This Week's Observation: Coldness and Rhythm

The market's cold front is undeniable. Bitcoin has once again hit the bottom in a continuous decline, touching the line of 80,600. Looking back at this week, starting from 95,500, our bearish logic has synchronized with the market trend, capturing over 15,000 points of downward space; Ethereum has followed suit, hitting a low of 2,620, and our strategy has also gained nearly 600 points. $ETH #ETH

The cadence of history and the weight of cycles: $BTC #BTC

The market always rhymes. The four-year cyclical rhythm seems to be writing a new footnote with this decline. In 2021, Bitcoin peaked at 69,000, and it took a full two years to complete the bear market's baptism. This year, after setting a historical high of 126,000, its retracement has reached 46,000 points—this is not just a number; it crucially pierced through the long-standing upward trend line. The change in pattern often begins with such a decisive break.

Charts are speaking: $币安人生

The narrative at the weekly level has changed. Consecutive bearish candles have dismantled the previously solid bullish structure. The decline has ample trading volume, while each rebound appears weak and fleeting, like a flickering candle. Since the peak's retreat, the only decent bullish candle correction has quickly been swallowed by the subsequent bearish candles. This clearly indicates that the balance of momentum has tilted. "Strong does not adjust deeply, deep adjustment is not strong," the depth of the 46,000 points retracement itself is the most powerful bearish declaration.

Next Week's Strategy Simulation: #比特币波动性 #美股2026预测

Against this backdrop, our strategy needs to maintain coherence and patience. For Bitcoin, the area of 85,500 - 87,000 can be seen as an ideal long-term bearish layout zone. The first phase target can be set around the previous low of 75,000, and if momentum continues, we will look further towards the significant level of 70,000.

Anchor point of emotions: #美国非农数据超预期

The essence of operation is to seek certainty amidst turmoil, and the greatest certainty often comes from our own discipline. Obsession is the most important; while flexibility is the highest risk control. There is no need to look back for missed fluctuations, nor to sigh for spaces never possessed. In this ever-moving market, finding and adhering to one's own rhythm is far more important than chasing every seemingly opportunistic ripple.