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🇯🇵 BREAKING:
Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is expected to present a record-sized initial budget for the fiscal year that starts in April.
A larger-than-usual budget typically signals higher government spending, which can affect inflation expectations, interest rates, and investor risk appetite. That’s why markets often watch Japan’s budget closely—especially for potential impacts on government bonds, the yen, and regional equities.
For crypto, the link is usually indirect: if bond yields and the yen move sharply, global liquidity and “risk-on/risk-off” sentiment can shift too. If this budget is confirmed, it’s worth tracking what’s driving the spending (stimulus vs. defense vs. social programs), how it’s funded (new debt vs. taxes), and how the Bank of Japan responds.
$METIS $ZBT
#Japan #Macro #JPY #USGDPUpdate #crypto
Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is expected to present a record-sized initial budget for the fiscal year that starts in April.
A larger-than-usual budget typically signals higher government spending, which can affect inflation expectations, interest rates, and investor risk appetite. That’s why markets often watch Japan’s budget closely—especially for potential impacts on government bonds, the yen, and regional equities.
For crypto, the link is usually indirect: if bond yields and the yen move sharply, global liquidity and “risk-on/risk-off” sentiment can shift too. If this budget is confirmed, it’s worth tracking what’s driving the spending (stimulus vs. defense vs. social programs), how it’s funded (new debt vs. taxes), and how the Bank of Japan responds.
$METIS $ZBT
#Japan #Macro #JPY #USGDPUpdate #crypto
ترجمة
#Gold & #Silver Are Moving First. $BTC Often Moves Later.
Gold and silver are making new highs while Bitcoin is still below $90k. That can look like crypto is “lagging,” but it often reflects a change in market mood, not a lack of money.
Why money goes to gold and silver first
In uncertain periods, investors tend to move toward assets seen as more defensive:
• Safe havens when headlines feel risky
• Assets widely held by central banks and traditional investors
• Places to preserve value when confidence is shaky
This is typically slower, more cautious capital. It focuses on protection before growth.
Why Bitcoin may pause during uncertainty
Bitcoin is still treated differently by many investors:
• More “risk-on” than gold during stressful moments
• More attractive once conditions stabilize
• Often strongest when confidence and liquidity improve
A slower Bitcoin market doesn’t automatically mean weakness—it can simply mean caution.
What markets are worried about right now
When uncertainty is high, investors focus on “what if” questions, like:
• What if inflation rises again?
• What if interest rates stay higher for longer?
• What if geopolitical tensions escalate?
When these scenarios dominate, capital often waits for clarity before taking bigger risks.
Why Bitcoin often moves after the fear phase
Historically, Bitcoin doesn’t always lead during fear-driven markets. A common pattern looks like:
• Fear rises and investors get defensive
• Conditions begin to stabilize
• Risk appetite returns
• Then Bitcoin can start moving more decisively
This in-between phase can feel slow and frustrating, but it’s not unusual.
Bitcoin isn’t “broken,” and the money hasn’t vanished. In many cycles, it’s simply waiting for confidence to return.
#BTCVSGOLD
Gold and silver are making new highs while Bitcoin is still below $90k. That can look like crypto is “lagging,” but it often reflects a change in market mood, not a lack of money.
Why money goes to gold and silver first
In uncertain periods, investors tend to move toward assets seen as more defensive:
• Safe havens when headlines feel risky
• Assets widely held by central banks and traditional investors
• Places to preserve value when confidence is shaky
This is typically slower, more cautious capital. It focuses on protection before growth.
Why Bitcoin may pause during uncertainty
Bitcoin is still treated differently by many investors:
• More “risk-on” than gold during stressful moments
• More attractive once conditions stabilize
• Often strongest when confidence and liquidity improve
A slower Bitcoin market doesn’t automatically mean weakness—it can simply mean caution.
What markets are worried about right now
When uncertainty is high, investors focus on “what if” questions, like:
• What if inflation rises again?
• What if interest rates stay higher for longer?
• What if geopolitical tensions escalate?
When these scenarios dominate, capital often waits for clarity before taking bigger risks.
Why Bitcoin often moves after the fear phase
Historically, Bitcoin doesn’t always lead during fear-driven markets. A common pattern looks like:
• Fear rises and investors get defensive
• Conditions begin to stabilize
• Risk appetite returns
• Then Bitcoin can start moving more decisively
This in-between phase can feel slow and frustrating, but it’s not unusual.
Bitcoin isn’t “broken,” and the money hasn’t vanished. In many cycles, it’s simply waiting for confidence to return.
#BTCVSGOLD
ترجمة
#BNB is scheduled to activate the Fermi hard fork on January 14, 2026. This upgrade follows a successful testnet phase completed on November 10, 2025.
The primary objective is to increase network performance by reducing the block interval from 750 ms to 450 ms. This technical change aims to boost transaction speed and overall throughput.
By shortening these intervals, the network becomes more responsive. This transition supports high-frequency applications and provides a smoother experience for users interacting with the ecosystem.
#BNBChain $BNB #CryptoNews
The primary objective is to increase network performance by reducing the block interval from 750 ms to 450 ms. This technical change aims to boost transaction speed and overall throughput.
By shortening these intervals, the network becomes more responsive. This transition supports high-frequency applications and provides a smoother experience for users interacting with the ecosystem.
#BNBChain $BNB #CryptoNews
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🚨#PEPE has successfully cleared a descending trendline and is currently stabilizing near the 0.00000400 mark. Market participants are now observing a retest of the breakout zone at 0.00000391, a technical level that often serves as new support.
In technical analysis, a successful hold above this retest area suggests that the previous resistance has flipped to support, maintaining the current upward structure toward a target of 0.00000425. However, a failure to sustain this level would indicate a "fakeout," likely leading the price back into its previous consolidation range.
Monitoring how the market reacts at this specific support level is essential for confirming the validity of the breakout pattern.
#cryptoeducation #PEPE #altcoins
In technical analysis, a successful hold above this retest area suggests that the previous resistance has flipped to support, maintaining the current upward structure toward a target of 0.00000425. However, a failure to sustain this level would indicate a "fakeout," likely leading the price back into its previous consolidation range.
Monitoring how the market reacts at this specific support level is essential for confirming the validity of the breakout pattern.
#cryptoeducation #PEPE #altcoins
ترجمة
#bitcoin $BTC maintains a steady range below $88,000, influenced by a notable shift in institutional capital flows. Over the last five trading days, spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded total net outflows exceeding $825 million. On December 24, the market saw $175.29 million withdrawn, with no funds reporting net inflows. BlackRock’s IBIT saw the largest reduction, totaling $91.37 million during that session.
This cooling period coincides with a major options expiry on Deribit scheduled for December 26, valued at roughly $23.6 billion. Such events often lead to increased price sensitivity as traders adjust their positions. Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating between $86,000 and $88,000, with technical analysts monitoring the $85,200 level as a key area of support.
The recent outflow trend may reflect seasonal behavior, such as tax-loss harvesting or holiday liquidity adjustments, rather than a permanent drop in demand. Observing whether the price holds above key support levels will be essential in determining if this is a temporary pause or a broader shift in market sentiment.
#bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #EFTS
This cooling period coincides with a major options expiry on Deribit scheduled for December 26, valued at roughly $23.6 billion. Such events often lead to increased price sensitivity as traders adjust their positions. Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating between $86,000 and $88,000, with technical analysts monitoring the $85,200 level as a key area of support.
The recent outflow trend may reflect seasonal behavior, such as tax-loss harvesting or holiday liquidity adjustments, rather than a permanent drop in demand. Observing whether the price holds above key support levels will be essential in determining if this is a temporary pause or a broader shift in market sentiment.
#bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #EFTS
ترجمة
On-chain neobanks are growing fast.
Market estimates show the sector expanding from $149B in 2024 to over $4.4T by 2034. These platforms run banking operations directly on blockchains instead of using old banking rails.
This allows instant global payments, transparent records, and constant availability without banking hours or borders.
As more services move on-chain, #NeoBank neobanks could expand beyond payments into savings, asset management, and global money movement.
This is software replacing legacy finance.
#CryptoTrends #FinTech
Market estimates show the sector expanding from $149B in 2024 to over $4.4T by 2034. These platforms run banking operations directly on blockchains instead of using old banking rails.
This allows instant global payments, transparent records, and constant availability without banking hours or borders.
As more services move on-chain, #NeoBank neobanks could expand beyond payments into savings, asset management, and global money movement.
This is software replacing legacy finance.
#CryptoTrends #FinTech
ترجمة
While holiday trading volume is currently low, the S&P 500 has reached a new all-time high, signaling sustained strength in traditional financial markets.
In contrast, $BTC remains in a consolidation phase. This sideways price action is not necessarily an indicator of weakness; rather, the market appears to be waiting for a specific macroeconomic signal to determine its next move.
Historical data shows that Bitcoin often follows the momentum of the stock market with a slight delay, rather than moving in perfect synchronicity. At this stage, equities are providing the lead while the crypto market maintains its current range.
#cryptoeducation #MarketSentimentToday $BTC
In contrast, $BTC remains in a consolidation phase. This sideways price action is not necessarily an indicator of weakness; rather, the market appears to be waiting for a specific macroeconomic signal to determine its next move.
Historical data shows that Bitcoin often follows the momentum of the stock market with a slight delay, rather than moving in perfect synchronicity. At this stage, equities are providing the lead while the crypto market maintains its current range.
#cryptoeducation #MarketSentimentToday $BTC
ترجمة
Gold and #bitcoin are currently showing divergent behavior, even as both serve as hedges against currency debasement.
When adjusted for the U.S. money supply, gold is currently testing a historic resistance level. This specific ratio has only been reached a few times in the last 50 years—most notably in 2011 and during the significant inflationary period of the late 1970s.
In contrast, Bitcoin is testing a key support zone. This area aligns with the lows seen during the macro-driven volatility in April and the previous cycle high set earlier this year.
This divergence doesn't necessarily mean the two assets are decoupled. Gold’s current strength highlights immediate concerns regarding the stability of fiat currencies, while Bitcoin's pullback represents a period of consolidation within its broader market cycle.
Ultimately, both assets are responding to the same underlying economic pressures, simply at different stages of their respective cycles.
#CryptoEducation #MarketAnalysis
When adjusted for the U.S. money supply, gold is currently testing a historic resistance level. This specific ratio has only been reached a few times in the last 50 years—most notably in 2011 and during the significant inflationary period of the late 1970s.
In contrast, Bitcoin is testing a key support zone. This area aligns with the lows seen during the macro-driven volatility in April and the previous cycle high set earlier this year.
This divergence doesn't necessarily mean the two assets are decoupled. Gold’s current strength highlights immediate concerns regarding the stability of fiat currencies, while Bitcoin's pullback represents a period of consolidation within its broader market cycle.
Ultimately, both assets are responding to the same underlying economic pressures, simply at different stages of their respective cycles.
#CryptoEducation #MarketAnalysis
ترجمة
🚨BINANCE DOMINATES 2025 USER ASSET HOLDINGS
A new Coinglass report suggests Binance holds the largest share of user assets held on centralized exchanges in 2025.
- Estimated market share: over 72\%of user asset holdings
- Daily average assets under custody: about $163.9B
- Peak level during the year: about $214.3B
Remember: “assets under custody” refers to funds users keep on an exchange, not the total crypto market size. These figures can shift quickly as prices move and users deposit or withdraw.
#Binance #Macro
$BNB
A new Coinglass report suggests Binance holds the largest share of user assets held on centralized exchanges in 2025.
- Estimated market share: over 72\%of user asset holdings
- Daily average assets under custody: about $163.9B
- Peak level during the year: about $214.3B
Remember: “assets under custody” refers to funds users keep on an exchange, not the total crypto market size. These figures can shift quickly as prices move and users deposit or withdraw.
#Binance #Macro
$BNB
ترجمة
Trump Media is currently demonstrating how large entities manage digital assets through active treasury operations. Following a recent acquisition of Bitcoin, the company moved approximately $174M in BTC between wallets.
While a small portion was transferred to Coinbase Prime Custody, the majority remains under the firm's direct control. In the context of institutional finance, these movements typically signal a shift toward secure, long-term storage rather than an intent to sell. Custody services are specifically built for asset protection and regulatory compliance.
The market's reaction remained neutral, with Bitcoin's price staying flat. This suggests that participants interpreted the activity as routine administrative management. For observers, this serves as a clear example of institutional-grade Bitcoin integration, where the focus is on balance sheet stability rather than short-term speculation.
#Bitcoin #CryptoEducation
While a small portion was transferred to Coinbase Prime Custody, the majority remains under the firm's direct control. In the context of institutional finance, these movements typically signal a shift toward secure, long-term storage rather than an intent to sell. Custody services are specifically built for asset protection and regulatory compliance.
The market's reaction remained neutral, with Bitcoin's price staying flat. This suggests that participants interpreted the activity as routine administrative management. For observers, this serves as a clear example of institutional-grade Bitcoin integration, where the focus is on balance sheet stability rather than short-term speculation.
#Bitcoin #CryptoEducation
ترجمة
Bitcoin’s 70k–80k range is historically a relatively “thin” zone.
Over the past few years, #BTC didn’t spend much time trading in that area, so fewer long-term positions were built there. On-chain data (including Glassnode’s supply distribution metrics) also shows lower supply concentration around that range compared with heavier-traded levels.
What that can mean in practice: if price pulls back into 70k–80k, it may need time to consolidate before that area starts behaving like a reliable support floor.
In markets, stronger support and resistance often form where price spends more time.
#bitcoin #crypto
Over the past few years, #BTC didn’t spend much time trading in that area, so fewer long-term positions were built there. On-chain data (including Glassnode’s supply distribution metrics) also shows lower supply concentration around that range compared with heavier-traded levels.
What that can mean in practice: if price pulls back into 70k–80k, it may need time to consolidate before that area starts behaving like a reliable support floor.
In markets, stronger support and resistance often form where price spends more time.
#bitcoin #crypto
ترجمة
Something interesting is happening in #Bitcoin holder data.
Since March 3, the number of wallets holding at least $$1$$ BTC is down around $$2.2\%$$. That can look bearish at first glance.
But here’s the key detail: wallets holding more than $$1$$ BTC now collectively hold about $$136{,}670$$ more BTC than before.
What this may suggest:
- Fewer wallets above $$1$$ BTC
- Larger holders increasing balances
- Possible redistribution into “stronger hands”
This doesn’t predict the next price move by itself, but it’s a useful signal to watch alongside price action, volume, and broader market conditions.
#BTC #PriceAnalysis
#Bitcoin #Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
Since March 3, the number of wallets holding at least $$1$$ BTC is down around $$2.2\%$$. That can look bearish at first glance.
But here’s the key detail: wallets holding more than $$1$$ BTC now collectively hold about $$136{,}670$$ more BTC than before.
What this may suggest:
- Fewer wallets above $$1$$ BTC
- Larger holders increasing balances
- Possible redistribution into “stronger hands”
This doesn’t predict the next price move by itself, but it’s a useful signal to watch alongside price action, volume, and broader market conditions.
#BTC #PriceAnalysis
#Bitcoin #Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
ترجمة
Understanding Bitcoin’s December Price Range
#Bitcoin has spent much of December consolidated between $85,000 and $90,000. While it may seem like a lack of interest, the primary driver behind this sideways movement is actually the derivatives market structure, not just investor sentiment.
For the past few weeks, heavy options exposure near current prices has forced market makers into a specific hedging pattern. To remain "delta neutral," these institutions must buy the dips when prices drop and sell the rallies when prices rise. This mechanical behavior creates a "pinning" effect, suppressing volatility and keeping the price locked in a narrow corridor even as broader economic conditions remain positive.
This dynamic is expected to shift as we approach the end of the year. Approximately $27 billion in options open interest is set to expire. As these contracts roll off, the structural requirement for market makers to "pin" the price disappears.
Implied volatility is currently at monthly lows, suggesting the market may be underestimating potential movement just as these constraints are lifted. When technical positioning dominates price action for an extended period, the eventual resolution is often swift once the structural barriers are removed.
#bitcoin #educationalmacroton
#Bitcoin has spent much of December consolidated between $85,000 and $90,000. While it may seem like a lack of interest, the primary driver behind this sideways movement is actually the derivatives market structure, not just investor sentiment.
For the past few weeks, heavy options exposure near current prices has forced market makers into a specific hedging pattern. To remain "delta neutral," these institutions must buy the dips when prices drop and sell the rallies when prices rise. This mechanical behavior creates a "pinning" effect, suppressing volatility and keeping the price locked in a narrow corridor even as broader economic conditions remain positive.
This dynamic is expected to shift as we approach the end of the year. Approximately $27 billion in options open interest is set to expire. As these contracts roll off, the structural requirement for market makers to "pin" the price disappears.
Implied volatility is currently at monthly lows, suggesting the market may be underestimating potential movement just as these constraints are lifted. When technical positioning dominates price action for an extended period, the eventual resolution is often swift once the structural barriers are removed.
#bitcoin #educationalmacroton
ترجمة
🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸 White House Advisor Kevin Hassett confirms precious metals are officially "skyrocketing."
The momentum is real, and the reasons are undeniable:
• 🔥 Inflation Defense: Protecting purchasing power.
• 🌪️ Global Volatility: A flight to safety.
• 🏛️ Institutional Bids: Massive central-bank accumulation.
The era of hard assets is here. Don't miss the signal.
$ZKC | $BNB | $POWR
The momentum is real, and the reasons are undeniable:
• 🔥 Inflation Defense: Protecting purchasing power.
• 🌪️ Global Volatility: A flight to safety.
• 🏛️ Institutional Bids: Massive central-bank accumulation.
The era of hard assets is here. Don't miss the signal.
$ZKC | $BNB | $POWR
ترجمة
Historical #Bitcoin prices on Christmas Eve🎄
2013 - $666
2014 - $323
2015 - $455
2016 - $899
2017 - $13,926
2018 - $4,079
2019 - $7,323
2020 - $23,736
2021 - $50,822
2022 - $16,822
2023 - $43,665
2024 - $94,120
2025 - $87,340
#BTC #christmas
2013 - $666
2014 - $323
2015 - $455
2016 - $899
2017 - $13,926
2018 - $4,079
2019 - $7,323
2020 - $23,736
2021 - $50,822
2022 - $16,822
2023 - $43,665
2024 - $94,120
2025 - $87,340
#BTC #christmas
ترجمة
Silver’s 2025 pump is looking absolutely insane. 📈
It’s only a matter of time before that capital starts rotating into crypto. ⛓️💰
#Silver2025 #CryptoRotation
It’s only a matter of time before that capital starts rotating into crypto. ⛓️💰
#Silver2025 #CryptoRotation
ترجمة
Markets in 2025 are showing a preference for tangible assets when confidence in financial systems feels uncertain or when growth depends on building real-world infrastructure.
Gold has been rising as investors respond to concerns like government debt, currency debasement, and political instability. Copper has also strengthened, largely because electrification, AI-related data center buildouts, and broader infrastructure projects require a lot of it.
Bitcoin hasn’t absorbed the same “safe-haven” or “infrastructure” flows. For many institutions, ETF approval and clearer regulation are already largely reflected in prices, while central banks and sovereign buyers still tend to choose gold as their primary hedge.
This gap doesn’t automatically mean Bitcoin is failing or becoming irrelevant. In past cycles, gold often moves first during monetary stress, while Bitcoin can react later—sometimes more sharply, and with higher volatility
So the message from markets may be less “crypto is over” and more “risk management matters”: investors are watching for durability, clearer timing, and evidence of where Bitcoin fits in the current macro environment.
#bitcoin #GOLD
Gold has been rising as investors respond to concerns like government debt, currency debasement, and political instability. Copper has also strengthened, largely because electrification, AI-related data center buildouts, and broader infrastructure projects require a lot of it.
Bitcoin hasn’t absorbed the same “safe-haven” or “infrastructure” flows. For many institutions, ETF approval and clearer regulation are already largely reflected in prices, while central banks and sovereign buyers still tend to choose gold as their primary hedge.
This gap doesn’t automatically mean Bitcoin is failing or becoming irrelevant. In past cycles, gold often moves first during monetary stress, while Bitcoin can react later—sometimes more sharply, and with higher volatility
So the message from markets may be less “crypto is over” and more “risk management matters”: investors are watching for durability, clearer timing, and evidence of where Bitcoin fits in the current macro environment.
#bitcoin #GOLD
ترجمة
Understanding the #Bitcoin Regime Score can help differentiate between a trending market and a sideways "coiling" phase. This metric measures the strength and direction of market structure to determine if Bitcoin is in a state of expansion or consolidation.
Currently, the Regime Score is hovering near a 16% equilibrium zone. This suggests market compression—a period where the bull/bear structure is tightening. Historically, this zone marks a transition point rather than a confirmed trend.
To identify the next shift, analysts monitor two key signals:
• Below the baseline: If the score remains negative, it typically indicates distribution and downside volatility.
• Above the baseline: A sustained break higher often signals the return of momentum and trend expansion.
In technical terms, the longer the market stays in this compressed "coil," the stronger the eventual impulse tends to be. Monitoring the regime flip allows for a more patient approach, focusing on structural changes rather than short-term price fluctuations.
#Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis #BitcoinWarnings
Currently, the Regime Score is hovering near a 16% equilibrium zone. This suggests market compression—a period where the bull/bear structure is tightening. Historically, this zone marks a transition point rather than a confirmed trend.
To identify the next shift, analysts monitor two key signals:
• Below the baseline: If the score remains negative, it typically indicates distribution and downside volatility.
• Above the baseline: A sustained break higher often signals the return of momentum and trend expansion.
In technical terms, the longer the market stays in this compressed "coil," the stronger the eventual impulse tends to be. Monitoring the regime flip allows for a more patient approach, focusing on structural changes rather than short-term price fluctuations.
#Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis #BitcoinWarnings
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