Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Still Holds Strong in 2025

  • The 4-year Bitcoin cycle continues to guide market behavior.

  • Cycle top is expected between October and December 2025.

  • Institutions may not disrupt traditional crypto cycles.

Why Bitcoin’s Time-Tested Cycle Still Works

Bitcoin has always been known for its 4-year cycle — a pattern that includes a year of accumulation, a bullish breakout year, a euphoric top, and a correction phase. According to market analyst CryptoCon, despite some confusing early-year action in 2025, this cycle is still on track.

He points out two constants in Bitcoin’s history: the 4-year cycle itself, and the recurring belief that this cycle is about to end — yet it never does. The sideways movement and temporary decline seen earlier this year are not unusual. In fact, similar patterns were observed during past bull markets.

Don’t Expect Institutions to Rewrite Bitcoin’s Future

A popular belief in each cycle is that this time will be different — often due to external factors like institutional investments or new financial products like Bitcoin ETFs. However, CryptoCon argues that these elements are unlikely to override the core mechanics of the Halving Cycles Theory.

Despite more institutional attention and media hype, Bitcoin still moves to the beat of its halving rhythm. ETFs and other traditional finance tools may add temporary fuel, but they aren’t rewriting the cycle playbook.

Two things about Bitcoin never seem to change:

1. The 4 year cycle

2. People expecting the 4 year cycle to die

The strange decline and sideways price action early in the bull market year hasn't derailed the Halving Cycles Theory one bit.

I don't side with thinking that the… pic.twitter.com/eu9joN2LMC

— CryptoCon (@CryptoCon_) July 16, 2025

What to Expect in the Coming Months

CryptoCon forecasts that the next major Cycle Top Echo High could appear between August and September 2025, with the actual cycle top likely landing between October and December 2025.

For long-term holders and market watchers, this timeline offers a clear roadmap. If history repeats — as it often does in crypto — the remainder of 2025 could bring the type of explosive gains Bitcoin is known for before the next cooldown.

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