Shorting is not optimistic; the value of altcoins is 0 In this bull market, two golden sayings struck me In the early years, I didn't believe, thinking "shorting is highly risky" and "altcoins can double". As a result, I was liquidated for not choosing the right targets for shorting, and my full position in altcoins eventually went to zero. Now I finally understand the weight of these two sayings. —— This is not an argument; it's a life-saving insight built from real experience. Here are four practical tips—newbies, don't repeat my mistakes. When shorting, first look at liquidity; avoid "dead markets". If you're bearish on a certain coin and want to short, first check the 24-hour trading volume. If it's below 5 million USD, just give up. Last year, I shorted a small altcoin, it dropped 20% and I wanted to close my position, but there was no counterparty to sell to, and when it rebounded, I ended up getting liquidated. Prioritize major coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Even if your judgment is wrong, you can stop-loss at any time. Judgment that altcoins are "worth 0": look at the "progress of implementation". Don't believe what KOLs say about "future potential". Open the project’s official website and check the "application implementation" section: if it hasn't been updated for half a year and is only making promises, the value is 0. I previously bought an "metaverse altcoin" that had been shouting for a year without a demo, and the team eventually ran away. It's still sitting dead in my wallet. Altcoins that truly have value must at least have usable products, like those that can be traded or mined. When shorting, also set stop-losses; don’t be greedy thinking it will "drop to the bottom". Some people think shorting is "earning when it drops", but it's actually more important to set stop-losses. For example, when shorting Ethereum, set a stop-loss like "if it rises over 10% then close the position". Last year, I was bearish on ETH and didn’t set a stop-loss. It suddenly rose 20%, and I was directly liquidated. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
Young people, you must trade cryptocurrencies Young people, you must trade cryptocurrencies This is the largest "knowledge payment platform". As long as you dare to think and stay up late, you can learn things that others won't touch in their lifetime. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and hikes, CPI PPI non-farm unemployment rate, US dollar index, capital flow, options expiration settlement volume... which one haven't I studied? On-chain data, trading depth, funding rates, whale addresses, gas fees, BTC halving model, ETH destruction rate... which one am I not monitoring? Cycle theory, Kondratiev, Juglar, bull-bear alternation, crypto four-year halving... which cycle haven't I calculated? Technical indicators, waves, Fibonacci, KDJ, MACD, Bollinger Bands, support and resistance, double bottoms and tops, breakthrough and false breakthroughs, chip distribution... which technical analysis haven't I touched? Emotional cycles, FOMO, FUD, board hitting, all-in, low buy high sell... which playstyle haven't I tried? Global policies, SEC hearings, ETF approvals, CBDC pilot programs, Asian trading hours... which regulation haven't I closely followed? Various tracks, BTC ETH SOL AVAX OP L2, DePIN, AI coins, GameFi, meme coins... which one don't I understand? Mining machines, electricity costs, computing power, chips, mining field profits... which industry chain haven't I researched? Public chains, side chains, DEX CEX, bridges, stablecoins, lending, clearing mechanisms... which protocol am I not familiar with? AI, RWA, Restaking, bot trading, quantitative arbitrage, market making... which strategy haven't I touched? I've read white papers, listened to KOLs, participated in Twitter Spaces, mingled in Discord, checked on-chain addresses, copied contract codes... which information don't I understand? When Musk tweets, when Grayscale reduces holdings, when BlackRock increases positions, when new listings occur on exchanges, when whales sell... which one am I not monitoring every second? #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
With a capital of 600U to 20,000U, I rely on these three iron rules to win The cryptocurrency market is not a casino based on luck, but a battlefield of strategy. The less capital you have, the more you need to be steady, like an old hunter who knows how to stay calm. I once guided a novice who started with an initial account of 600U. When he just entered the market, he was so nervous he could barely place an order, always afraid that a single operation would wipe him out. I told him, "Stick to the rules, and you can gradually improve." To my surprise, a month later his account surpassed 6,000U, and in three months it reached 20,000U, without ever blowing up his position. This is definitely not luck; it all relies on three iron rules for "survival and profit." The first rule is to diversify your capital and leave a way out. Break 600U into three parts: 200U for day trading, focusing only on Bitcoin and Ethereum, cashing out when there’s a 3%-5% fluctuation; 200U for swing trading, waiting for clear signals before acting, holding positions for 3-5 days for stability; 200U kept as a reserve that is never touched, regardless of extreme market conditions, this is the confidence to turn things around. Those who go all in recklessly will panic during declines and won't last long. The second rule is to only chase trends and not waste time on fluctuations. The market is in sideways consolidation 80% of the time, and frequent trading only incurs unnecessary fees. Be patient and wait for signals; when there are signals, act decisively. Withdraw half of profits when reaching 12%, securing earnings is the most reliable. True experts always follow the principle of "if you don't act, you stay still; if you act, you will surely succeed." The third rule prioritizes rules and controls emotions. Do not let a single trade lose more than 2%, and you must exit at the point; if profits exceed 4%, reduce half of the position, letting the remaining profits run; Never average down on losses; don’t let emotions drag you down. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
Brothers with a principal of less than 1000U, take a moment to listen to my advice. The cryptocurrency market is not a casino; it is a battlefield based on strategy. With a smaller principal, you need to be stable, like an old hunter who knows how to remain calm. Last year, I guided a beginner who had only 600U in his account. At first, he was so nervous that he was shaking when placing orders, afraid of losing everything in one operation. I told him: "Follow the rules, and you can gradually improve." Two months later, his account exceeded 6000U; After four months, it surged to 25,000U without a single liquidation throughout the journey. Some asked if it was luck? Absolutely not; it was based on rigid discipline. These three iron rules of "survival and profit" helped him grow from 600U to where he is now: First rule: divide your funds into three parts, keeping a good backup. Split the principal into three parts: 200U for day trading, focusing only on Bitcoin and Ethereum, capturing 3%-5% fluctuations; 200U for swing trading, waiting for clear opportunities before executing, holding positions for 3-5 days for stability; 200U kept as a reserve, remaining untouched even in extreme market conditions, providing the confidence to turn things around. Have you seen those who go all-in with a few thousand U? They panic when prices rise and fall, and they simply can't go far. True winners know to keep some money off the market. Second rule: chase trends only, avoid choppy markets. The market spends 80% of the time in sideways movement, and frequent trading only pays fees to the platform. Stay steady without a signal, and act decisively when there is a signal. Withdraw half of your profits at 12%, securing your gains is reliable. The expert's rhythm is, "Stay still if not acting; act with certainty when you do." When his account doubled, I watched him steadily collect profits without impatience or chasing prices. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
42-year-old Lao Zhou turned 500,000 to 50 million in 8 years, with 7 lines of 'human heart code' hiding the winning password 42-year-old Lao Zhou always carries a thermos of bamboo leaf green tea at the night market. When it comes to popular investments, he only says 'don't be greedy.' Until I saw him turn 500,000 U into 50 million, still closing his computer at four o'clock every day to drink tea, I finally understood that the hundredfold return relies on breaking down human emotions and following the rules. He wrote 7 lines on a sticky note and stuck it on the homepage of my notebook for half a year. My maximum drawdown was reduced from 30% to 8%, and I started to sleep soundly: 1. Rapid rise and slow fall = accumulation: after a big bullish squeeze, a small bearish consolidation, with volume shrinking like sesame, and the weekly low is raised to stabilize; 2. Rapid fall and weak rebound = selling: a rebound of less than 30°, with volume not reaching half of the decline, bottom fishing is like catching a flying knife; 3. Low volume at high levels is dangerous: when volume increases, the main force finds it hard to exit; if it shrinks to one-third and the price stagnates, consensus is already scattered; 4. Continuous volume increase at the bottom is real: a single day's volume increase is often a false breakout; wait for three days of volume increase + stability above the 20-moving average before taking action; 5. Volume is a thermometer for emotions: increasing volume with increasing price is healthy, shrinking volume with increasing price is false, increasing volume with decreasing price is panic, shrinking volume with decreasing price is sluggish; 6. Being in cash is top-tier position management: he has 120 days of empty positions in 200 trading days, with one-third of the capital invested regularly, following trends, and waiting for opportunities; 7. The opponent is oneself: every night review three questions about emotions, rule violations, and reward methods, turning 'nothing' into a protective talisman. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
Many people want to rely on cryptocurrency trading to support their families, but they often fall into the traps of "getting in early" and "not letting go of greed". In my early years, I suffered losses from entering the market too early, but later I developed 10 iron rules that slowly turned the crypto market into a stable source of income. Those who want to rely on trading cryptocurrencies to support their families must remember these rules. When a strong coin declines for 9 consecutive days at a high position, follow up decisively and never reach out early; If a coin rises for 2 consecutive days, no matter how strong the momentum, first reduce your position by half—realized profits are yours, greed will only return profits. If there is a single-day increase of over 7%, don’t rush to enter the next day; first, observe. Do not chase high prices for strong coins; wait for a confirmed pullback before entering the market. Coins that are sideways are “danger zones”: if there is no movement after 3 days of consolidation, observe for another 3 days. If it’s still stagnant, decisively change your position. Stop losses must be harsh: if you have not broken even the next day after buying in, exit without hesitation; don’t engage in a drawn-out battle that will drain your account. The rhythm of “three, five, one, seven” must be grasped accurately: after 2 consecutive days of rising, the third day is suitable for low-cost positioning, and the fifth day is the point to realize profits. Volume and price are core: enter when low volume breaks out, and if high volume doesn’t rise, immediately clear your position to prevent being harvested. Only trade coins in an upward trend: use the 3-day line for short-term opportunities, the 30-day line for medium-term trends, the 80-day line sends signals for heavy positions, and the 120-day line determines the overall direction of a bull market. Coins that deviate from the trend, no matter how tempting, should not be touched. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
$BTC $ETH In the world of cryptocurrency, from 3600U to 30000U, you only need to remember three "dead rules" Three months ago, a fan had only 3600U left. He reflected on himself and found a simple method. With a try-and-see attitude, he persisted for 90 days, dividing his account from 3600 into 3 parts, each part being 1200U. 1. Short-term trading: 1200U, at most two trades a day, cut losses immediately. 2. Trend trading: 1200U, do not release the eagle until the rabbit appears, play dead if the weekly chart does not show an uptrend. 3. Emergency funds: 1200U, specifically for emergencies, added immediately on the liquidation day to ensure you are still at the table. Invest everything? Don't even think about it; liquidation = "amputation", you can regrow a finger, but having your head chopped off is the final outcome. Only grasp the most advantageous part of the trend, while the rest of the time, gain small profits through short-term trading. The volatile market is like a meat grinder, it will likely chop you down. My signal is simple: Daily moving average not in a bullish arrangement = no position. Volume breaks previous high + daily closing confirmation = first entry. Once profits reach 30% of the principal, immediately withdraw half and set a 10% trailing stop for the remaining portion. Remember, there will always be the next bus in the market; do not rush to the door, hurry to catch the ride. Lock your emotions in a cage, just press the button. Before entering, write down your "life-and-death statement": - Stop loss at 5%, automatic cut losses at the point, no bargaining. - Profit at 10%, pull the stop loss to the cost price, the rest is the market's gift. Rising from 3600 dollars to 30000 dollars is not about the magic of trading, but about "making fewer mistakes". The market has opportunities every day, but funds are not always available. First remember these three dead rules, then study waves, indicators, and charts. Surviving is the only way to talk about wealth; not surviving means just being someone else's trading fee. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
Recently, I chatted with an older guy from Chongqing, and he shared a rather painful experience from the cryptocurrency world. He is 39 years old and has been in the industry for 8 years, turning a capital of 500,000 into over 50 million. He didn’t rely on any insider information or luck; he simply said, “I’m not smart, I just don’t get greedy.” Later, I realized that the key to this hundredfold return is not predicting the market but understanding human nature. He shared with me some rules that he learned through real investment, which are quite practical: If there’s a rapid rise followed by a slow decline, there’s a high probability that the main force is accumulating shares, don’t be scared out by small fluctuations, you have to watch the overall rhythm; If there’s a sharp drop followed by weak rebounds, it’s mostly about unloading, don’t impulsively try to catch the bottom, be careful not to get caught by the “falling knife.” High volume at highs isn’t necessarily a peak, but a decrease in volume during a drop really needs to be cautious; a single large volume at the bottom doesn’t indicate a problem, continuous large volume is the real bottom signal. In short, trading cryptocurrency is about trading emotions. Price fluctuations don’t depend on the truth of the news, but rather on whether people believe it or not. Volume is the simplest consensus—everyone recognizes it, and the volume naturally increases. The older guy always says, “The word ‘nothing’ is the true essence of survival.” Don’t be greedy for highs, don’t panic, don’t get stuck in a rut; being able to stay in cash for opportunities and being brave to cut losses when necessary can help you survive long in this world. The biggest opponent in trading has never been the market, it’s your own mindset. The cryptocurrency world may seem chaotic, but being rational, steady, and patient is the charm that can lead you to the end. Step by step, even in the darkest night, you can wait for the dawn. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
Cryptocurrency market consolidation = no opportunity? You are wrong! I used 60 days to go from $2800 to $68,000, all without staying up late, without copying, just relying on these three "anti-human blunt knives"—— First knife: Liquidating positions is like defusing bombs; going all in is a disease that needs to be cured. Currently, the market is a dual kill for bulls and bears; going all in is equivalent to sending a pension to the exchange. I divided my $2800 into three parts: • Short-term positions at most 2 trades per day, making 3% and then running, handling fees + milk tea money is securely in hand. • Trend positions only wait for the weekly MA30 golden cross MA60 + volume breakout of previous highs, take out the principal after a 30% profit, set a 10% trailing stop for remaining positions. • Backup positions are specifically for the itch to trade; it is better to leave them idle than to add positions. In a volatile market, keeping enough ammo means you will always have three more chances to turn things around than those who go all in. Second knife: Only eat the flesh, not the bones. The root of small investors losing money: being a model worker in a volatile market! I insist: Only open positions when the daily MA30 is above MA60 + a volume breakout of previous highs; at other times, simply uninstall the app. This year, 59% of the time has been volatile; how many people stayed up late watching the market and ended up being harvested? I exercise and spend time with family, which allowed me to dodge 80% of the bait traps—remember: if you don't understand the market, it’s all a trap! Third knife: Be strict with yourself to be strict with the market makers. The script of liquidation is always similar: holding on when losing, running early when winning. My iron law: • Cut losses immediately when a single loss reaches 3%, adding to a position is a suicide accelerator. • If floating profit exceeds 10%, immediately move the stop loss to the breakeven line; let profits fly but never risk the principal. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
Last year at this time, I was still working overtime, eating instant noodles—only 200U left in my account, the remnants after two liquidations from a 1000U principal. Chasing high-priced altcoins, I lost 600U the first time, and after averaging down, I fell another 200U, even having to borrow rent from my roommate. In sleepless nights, I wrote down three iron rules in my phone's memo, and unexpectedly, by using this method, I rolled my funds to 82,000U in a year. Now I've quit the 996 job and can easily monitor the market at home. To put it bluntly, it’s all lessons learned from losses: 400U for dollar-cost averaging. Every Wednesday at 3 PM, regardless of whether BTC goes up or down, I buy without fail. I used to always wait to “buy the dip,” which either left me missing out or getting stuck, but dollar-cost averaging is more worry-free, earning profits when it rises and averaging down when it falls. 300U to closely watch the main players. I use data tools to track the movements of whales, specifically targeting mainstream coins that big players have increased their holdings in for three consecutive days. Last November, I focused on SOL, saw the main player continuously increasing their holdings, and waited for it to stabilize at previous highs before entering the market, neither chasing highs nor guessing lows. 300U as emergency funds. I set strict rules: only to be used when BTC corrects over 20%. At the end of last year, when BTC had a significant correction, I finally used this money to average down, no matter how crazy the market got, I wouldn’t touch it, fearing to repeat past mistakes. In April of this year, before the BTC halving, a surge in SOL transformed 300U into 1050U; the BTC and ETH I had been dollar-cost averaging also started to take profits, with total earnings reaching 82,000U. Now my monitor is filled with sticky notes, the most eye-catching one says: don’t touch obscure coins, don’t touch high leverage. It’s not that I suddenly became skilled; it’s that I’m afraid of losing. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
The secret to rolling 1000u into 70,000u: Staying alive is more important than making money. I have seen too many people holding a few hundred to a thousand, always wanting to "double it in one go," only to exit the market in less than half a month. But one beginner in the crypto space I guided started with over 900u, and after 4 months, slowly grew to 40,000u, now maintaining a steady 70,000u + in the account, without facing any major issues throughout. This is not luck; it is the core method I used to grow from over 8000u to stable profits, and today I will share it with you: First rule: Divide your funds into three parts; staying alive allows you to make money. Split 1000u into three parts of 300u: The first part is for day trading, only focusing on 1 trade each day; once the target is reached, cash out without hesitation; The second part is for swing trading, not chasing small fluctuations; wait for clear trends before taking action, aiming for markets that can yield over 10%; The third part is your safety net, never touch it — this is your recovery capital during downturns; most people fail because they act impulsively without an exit strategy. Remember: staying alive gives you the opportunity to make it back. Second rule: Only ride big trends; erratic movements are like giving away money. The market spends 80% of its time in consolidation, frequently placing trades only gives the platform transaction fees. When there’s no trend, be patient; for example, if core assets are stagnant for over 3 days, close the software; wait for it to break below the consolidation range or stabilize above key moving averages before entering. Moreover, if profits exceed 20% of the principal, withdraw 30% to secure gains — I often tell beginners, "Don’t move often, but when you do, make it count," which is much more reliable than trading every day. Third rule: Use rules to lock in emotions; don’t rely on feelings to place trades. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
In 2020, Xiao Li secretly transferred the prepared 180,000 yuan betrothal gift into the platform, only to be scolded by his mother-in-law at the door as a "wasteful child", while his wife cried and said, "If this continues, I'll divorce you."  The niche digital asset he bought for the first time dropped by 40%, leaving him anxious with blisters in his mouth, and even after drinking three bottles of ice cola, he couldn't suppress his anger. At that time, he didn't even understand "position" and only dared to follow the trend and buy blindly.   Later, I came across the "steady method" I shared, and I taught him 3 practical strategies. He earned 800,000 yuan with these few tricks, not only recovering the betrothal gift but also adding money to buy a retirement house for his mother-in-law.   In fact, helping him make money relied on these 3 practical tricks: 1️⃣ First learn "small position trial and error", don't go all in right away  I told Xiao Li to divide the money into 10 parts, only taking 1 part to try new targets each time, and even if it dropped, he would only lose 10%.   At first, he couldn't help but want to invest more until one time a niche coin dropped by 30%. Because he only invested 1 part, he only lost 18,000 yuan, which wasn't too damaging. —— This made him completely believe in the importance of "small position", and he never made the mistake of "full position holding" again.  2️⃣ Pay attention to the "3 signals" of coins on the platform to avoid pitfalls ① Is there a "project background disclosure" before the coin is listed? ② Is there a lot of "rational analysis" in the community discussions? ③ After listing, is the transaction volume in the first 3 days "steadily increasing" (be cautious of sudden spikes followed by drops).  3️⃣ Once you earn enough to reach the "target line", take the profit, don't be greedy  I set a rule with him: if a single transaction earns 50%, withdraw 30%; if it earns 100%, withdraw 50%. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
The cryptocurrency world is full of people chasing gains and cutting losses, but a 37-year-old woman from Northeast China is like a 'sweeping monk'. She hasn't touched contracts for 9 years, hasn't bet on news, and hasn't played 'meme coins', relying instead on a set of 'simple methods' to grow her initial capital of 100,000 to over 38 million. She lives a low-key life, owning 5 properties: one for herself, one for her parents, and three for rental, with a steady monthly cash flow. Throughout this journey, she hasn't relied on insider information or luck, but on six simple yet effective principles: 1. Rapid rises and slow declines are opportunities. After a sharp rise, if there's a slow pullback, don't panic; this is large capital quietly accumulating, and the K-line during a shakeout is more reliable than the tenderness of a romantic relationship. 2. A sudden drop with weak rebounds means it's time to exit. If the price suddenly crashes and can't recover, don't hold on; capital is collectively withdrawing, and trying to catch the bottom often means catching your own 'bottom'. 3. High volume doesn't necessarily mean a peak. High volume at a high price isn't always the endpoint; it could be a market climax. The real danger is when no one is speaking at the top—declining volume at the peak is the signal for a market wrap-up. 4. Multiple confirmations of bottom signals. A rebound after a sharp drop is often a 'don't leave, fellow villager' tactic; a true bottom requires capital to continuously 'vote' with real money, and a single volume bar can't be trusted. 5. Charts conceal human emotions. What you're studying isn't the K-line, but the greed and fear of millions, and volume is the most honest 'heartbeat' of market sentiment. 6. The highest level is 'nothingness'. Not envying others' wealth, not fearing market fluctuations, and not being attached to one's own judgments. Only those who can withstand the loneliness of holding cash have the qualification to catch the benefits of a main rising wave. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!
Key Signals Amidst the Cryptocurrency Market Crash: The Surge in Stablecoin Trading Volume Hides Secrets The cryptocurrency market is feeling the chill, with Bitcoin's monthly decline exceeding 11% and Ethereum's drop reaching 16%, leaving ordinary investors in anguish. On the other hand, the trading volume of stablecoins on the Ethereum chain has quietly reached a historical peak of $2.82 trillion, revealing three key signals behind this stark contrast. Firstly, large funds have not exited the market; they are merely switching tracks. During the crash, the trading volume of stablecoins actually surged by 45%, indicating that institutions and whales are not fleeing in panic but are rebalancing their portfolios. The trading volume of USDC reached $1.62 trillion, nearly twice that of USDT, showing that stable funds prefer compliant and transparent assets to mitigate risks. Secondly, stablecoins have become the market's "North Star." Currently, stablecoins contribute 70% of the total revenue of DeFi protocols, serving as the lifeblood of the entire ecosystem. This is far from a simple bear market winter; it resembles a "capital reservoir" before the market starts to rally, accumulating strength for subsequent fluctuations. Thirdly, a massive amount of funds are poised to spring into action off-chain. All stablecoins essentially act as "potential buy orders," and these funds remaining on-chain are not idle but are waiting for a clear bottom-fishing opportunity. Once the market stabilizes, this $2.82 trillion flood of funds is enough to quickly drive a market rebound. In summary, rather than getting caught up in the short-term price fluctuations, it is more crucial to closely monitor the anomalies in on-chain data—this is the key clue to the market. The current capital gates have been opened, and the next wave of market activity is worth looking forward to. At this moment, there is no need to blindly cut losses; it is more important to track the movements of large funds and manage position layout effectively. #ElonMusk65908 Follow For More!