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$BTC 🗓️ Date -June 21,2025
🔍 Key Changes
💥 Price crashed to $103,490.66 (-1.09%) — broke below all key supports
⚠️ New 24h Low: $102,345.00 → market now acutely bearish
📉 EMA Breakdown:
EMA(7): $104,542.67 ⬇️
EMA(25): $105,212.58 ⬇️
EMA(99): $99,222.16 ⬆️ (marginally)
📊 Oversold Levels:
RSI(6): 34.05 (lowest reading)
StochRSI: 1.78 / 9.84 😱 → Potential strong reversal
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🛑 Key Levels to Watch
🧱 Support
1. $102,345 – Crucial 24h low (must hold)
2. $100,269 - $100,372 – Strong macro support
3. $96,172 – Extreme bearish target
🧱 Resistance
1. $104,366 – Recent swing high
2. $104,542 – EMA(7)
3. $105,212 – EMA(25)
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📈 Price Predictions
⏳ Short-Term (12-24h)
🔻 80% Chance to test $102,345
Break below → Dive toward $100,269
Bounce from low → Relief rally to $104,366 (+8%)
⚡ StochRSI <2 = strongest reversal signal in months
🧠 Requires volume confirmation > 5k BTC
📆 Medium-Term (3–7 Days)
🟩 Bullish Case (30%): Hold $100,269 → range between $100K–$105K
🟥 Bearish Case (70%): Break below $100K → move to $96,172
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🎯 TRADE PLAN
🔴 SHORT Setup (Bearish Momentum – 60% Probability)
Entry Zones:
$103,400 (active zone)
$104,300 (dead cat bounce zone)
Targets:
$102,345 → 50% TP
$100,269 → Final TP
Stop Loss: 🔺 $104,600 (above EMA7)
RR: 🧮 1:12
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🟢 LONG Setup (Oversold Reversal – 40% Probability)
Entry Zones:
$102,350 (bounce at 24h low)
$100,300 (macro support)
Targets:
$103,500 → breakeven area
$104,366 → partial TP
$105,212 → full TP
Stop Loss: 🔻 $102,200
Confirmation Needed:
StochRSI > 10 + 🔊 Volume > 3k BTC
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⚖️ Trade Triggers & Invalidation
🔻 SHORT
Trigger: Price < $103,500
Targets: $102,345 → $100,269
Invalidation: 4h Close > $104,600
🔼 LONG
Trigger: Bounce at $102,345 with volume surge
Targets: $104,366 → $105,212
Invalidation: 4h Close < $102,200
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🛡️ Risk Management
1. 🧮 Max Capital Per Trade: 1% (extreme volatility)
2. 📉 Max Leverage: 3x only
3. 🔄 Adjustments:
If < $102,200 → cancel longs, short to $100,269
If > $104,600 → cancel shorts, long to $106,000
4. 🕒 Only act on 4h candle closes
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🚨 Final Warning
BTC is at a technical tipping point.
StochRSI at 1.78 = rare extreme → expect explosive volatility 💣
Watch closely:
USDT Dominance
S&P500 / DXY Correlation
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Take Trade From here 👉
$BTC 📌 Stay alert. Manage risk. Trade smart.
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