توازنت تدفقات تبادل البيتكوين، حيث تقلص الفجوة بين التدفقات الداخلة والخارجة لست جلسات متتالية. تاريخياً، كانت التدفقات المستقرة في التبادل، وانخفاض الاحتياطات، وزيادة تراكم الحيتان تعتبر إشارات "بخاخ جاف" كلاسيكية تظهر غالباً بالقرب من القيعان الكبرى للبيتكوين منذ عام 2019.
Right now I’m waiting for a sweep of the low at $79.1k. If price is able to reclaim the grey zone right after the sweep, I’ll look to take a long position.
The reason I like this setup is because a lot of liquidity has built up below that low over the past days, making a sweep into support highly likely before continuation.
My first target will be the recent highs, which still remain unswept. This is where I’m planning to secure partial profits.
If momentum remains strong afterward, I think there’s a good chance we continue toward the CME gap at $84k.
That’s also where the limit order for my swing short trade is sitting.
Historically, major cycle bottoms formed once the majority of holders were sitting at a loss and the market entered fear and capitulation, while cycle tops were marked by euphoria and greed.
Right now, NUPL is once again pushing back into the optimism and belief zone.
What stands out is that NUPL still hasn’t entered capitulation, unlike at every previous cycle bottom.
That means sentiment has already recovered significantly, despite the fact that many signs of a true macro bottom are still missing.
This is exactly why I still believe most people are underestimating the possibility of another larger correction before the real bottom forms.