$BTC 4H Chart Update 📈 | EMA Analysis
The crypto market is currently moving through a phase of uncertainty ⚠️. Retail traders are closely watching and trying to understand when the altcoin season will begin. It is well known that altcoins largely follow Bitcoin’s psychology 🧠. Until
$BTC shows strong upside momentum, altcoins may continue to face pressure and the broader market can remain bearish.
Let’s analyze the Bitcoin 4H chart to assess the potential direction of the market 👇
Support & Resistance Zones 📊
On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is moving sideways within a defined range:
🟢 Support: $85K
🟢 Strong Support: $80K
🔴 Resistance: $90K
🔴 Strong Resistance: $95K
If
$BTC successfully breaks and holds above $95K with strong volume, this level could flip into solid support 🔁. In that scenario, Bitcoin may target:
🎯 $100K → $110K → $115K
Sustained volume will be critical for this bullish continuation 📈. If this breakout occurs, we could see improving market sentiment and stronger altcoin rallies by mid-January 2026 🚀.
EMA (200) Analysis 📉
On the 4H chart, the EMA(200) is currently acting as a dynamic resistance.
If within the next two weeks (≈90 candles), price breaks and closes above the EMA(200) with strong volume, Bitcoin is likely to continue toward its higher targets 💪.
If BTC fails to cross the EMA(200) within this period, a temporary downside move is possible 📉—however, the probability of a major breakdown remains low.
Conclusion 🧠
✅ 70% probability: BTC breaks above $100K and moves toward $110K–$115K by mid-January 2026, provided market news and sentiment remain positive 📰
⚠️ 10% probability: BTC drops below $80K if major negative news impacts the market
🔄 Sideways scenario: BTC may continue ranging between $85K–$95K if volume remains weak
Bottom Line 💡
Altcoins can be considered for gradual accumulation, with a hold strategy until mid-January, as favorable profits may emerge if Bitcoin confirms a bullish breakout 🌊🚀.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile—always do your own research (DYOR) and manage risk responsibly.
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