首页
通知
个人主页
热门文章
新闻
收藏与点赞
历史记录
创作者中心
设置
Eternel insatisfait
--
关注
TGA流动性释放已开始。
在过去的24小时内,TGA余额减少了340亿美元。
随着这一进程的加速,市场可能会迎来买盘。
免责声明:含第三方意见,不构成财务建议,并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
4.3k
0
浏览最新的加密货币新闻
⚡️ 参与加密货币领域的最新讨论
💬 与喜爱的创作者互动
👍 查看感兴趣的内容
邮箱/手机号码
注册
登录
相关创作者
Eternel insatisfait
@Eternel_insatisfait
关注
创作者的更多内容
Bitcoin overview. Read until the end. BTC Daily MA200 Analysis Across 4 Bitcoin Cycles (End of Cycle: Q4 correction Vs Q1 Retest) 🟢 2013–2014 Cycle: - Once price closed under MA200, it triggered a deep 71% correction. - After finding the bottom, BTC made a 94% relief rally back toward the MA200 but failed to reclaim it. - Conclusion: MA200 acted as heavy resistance during the entire bear phase. 🟢2017–2018 Cycle: - Similar structure: BTC lost MA200 after the top. - This breakdown caused a 67% decline over 109 days. - BTC did a 54% relief rally, but again could not reclaim the MA200. - Result: Multi-month accumulation under MA200 before a new bull cycle. -Conclusion: MA200 = Bear Market Roof in this cycle. 🟢 2021–2022 Cycle - BTC fell below MA200 after the mid-cycle top. - Breakdown led to a 52% drop. - BTC bounced 44%, touched the MA200, but failed to flip it. - Price continued grinding lower for months. - Conclusion: MA200 rejection = continuation of bear market. 🟢2025–2026 Cycle (Current Projection) - BTC has again broken below MA200 after a big run. - So far, the correction is -28%, in line with previous cycles. If BTC repeats history: - A relief rally toward MA200 is likely. - Failure to reclaim MA200 could trigger multi-month sideways/lower price action. - A clean reclaim of MA200 would signal a new bullish phase. 🟢 Simple Summary In every Bitcoin cycle: - Losing MA200 at the end of bull cycle (Q4) starts the bear phase. -Relief rally back to MA200 = normal, but failure to reclaim MA200 = extended bear market / accumulation zone. - Reclaiming and holding above MA200 = new bull cycle begins. Remember this structure is valid if you believe in a 4-year cycle, but if the 4-year cycle theory is dead, we will see a new structure in the Bitcoin chart in 2026. If the bear cycle is going to start, the market will give a retest rally at any time in the next 6 months as per all the last 3 cycles. If it repeats Q1/2018, we can see a 3x-5x jump in alts from here.
--
You think it's over? You are selling in panic? In my opinion it's the best strategy to be mainly in stablecoins right now. But, remember the following: $BTC correction in 2024 -32%. $BTC correction in 2025 -32% $BTC correction right now -28%. A bounce is coming. It always does. The only real questions are: When? And from how deep?
--
And for the record- the last two major corrections on Bitcoin on our road to 126k were greater than the current one in % terms, even with $BTC at 89k. So any argument for bearishness here which uses the current ~30% drawdown as justification for that stance is frankly silly. You can’t argue that one should be bearish because of a 30% drawdown when there have already been two instances of corrections greater than this depth that were followed by rallies to new ATH shortly after. You also have to recognize that in BOTH those instances there were plenty of people who made the same mistake and were bearish/claimed the cycle top was in simply because of the drawdown and not much else. In the most volatile market in the world, where 30% drawdowns in a bull market as the “norm” you’re framework/approach to determining bull/bear markets HAS to be based on something more substantial. If not you would have called a top at least two times already and been wrong on both.
--
SENTIMENT AU PLUS BAS : SIGNAL D’ACHAT… OU DANGER ? Le sentiment du marché crypto vient d’atteindre son plus bas niveau de 2025 on est officiellement en peur extrême. À ces niveaux, deux scénarios : 1) En marché haussier : Souvent un point bas local. Les meilleures opportunités apparaissent quand tout le monde panique. 2) En marché baissier : Véritable warning. La peur peut rester basse pendant des mois… tandis que les prix s’érodent lentement (comme en 2022). Alors… Bottom confirmé ? Ou début du bear market ?
--
La grande question revient partout : “Le bullrun va-t-il vraiment décoller ?” 📈 Oui. Et plus fort que prévu. D’après mes analyses : 👉 le bullrun arrive 👉 il devrait réellement s’accélérer au 1er semestre 2026 👉 et il devrait être plus long que les précédents (un cycle de 5 ans) C’est un marché atypique. Un marché où la majorité fera de grosses erreurs… simplement par manque d’informations et de stratégie. #BTC90kBreakingPoint #StrategyBTCPurchase
--
实时新闻
Vitalik Buterin 建议预测市场采用 2-of-3 多数决策机制
--
Vitalik Buterin 呼吁更多用户友好的对抗性 UI 设计
--
Metaplanet 发行 1.5 亿美元 B 类永续优先股以增持比特币
--
币安:持有至少 240 个 Alpha 积分的用户可于今日 20:00 领取 Alpha 空投
--
ETH 跌破 3,000 USDT,24 小时跌幅3.57%
--
查看更多
热门文章
中國網紅橙子姐姐失聯案反轉!原來是在柬埔寨被抓,涉詐騙、人口販運震驚社群
加密城市 Crypto City
比特币抽风了?昨夜暴跌、今天又爆拉,究竟为什么?而今晚还会继续暴涨吗?赶紧来看一下!
分析师舒琴
撸币安羊毛了 BFUSD的活动延长了!延长到12月2日。 现在垃圾时间,可以撸币安理财。 USDT 换成 BFUS
币圈不知名韭菜
$ZEC 是不是被zec震迷糊了,就是不下来,我再来给大家梳理一下,我最擅长的就是剖析顶底结构。 第一,
裸k阿龙
🐂 牛市结束了吗? 我的结论:这是最危险也是最肥美的“鱼尾行情”!🐟 BTC破9万,很多人都在问:牛市是不是没了?
挣够100000000U收手
查看更多
网站地图
Cookie偏好设置
平台条款和条件