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Bluechip
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牛市平均持續時間是熊市的5倍。
牛市：5年上漲254%🐂
熊市：1年下跌31%🐻
市場花費的時間遠遠超過了增長財富的時間，而不是摧毀財富。爲什麼中斷複利是最大的風險。
$BTC
免責聲明：包含來自第三方的見解。非財務建議。可能包含贊助內容。
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BTC
90,265.31
-2.45%
2.7k
0
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THE FED'S CIVIL WAR HAS BEGUN December 10, 2025. The Federal Reserve just fractured in three directions simultaneously. Three members dissented. One demanded deeper cuts. Two demanded no cuts at all. This is not disagreement over pace. This is disagreement over reality itself. The numbers tell a story the headlines missed: 9-3 vote. The most divided Fed since 2019. Governor Stephen Miran, Trump's appointee still holding his White House job on unpaid leave, voted for 50 basis points. Hours earlier, Kevin Hassett, the frontrunner to replace Powell in May, publicly said he would do the same. Meanwhile, two regional bank presidents, including former dove Austan Goolsbee, voted for no cut whatsoever. A dove turning hawk is the canary in the coal mine. Why? The 43 day government shutdown wiped October's economic data from existence. The unemployment rate for October 2025 will never be known. Powell admitted the Fed is "driving in the fog." Yet they cut anyway. And simultaneously announced $40 billion per month in Treasury purchases. They call it "Reserve Management." Not QE. Inflation sits 45% above target. Easing and tightening. Cutting and warning. Expanding the balance sheet while projecting a hawkish pause. This is not monetary policy. This is managed contradiction. Powell's term ends May 15, 2026. The succession battle is already live. The December vote was a preview of the war to come. The institution that stabilizes the world's reserve currency cannot agree on what danger looks like, which direction it is coming from, or which tool to use against it. For eighty years, markets priced Fed consensus. That assumption died yesterday. Adjust accordingly. $BTC
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$BTC 🤷♂️
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$BTC Locking in 25%. 4% drop since entry. This trade is something I will be holding for a few months. Round trips are possible. Before the next leg down, we will likely build liquidity. So, I will be twapping in & out of my swing & only adding to entry above 95-96K.
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BITCOIN - PATH A or B? I've still got my eye on this bear flag. It's inherently a bearish pattern and it still hasn't broken above the megaphone lower boundary, which also isn't good. If I had to guess which will happen, I'm going to guess 60% chance it's path B, around mid December. Target would be $74k-$80k. Both paths A & B end in a nice relief rally bounce, so hodlers need not worry (if these come to fruitition). Trust me, I'm looking forward to the bullish move up, but I don't want to discount the possibiliity of a move down first, which is what a bull flag says is the most likely outcome. Lastly, I hope that we just go route A. See below for zoomed-in view, as well as a diagram of its TA structure. $BTC
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$BTC Nothing fancy, just typical market structure.✔️
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