CryptoOG 1

Bitcoin $BTC closed weekly above important support level of MA 200 with a doji candle. This shows the market is still uncertain, but the bullish engulfing candle from three weeks ago remains intact. Earlier the same pattern appeared 3 times this cycle and each one was followed by a strong rally. Two scenarios: 1. Hold $58K = Breakout toward $67K, then $83K. 2. Lose $58K on the weekly close = Next support around $49K. US CPI report this week will be crucial. Lower inflation could help Bitcoin recover, while higher inflation could send it lower.

🚨 MY $BTC ROADMAP FOR THIS WEEK Nothing has changed. Above: → $67K liquidity → $67K-$70K FVG Below: → $61K key support → $58K if support fails As long as BTC holds above $62K, I think the squeeze toward the FVG stays alive. That's still the area I'm watching before the next major move lower. Everything starts with $62K. Lose it, and the roadmap changes fast. Notifs ON, I will update as it unfolds.

$UNI (1W) – Double breakout. UNI is starting to look interesting again. Both price and the weekly RSI have broken above their downtrends. The next level to watch is $4 If UNI can reclaim that level and turn it into support, I'll be adding it to my portfolio. One to keep on the watchlist.

🚨 $BTC WILL DUMP TO $30K AND ALTS WILL CRASH ANOTHER 90% I analyzed every Bitcoin cycle and the pattern shocked me. Every major top formed after roughly 1,420 days. Then BTC crashed 67–81%, while altcoins were completely destroyed. If history repeats, the real bottom is still ahead: → BTC: $30K–$40K → Alts: another −80% to −90% #BTC Price Analysis# Everyone is waiting for the next bull run. But one final capitulation comes first.

🚨$7.1T FIDELITY SAYS A “FINAL DROP” TO AROUND $56,500 IS POSSIBLE As per to Fidelity’s model, Bitcoin $BTC is currently in the “accumulation” phase, with the asset continuing to consolidate despite recent volatility. The firm noted that a final pullback below 57k cannot be ruled out, with $56,500 identified as a potential downside target. #BTC Price Analysis#

$BTC is about to break a two-quarter losing streak, up 7.47% since the quarterly open. Before anyone calls the bottom, 2018 had a positive Q3 too, and then Q4 fell 42%. Holding above $68,266 is what would make this one different. #BTC Price Analysis#

$BTC bear markets have a shelf life. 2015 bottom: 406 days after the top 2018 bottom: 363 days after the top 2022 bottom: 376 days after the top Average: 382 days of pain. Not one of them ended early because the news got better. Not one of them ended late because the news got worse. They ended when the time was served. We topped in October 2025. 382 days puts the floor in October 2026. You do not need to catch the exact bottom. You need to still have capital when it shows up. #BTC Price Analysis#

Last cycle, $BTC spent 46 weeks below the 200-week moving average. This cycle (so far), $BTC has been below it for just 1-2 weeks. Many point to the 200-week MA as a bottom zone indicator, but it has historically been an extremely wide and variable zone. The two cycles before the last one had much briefer durations below the 200-week MA, but those were due to sudden drops below it that rebounded quickly. Price in the current cycle has chopped around #BTC Price Analysis# the 200-week MA without a sharp break lower, unlike the brief dips and quick rebounds in the two prior cycles. This behavior may produce a longer duration below the average. Furthermore, in all three previous cycles, the price declined to near the 300-week MA (not pictured). That has not occurred yet. A move to that zone would involve additional time below the 200-week MA. Thus, it looks to me like everything is still lining up for a cycle low later this year, likeliest to be within a month of October (as a starting point for an educated guess). Bear market patience is a marathon-- not a sprint.

🇺🇸 ETF FLOWS: $BTC , $ETH and SOL spot ETFs saw net outflows on July 9. BTC: -$95.3M ETH: -$52.08M SOL: -$605.11K

🚨 لمدة 14 عامًا، #BITCOIN لم يخسر هذه الخطّ الاتجاهي أبدًا. لا في انهيار 2014. لا في سوق 2018 الهابط. ولا حتى أثناء هبوط 2022 الحاد (الذعر). الآن يحدث ذلك. يبدأ البيتكوين في كسر نفس مستوى الدعم طويل الأجل الذي كان يجمع كل دورة سابقة. حدث تغييرٌ هيكلي في هذه الدورة. $BTC #BTC Price Analysis#

🔥 BULLISH: Public companies bought 110,000 $BTC in Q2 2026, 1.8x higher than the previous two quarters, per BTC Treasuries.

🔥INSIGHT: BITCOIN HAS A JULY RALLY PATTERN Bitcoin tends to bounce in July, even during bear markets, per CryptoQuant. In 2018, BTC gained 20%. In 2022, it gained 17%, despite weak broader trends. Now, with $BTC entering July fresh off a $57.7K bear-market low, seasonality is tilting near-term risk toward more upside. #BTC Price Analysis#

Some long-term holder data shows that long-term holding is maxed out and at cycle bottom levels, but my long-term holder metric does not. That being said, it is pretty close. Current position lines us up with "one more big move to the cycle bottom": September 2014, August 2018, and July 2022.

🔥BULLISH: $XRP TOKENIZED ASSETS EXPLODE PAST $4 BILLION The value of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) on the XRP Ledger has skyrocketed from $150 million to over $4 BILLION in just one year, driven by accelerating institutional adoption, expanding payment infrastructure, and strong spot XRP ETF inflows. The network now hosts 500+ tokenized products, while wallet growth and institutional participation continue to surge.

$BTC (1M) – أغلقت عملة البيتكوين للتو تحت القناة التي استمرت 9 سنوات. لقد رسمت هذه القناة كل حركة رئيسية للبيتكوين منذ 2017. القمم تكون قرب النطاق العلوي أو الأوسط. القيعان تكون قرب النطاق السفلي. والآن أغلقت الشمعة الشهرية تحت هذا الحد السفلي. هذا تحوّل كبير في البنية. إذا استعادت BTC القناة بسرعة، فقد يفشل هذا الانهيار. لكن إذا لم يحدث ذلك، فأعتقد أن احتمالات حدوث موجة هبوط أخرى في وقت لاحق من هذا العام تزداد بشكل كبير. وإذا حدث ذلك، فتأكد أنك جاهز بالسيولة كي تقوم بالاستثمار. لأن إذا انخفضت BTC إلى هذه المنطقة، فمن المرجح ألا تبقى هناك طويلًا.

For the first time in 9 months, $SOL has printed a green monthly candle. SOL is now up +38% from its low of $60, adding $14 billion in market cap.

🇺🇸 ETF FLOWS: $BTC , ETH and SOL spot ETFs saw net inflows on July 6. BTC: $265.69M ETH: $20.66M SOL: $8.36M #BTC Price Analysis#

According to the average amount of time in a Bear Market, Bitcoin $BTC is at 70% completion. The drawdown is still very shallow at 53%, even when accounting for diminishing. That's over 20% less than the previous cycle. Time-wise, not too much to go. Price-wise, I think there's some work to do. July in previous bear markets has been a month of stagnation and dead-cat bounces. Downside typically resumes in August.

🔥 BULLISH: Public companies have bought a net 166,984 $BTC this year, more than 2x the 81,153 $BTC mined YTD, per BTC Treasuries..

$ETH $BTC (1W) –The 2020 setup is back Same support zone as the 2020 bottom. Weekly RSI trying to break its downtrend. If this level holds, ETH/BTC may finally be setting up for a real reversal. #BTC Price Analysis#