ScalpingX TG Channel

RBI raises rates for the first time since 2023, shifts to calibrated tightening

🏦 The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, marking its first hike since February 2023 after a total of 125 basis points in cuts during 2025.

📊 The rate decision was approved unanimously by a 6–0 vote, but the shift from a neutral stance to “calibrated tightening” was not unanimous, with two members preferring to retain the previous stance.

📈 The RBI raised its fiscal-year inflation forecast to 5.2% from 5.0%, while also upgrading GDP growth to 7.1% from 6.7%, suggesting policymakers believe the economy can absorb a modest tightening step.

💱 Following the decision, the 10-year government bond yield rose to around 7.27%, the rupee weakened to about 96.78 per dollar, while the Sensex fell 0.59% and the Nifty declined 0.76%. The new stance does not necessarily signal the start of a prolonged rate-hike cycle.

#India $UMA

$SNDK – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 1,712.7 🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly 155–160 million USD in short liquidations above the current price, more than twice the approximately 70–75 million USD in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore carries a strong upside tilt. 📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated notably across 1,590–1,625 and 1,655–1,680. Major clusters around 1,600–1,615 contain bars near 3–4 million USD, while 1,665–1,675 also shows bars around 2–3.5 million USD. Losing 1,695–1,680 would shift attention toward 1,660–1,640 and then 1,620–1,600. 📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity is heavily concentrated across 1,725–1,775. The strongest cluster sits around 1,750–1,765 with the largest bar near 8 million USD, while 1,735–1,745 also contains several bars around 4–5 million USD. Further out, 1,785–1,805 and 1,815–1,840 continue to hold significant liquidity layers. 🧭 The broader setup favors the upside because short-liquidation exposure above clearly dominates. Breaking above 1,725–1,735 would expose 1,750–1,765, followed by 1,785–1,805 and 1,815–1,840. Losing 1,695–1,680 would instead increase the probability of a sweep toward 1,660–1,640. #LiquidationMap

$AIOT - Mcap 24.47M$ - 24h Sentiment -6.00 Bearish SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is approximately 1.48% wide. The downtrend has lasted 13 hours 18 minutes, with a maximum recorded price decline of 20.92%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse upward.

$CGPT - Mcap 19.82M$ - 24h Sentiment -4.00 Bearish SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is approximately 0.36% wide. The downtrend has lasted 5 hours 57 minutes, with a maximum recorded price decline of 4.58%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse upward.

Pennon raises £550 million as shares tumble following dividend reset

💧 Pennon Group, owner of South West Water and SES Water, launched a roughly £550 million rights issue at 250 pence per share, a 44.7% discount to the previous closing price. The offering is fully underwritten by Barclays and Morgan Stanley.

📉 The company also reduced its FY2026/27 total dividend to around £125 million. After dilution, dividend per share is expected to fall by about 30% to roughly 18 pence.

🏗️ The new capital will support around £3.6 billion of investment through AMP8 to March 2030, about £1 billion above the previous plan.

📊 Pennon shares fell more than 22% to around 350.8 pence, their lowest level since 2011. The price also sits about 9.5% below TERP, suggesting investors are pricing in additional risks around earnings, dividends and regulatory recovery of investment.

#Pennon $USUAL

$ENA – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 0.2303 🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly 30 million USD in short liquidations above the current price, clearly exceeding approximately 14 million USD in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore carries a strong upside tilt, with around twice as much cumulative liquidity above the market. 📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated mainly across 0.221–0.226. The strongest cluster sits around 0.2215–0.2235 with several bars near 0.6–0.85 million USD, while 0.2255–0.2265 also contains bars around 0.45–0.6 million USD. Losing 0.226–0.223 would shift attention toward 0.221–0.218. 📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity is distributed heavily from 0.235 upward. Notable clusters appear around 0.243–0.250, while 0.255–0.259 is the strongest zone with several bars around 0.8–1.1 million USD. Further out, 0.262–0.266 continues to hold multiple large liquidity layers. 🧭 The broader setup favors the upside because short-liquidation exposure above clearly dominates. Breaking above 0.235–0.238 would expose 0.243–0.250, followed by the major 0.255–0.259 and 0.262–0.266 liquidity zones. Losing 0.226–0.223 would instead increase the probability of a sweep toward 0.221–0.218. #LiquidationMap

$TOWNS - Mcap 7.45M$ - 24h Sentiment Neutral SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is approximately 1.58% wide. The downtrend has lasted 22 hours 20 minutes, with a maximum recorded price decline of 14.62%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse upward.

$NMR - Mcap 111.72M$ - 24h Sentiment +4.46 Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is approximately 2.06% wide. The downtrend has lasted 2 hours 13 minutes, with a maximum recorded price decline of 12.60%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse upward.

German industrial output jumps 2%, but the recovery remains uneven

📈 Germany’s industrial output rose 2.0% month-on-month in August, the strongest increase since March 2025 and well above the 0.5% forecast. Much of the gain, however, came from construction, where output surged 9.3%.

🏭 Excluding energy and construction, industrial production increased only 0.6%. Auto output fell 5.4%, intermediate goods declined 0.2%, while energy-intensive industries remained under pressure.

📊 Over the three months from June to August, output increased just 0.4%, suggesting August may reflect a rebound from a weaker July rather than the start of a new trend.

⚠️ Manufacturing orders also fell 10.6% in August, leaving the outlook for production in the coming months uncertain.

#Germany $FIL

EU prepares its own curbs on Chinese hybrid imports after Beijing rejects voluntary limits

🚗 The European Commission is preparing safeguard measures on hybrid vehicles made in China, with a temporary tariff-rate quota among the options under consideration. The plan is still being drafted and has not been formally adopted.

📈 Hybrids currently face a 10% import tariff, while Chinese EVs can face total duties of around 45%. That gap has helped hybrid imports from China rise from about 3,800 vehicles in October 2024 to 50,000 in July 2026.

🇪🇺 Brussels had previously asked Beijing to voluntarily limit exports to around 15% of the market, but no agreement was reached. The latest move suggests the EU is shifting from voluntary restraint toward measures it could impose itself.

📅 Quota levels, tariff rates and the implementation timeline remain undecided. EU-China trade talks on October 8–9 could still influence the final approach.

#Trade $ETC

Intel stays involved in Terafab as Musk asserts control over fab construction and operations

🧩 Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan said the company will continue working on the Terafab project in Austin, where Tesla, SpaceX and xAI are developing chipmaking capacity for vehicles, humanoid robots and AI infrastructure.

🏭 Elon Musk later said Tesla and SpaceX will build and operate the fab directly. If TSMC participates, its role is currently framed more as subleasing part of the facility rather than owning or controlling the plant.

⚙️ Intel has been involved since April 2026, with its 14A technology and capabilities in design, manufacturing and packaging tied to the project. However, the latest comments did not include an order value, investment schedule or production commitment.

📌 The update therefore mainly confirms that Intel remains part of Terafab, rather than signaling a new contract or locked-in revenue contribution.

#Intel $INTC

$BRETT - Mcap 53.63M$ - 24h Sentiment Neutral SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + meets positive simplification with three consecutive previously highly profitable Short orders, the current resistance zone is approximately 0.50% wide. The downtrend has lasted 4 hours 29 minutes, with a maximum recorded price decline of 3.96%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse upward.

Samsung Expected to Post Record Q3 Profit as Estimates Cool

📈 LSEG SmartEstimate, based on forecasts from 21 analysts, projects Samsung’s Q3 operating profit at around KRW 106.1 trillion, nearly 8.7 times the year-earlier level and potentially marking a fourth consecutive record quarter. The figure remains an estimate ahead of preliminary results due on October 8.

📉 However, the forecast has been cut by 7.7% since late August. A 14.3% quarterly rise in the won and slower DRAM price growth are weighing on translated earnings and limiting further margin expansion.

💾 SK Securities estimates Samsung’s memory-chip operating margin at around 76%, broadly flat from Q2. Meanwhile, J.P. Morgan sees Samsung’s HBM market share rising from 20% to 34%, making HBM momentum and upcoming guidance potentially more important than the headline profit figure.

#Samsung $005930

China’s FX reserves fall to a six-month low as PBOC keeps adding gold

📉 China’s foreign exchange reserves fell by about $38.1 billion, or 1.11%, in September to $3.4003 trillion. That marked the lowest level in six months, although reserves remained above $3.4 trillion for a sixth consecutive month.

🏦 SAFE said the decline was mainly driven by a stronger US dollar and changes in global asset prices, suggesting much of the move reflected valuation and currency translation effects rather than outright capital outflows.

🥇 Meanwhile, the PBOC added about 740,000 ounces of gold, equivalent to roughly 23 tonnes, lifting total holdings to around 2,410 tonnes. This marked the 23rd straight month of gold purchases, reinforcing the broader reserve-diversification trend even as gold prices weakened in September.

#China $DOGE $XAU

Middle East tensions keep oil above $100 as October Fed hike expectations cool

🛢️ Brent crude remains above $101 a barrel as Saudi-Houthi tensions continue to support the geopolitical risk premium. The Saudi-led coalition said it intercepted a missile north of Riyadh, while the Houthis claimed attacks on several targets across Saudi Arabia.

🌍 On the diplomatic front, U.S. Vice President JD Vance said Iran would need to meaningfully reduce its uranium enrichment capacity to move toward ending the war. Washington remains in contact with Tehran, but uncertainty persists over where effective decision-making power lies within Iran.

📉 Despite elevated oil prices, markets have sharply reduced the probability of a Fed rate hike in October to about 20.5%, from nearly 51% a week earlier. Expectations for a December hike remain high, however, suggesting energy-driven inflation risks have not been fully priced out.

#MarketInsight $CL $NATGAS

$ZK - Mcap 130.72M$ - 24h Sentiment Neutral SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is approximately 0.39% wide. The downtrend has lasted 6 hours 21 minutes, with a maximum recorded price decline of 8.18%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse upward.

$JTO - Mcap 275.58M$ - 24h Sentiment Neutral SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is approximately 0.69% wide. The downtrend has lasted 3 hours 50 minutes, with a maximum recorded price decline of 5.84%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse upward.

$LIGHT - القيمة السوقية 23.83M$ - المعنويات خلال 24 ساعة +4.00 صعودية SC02 M1 - أمر بيع معلّق. تقع نقطة الدخول ضمن HVN ولا تتأثر بأي منطقة ضعف. يبلغ عرض منطقة المقاومة الحالية نحو 1.24%. استمر الاتجاه الهابط 3 ساعات و14 دقيقة، وسُجّل خلاله أقصى انخفاض في السعر بنسبة 8.49%. إذا اخترق السعر منطقة المقاومة هذه صعودًا، فمن المرجح جدًا أن ينعكس الاتجاه نحو الصعود.

$MAGIC - القيمة السوقية 23.65M$ - معنويات 24 ساعة +4.50 صعودية SC02 M5 - أمر شراء معلّق. يتضمن الدخول نقطة التحكم بالحجم (POC)، ولا يتأثر بأي منطقة ضعف، ويبلغ عرض منطقة الدعم الحالية نحو 2.78%. استمر الاتجاه الصاعد 17 ساعة و35 دقيقة، مع تسجيل زيادة قصوى في السعر بلغت 20.52%. إذا فقد السعر منطقة الدعم هذه، فمن المرجح جدًا أن ينعكس الاتجاه نحو الهبوط.

تصفية مراكز شراء بأكثر من 400 مليون دولار خلال ساعة واحدة، وETH يتلقى الضربة الأقوى

📉 شهد سوق العملات الرقمية موجة تصفية مركّزة في 7 أكتوبر، حيث أُغلقت مراكز بقيمة 412.58 مليون دولار خلال ساعة واحدة فقط. وبلغت تصفيات مراكز الشراء 400.67 مليون دولار، أي نحو 97% من الإجمالي، ما يشير إلى خفض سريع للرافعة المالية، لا إلى عمليات بيع مستمرة على مدار اليوم.

⚡ تصدّر ETH عمليات التصفية بقيمة 176.71 مليون دولار، متقدماً على BTC الذي بلغت تصفياته 145.24 مليون دولار. وبعد موجة التصفية، تحوّل معدل تمويل BTC إلى محايد أو سلبي قليلاً، في حين ظل معدل تمويل ETH إيجابياً، مع استمرار نحو 74.5% من الحسابات في مراكز شراء، ما يشير إلى أن اختلال التوازن لم يُصحَّح بالكامل بعد.

📊 إذا حافظ BTC على نطاق 83,300–84,000 دولار، فقد يتبيّن أن هذه الحركة مجرد إعادة ضبط للرافعة المالية، لا بداية لاتجاه هابط جديد. أما بالنسبة إلى ETH، فاستعادة مستوى 2,650 دولار ستكون إشارة مهمة إلى تراجع الضغوط المتبقية.

#CryptoMarket $BTC $ETH