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$BTC recently broke out of an expanding wedge pattern a move that initially looked bullish only to sharply reverse and crash back toward recent lows. For many traders, this kind of price action triggers fear, confusion, and rushed decisions.but moments like this are exactly when patience matters most.

What Just Happened in the Market
The recent drop wasn’t random. Bitcoin swept the equal lows from December 1st and December 18th, areas where a large amount of stop-loss liquidity was resting. Markets often move aggressively into these zones, not because trend has changed immediately, but because liquidity needs to be taken before the next phase begins.

In simple terms:
price moved where traders were most vulnerable.because of this, a short-term stabilization or bounce toward the $87,000 area is a very realistic outcome. That move would not signal strength it would simply reflect the market rebalancing after grabbing liquidity.

The Bigger Picture Still Controls Direction
While short-term bounces can happen, they don’t override the broader trend.
On higher timeframes, Bitcoin remains under bearish pressure. Momentum has weakened, volatility is expanding, and price is still trading near what appears to be the upper range of this market cycle. Historically, conditions like this favor distribution, not sustained upside.
That’s why, after any potential relief bounce, a deeper move toward $75,000 remains a high-probability scenario.
This distinction is critical for traders:
Lower timeframes create noise
Higher timeframes define trend
Ignoring that difference is how traders get trapped.

Could This Be a Fakeout?

There is always an alternative scenario.
Bitcoin has now swept equal lows, and $ETH continues to hover near its three major support zones. In isolation, this could support a fake breakdown and recovery.
However, given the current macro environment, declining risk appetite, and overall market structure, this bullish outcome appears less likely at this stage. The market is behaving more like a transition into a bear phase than a reset for continuation.
My Approach as a Trader
I’ve learned often the hard way that trading panic rarely ends well. Entering positions during emotional volatility usually means poor risk-to-reward and unclear invalidation.
For that reason, I’m choosing to wait.
I want to see how price behaves after today’s close, how liquidity settles, and whether the market confirms stabilization or continuation. If a trade sets up with clear structure and risk defined, I’ll act. If not, I’ll stay sidelined.
Waiting is not inactivity.
It’s risk management.
A Final Reminder for Traders
Not every crash is an opportunity.
Not every bounce is bullish.
And you don’t need to trade every move to be successful.
The market will always offer another setup but capital, once lost, is much harder to recover.
Sometimes the best trade is simply protecting your position and letting the market show its intent.
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