🔴NOT A BEARMARKET!!! here's BITCOIN PRICE FORECAST for March 10 - 14 | Macro Analysis by @Hoteliercrypto
📌 Bitcoin Trend Analysis for March 10-14, 2025 | Macro Insights by @Hoteliercrypto 🚀 Wondering where Bitcoin is heading this week? This video analyzes BTC price trends based on macro indicators, global liquidity shifts, and key economic events. Stay ahead of the market! 📢 REMEMBER= Fundamental ALWAYS Move the Market, while Technical is for Timing the Market🚀🌕
GM Market Briefing☕ $BTC Outlook (UTC 0): 🟨01:00–03:00 → slow 🟩03:00–09:00 → green (PBoC injecting near CNY; Yuan & Yen weaken; meme coins bleed) 🟥09:00–12:00 → red 🟩12:00–16:00 → green (ADP release = DXY soft) 🟥16:00–18:00 → red (market makers shorting) 🟩18:00–00:00 → green (asset managers buying to “save face”)
JOLTS delayed due to shutdown — saw it on Investing.com, so I mentioned it anyway. Tuesday’s dip matched Trakteer: US shot down Iranian drone → oil +$1 🛢️ Iran keeps dodging talks → war fears grow wider. Good news: shutdown has an end date → liquidity returns → that’s why we got a wick 💡 AMs keep buying despite dips — they know peace won’t come from surrender. Giving up uranium won’t save Iran… just like disarming didn’t save Palestine. —Colonialism must end ✊ RSI at 18 — deep fear
GM☕ US Manufacturing PMI smashed expectations: 52.6 vs 48.5 forecast 📈 But it’s fake strength — factories stocked up early due to holiday breaks, not real demand. So Feb PMI will likely drop → this bump is just borrowed growth. DXY can’t sustain a rally on that → set to fall again. And Bitcoin knows it — didn’t dump despite the “strong” data 💡 Monday’s small bounce? Just a pause from Saturday’s drop — not real pump (yeah, I’m stretching 😅) Tonight: JOLTS data at 16:00 UTC RSI at 24 — oversold, but waiting for confirmation
$BTC Outlook (UTC 0): 🟩01:00–09:00 → slow green (Caixin up → DXY weak, Yen >156) 🟥09:00–11:00 → slow red 🟩11:00–15:00 → green (OPEC may ease oil fears; US PMI won’t lift DXY) 🟥15:00–18:00 → red (market makers shorting) 🟩18:00–00:00 → green (RRP drops again → asset managers buy)
Bitcoin crashed to 75K — not fundamentals, not DXY (flat), not Warsh. Pure big-player speculation: exchanges control the liquidity & on-chain data. Fear? Iran war → Hormuz closure → oil spikes → dollar demand surges → local currencies bleed. But if no war, only partial shutdown, and weekend calm → BTC can rebound. Saturday red, Sunday less red — bull has 4 legs… which one’s this? 🐂 Xi pushing Yuan as reserve currency = huge long-term shift 💸 Today: China Caixin PMI + US Manufacturing PMI Watch OPEC too — oil supply decision tonight RSI at 13 — extreme fear 😰
GM☕ PPI up = factory prices rising → consumer inflation coming soon. BTC bounced just on Warsh hawkish rumours — but the long wick shows it’s overblown. Trump wants a weak DXY — so why pick Warsh (hawk) as Fed chair? Makes no sense. If he really wanted tough policy, he’d just keep Powell. Markets panicked… but calm now. Reminder: don’t trade futures on hype — stick to forex or gold where moves are clearer. RSI at 25
$BTC Outlook (UTC 0): 🟥01:00–03:00 → red 🟩03:00–09:00 → slow green 🟥09:00–11:00 → red 🟩11:00–16:00 → green (DXY drops if PPI/Chicago PMI show stress) 🟥16:00–18:00 → red 🟩18:00–00:00 → green (BlackRock… seriously, not buying here?)
Bitcoin dropped to 83K ahead of Friday — fear combo: US shutdown risk + Iran war talk. Both need insider intel to read. Daily MACD red, weekly MACD 2 solid red bars. 3rd = trend broken. DXY rose on strong Factory Orders + heavily edited Claims data (hiding rising unemployment). Big question: will global liquidity dry up? If oil spikes → inflation surges → stocks crash → central banks panic. DXY up = drains local currencies. DXY down = those currencies inflate uselessly (no real growth). It’s the old colonial tax: emerging markets bleed so the US stays fed. Will we get a liquidity flood (from inflation) or drought (as money flees to gold/silver)? I’ll wait for official shutdown news.
$BTC Outlook (UTC 0): 🟥01:00–03:00 → red (Korean kamikaze whales) 🟩03:00–09:00 → green (Yen weak, Yuan steady → DXY stuck) 🟥09:00–13:30 → red (waiting for data) 🟩13:30–16:00 → green (Factory Orders up, Claims flat → DXY soft) 🟥16:00–18:00 → red (market makers shorting) 🟩18:00–00:00 → green (AMs won’t miss this stacking chance)
Fed held rates — and Bitcoin didn’t crash? That’s a win 🎉 Like the 23 Jan shutdown scare: BTC lagged, dumped 24h later. Same now: Tuesday night dip → Wednesday flat doji → real move comes today. Money’s flowing to gold (ATH), silver (ATH), oil (near ATH)… But Nasdaq pumps while Bitcoin dumps? Nah, doesn’t add up 😅 RSI at 44 Today: Jobless Claims + Factory Orders
$BTC Outlook (UTC 0): 🟨01:00–09:00 → slow 🟥09:00–19:00 → red (pre-FOMC dip) 🟩19:00–00:00 → green (FOMC bounce)
Weak Consumer Confidence + rising House Price Index = DXY fell to 96, even though HPI usually lifts it. I said yesterday: expect a dip before FOMC. And yes — I still think 25bps cut is coming, even if 99% say no. If not now (inflation falling, jobs stable), then when? Fed claims to be data-driven… so prove it. Today: likely red until FOMC at 02:00 WITA (19:00 UTC) → then green. Wed down, Thu up. Watch M2 Supply today — liquidity clue 💡 RSI at 45
$BTC Outlook (UTC 0): 🟨01:00–03:00 → slow 🟩03:00–09:00 → green (Yen & DXY down; BoJ can’t keep propping Yen; Yuan weak = liquidity flows) 🟥09:00–11:00 → red 🟩11:00–15:00 → green (if House Prices up + weak confidence → DXY drops) 🟥15:00–18:00 → red (market makers shorting) 🟩18:00–00:00 → green (BR & Saylor won’t skip this price 😏)
Weekend dip? Just retail panic — institutions stayed calm and kept buying. 1-week red MACD won’t break the 7-week uptrend 📈 Durable Goods rose, but it’s fake — not real consumer spending. Today: House Price Index + Consumer Confidence (3am UTC). I expect green → save the dump for FOMC tomorrow. RSI at 38
GM☕️ Sunday’s deep dip? Likely panic over US gov shutdown + Iran strike fears — both could hit at once. Trump’s acting like Netanyahu: desperate to hold power. Truth is: US economy runs on govt spending. Stop it → recession, even if inflation drops. Only “fix”? War — because America’s real export isn’t iPhones… it’s weapons 💣 But I can’t predict shutdowns or wars — not my job, not my skill 😩 (Though yeah… America’s done this way too many times 🙃) RSI at 24 — oversold, but wait for clarity.
Bitcoin’s chilling amid mixed signals: - UMich inflation down 📉 - US Manufacturing PMI down too - Yen jumped after BoJ move → BTC wick
Looks like a classic pump & dump — the dip? Fears of an Iran strike today. But I doubt it. Real strikes happen when chatter dies, not at peak hype. Still February 🗓 Davos? All talk, no action. Everyone confused by Trump — who just reminded everyone the US can do “whatever” with Greenland (1951 deal vs Nazis). Dollar trust keeps fading 💸 Today’s quiet. If no attack → green tomorrow. That long wick? Just a liquidity test. RSI at 34 — calm before the move
$BTC Outlook (UTC 0): 🟩01:00–09:00 → green (BoJ weakens Yen) 🟥09:00–13:30 → red 🟩13:30–15:00 → green (GDP, PCE, Claims may weaken DXY) 🟥15:00–18:00 → red 🟩18:00–00:00 → green (asset managers buying again)
Bitcoin jumped $3K (87K → 90K) in a day! 🚀 Why? Pending Home Sales crashed -9.3% → US homes too expensive, even with Trump’s $200B mortgage plan. Greenland tension eased + gas doubled to $5 → Jan inflation rising 🔥 BR buying at 3am? Check it 😂 As predicted: MACD back green in ≤5 days — weekly trend still up! RSI at 37 — room to run
$BTC Outlook (UTC 0): 🟩01:00–09:00 → green (BoJ supports Yen) 🟥09:00–11:00 → red 🟩11:00–15:00 → green (if Home Sales weak → DXY drops) 🟥15:00–18:00 → red (market makers shorting) 🟩18:00–00:00 → green (AM buyers missed yesterday — likely back today)
Bitcoin dipped to 88K — clean drop, no wick. Why? Japan’s bond drama: if BoJ does YCC (unlimited JGB buying), Yen crashes → possibly 160/$ (or even 200!). If Japan sells US Treasuries? DXY tanks → Bitcoin soars. But they can’t… yet. Good news: weekly MACD intact → daily MACD should flip green in ~5 days 📈 RSI at 26 — oversold!
$BTC Outlook (UTC 0): 🟩01:00–09:00 → green (Yen weak, Yuan steady) 🟨09:00–15:00 → slow (no data, pump fading, watch for wicks) 🟥15:00–18:00 → red (market makers shorting) 🟩18:00–00:00 → green (asset managers buying), but algo shorts around 22:00–00:00 may leave wicks
Red day yesterday? Normal — holidays either pump or dump, and this one chose dump 😴 But RSI’s cooled (44), retail’s in — now it’s institution time. We’ll bounce back to pre-drop levels this week. No stress. I’ve been here since $16K — through bear, bull, sideways… still standing 👊 This morning: China’s Loan Prime Rate decision. If held at 3%, BTC up. If cut 0.1%? Even better 🤟 RSI 44. US has no data today → quiet stage for Asia.
$BTC Outlook (UTC 0): 🟥01:00–03:00 → red (Korean whales shorting, US holiday) 🟩03:00–09:00 → slow green (China GDP down + house prices up = Yuan inflation signal) 🟥09:00–16:00 → red (US corps offline, low volume) 🟩16:00–00:00 → green (retail head start)
So Trump announced a $200B mortgage buy — which should’ve been the Fed’s job. But look at the data: NAHB homebuilder index dropped to 37 (prev 39, forecast 40). If banning corporate home buying + mortgage stimulus = builders should rally… but nah. Total flop 🤡 Funny thing? Houses aren’t normal goods — they’re Giffen goods. More houses built = prices go up, not down. Why? Govts sneak inflation into mortgage payments 🏠💸 And yeah, governments are kinda evil — but we ask them for impossible stuff: “Rice prices must fall… but farmers’ paddy prices must rise.” Make it make sense 😅 US govt? Same trick — hiding grain costs inside housing. Sneaky! RSI at 67 Saturday = slow, low liquidity #NFA #DYOR It’s not a futures signal🏛
🟩01:00–09:00 → green (slow start as Korean whales short during stock open/close; Yen pressured by Japan chaos; PBoC likely to inject ¥2T near Chinese New Year — but M1 growth slowing, so liquidity’s stuck) 🟥09:00–11:00 → red (Korean luxury sell-off) 🟩11:00–15:00 → green (NAHB housing index up — boosted by Trump’s $200B mortgage plan) 🟥15:00–18:00 → red (market makers shorting) 🟩18:00–00:00 → green (asset managers buying; Monday holiday = early flow), but light wicks possible 22:00–00:00
Bitcoin outlook (UTC 0): 🟥01:00–03:00 → red (Korean hyungs shorting — normal morning move) 🟩03:00–09:00 → green (Yen weak on Japan political noise; PBoC likely injecting big liquidity) 🟥09:00–12:30 → red (waiting for data) 🟩12:30–15:00 → green (Claims up + Manufacturing PMI down = DXY soft) 🟥15:00–18:00 → red (market makers shorting) 🟩18:00–00:00 → green (AM buying), but watch 22:00–00:00 — algo shorts often leave wicks
GM ☀️ Inflation didn’t budge — CPI held at 2.7%, Core CPI steady at 2.6%. So… no reason for the Fed to go hawkish. Markets now wide open for a rate cut 🌬 All eyes on Iran — to avoid a double top, oil prices must not spike. Weekend risk? Every Friday, I prep a dip just in case 🛑 For subs: if Asia session goes green after CPI, it’s a “sneak start”. Why? Because if CPI were truly bullish for DXY, Asia would’ve been red already. Remember: in war, truth dies first. And let’s be real — truth doesn’t always pay the bills. Iran might be “right”, but if its money runs out, people will pick power over principle 💸 Money rules. So we master it — not the other way round. RSI at 78, Bitcoin touched 96K+ 🚀
Bitcoin outlook (UTC 0): 01:00–06:00 → slow red (RSI cooling, Korean whales shorting) 06:00–10:00 → slow green (after PBoC liquidity injection) 10:00–15:00 → slow red (PPI + Retail Sales up → DXY lifts) 15:00–18:00 → red (market makers shorting) 18:00–00:00 → slow red (asset managers taking profit)
🏛Today’s — CPI drops Leaked from asset managers: Headline CPI flat Core CPI up → inflation sticky → higher chance Fed holds rates at next FOMC That’s the key. But if Core CPI had stayed flat or dropped? Fed cuts 25bps → DXY crashes on the spot 💥
RSI 57
Bitcoin outlook (UTC 0):
01:00–09:00 → slow red (PBoC watching CPI to decide: inject yuan or let US liquidity drain? Green possible, but likely just a wick) 09:00–13:30 → red (waiting for CPI) 13:30–15:00 → green (if Core CPI holds up, DXY can’t rally) 15:00–18:00 → red (market makers shorting) 18:00–00:00 → green (asset managers buying — but watch out: algo shorts between 22:00–00:00 often leave wicks)