if there will be significant movements in the market
Trend Analysis
US Dollar Index (DXY)
Chande Theory Dimension: On the daily chart, DXY is in a large oscillation range. From the trend structure, after a previous decline, it has entered a central oscillation phase, and there are currently signs of forming a new downward wave. If it subsequently breaks key support levels, it is highly likely to initiate a decent downward trend, which is often a positive signal for cryptocurrencies like BTC (a weaker dollar means more funds are likely to flow into the crypto market).
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October 8 Market Highlights
1. BTC reached the top of the platform and retraced, with strong consensus around 120-121k; it is still within a reasonable range, and we will continue to look for new highs before a physical break;
2. ETH is relatively poor, having retraced more than half of the holiday gains; this may be a relatively suitable position, but the risk is high, so we choose not to participate for now;
3. Bitcoin treasury company Strategy is about to become the second-largest holding institution in the United States;
4. BNB's market value surpasses XRP, rising to the third position in global cryptocurrency market capitalization;
5. SharpLink's cumulative staking rewards have reached 4723 Ethereum, with an additional 451 last week.
1. BTC reached the top of the platform and retraced, with strong consensus around 120-121k; it is still within a reasonable range, and we will continue to look for new highs before a physical break;
2. ETH is relatively poor, having retraced more than half of the holiday gains; this may be a relatively suitable position, but the risk is high, so we choose not to participate for now;
3. Bitcoin treasury company Strategy is about to become the second-largest holding institution in the United States;
4. BNB's market value surpasses XRP, rising to the third position in global cryptocurrency market capitalization;
5. SharpLink's cumulative staking rewards have reached 4723 Ethereum, with an additional 451 last week.
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The big one has arrived as expected, keep up, my babies, I've reminded you this afternoon #ETH
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Shanzhai Welfare Strategy
CRV Market Price Long
Take Profit 0.89-1.027-Pending
Stop Loss 0.73
Profit and Loss Ratio 4.6
#crv The price is oscillating within a slanted triangular range. After experiencing a decline earlier, it has been repeatedly moving within this range, and now it has reached the end of the triangle, about to choose a direction to break through. From the perspective of volume and the rhythm of the trend, the probability of an upward breakout is greater, as the recent rebound momentum has been quite strong.
CRV Market Price Long
Take Profit 0.89-1.027-Pending
Stop Loss 0.73
Profit and Loss Ratio 4.6
#crv The price is oscillating within a slanted triangular range. After experiencing a decline earlier, it has been repeatedly moving within this range, and now it has reached the end of the triangle, about to choose a direction to break through. From the perspective of volume and the rhythm of the trend, the probability of an upward breakout is greater, as the recent rebound momentum has been quite strong.
CRVUSDT
Perp
5X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
-160.00%
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