🚨BIG WARNING: THE NEXT 72 HOURS CAN MAKE OR BREAK CRYPTO.
This week has one of the most dangerous macro setups we’ve seen in months.
In the next 3 days, six major events are hitting the market.
1) Trump speaks today at 4 PM ET.
He will talk about the US economy and energy prices.
If he calls for lower energy prices, this will directly impact the inflation.
2) The Fed decision tomorrow.
This time, no rate cut or hike is expected.
So the real move will start when Powell speaks.
2 weeks ago, Powell accused Trump of forcing him for rate cuts.
Also, the BLS inflation metric is not showing any major sign of slowing down.
This means Powell could continue the hawkish tone.
Along with that, Trump has called for new tariffs this month, which could push the Fed to be more hawkish.
So if Powell leans more towards hawkishness, be ready for more bart formation.
3) Tesla, Meta, and Microsoft earnings.
These stocks control the stock market sentiment. If they miss, the market could dump. If they beat, we can see a relief rally.
Their earnings will happen during the FOMC meeting day, which could add even more volatility to the markets.
4) US PPI inflation data on Thursday.
This tells the Fed how hot inflation still is.
Hot PPI means no rate cuts. No rate cuts means no liquidity. No liquidity means pressure on crypto.
On the same day, Apple will also report its earnings.
If the earning weakens, the whole market feels it.
5) And after that, Friday will come, which is the deadline for the US government shutdown.
Last time this happened, the crypto market experienced a brutal crash.
This was because liquidity was drained from markets.
Now the situation is even worse, and a shutdown could be devastating.
So in 72 hours we get: • Trump speech • Fed decision + Powell speech • Tesla, Meta, and Microsoft earnings • PPI inflation • Apple earnings • US government Shutdown deadline
If any of these goes against the market, red candles will be all over again.
Because when the currency bleeds like that, everything else is just the next chapter.
Shutdown. Debt. Repo stress. De dollarization.
It's all connected.
Now look at what's happening.
The government is days away from a shutdown, and the White House is in chaos.
Why? Because they lost control AGAIN.
They hate what they can't control, and they know there's no clean fix for the mess that's building.
They'll try to feed you the usual line that "everything is fine".
But people don't buy it anymore.
Lies only work for so long.
And when the truth finally hits, the crash will be far more violent than if they'd been honest from the start.
THE PATTERNS ARE SCREAMING 2008
The Fed's emergency repo facility just spiked. Private lenders are getting tight with each other again. That's exactly how it looked before Lehman.
The S&P 500 to gold ratio just broke a key support level. The last time we saw that, risk got smoked.
The Sahm Rule is back in the danger zone. End of 2025 was already flirting with 0.35% to 0.50%.
THE MATH DOES NOT ADD UP
Over $800B in commercial real estate debt matures this year. Rates are still high, and the buildings are worth way less than the loans. Banks are already pushing this risk out the back door for cheap.
Now add the chaos at the top.
On January 11, 2026, the DOJ opened a criminal investigation into Powell over his testimony on the $2.5B Fed renovations. Powell's calling it punishment for resisting the White House on rates.
Meanwhile, consumers are cracking.
Credit card delinquencies 90+ days past due are hitting levels not seen since 2011. Auto loans and credit cards are sliding into serious delinquency. Some reports show total household debt around $18.5T into late 2025 and early 2026.
And businesses aren't safe either.
Bankruptcy filings are up around 12% year over year going into 2026.
Bitcoin's hash rate drops as a severe cold snap hits the US!
Bitcoin's hash rate has dropped as a severe cold snap hits the United States.
This type of sharp drop usually indicates that miners are voluntarily reducing their activity by temporarily shutting down their equipment, often due to:
• Increased energy costs • Strain on power grids • Operational priorities during severe weather
Important reminder: These drops are often temporary, and as conditions improve, miners gradually return to the network.
Net $VIX futures positioning among asset managers is down to -$1.0 billion, the lowest in at least 10 years.
Short volatility bets have now surpassed the August 2024 peak before the Volatility Index, $VIX, exploded +280%, to 65 points, the highest since the 2020 pandemic.
At the same time, hedge fund $VIX futures positioning is down to -$42.7 million, the lowest since August 2024 and the 2nd-lowest on record.
Positioning shifted from neutral to net short over the last several weeks, marking a sharp reversal in the sentiment.
Meanwhile, US hedge fund gross leverage, which tracks total long and short exposure, rose to a record 223%, marking the 3rd consecutive weekly increase.
In Q4 2025, Tether added roughly 27 tonnes of gold to its reserves, placing the company among the world’s top 30 gold holders and ahead of countries like Greece, Qatar, and Australia.
Over the course of 2025, the market capitalization of gold-backed stablecoins expanded from about $1.3 billion to over $4 billion, with XAU₮ accounting for nearly 60% of the total market.
“THE CURRENT FINANCIAL SYSTEM IS DECADES BEHIND THE TIMES — IT NEEDS TO BE REPLACED.”
DIGITAL ASSETS MAY SOON TAKE CENTER STAGE.
THE TRANSITION COULD BE CLOSER THAN WE THINK 👀
Huge! Trump signals major crypto shift: "Current financial system is decades outdated — it needs replacement." Digital assets stepping into the spotlight, transition closer than we think! With GENIUS Act signed & Bitcoin reserve in play, full on-chain future incoming. Bullish vibes!
🇺🇸⬆️ The US drives gold 🟡 (XAU) and Bitcoin ₿ (BTC) to historic highs,
then surprises the markets with a massive sell-off to alleviate the debt burden.
⚠️ This scenario may seem unrealistic, but with unconventional policies and a return to political surprises, all possibilities remain open.
Markets don't always move according to logic… sometimes according to shock. And when politics 🏛️ and money 💰 intertwine, the unimaginable becomes a plausible scenario.
Numbers don't lie, and the global gold distribution map for 2025 reveals more than meets the eye:
1️⃣ The United States still dominates with 8,133 tons; a figure that hasn't budged for decades, as if sending a message to the world that the dollar still derives its prestige from this massive reserve.
2️⃣ Europe (Germany, Italy, France) clings to its gold as a protective shield; it understands that paper currencies may weaken, but gold remains the true anchor of stability.
3️⃣ China and Russia continue their quiet rise. Here, gold is not just an investment, but a strategic tool to reduce dependence on traditional financial systems.
4️⃣ Switzerland proves that size isn't everything; its holding of 1,039 tons reflects its historical role as the world's safe haven. Summary: When central banks buy gold in such large quantities, they are not looking for a quick return, but rather for security in an increasingly complex world.
Gold is the only currency that does not require a government signature to prove its value.
Given the current volatility, do you think gold will remain the reliable guardian of national wealth,
or will digital assets begin to challenge its dominance?
Bitmine Immersion Technologies $BMNR, the Ethereum treasury company chaired by Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, bought another 20,000 ETH on Jan 27, 2026 for ~$58.2M via FalconX.
At the same time, the company restaked 184,960 ETH (~$538M), bringing total staked ETH to ~2.13M ETH valued at $6.22B+.
Today, Bitmine holds ~4.24M ETH total (staked + unstaked), worth ~$12.8B, making it the largest publicly traded Ethereum treasury company.
Tom Lee’s thesis: Ethereum is a core macro trade for the next decade, with Bitmine targeting up to 5% of total ETH supply.
Institutions aren’t just buying ETH ; they’re locking it up.
AFTER 12 YEARS, JAMES HOWELLS HAS OFFICIALLY CALLED OFF THE SEARCH FOR THE HARD DRIVE HE ACCIDENTALLY TRASHED IN 2013 — CONTAINING 8,000 #BITCOIN, NOW VALUED AROUND $950 MILLION.
IF BTC KEEPS CLIMBING, THAT LOST FORTUNE COULD HIT $8 BILLION BY 2030.
ONE OF THE MOST EXPENSIVE MISTAKES IN CRYPTO HISTORY.
🚨Breaking News 🇺🇸 The US Senate vote on the Clarity Act, regulating the cryptocurrency market, has been postponed until Thursday due to a severe snowstorm in Washington, D.C. ❄️
Why is this a huge event for crypto?
This law finally defines who regulates what within the crypto market (SEC vs. CFTC), giving projects and investors long-awaited legal clarity.
Clarity = more institutional involvement, higher liquidity, and a move from a state of uncertainty to one of real infrastructure.
In short: This isn't politics… this is a game-changer for the entire market 🚀
$550 Billion Japan-US Handshake: Synthetic Diamonds Become a "Strategic Weapon" Ahead of Washington Visit Japan has proposed a $550 billion investment package in the US, with a focus on building synthetic diamond factories to serve the chip and high-precision equipment industries. The first projects could be announced as early as March, ahead of Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's visit to the US. Washington hopes to attract Japanese businesses to accelerate domestic production of this strategic material and form a sustainable US-Japan supply chain. Element Six, a subsidiary of De Beers, is reportedly involved in the synthetic diamond project, while the two sides are still negotiating details and have not yet made a final decision.
XAUUSD – Bullish Continuation, ATH Expansion Still in Play.
Market Context (H1) Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish channel, maintaining its ATH expansion structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature and shows clear signs of liquidity absorption rather than distribution. On the macro side, sustained USD weakness, safe-haven flows, and a still-cautious Fed outlook keep gold supported at elevated levels.
➡️This environment favors trend continuation, not top-picking.
Structure & Price Action
H1 structure remains bullish with Higher Highs and Higher Lows intact.
The recent drop has respected key demand zones and the ascending trendline.
No bearish CHoCH confirmed → downside moves remain corrective.
Price is rebalancing after an impulsive leg, preparing for the next expansion.
Key takeaway: 👉Pullbacks are opportunities to position with the trend, not signs of reversal.
✔️Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – BUY the Pullback Focus on patience and structure confirmation.
BUY Zone 1: 5,045 – 5,020 (Rebalance area + intraday demand)
Alternative Scenario If price holds firmly above 5,106 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join continuation BUYs.
Invalidation A confirmed H1 close below 4,960 would weaken the bullish structure and require a reassessment.
Summary Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion phase. As long as structure and demand zones hold, the path of least resistance stays to the upside. The MMF approach remains unchanged: buy pullbacks, follow structure, and let the trend do the work.