ETH Technical Outlook – Relief Bounce From Demand, But Trend Still Capped by Heavy Resistance
Ethereum has reacted strongly from the $2,620–$2,700 major demand zone, an area that has repeatedly attracted buyers over the past months. This bounce helped ETH reclaim the 0.236 Fibonacci level near $3,173, signaling short-term relief after an extended pullback.
However, despite the rebound, ETH remains below a dense cluster of moving averages and Fibonacci resistance, suggesting that the broader structure is still under bearish-to-neutral control.
ETH is currently facing a critical overhead resistance confluence, including:
$3,315 (50 EMA)
$3,447–$3,491 (200 EMA + 100 EMA cluster)
$3,514 (0.382 Fib)
$3,790 (0.5 Fib – major mid-range resistance)
These levels together form a strong supply zone that ETH must break decisively to confirm a trend reversal.
As long as ETH holds above the $2,620–$2,700 support zone, the current rebound structure remains valid. However, failure to break above $3,500–$3,800 keeps ETH in a broader corrective phase rather than a confirmed bullish continuation.
A clean breakout and daily close above $3,790 would open the path toward higher Fibonacci targets:
$4,065 (0.618 Fib)
$4,457 (0.786 Fib)
$4,956 (Fib 1.0 / previous major high)
On the downside, losing the $3,100–$3,000 area would weaken the short-term structure and increase the probability of a retest of the $2,620 demand zone. A breakdown below this zone would expose ETH to deeper downside risk toward the $2,400–$2,300 macro support region.
RSI is currently hovering around 48, indicating neutral momentum. A sustained move above 55 would confirm strengthening bullish momentum, while rejection below 45 would favor renewed selling pressure.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance Zones
$3,173 (0.236 Fib – reclaimed)
$3,315 (50 EMA)
$3,447–$3,491 (200 EMA + 100 EMA)
$3,514 (0.382 Fib)
$3,790 (0.5 Fib – key breakout level)
$4,065 (0.618 Fib)
$4,457 (0.786 Fib)
Support Zones
$3,100–$3,000 (short-term support)
$2,620–$2,700 (major demand zone)
$2,400 (macro support)
📈 RSI
48.4 → Neutral momentum
RSI above 55 needed for bullish confirmation
📌 Summary
ETH has produced a solid rebound from a historically strong demand zone, but price remains capped below a heavy resistance cluster between $3,300 and $3,800. A decisive breakout above this zone is required to confirm a bullish trend continuation. Until then, ETH remains in a recovery phase within a broader corrective structure, with downside risk returning if $2,620 fails to hold.
PI Network (PI/USDT) Technical Outlook – Persistent Downtrend With Weak Recovery Attempts
PI continues to trade under a well-defined descending channel, reflecting sustained bearish pressure over the medium to long term. Price action shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers remain firmly in control despite occasional short-term relief bounces.
After a sharp breakdown from the $0.35–$0.36 supply zone, PI failed to reclaim the 0.382 Fibonacci level near $0.3505, turning that area into a strong resistance. Recent price action shows weak consolidation near the lower boundary of the descending channel, indicating hesitation from buyers.
PI is currently trading below all major EMAs, reinforcing the bearish market structure.
PI is facing a heavy confluence of resistance levels, including:
This zone continues to cap upside attempts and limits bullish continuation.
As long as PI remains below the descending channel resistance and EMA cluster, the broader trend stays bearish. A confirmed breakout above $0.276–$0.282 would be required to trigger a short-term recovery, while a break above $0.35 would be needed to shift the mid-term structure bullish.
If buyers manage to reclaim key resistance, upside Fibonacci targets become:
$0.4108 (0.5 Fib)
$0.4710 (0.618 Fib)
$0.5568 (0.786 Fib)
$0.6660 (Fib 1.0 / macro high)
On the downside, failure to hold the current base exposes PI to the $0.199–$0.190 support zone, followed by the $0.1555 Fib zero level, which represents a major historical support.
RSI remains weak, hovering in the 35–42 range, indicating subdued momentum. A sustained RSI recovery above 45–50 would be the first signal of improving bullish strength.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance Zones
$0.2760 (0.236 Fib)
$0.2824 (R1 pivot)
$0.3248 (R2 pivot)
$0.3505–$0.3653 (0.382 Fib + supply zone)
$0.4108 (0.5 Fib)
$0.4710 (0.618 Fib)
$0.5568 (0.786 Fib)
Support Zones
$0.199–$0.190 (near S1 pivot)
$0.1555 (Fib 0 – major demand zone)
Below $0.155 → opens risk toward $0.1165
📈 RSI
35–42 → Bearish-neutral momentum
RSI reclaiming 45+ needed for trend stabilization
📌 Summary
PI remains structurally bearish, trading below all major EMAs and inside a descending channel. While short-term bounces are possible, the market requires a decisive breakout above $0.276–$0.282 to signal relief, and a reclaim of $0.35 to confirm any meaningful trend reversal. Failure to defend the $0.20 support zone would likely lead to further downside toward $0.155 or lower.
SOL Technical Outlook: Solana Consolidates Near Major Demand as Selling Pressure Eases
SOL remains under bearish control after a prolonged decline from the $225–$253 supply zone, where price was repeatedly rejected near the 0.786 and 1.0 Fibonacci levels. This rejection marked a clear distribution phase and triggered a strong downside move.
The sell-off accelerated once SOL lost the $187–$203 region (0.5–0.618 Fib), pushing price below all major EMAs:
20 EMA – $136.8
50 EMA – $150.3
100 EMA – $164.9
200 EMA – $171.6
This EMA alignment confirms a firmly bearish structure, with every bounce facing overhead resistance.
Price is now consolidating just above the $132–$128 demand zone, which aligns closely with the Fib 0 level at $127.63. This area has historically acted as strong support, and current price action suggests sellers are losing momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term relief bounce.
For bulls, the first hurdle is reclaiming $150.30 (0.236 Fib). A daily close above this level would indicate early stabilization. A stronger recovery would require SOL to break above $172.00 (0.382 Fib) and then reclaim $187.55 (0.5 Fib), where previous breakdowns occurred.
A full trend reversal would only be confirmed if SOL regains $203.11 (0.618 Fib) and holds above it — a scenario that currently remains unlikely without a broader market shift.
On the downside, failure to hold $127–$132 could open the door to deeper losses, though demand in this region remains notable.
RSI at 42 reflects weak but stabilizing momentum, consistent with a consolidation phase rather than aggressive selling.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$150.30 (0.236 Fib)
$171.99 (0.382 Fib)
$187.55 (0.5 Fib)
$203.11 (0.618 Fib)
$225.26 (0.786 Fib)
Support
$132–$128 (major demand zone)
$127.63 (Fib 0)
$120 (extended downside support)
RSI
42 — weak but stabilizing
📌 Summary
SOL is consolidating above a key demand zone after a sharp multi-week decline. While oversold conditions and weakening sell pressure may support a short-term bounce, the broader structure remains bearish unless SOL reclaims the $172–$187 region with strength. Losing the $127 support would expose SOL to further downside risk.
ETH Technical Outlook: Ethereum Stabilizes Above Key Support but Trend Still Capped
ETH is attempting to stabilize after a sharp sell-off that pushed price into the $2,750–$2,850 demand zone, where buyers stepped in to slow downside momentum. This area aligns with a historically strong support region and the Fib 0 level at $2,623, making it a critical zone for short-term structure.
The decline accelerated after ETH faced repeated rejection near the $3,790–$4,065 resistance range, corresponding to the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, confirming strong seller presence at higher prices.
ETH remains below all major EMAs:
20 EMA – $3,123
50 EMA – $3,304
100 EMA – $3,499
200 EMA – $3,451
This EMA stacking continues to cap upside moves and keeps the broader trend bearish.
The current rebound is constructive but still weak. A daily close above $3,174 (0.236 Fib) would signal early stabilization. However, trend recovery will only gain traction if ETH reclaims $3,514 (0.382 Fib) and then breaks above $3,790 (0.5 Fib).
A full bullish structure shift requires a sustained breakout above $4,065 (0.618 Fib) — a level where prior distribution occurred.
On the downside, failure to hold above $2,850 could send ETH back toward $2,623, with the next major demand zone near $2,400 if selling pressure resumes.
RSI at 47.2 shows neutral momentum, suggesting ETH is consolidating rather than trending aggressively.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$3,174 (0.236 Fib)
$3,514 (0.382 Fib)
$3,790 (0.5 Fib)
$4,065 (0.618 Fib)
$4,457 (0.786 Fib)
Support
$2,850
$2,623 (major Fib support)
$2,400 (extended demand zone)
RSI
47.2 — neutral, range-bound
📌 Summary
ETH is holding above a key demand zone after a steep correction, but the broader structure remains bearish as long as price stays below the $3,514–$3,790 resistance band. Bulls need a decisive breakout above $4,065 to confirm trend reversal, while failure to hold current support may reopen downside risk.
XRP Technical Outlook: Price Pressured Near Support as Downtrend Channel Remains Intact
XRP continues to trade under heavy bearish pressure as price remains trapped inside a well-defined descending channel. Multiple failed attempts to break the upper trendline have kept sellers fully in control, pushing XRP back toward the $1.82–$1.90 major demand zone — a crucial support region highlighted on the chart.
The recent decline was triggered after repeated rejections around the $2.52 (0.382 Fib) and $2.74 (0.5 Fib) resistance levels, confirming strong supply in that area. This sell-off has also forced XRP below key EMAs:
20 EMA – $2.113
50 EMA – $2.250
100 EMA – $2.413
200 EMA – $2.465
All four EMAs are stacked above the current price, forming a heavy resistance cluster and indicating that the broader trend remains bearish.
XRP is now testing the lower boundary of the descending channel while sitting just above the Fib 0 level at $1.82 — a critical point that has historically acted as strong support. A breakdown below $1.82 could accelerate the decline toward $1.72–$1.75, the extended demand zone.
For any meaningful bullish recovery, XRP must first reclaim $2.25 (0.236 Fib). A daily close above this level would signal early stabilization. A stronger shift in momentum will occur only if XRP breaks above:
$2.52 (0.382 Fib)
$2.74 (0.5 Fib)
A full trend reversal requires a clean breakout above $2.95 (0.618 Fib).
The RSI at 42.23 shows weak momentum but not yet oversold, suggesting that while price is near support, buyers have not shown aggressive strength yet.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$2.25 (0.236 Fib)
$2.52 (0.382 Fib)
$2.74 (0.5 Fib)
$2.95 (0.618 Fib)
$3.26 (0.786 Fib)
Support
$1.82 (major Fib support)
$1.72–$1.75 (extended demand zone)
RSI
42.23 — weak momentum, neutral zone
📌 Summary
XRP remains under clear bearish control as long as it trades inside the descending channel and below its major EMA cluster. The $1.82 support zone is the key level to hold — losing it could trigger a deeper drop. A breakout above $2.25, and eventually $2.52–$2.74, is required for momentum to shift back to the bullish side.
Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Outlook – Retesting Resistance While Holding a Higher-Low Structure
Bitcoin continues to trade within a short-term ascending structure, forming a series of higher lows after bouncing strongly from the $86,000–$88,000 demand zone. This area has repeatedly acted as a major support, and once again attracted buyers during the recent pullback.
After reclaiming the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $91,426, BTC pushed into a critical resistance region but has not yet been able to break above it convincingly.
BTC is currently facing a confluence of major resistance levels, including:
$95,000 psychological resistance
0.382 Fib near $98,070
50 EMA (orange) at $96,633
100 EMA (blue-green) at $101,969
200 EMA (dark blue) at $103,594
0.5 Fib at $103,439
This cluster forms one of the strongest overhead resistance zones on the chart.
As long as BTC stays above the ascending support trendline, bullish momentum remains intact, but a breakout above $95,000–$103,500 is required to confirm a reversal back into a mid-term bullish trend.
A successful breakout would open the door toward higher Fibonacci targets:
$108,809 (0.618 Fib)
$116,454 (0.786 Fib)
$126,193 (Fib 1.0 / major high)
On the downside, losing the trendline and breaking below the $86,000–$88,000 demand block would invalidate the current bullish structure and expose BTC to the $80,686 Fib zero level, which acted as a long-term macro support.
RSI currently sits around 49, indicating neutral momentum. A breakout above 55 would confirm increasing bullish strength.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance Zones
$91,426 (0.236 Fib – reclaimed)
$95,000 (psychological barrier)
$96,633 (50 EMA)
$98,070 (0.382 Fib)
$101,969 (100 EMA)
$103,439–$103,594 (0.5 Fib + 200 EMA confluence)
$108,809 (0.618 Fib)
$116,454 (0.786 Fib)
Support Zones
$86,000–$88,000 major demand zone
Ascending trendline support (current short-term structure)
$80,686 (Fib 0 – macro support)
📈 RSI
49.01 → Neutral; momentum could shift bullish if RSI breaks above 55.
📌 Summary
BTC is respecting its higher-low structure and holding above a major support zone, but it remains capped by heavy resistance between $95,000 and $103,500. A decisive breakout above this zone would mark the beginning of a stronger bullish continuation, while failure to hold the ascending support risks a deeper correction toward $86K or even $80K. #WriteToEarnUpgrade $BTC
Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Outlook – Strong Rebound, but Major Resistance Still Dominates
Bitcoin has shown a solid recovery after testing and holding the $86,000–$88,000 major support zone, an area that previously acted as a strong demand region across multiple months. This bounce allowed BTC to stabilize above the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $91,426, signaling early signs of renewed buyer interest.
However, BTC is now approaching a critical resistance cluster, where multiple technical barriers are converging:
0.236 Fib at $91,426 (retest zone)
50 EMA near $96,813
100 EMA near $98,070
200 EMA around $103,708
0.5 Fib at $103,439
These EMAs remain positioned above the current price and are sloping downward, indicating that the broader trend still carries bearish momentum.
For BTC to confirm a stronger bullish continuation, the price must break and close above the $95,000–$103,500 zone, where the 50 EMA, 100 EMA, 200 EMA, and the 0.5 Fibonacci all converge — forming one of the strongest resistance zones on the chart. A successful breakout above this cluster would open the path toward higher upside targets:
$108,809 (0.618 Fib)
$116,454 (0.786 Fib)
$126,193 (1.0 Fib – previous high)
On the downside, as long as BTC continues to hold above the $86,000–$88,000 demand block, the current recovery structure remains intact. A breakdown below this zone would expose BTC to deeper support around the $80,686 Fib level, and potentially restart a broader bearish cycle.
RSI is currently around 48–50, reflecting neutral momentum, with a possible bullish shift if RSI breaks above the 55 threshold.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$91,426 (0.236 Fib)
$95,000 (psychological resistance)
$96,813 (50 EMA)
$98,070 (100 EMA)
$103,439 (0.5 Fib)
$103,708 (200 EMA)
$108,809 (0.618 Fib)
$116,454 (0.786 Fib)
Support
$86,000–$88,000 major demand zone
$80,686 (Fib 0 level)
Local consolidation support
📈 RSI
48.51 → Neutral momentum; a break above 55 would strengthen the bullish case.
📌 Summary
BTC has rebounded strongly from its key support zone, but remains below several major EMAs and Fibonacci resistances. A confirmed breakout above $95,000–$103,500 is essential for a trend reversal and renewed bullish continuation. Until then, BTC is in a recovery phase inside a broader corrective structure — supported, but not yet fully bullish.
LIGHT has shown a strong reaction from the $0.70–$0.72 demand zone, where buyers stepped in aggressively after a prolonged downtrend. This area acted as a key accumulation region, giving the market enough strength to trigger a short-term bullish reversal.
The downtrend intensified earlier after repeated rejections near the $0.93–$1.01 resistance range, aligned with the 0.5 and 0.618 Fib levels, confirming strong seller pressure at higher levels. This decline also pushed LIGHT below all major EMAs — 20 EMA ($0.712), 50 EMA ($0.777), 100 EMA ($0.893), and 200 EMA ($1.013) — turning them into stacked resistance zones during any upward recovery attempt.
The current bounce is technically constructive. LIGHT has reclaimed the 0.236 Fib ($0.788) and is now attempting to move toward the 0.382 Fib ($0.867). A breakout above this level would open the door to the more critical 0.5 Fib ($0.931), which aligns with a heavy supply zone on the chart.
A stronger bullish continuation would only be confirmed once LIGHT breaks and holds above $0.996–$1.01 (0.618 Fib & 200 EMA) — a major structural point where previous rallies failed.
On the downside, as long as the price stays above $0.71–$0.72, bulls maintain control of the short-term trend. A breakdown below this region could drag LIGHT back toward $0.65, the next major demand level.
The RSI is holding above 67, showing rising momentum but approaching the overbought region, suggesting the next move could be a pullback before continuation.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$0.867 (0.382 Fib)
$0.931 (0.5 Fib)
$0.996–$1.01 (0.618 Fib + major resistance)
$1.08 (0.786 Fib)
Support
$0.788 (0.236 Fib)
$0.71–$0.72 (major support zone)
$0.65 (extended demand)
RSI
67.31 — strong momentum, approaching overbought
📌 Summary
LIGHT is showing a strong relief bounce from the $0.70–$0.72 support area, reclaiming short-term Fib levels and aiming toward the crucial $0.93–$1.01 resistance range. A breakout above this zone could shift the trend bullish, while failure may trigger a retest of lower support.
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Ethereum (ETH) Technical Outlook – Strong Bounce From Support, But Key Resistance Ahead
Ethereum has shown a strong rebound after testing the major support area around $2,620–$2,700, a zone that has repeatedly acted as a demand region throughout the past months. This bounce helped ETH reclaim the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $3,173, signaling early signs of recovery.
However, ETH is now approaching a critical resistance cluster, where the price is facing multiple obstacles:
0.382 Fib at $3,514
100 EMA at $3,516
200 EMA at $3,457
50 EMA at $3,315
These EMAs are currently positioned above the price and sloping downward, indicating that the broader trend is still under bearish pressure.
To confirm a stronger bullish continuation, ETH must break and close above the $3,514–$3,520 zone, where the 0.382 Fib and 100 EMA converge. A successful breakout above this level would open the door to higher targets:
$3,790 (0.5 Fib)
$4,065 (0.618 Fib)
$4,457 (0.786 Fib)
$4,956 (1.0 Fib – previous major high)
On the downside, as long as ETH holds above the $2,620 support, the current rebound remains valid. Losing this zone would put ETH at risk of revisiting deeper support levels and potentially restarting a broader downtrend.
RSI is currently around 58, reflecting improved bullish momentum after climbing from oversold territory.
ETH has bounced strongly from a key support zone and reclaimed the 0.236 Fib level. However, a true trend reversal depends on a decisive breakout above $3,514–$3,520, where major resistance is clustered. Until that level is cleared, ETH remains in a recovery phase inside a broader bearish structure.