Bitcoin wobbles at $92K as trader eyes end to 'manipulative' BTC price dip🩸
Bitcoin BTCUSD battled stubborn horizontal resistance Friday with $94,000 next on bulls' radar.
🎯Key points:
Bitcoin keeps up pressure on familiar resistance levels as optimism over market strength increases.
The recent pullback was the result of "manipulative" forces, analysis says✅.
Gold on the way to new all-time highs is an "extremely bearish" macro headwind for Bitcoin.
BTC price: Days or weeks until "upwards breakout"
Data showed wavering BTC price action after a trip to $95,500 the day prior.
"This is extremely bearish for Bitcoin. We need the metals to calm down before the crypto bull run can begin."
⚠️This post does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
Bitcoin bear market still in play as power law sees $65K 'do-or-die' price
Bitcoin power law analysis concluded that price may face a new battle around $65,000 if BTC spends 2026 as a year of consolidation.
Bitcoin (BTC $90999.00) faces a "do-or-die" price point if 2026 becomes a classic bear market year.
Key points: Bitcoin four-year price cycles and bear markets remain relevant, the latest power law analysis says.
2026 may see a BTC price support showdown with $65,000 as the key level.
History demands price "catching up" to power-law targets.
Bitcoin bear markets to stay around
New analysis by Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, flags $65,000 as the next key BTC price battleground.
After hugging its power law trendline for much of the current bull market, BTC/USD could now be due for a retest of a lower support line one currently at $45,000.
"It is following the internet S-curve a lot closer now than the power law curve," Timmer acknowledged.
Power law attempts to give price a "fair value," and history shows that trips toward the support line have often accompanied long-term bottoms. $BTC #BTC
🚨 BREAKING : Donald Trump Warns of Potential U. S. Government Shutdown 🇺🇸 $HYPER ⚡Donald Trump has raised a new alert regarding the possibility of a partial government shutdown in the United States, which could occur around January 30 if lawmakers fail to reach a funding consensus. Although nothing has been confirmed at this stage, the message is unmistakable: political tensions in Washington are escalating, deadlines are drawing near, and uncertainty is becoming more pronounced. Investors, businesses, and government workers are closely monitoring the situation. ℹ️ Why this matters $ID A shutdown could lead to significant consequences: Government operations and agencies may experience delays or interruptions Certain payments and economic releases may be delayed Market trust could decline rapidly Even the mere prospect of a shutdown has been known to create market volatility, exert pressure on the dollar, and lead to sudden shifts in risk-related assets👇
This isn’t just markets. This is a geopolitical energy war — and China is the target.
Here’s what’s really happening 👇 • Venezuela holds the world’s largest oil reserves (~303B barrels) • 80–85% of its oil flows to China • Cut Venezuela = cut China’s cheapest energy This was never about Maduro. It’s about denying China leverage. Same playbook. Different countries: • Iran pressured → China becomes top buyer • Venezuela pressured → China becomes top buyer
🎯 The goal: ❌ Cheap energy ❌ Reliable suppliers ❌ Strategic footholds near the U.S.
⏱️ Timing matters Moves accelerated as Chinese officials landed in Venezuela — that’s not coincidence.
China already responded: • Jan 2026: Silver export restrictions Next? Resource-for-resource retaliation. If talks fail, expect: • Oil supply shock → prices spike → inflation returns • Emerging markets crack first → global markets follow
This is how economic pressure turns into market collapse. Stay alert.
Founded in 2018, Dusk is a layer 1 blockchain designed for regulated and privacy-focused financial infrastructure. Through its modular architecture, Dusk provides the foundation for institutional-grade financial applications, compliant DeFi, and tokenized real-world assets, with privacy and auditability built in by design. Dusk’s first real-world asset (RWA) application, built in collaboration with NPEX, a regulated Dutch exchange holding MTF, Broker, and ECSP licenses. DuskTrade is designed as a compliant trading and investment platform, bringing €300M+ in tokenized securities on-chain. #dusk #DUSKFoundation $DUSK
Founded in 2018, Dusk is a layer 1 blockchain designed for regulated and privacy-focused financial infrastructure. Through its modular architecture, Dusk provides the foundation for institutional-grade financial applications, compliant DeFi, and tokenized real-world assets, with privacy and auditability built in by design.
Dusk’s first real-world asset (RWA) application, built in collaboration with NPEX, a regulated Dutch exchange holding MTF, Broker, and ECSP licenses. DuskTrade is designed as a compliant trading and investment platform, bringing €300M+ in tokenized securities on-chain.
Walrus is a decentralized data storage protocol Built to support large binary objects (images, videos, datasets, AI data) Designed for high availability, low cost, and censorship resistance Closely associated with the Aptos ecosystem $WAL Token (at a glance) Used for paying storage fees Incentivizes node operators who store and serve data Plays a role in network security & governance (staking/participation) Useful for NFTs, gaming assets, AI data, and media Strong meme + tech combo → “walrus narrative” 🦭 #walrus $WAL #walruspotocol
Walrus is a decentralized data storage protocol Built to support large binary objects (images, videos, datasets, AI data) Designed for high availability, low cost, and censorship resistance Closely associated with the Aptos ecosystem $WAL Token (at a glance) Used for paying storage fees Incentivizes node operators who store and serve data Plays a role in network security & governance (staking/participation)
Useful for NFTs, gaming assets, AI data, and media Strong meme + tech combo → “walrus narrative” 🦭 #walrus $WAL
ℹ️IF YOU ARE IN CRYPTO, YOU MUST KNOW THESE 50 WORDS👇:
(MUST BOOKMARK 📑)
ATH → All Time High ATL → All Time Low MCAP → Market Capitalization FDV → Fully Diluted Valuation CS → Circulating Supply MS → Max Supply TVL → Total Value Locked ROI → Return On Investment PnL → Profit and Loss OI → Open Interest
FOMO → Fear Of Missing Out FUD → Fear Uncertainty Doubt REKT → Wrecked WAGMI → We Are Gonna Make It NGMI → Not Gonna Make It HFSP → Have Fun Staying Poor COPE → No official full form DYOR → Do Your Own Research NFA → Not Financial Advice IMO → In My Opinion
SL → Stop Loss TP → Take Profit RR → Risk Reward Liq → Liquidity Vol → Volume
A Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike can be a headwind for Bitcoin prices, mainly through global liquidity and currency-market channels. Here’s how it works 👇
Why a BOJ Rate Hike Threatens Bitcoin
1. Stronger Yen = Tighter Global Liquidity
Japan has been the last major ultra-loose central bank.
A rate hike strengthens the Japanese yen.
Investors unwind yen-funded carry trades (borrowing cheap yen to invest in risk assets).
Result: Money flows out of Bitcoin and crypto.
2. Risk-Off Sentiment Hits Crypto
Higher rates globally reduce appetite for speculative assets.
Bitcoin, still treated as a risk asset in short-term trading, often falls when:
Bond yields rise
Volatility increases
Traders move to cash, bonds, or yen-denominated assets.
3. Dollar–Yen Shift Pressures BTC
BOJ tightening can push USD/JPY lower.
A weaker dollar–yen dynamic often:
Strengthens fiat confidence
Reduces Bitcoin’s short-term “hedge” appeal
4. Leverage Flush in Crypto Markets
Carry trade unwinds = sudden deleveraging.
This can trigger:
Liquidations in BTC futures
Sharp, fast price drops even without bad crypto news
When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, it makes borrowing cheaper. Markets don’t wait for results — they move in advance, pricing in what they expect to happen next.
What usually happens 👇
1️⃣ Stocks 📈
Lower rates = cheaper loans for companies
Profits expected to rise → stock markets often go up
2️⃣ Crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum) 🚀
Investors look for higher returns than bonds
More liquidity → risk assets like BTC & ETH attract buying
3️⃣ Bonds 💵
Bond yields fall
Existing bonds become more valuable
4️⃣ US Dollar ⬇️
Lower interest rates weaken the dollar
Helps commodities and crypto rise
5️⃣ Gold 🟡
Acts as inflation hedge
Often benefits from rate cuts
Why “markets anticipate”⁉️
Markets are forward-looking. Prices move before the actual economic impact, based on:
A massive options expiry like $4.5 billion in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options can introduce significant volatility. Here’s what this typically means and why markets pay attention:
🚨 What’s Happening
Options worth ~$4.5B are expiring, meaning traders must decide whether to exercise, roll over, or let contracts lapse.
These expiries often occur on the last Friday of the month, when open interest is highest.
📊 Why It Matters
Large expiries can impact price because:
Max Pain Levels — Market makers may hedge around “max pain,” the strike price where option buyers lose the most.
Imbalance between calls and puts — A high put–call imbalance can indicate market bias (bearish or bullish).
The U.S. Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points again — part of a cycle of easing that has unfolded since late 2024 — bringing rates down to roughly 3.50%–3.75%. Chair Jerome Powell and the Fed project only limited additional cuts ahead, indicating a more cautious approach even as economic risks grow. The decision reflects tension between a weakening labor market and persistent inflation above target, and internal Fed divisions on policy direction.
📊 Why This Matters Rate cuts are usually intended to support economic growth by reducing borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. But when the Fed lowers rates because growth is slowing, markets often interpret that as a warning signal about economic health, which can amplify recession fears — both among investors and analysts.
📈 Recession Fears Rising Economists and markets have recently increased recession probability estimates as growth slows, hiring weakens, or downside risks mount. For example, some forecasts have raised the 12-month recession chance significantly based on slowing activity and trade uncertainties. Analysts caution that historically, when the Fed resumes cutting after a long pause, it sometimes precedes recessions — though not every time. Markets remain uncertain and volatile, with differing views on whether cuts reflect a looming downturn or a pre-emptive step to avoid one. 🧠 Fed’s Messaging Is Mixed While the Fed has eased policy, officials have also signaled a possible pause and highlighted that inflation remains above target — suggesting they’re unwilling to cut too far too fast. Internal disagreement at the Fed underscores how difficult it is to balance growth support with inflation control.
🧠 In Simple Terms ✔️ Lower interest rates can reduce borrowing costs and support spending/investment. ❗ But if cuts are driven by economic weakness, they can signal slowdown, which markets and economists often interpret as heightened recession risk.