Sales of newly constructed homes saw a month-over-month increase of 1.6 percent in June. While this growth came in below the estimated 4.8 percent rise, it represents a positive shift from the previous period's 4.3 percent decline, a figure that was recently revised upward from an originally reported 7.3 percent drop. On the pricing side, the median cost of a new home fell by 3.3 percent compared to the prior month, bringing the value to $398,300. At the same time, the average selling price was recorded at $475,400.
Here is an update on the July economic indicators provided by @SPGlobalPMI. For the United States Manufacturing sector, the index experienced a slight decline, settling at 53.8. This result came in lower than the estimated 54.4 and dropped slightly from the previous reading of 53.9.
On the other hand, the Services PMI showed positive momentum by climbing to 53.6, comfortably beating both the projected 51.5 and the earlier figure of 51.2.
Reflecting this growth, the Composite PMI similarly rose to 53.6. This composite score outperformed expectations, surpassing the forecast of 52.2 as well as the prior mark of 51.9.
Recent data from the @philadelphiafed services survey reveals a positive shift for July, with firm-level activity climbing to +17.5 from a previous reading of +2.4. Looking ahead, future expectations have also made a strong comeback by pushing firmly into expansion territory. This metric reached +41.9, representing a significant turnaround from the -0.3 recorded last month and establishing the highest point seen since November 2024.
Individuals responding to the @NewYorkFed manufacturing survey indicated that the capex outlook improved over the course of July. Even with this recent strengthening, current expectations for capital expenditures remain anchored near their historical midpoint and are sitting right around the long-term average.
The latest economic data reveals that the Producer Price Index experienced a year-over-year climb of 5.5 percent in June. This result is noticeably softer than the anticipated 6.2 percent increase. In addition, the previously reported growth rate was revised downward from 6.5 percent to an updated 6 percent. Looking at the core Producer Price Index, the metric advanced by 4.7 percent. This core figure also came in below expectations, trailing both the forecasted 5.1 percent and the prior reading of 4.9 percent.
عند مراجعة أرقام الشهر مقابل الشهر لشهر يونيو، أظهر مؤشر أسعار المستهلكين #inflation بنسبة -0.4%، وهو ما جاء أقل من التوقعات البالغة -0.1% ويمثل تحولًا ملحوظًا مقارنةً بالقراءة السابقة عند +0.5%. وفي الوقت نفسه، سجل مؤشر أسعار المستهلكين الأساسي 0.0% ثابتًا، ليأتي أدنى من كل من التوقعات عند +0.2% والقراءة السابقة عند +0.2%.
هل يمكن أن نكون على وشك العودة إلى "العصر المتقلب"؟ @KevRGordon وأنا نستكشف هذه الإمكانية في تقرير #Insights الذي نشرناه مؤخراً. ولتزويدك بصورة أوضح، نحلل بشكل شامل ونقارن بدقة بين عصر الاعتدال الكبير والعصر المتقلب. اكتشف نتائجنا الكاملة من خلال قراءة المقال هنا: https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/great-moderation-era-drifting-away
A substantial decline was observed in the inventories component of the ISM Services PMI during June. This significant drop points to a positive shift, indicating that the strain from early purchasing driven by tariffs and wars is finally beginning to fade.
The recently released June ISM Manufacturing PMI indicates a slight cooling, with the headline figure dipping to 53.3. This outcome came in below the estimated 53.9 and represents a decrease compared to the prior reading of 54.0.
Diving into the specific metrics of the report, we can observe a downward trend in a couple of key areas. The index for new orders decreased to 56.0, stepping back from a prior level of 56.8. Meanwhile, the prices paid category saw a notable reduction, dropping to 73.0 from the prior 82.1. Conversely, the employment metric brought some positive movement, climbing to 49.7 against the prior figure of 48.6.
For those reviewing our latest performance, please note that the data table and visual graph for Neural9 have just been refreshed. The information is now completely current, incorporating all market activity up through yesterday's close.
Let us take a look at the latest performance updates. The details below outline the index drawdowns as well as the % outperforming, with all figures current right up through yesterday's market close.
التحدث مع @KeithMcCullough من @Hedgeye يُعد دائمًا تجربة مُجزية. أدعوك إلى الاستماع إلى أحدث حلقة من بودكاست #OnInvesting. وخلال هذه الحلقة، نتناول أيضًا مع @CollinMartinCS مناقشة شاملة حول الأسواق. يمكنك متابعة محادثتنا كاملة عبر زيارة هذا الرابط: https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/what-happens-after-peak-inflation-with-keith-mccullough
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