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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
marchealo:
❤️❤️❤️
البيتكوين لن يتعافى الا عند اقتراب الانتخابات الامريكيه القادمه بعد 3سنوات هذا ما يقولة تاريخ البيتكوين
في 2020 كانت الانتخابات الامريكية ثم في2021 حصل اكبر ارتفاع في تاريخ العملات الرقمية ثم هبوط عنيف
في عام 2024 كانت الانتخابات الامريكيه ثم في 2025 وصل البيتكوين الى قمة تاريخية 126000$ ثم هبوط عنيف
الان البيتكوين يمر في مرحلة هبوط طويلة لن يصعد بسهولة لا تتوقع حصول ارتداد وصعود لن يكون هناك قمم جديدة انتظروا الانتخابات الامريكية القادمه للصعود والذهاب الى قمة هبوط الاسعار خدعة حتى تطمع وتشتري وتبقى عالق في السوق ربما البيتكوين يذهب الى 30$الف وربما اقل من ذلك #btc #Binance
في 2020 كانت الانتخابات الامريكية ثم في2021 حصل اكبر ارتفاع في تاريخ العملات الرقمية ثم هبوط عنيف
في عام 2024 كانت الانتخابات الامريكيه ثم في 2025 وصل البيتكوين الى قمة تاريخية 126000$ ثم هبوط عنيف
الان البيتكوين يمر في مرحلة هبوط طويلة لن يصعد بسهولة لا تتوقع حصول ارتداد وصعود لن يكون هناك قمم جديدة انتظروا الانتخابات الامريكية القادمه للصعود والذهاب الى قمة هبوط الاسعار خدعة حتى تطمع وتشتري وتبقى عالق في السوق ربما البيتكوين يذهب الى 30$الف وربما اقل من ذلك #btc #Binance
الصين تحظر الكريبتو = تأكيد رسمي إننا في سوق هابط 📉😂
الصين تعلن حرب شاملة على الكريبتو:
💥 الكريبتو ما له وجود قانوني كـ "مال"
💥 أي نشاط؟ يعتبر جريمة مالية
💥 المنصات الأجنبية محظورة بالكامل
قاعدة السوق الهابط: الصين لازم تحظر الكريبتو
والتاريخ يعيد نفسه... مرة أخرى#MarketRally #btc $BTC
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #WarshFedPolicyOutlook
الصين تعلن حرب شاملة على الكريبتو:
💥 الكريبتو ما له وجود قانوني كـ "مال"
💥 أي نشاط؟ يعتبر جريمة مالية
💥 المنصات الأجنبية محظورة بالكامل
قاعدة السوق الهابط: الصين لازم تحظر الكريبتو
والتاريخ يعيد نفسه... مرة أخرى#MarketRally #btc $BTC
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #WarshFedPolicyOutlook
Binance BiBi:
أهلاً بك. حاليًا، لم يتلق BiBi أي إشعار يفيد بعدم القدرة على التداول. تأخذ Binance التزامات الامتثال على محمل الجد وتلتزم باللوائح المحلية. إذا كنت مستخدمًا في الصين، فيرجى الالتزام بالقوانين واللوائح المحلية.
这波#btc 暴跌来自外网最受认可的分析贴如图。
省流版：香港的对冲基金，本来不是专玩币的传统金融玩家。他们借了超便宜的日元，高杠杆买了BlackRock比特币ETF（IBIT）的看涨期权——那种赌比特币大涨的远期便宜“彩票”，杠杆很高。
他们赌去年10月大跌后会反弹，结果反弹没等到，比特币继续往下走；同时日元借钱成本涨了（套利交易开始崩），他们可能还重仓白银/黄金（白银单日暴跌20%+），多条线全亏爆。
经纪商追保证金，他们扛不住，只能被迫狂卖IBIT的股份和期权平仓。
结果那天IBIT交易量爆到107亿美元（历史纪录，几乎翻倍），期权也创9000万美元新高。
这些卖单直接砸到比特币现货，引发连锁恐慌，把BTC从70k+闪崩到60k附近。
省流版：香港的对冲基金，本来不是专玩币的传统金融玩家。他们借了超便宜的日元，高杠杆买了BlackRock比特币ETF（IBIT）的看涨期权——那种赌比特币大涨的远期便宜“彩票”，杠杆很高。
他们赌去年10月大跌后会反弹，结果反弹没等到，比特币继续往下走；同时日元借钱成本涨了（套利交易开始崩），他们可能还重仓白银/黄金（白银单日暴跌20%+），多条线全亏爆。
经纪商追保证金，他们扛不住，只能被迫狂卖IBIT的股份和期权平仓。
结果那天IBIT交易量爆到107亿美元（历史纪录，几乎翻倍），期权也创9000万美元新高。
这些卖单直接砸到比特币现货，引发连锁恐慌，把BTC从70k+闪崩到60k附近。
Этот график предсказывает, что динамика практически идентична динамике цикла 2021 года.
И если история повторится, биткойн может скатиться до отметки в 36 000 долларов 👀
Вот почему медведи ждут 36k
#btc
И если история повторится, биткойн может скатиться до отметки в 36 000 долларов 👀
Вот почему медведи ждут 36k
#btc
Clementine-Kenny:
Дай угадаю, закупился на свои 7 баксов по 126к за биток и ждёшь перехай? Под каждым постом так усердно сам себя обманываешь и успокаиваешь)
Биткоин снова стоит в зоне 70 000 после падения с этих же уровней к 59 000. Именно такие возвраты рынок чаще всего путает с силой.
Возможен выход к 73 000, но базовый сценарий — начало снижения уже отсюда. Это не дно и не разворот.
Сценарии 40 000 и 30 000 остаются в работе, и я буду говорить об этом постоянно.
Сейчас оптимальный момент зафиксировать лонги, даже с минусом, и выйти в кэш. Дальше вероятность падения выше, чем продолжения роста.
Сегодня разберём всё в прямом эфире.
$BTC #btc
Возможен выход к 73 000, но базовый сценарий — начало снижения уже отсюда. Это не дно и не разворот.
Сценарии 40 000 и 30 000 остаются в работе, и я буду говорить об этом постоянно.
Сейчас оптимальный момент зафиксировать лонги, даже с минусом, и выйти в кэш. Дальше вероятность падения выше, чем продолжения роста.
Сегодня разберём всё в прямом эфире.
$BTC #btc
$BTC The recovery from the $60K support and selling climax continues toward higher resistance.
Entry : 71350
SL: 66500
TP1: 72500
TP2: 73400
TP3: 74100
Trade $BTC here 👇
#USIranStandoff #btc #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge
Entry : 71350
SL: 66500
TP1: 72500
TP2: 73400
TP3: 74100
Trade $BTC here 👇
#USIranStandoff #btc #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge
$BTC BTC price recently slipped from highs above $90k, with volatility picking up as technical and macro signals tug in opposite directions. Key support and resistance zones are shaping near current levels — $85k is acting as a critical pivot, while breaks below $70k–$80k could signal deeper correction pressure in the short term. 
🔍 Short-Term Technicals
• Price continues to experience downward pressure and drawdowns, with bearish setups noted by market analysts. 
• Some forecasts see BTC bouncing back toward $95k–$110k if key resistance is reclaimed. 
📌 Intermediate Outlook (2026 Cycle)
Analyst views vary widely, which is par for the course in crypto:
• Bearish correction scenario: Classic extended Elliott Wave or extended bear pattern could push prices lower into mid-2026 before recovery resumes.
• Bullish range: Some forecasts still project targets well above current levels if historical cycle patterns and increasing institutional demand hold — with six-figure price zones possible mid-to-late 2026.
#btc #BTC走势分析 #BTC突破7万大关
🔍 Short-Term Technicals
• Price continues to experience downward pressure and drawdowns, with bearish setups noted by market analysts. 
• Some forecasts see BTC bouncing back toward $95k–$110k if key resistance is reclaimed. 
📌 Intermediate Outlook (2026 Cycle)
Analyst views vary widely, which is par for the course in crypto:
• Bearish correction scenario: Classic extended Elliott Wave or extended bear pattern could push prices lower into mid-2026 before recovery resumes.
• Bullish range: Some forecasts still project targets well above current levels if historical cycle patterns and increasing institutional demand hold — with six-figure price zones possible mid-to-late 2026.
#btc #BTC走势分析 #BTC突破7万大关
After a strong bearish trend, BTC is showing a higher low (HL) on the 2H timeframe. This suggests selling pressure may be slowing down. Not a confirmed reversal yet — waiting to see if structure builds further. Always manage risk and let price confirm. $BTC
If you want it shorter:
BTC formed a higher low (HL) on the 2H timeframe after a strong bearish move. This may indicate weakening downside momentum, but confirmation is still needed. Watching structure closely. $BTC
#btc
If you want it shorter:
BTC formed a higher low (HL) on the 2H timeframe after a strong bearish move. This may indicate weakening downside momentum, but confirmation is still needed. Watching structure closely. $BTC
#btc
📊 $BTCUSDT 4H Update - Key Levels Ahead
Price: $69,613.50 | 24h: +2.4% ✅
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: $68,135 → $66,617
✅ Resistance: $70,585 → $71,517
Market View:
· Short-term bullish, still consolidating.
· MACD and MA alignment support upside momentum.
· Futures inflows are strong, fueling the move.
Strategy Idea:
· Look for long setups near $68,200 support.
· Stop below $66,600.
· Target $71,500+.
⚠️ Not financial advice. Trade with a plan.
Follow ➕ for more real-time charts and setups.$BTC #btc #RiskAssetsMarketShock #BTC☀️
Price: $69,613.50 | 24h: +2.4% ✅
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: $68,135 → $66,617
✅ Resistance: $70,585 → $71,517
Market View:
· Short-term bullish, still consolidating.
· MACD and MA alignment support upside momentum.
· Futures inflows are strong, fueling the move.
Strategy Idea:
· Look for long setups near $68,200 support.
· Stop below $66,600.
· Target $71,500+.
⚠️ Not financial advice. Trade with a plan.
Follow ➕ for more real-time charts and setups.$BTC #btc #RiskAssetsMarketShock #BTC☀️
O ouro passou por reacumulação, rompeu máximas e entrou em fase de expansão.
📈 O Bitcoin está exatamente na mesma estrutura de mercado, só em outro ponto do ciclo.
Se repetir o movimento do ouro:
➡️ $BTC poderá chegar à US$ 280.000 em 2026 não é exagero.
É matemática de ciclos.
Ciclo não pede opinião.
Ciclo cobra posicionamento.
#btc #GOLD #analysis #trading
📈 O Bitcoin está exatamente na mesma estrutura de mercado, só em outro ponto do ciclo.
Se repetir o movimento do ouro:
➡️ $BTC poderá chegar à US$ 280.000 em 2026 não é exagero.
É matemática de ciclos.
Ciclo não pede opinião.
Ciclo cobra posicionamento.
#btc #GOLD #analysis #trading
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