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$XRP XRP’s long-term structure may still have one significant move left before the next market downturn, according to ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA), a well-known cryptocurrency analyst.
In a recent video, he analyzed XRP’s historical movements through the Gaussian channel on the three-month chart and explained why the asset could reach $27 soon.
ChartNerd pointed out that XRP’s multi-year price cycles have consistently interacted with what he described as the “upper regression band” of the Gaussian channel. He noted that previous market lows, such as those in January 2017 and January 2020, formed around this same upper boundary before major rallies began.
He emphasized that each cycle has followed a similar structure, with the regression band effectively serving as a recurring area of support across different phases of XRP’s price history.
👉The Path Toward $27
According to his analysis, $XRP currently remains in an accumulation range that precedes a potential expansion phase. ChartNerd argued that if the asset can sustain its current position and build momentum, it may approach the $27 level in what he described as a “blow off top.” He explained that this potential move would align with the Gaussian channel behavior in previous market cycles.
He explained that if $XRP maintains stability within its current accumulation zone and later advances toward the $27 level, the next bear market could see prices align with the Gaussian channel for a new long-term low.
ChartNerd explained that the channel’s upper regression band rises over time, meaning that future lows could form higher than before, even after a significant correction. However, he highlighted that this same technical framework also implies a steep retracement once the bullish phase ends.
👉A Possible Return to $1 After the Peak
The analyst’s projection suggests that XRP’s next full cycle could involve a sharp move from its projected top near $27 down to around $1. He presented historical data to support this outlook, noting that previous bear markets in
XRP have produced corrections surpassing 95%.
Notably, other analysts have predicted a 95% crash for XRP after the next massive rally, and ChartNerd asserted that a similar retracement would again align the digital asset’s price with the upper regression band.
He emphasized that such a move would not be unusual compared to past XRP cycles, as each major rally since 2013 has eventually reverted to that same structural area on the Gaussian channel.
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