#NFPWatch It sounds like you're looking for insights into "NFP Watch"—tracking the U.S. Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report, a key economic indicator that measures job growth excluding farm, government, nonprofits and private household employment.
📊 What "NFP Watch" Means
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are released monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, typically on the first Friday at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, and are a major barometer of economic health reddit.com+12cambridgecurrencies.com+12econotimes.com+12reddit.com+2en.wikipedia.org+2reddit.com+2.
Markets—particularly USD, equities, bonds, and gold—can be highly volatile around release time reddit.com+4cambridgecurrencies.com+4forexing.com+4.
🔍 Latest June 2025 Report
147,000 jobs added in June, surpassing the 110 K consensus estimate and up from a revised 139 K in May tradingeconomics.com+1cambridgecurrencies.com+1.
Government sector added 73 K jobs (largely in education); healthcare added 39 K, social assistance +19 K; federal government lost about 7 K tradingeconomics.com.
Wage growth cooled—average hourly earnings rose only 0.2% month‑on‑month and 3.7% year‑on‑year (below expectations of 0.3% / 3.9%) reddit.com+3cambridgecurrencies.com+3fxleaders.com+3.
Implications: labor markets remain resilient, but slowing wage growth may reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten further binance.com+13cambridgecurrencies.com+13fxleaders.com+13.
🔮 Expectations & Forecast for July
June consensus before release: +110 K (range: 50–160 K) with unemployment at ~4.3% tradingeconomics.com+11fxleaders.com+11reddit.com+11.
FactSet preview suggested +115 K median and a 4.3% unemployment rate for June .
For July’s upcoming release (reflecting July data), forecasts vary widely—any reading below 100 K could weaken the dollar, while anything above 200 K could significantly strengthen it reddit.com+2reddit.com+2fxleaders.com+2.
🗓️ Important Dates
Reference MonthRelease Date (EST)June 2025Friday, July 3, 2025, 8:30 a.m. ET July 2025Friday, August 1, 2025, 8:30 a.m. ET
⚠️ Why Watch It
Volatility Risk: USD, treasuries, equities, and gold react sharply based on whether the report beats, meets, or misses expectations .
Fed implications: A strong NFP one month combined with weak wage growth could influence Fed decisions on rate cuts; weak job growth might spark more dovish sentiment maxco.co.id+15cambridgecurrencies.com+15reddit.com+15.
🔔 What to Watch Next
Release of July data: Friday, August 1, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Key metrics beyond headline jobs:
Monthly job additions
Wage (average hourly earnings) growth
Unemployment rate & labor force participation
Market sentiment: Expect forex volatility and position adjustments by traders and Fed watchers. Watch major pairs like USD/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD and assets like gold and treasury yields insight.factset.com+4en.wikipedia.org+4reddit.com+4reddit.com+8cambridgecurrencies.com+8investing.com+8fxleaders.com+1reddit.com+1.
✅ Quick Take
June’s NFP surprised upwards at 147 K, with cooled wage growth—suggesting a robust but easing labor market.
July preview points to a range between 120–170 K, with wider possible outcomes (50–200 K).
Next release to watch: August 1, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Let me know if you want a deep dive into sector breakdowns, Fed reaction, or real‑time market moves when the next report drops!